DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 02/11/2023In the higher time frame, we are working on a corrective move down. The primary scenario is now suggesting that this happens as an ABC. The five waves down from the high might also indicate a bearish flat scenario. In the lower time frame, we did not respect the wave ((iv)) area of a potential wave 5 of wave A. Therefore, it looks like we are doing a WXY and the corrective wave X is now ending.
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DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 01/11/2023In the higher time frame, we are working on a corrective move down. The primary scenario is now suggesting that this happens as an ABC. The five waves down from the high might also indicate a bearish flat scenario. In the lower time frame, the final wave ((v)) of wave 5 of wave A looks incomplete. If we do not respect the wave ((iv)) area, it looks like we will have a WXY instead of an ABC.
DOW JONES: Started rising, at least on the short term.Dow Jones went from oversold to neutral on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 51.457, MACD = -63.520, ADX = 28.038) as the price bottomed on the LL trendline of the three month Channel Down and rebounded straight to the 4H MA50 today. This is the short term Resistance, a closing above it confirms the 2nd part of the rally to the 4H MA200.
The 4H MACD is on the same Double Bullish Cross bottom formation as October 4th. The rally that followed rose by +4.05%. Consequently our bullish target (TP = 33,500) is under a max +4.05% range, as well as the 4H MA200 and the dashed LH trendline.
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Dow Jones Formed A Leading Diagonal?Dow Jones Industrial sector is the strongest this week and we can see sharp and impulsive intraday stabilization that can cause a bigger recovery in upcoming weeks, but ideally only within a higher degree A-B-C corrective rally in wave B after we spotted a larger leading diagonal from the highs into wave A. So, we will still have to be aware of another sell-off on stocks, but maybe later, at the end of 2023 or beginning of 2024.
DOW JONES Best buy opportunity in the last 7 months.Dow Jones (DJI) hit the bottom of the long-term Channel Up pattern by completing leg (e). This is a similar structure to the (a) - (e) sequence that bottomed on March 15. Technically this is the best buy opportunity on the index in the last 7 months. On top of that, the 1D RSI is on Higher Lows during the prices (d) - (e) wave, showcasing a huge Bullish Divergence, the first such since February 24 2022! We can't ignore however the potential 1D Death Cross formation and any bullish approach has to be adjusted short-term.
As for the target, the March rally breached marginally above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, therefore giving us the framework to target 35000 (Resistance 1 + 0.786 Fib). Be careful, as failure and/ or rejection on the 34150 October 17 High, will be a bearish signal, aiming at a Lower Low, potentially near Support 2.
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DOW JONES Time to buy the dip again.Dow Jones / US30 reached our desired buy level based on our last idea (chart at the bottom), which is exactly at the bottom of the 11 month Channel Up.
It kept the 1week MA200 intact once again (has been since October 2022), so that maintains the long term trend bullish.
The shorter pattern is a Bearish Megaphone and as mentioned previously, our target is for the time being and until a break out takes place, inside this pattern.
Target 33600, which is under the 1week MA50, under which all of October's candles have closed.
Previous chart:
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DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 31/10/2023In the higher time frame, we are working on a corrective move down. The primary scenario is now suggesting that this happens as an ABC. The five waves down from the high might also indicate a bearish flat scenario. In the lower time frame, the final wave ((v)) of wave 5 of wave A looks incomplete.
Dow Jones Index (US30): Important Structure Breakout
US30 Index dropped heavily on Friday.
The market successfully violated a major horizontal demand area.
The broken structure 32570 - 32970 turned into supply zone now.
I will expect a bearish movement from that at least to 31850 level.
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US30 (DJIUSD) Daily Outlook by Kingsley
Dow Jones seems pretty much bearish. Am expecting push back to 32642 area where price has formed resistance after which slight consolidation and downwards drop follows.
I would take advantage of the support level tags as target(1,2,3) and my profit levels
NOTE: This is just analysis based on price structure and not a trade advice.
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 30/10/2023 (+ Higher TF)In the higher time frame, we are working on a corrective move down. The primary scenario is now suggesting that this happens as an ABC. The five waves down from the high might also indicate a bearish flat scenario. In the lower time frame, the final wave ((v)) of wave 5 of wave A looks incomplete.
Dow Jones Trade IdeaHello Traders, Base on technical and wave analysis we see this scenario for #US30 for next move. let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
US30 SELLHi, According to Dow Jones analysis, there is a very good selling opportunity. The indicator appears to be in a very negative state with the pitchfork tool broken. The support at 34200 was broken. We also notice the break of the 200 moving average. All these factors confirm that the market is for sale only. Good luck everyone
DOW JONES Best buy entry on a 7 month basis.Dow Jones is approaching Support (1) and the Rising Support of the 2023 Channel Up.
The Support (1) level has been holding for 5 months.
Based on the Falling Resistance that initated the current correction and the rejection on the MA50 (1d), the price action is identical to November 2022 - March 2023 so far.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 34800 (Falling Resistance).
Tips:
1. The Sine Wave tool very accurately displays the Cycle of peaks and bottoms since late 2022 and shows the price is on the most optimal bottom buy level time wise.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Nasdaq Index: Tech Stocks Enter Correction ZoneNasdaq slides into correction territory as tech giants grapple with challenges, while investors await Amazon’s earnings report.
The U.S. stock market opened with mixed sentiment, as the Nasdaq Composite extended its slide into correction territory due to underwhelming earnings reports. Nasdaq-100 futures dipped by 0.5%, while S&P 500 futures saw a 0.2% decline, following its lowest close since May. Meanwhile, Dow Jones Industrial Average futures inched up by 0.05%.
Earnings Disappointments and Market Reactions
Meta Platforms, the parent company of Facebook, reported third-quarter results that surpassed expectations but hinted at advertising softness in the current quarter, leading to a nearly 3% drop in Meta shares. Google-parent Alphabet’s disappointing performance, especially in its Google cloud unit, resulted in a 9.5% decline in its stock. These factors contributed to the Nasdaq Composite’s 2.4% fall, officially placing it in correction territory.
Bond Yields and Market Resilience
The ongoing correction is partly attributed to surging bond yields, with the 10-year Treasury yield nearing 5%. However, optimism emerged as third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) figures exceeded expectations, showing a 4.9% annualized growth. If the feared recession fails to materialize and current economic trends persist, the market may rebound as it did in the past.
Market Levels and Earnings Ahead
The S&P 500 slipped below the crucial 4,200 level on Wednesday, marking its first close beneath this threshold since May. Investors are eagerly awaiting major earnings reports, including Amazon’s, which is expected to post earnings of 55 cents per share on revenue of $134.2 billion.
Technical Analysis
The current daily price of the Nasdaq 100 Index stands at 14252.40, while the 200-day moving average is at 13913.67, and the 50-day moving average is at 14986.96. This places the current price below the 50-day moving average, indicating a potential short-term bearish sentiment. However, it remains above the 200-day moving average, suggesting a more neutral stance in the longer term.
The current market sentiment for the Nasdaq 100 Index appears cautious, with short-term indicators leaning slightly bearish. The current downside momentum suggests the market is headed into the 200-day moving average line at 13913.67.
Dow Jones : Bearish and Bullish Scenario 📉📈Hello Traders !
On The Daily Time Frame The US30 Price Reached A Support Level (32880.0 - 32583.0)
Currently We Have 2 Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario📈
If The Price Breaks and Closes Above The Resistance Line !
We Will See a Bullish Move📈
TARGET: 34000.0🎯
Bearish Scenario📉
If The Market Breaks Support Level and Closes Below That
I Will Sell On Retest...
TARGET: 31950.0🎯
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DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 26/10/2023We believe we are doing a WXY structure in the higher time frame and we are currently working on the wave X up. The primary scenario suggests a wxy structure for the wave X which is missing one more swing up. If we make another low, then the WXY becomes an ABC structure.
Live Trades and Price Action setups explainedIn the video I review my trades on the DOW Jones Index for the session and talk through the setups, price action and reasoning for the trades. I also talk through the overall bias for the session and the missed opportunity from my sessions plan.
Feel free to join in our live trading room....link in the signature below.
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