DXY - USD Sinking To A Bottomless Pit The Fundamentals
When I think of U.S. Federal Reserve and U.S. Government infinite debt ceiling, the title of the movie, "The Gods Must Be Crazy" comes to my mind. What they are doing has only one end result, the destruction of the U.S. $ and its economy.
There are new sheriffs in town (BRICS - Economic Sheriffs, Russia, China, Iran - Military Sheriffs), the U.S. no longer has military nor economic hegemony, this is what's behind the power of the U.S. $, imagine being powerless to protect their interests in the red sea, where there's a new sheriff in town called Iran camouflaged as Houthis :D or being kicked out of Niger?
Some genius decades ago, had the bright idea that backing the U.S. $ by military power was a great idea, moving factories to China for the sake of increasing profits was also a bright idea, and at the same time antagonizing China.
The Technical Analysis
Counting the waves, looks like we've completed wave B of wave 5 which means wave C could take the USD below 92. Coincidently that's close to 0.5 and 0.618 Fibs. Wave 1 and 2 of wave C looks completed now brace for impact!
Mayday! Mayday!
The Bullish Scenario
Wave B of wave 5 could be an extended wave and take the USD all ze vay to 119 and crash afterwards.
Dxyidea
DXY Weekly Analysis Here's the corrected version:
Last month, we anticipated that the #DXY price would continue to be bearish and take support liquidity from Mon 10 Jul '23. However, the fundamentals contradicted last month's analysis as the #DXY strengthened again after inflation rise and the Fed announced they would keep interest rates fixed until the next meeting. It's probable that we will see a Bullish trend in DXY this year if there's no decrease in inflation or interest rates.
This highlights the importance of fundamentals in this quarter. From a technical perspective, we observe weakness in breaking the support liquidity in #DXY, indicating that it will likely rise again and target Mon 02 Oct '23 for short-term liquidity.
For the long term, we anticipate the price will reach a fair value in the MON 07 Nov '22 liquidity gap as the long-term target.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this presentation, we conduct an in-depth examination of the technical aspects related to the DXY. Our evaluation uncovers a possible trading prospect. We conduct a detailed review of the prevailing price movements, examine the market's framework with precision, and take into account the forces at play in the market. Given the advantageous circumstances, we pinpoint a prospective point of entry. Nonetheless, it is imperative to emphasize the importance of applying strong risk management measures. It is important to remember that the content of this video is intended solely for educational purposes and is not to be interpreted as investment advice.
DXY Analysis: Potential Retracement AheadI'm closely monitoring the DXY (US Dollar Index) for indications of the dollar's trajectory into the weekend and early next week. The US dollar's influence on global markets makes the DXY a critical reference point for traders.
Given the strong correlation between many currency pairs and the US dollar, the DXY's current position at a key resistance level suggests a potential pullback. The dollar appears overextended, and coupled with typical end-of-week trading patterns, we may see a significant retracement impacting broader markets.
Important Disclaimer: This analysis is intended for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe DXY is currently trading within a well-defined monthly sideways trending range. Price action is testing a key support level, indicating a possible retracement towards previous resistance. A bullish break of the current 1D/4H downtrend, followed by a retest and failure of the range, could present a potential buying opportunity.
Disclaimer: This analysis provides a technical perspective and should not be interpreted as direct financial advice. Trading in commodities involves significant risk. Before making any investment decisions, please consult with a qualified financial professional and thoroughly assess your own risk tolerance.
DXY Weekly Analysis "The DXY seems to be retracing from 100.615 to take liquidity at 104.565, and we've observed significant price reactions in the area since Monday, November 13, 23. This suggests that the DXY is currently showing efficiency and may be inclined to move lower towards 99.559.
However, reaching 99.559 might face resistance due to a "shield area," which could potentially cause the DXY to struggle on the downside. It's possible we'll witness the DXY lingering around the red shaded area at 101.910 for a while. If the price breaks below this level swiftly with large downward candles, we anticipate further downward movement towards 99.559. Otherwise, if it fails to break below 101.910, we'll provide an update accordingly."
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaOn the higher time frame, the DXY exhibits a bullish trend, characterized by recent retracement into the 50% level on the Fibonacci. As we delve into lower timeframes, our focus sharpens. Specifically, we are on the lookout for price to form a double bottom setup—a pattern that often signals a potential reversal. This setup involves a break below the previous range lows, followed by a robust rally and, subsequently, a formation of higher lows and highs.
Additionally, we pay close attention to the concept of retest and failure. If price retraces to a key support level and fails to hold, it can indicate a shift in market dynamics. In this case, we’re particularly interested in observing a retest and subsequent failure of a range at support.
However, it’s paramount to acknowledge the inherent risks associated with trading. Always conduct thorough research, considering both fundamental market drivers and the broader macroeconomic landscape. Combine this analysis with your technical insights. Furthermore, implement sound risk management strategies to safeguard your capital.
Disclaimer: This analysis provides a technical perspective on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and should not be construed as investment advice. Tailor your trading decisions to your specific risk
DXY H1 / BULLISH MARKET STRUCTURE SIGNAL => 📈✅ Hello Traders!
This is my idea related to the future movement of DXY H1. As we can see, the market is reacting from the resistance level, and at this moment, I'm looking for a bullish confirmation to execute a long entry. The perfect scenario would be to see a retracement until the OB that I mentioned and after that, to go bullish. In case of confirmation, I will execute this trade.
Traders, if my proposal resonates with you or if you hold a divergent viewpoint regarding this trade, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I welcome the opportunity to hear your perspectives.
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DXY Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaTechnical Outlook:
- The DXY (US Dollar Index) maintains a bullish trajectory within its broader uptrend.
- Recent price action indicates a retracement to a significant daily (1D) support zone.
- This technical setup presents potential buy opportunities in line with the prevailing bullish bias.
Trade Suggestion:
- Entry: Consider long positions upon confirmation of bullish trend shifts on a lower time frame at the current support level.
- Targets: Aim for 105, 105.5, and 106 as price objectives.
- Stop-Loss: Strategically place stop-loss orders below the immediate support to manage risk.
Important Disclaimer:
This analysis reflects my individual market assessment for informational purposes. It does not constitute explicit financial advice. Independent research and comprehensive risk management are crucial before executing any trades.
DXY Dollar Index Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe #DXY is currently exhibiting range-bound behavior within a broader bullish trend on higher timeframes. While the overall bias remains positive, current price action does not present a compelling entry point for a long position. My strategy involves two potential scenarios:
1: Breakdown Scenario: A break below the current range support would provide a discounted long entry opportunity.
2: Breakout and Retest Scenario: A decisive break above the range high, followed by a retest and failure of that level as new resistance, would signal a potential long entry.
Key Technical Considerations:
- Trend Analysis: The higher timeframe bullish trend offers context for potential long setups.
- Market Structure: Understanding the current range structure guides entry and exit points.
- Price Action: Closely monitor price behavior around key support and resistance levels for trade signals.
Disclaimer: This analysis is strictly educational and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own independent research and thoroughly evaluate your risk appetite before executing any trades.