HD, Crucial, Two Formations Setup the BEARISH BREAKOUTs!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about HD on several timeframe perspectives. As the whole stock market is moving into a decisive phase where more and more mixed sector stock developments emerge with many sector stocks to increase a bearish possibility while others still remain in a major bullish condition it is highly necessary to consider those stocks that have main bearish potential in a total-return approach to also profit when the stock price is declining. In this case I have spotted HD, a major potential short-side-candidate when considering the total-return approach in the current stock market.
As when looking at my chart now, the most important indication for HD is that it is forming two major bearish formations that are going to double the effect of bearish acceleration to the downside once they have been completed. The first bearish formation HD is forming is this gigantic head-and-shoulder-formation which is already in the final stages of completion as the right shoulder is about to be finalized. The second bearish formation HD is forming is the crucial bear-flag-formation forming simultaneously with the right shoulder and is also going to accelerate the bearishness hugely once a breakout has shown up.
Both bearish formations HD is forming here are pointing into the crucial bearish resistance-cluster into which HD is now moving, this means that there is an enormous high possibility for a massive pullback and bearish continuation towards the downside as HD is already attempting to do so there are not much confirmation signals remaining till the total bearish breakdowns. In this case it will be especially important on how HD actually moves below the two main EMAs here, with the first EMA being the 65-EMA marked in red, and the second EMA being the 200-EMA in blue. Once HD broke out below the 200-EMA in blue as well as the lower boundary and neckline of the gigantic head-shoulder-formation this is going to setup the bearish-continuation and bearish-acceleration to activate the target-zones.
Currently all indications point to the massive bearish continuation and acceleration to setup in the next times. Especially, when other major sector stocks turn bearishly to the downside this can have an acceleration effect on HD also. Once the formations have been completed it is going to activate the target-zones as seen in my chart between the 177.5 and 185 level. In this case HD will show how much it is going to increase the bearishness once it approaches these levels because if there is an extremely high bearishness there is also the possibility that HD just breaks down with exponential high bearish pressure below these levels and even does not attempt to form a reversal in this zone.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
DOW
DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 02/10/2023 (+ Higher TF)For traders (lower timeframe):
The primary expectation is now that wave ((b)) is finished and that we are doing wave ((c)). It looks like wave ((c)) is still missing a fifth wave down.
For investors (higher timeframe):
In the higher timeframe, if it plays out, investors should wait for the completion of the expanded flat pullback. The wave (2) area (in red) is a nice buying opportunity for investors.
DOW JONES Bottom formation buy only on the short term.Dow Jones is priting a bottom on the newly emerged Channel Down which calls for a short term buy.
The same kind of formation was witnessed in middle March on the long term bottom pricing when the (recently broken) Channel Up started.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 34400 (MA50 1d).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is on the 30.00 oversold support. Same as on March 13th. An additional buy indicator.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DOW JONES Channel Down bottom buyDow Jones / US30 hit the bottom of the Channel Down that is correcting the index to the Rising Support of the larger Channel Up pattern.
It did cross under the 1day MA200 (bearish) but on the other hand the 1day RSI is rebounding on the Oversold Support (bullish) like on the March 13th low.
Keep a tight SL on the low of the bottom candle and buy. Target 34400 (1day MA50).
Previous chart:
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DOW JONES Approaching a critical Support cluster.The Dow Jones index (DJI) has broken below the long-term Higher Lows trend-line and has transitioned into a Channel Down. The current Lower Lows leg is approaching not just the bottom of the Channel Down but more importantly the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). The latter in particular provided a Double Support Bounce on (June 01 and May 25) and hasn't been broken since March 29.
We are waiting for the first 2-day green 1D candle streak in order to buy and target (at least) the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Projected contact at 34450 (target). The 1D RSI has hit the 34.80 Support, which provided the bounce on the August 24 bottom.
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Dow Jones Index (US30): Important Breakout & Bearish Outlook
An important thing happened on US30 Index.
First, the index broke and closed below a major rising trend line
and closed below that on a daily.
Second, a key horizontal support was also broken yesterday.
The broken support and a trend line compose the expanding sell zone.
I suggest shorting the Index from there, expecting a fall to 33700 support.
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DOW JONES crossed below the 6 month Channel Up.Dow Jones is waving a strong bearish break out signal as it crossed under the bottom of the 6 month Channel Up today and most likely will close that way.
This means that the trend is shifting to bearish on the medium term as a new Channel Down could emerge.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 33840 (MA200 (1d)) and if it breaks after a small bounce target extension 33200 (bottom of Channel Down).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is trading in a Channel Down of its own. Last time it did was from December 2022 to March 2023 and as you see that price action is similar to today's. It bottomed some way under the MA200 (1d), which is consistent with our target extension.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
DOW JONES Buy signal to 35300 short termDow Jones crossed again over the former Falling Resistance after making a bounce near the 1day MA100.
This is the third time this level holds in almost one month.
This keeps the long term Channel Up pattern intact.
The 1day RSI is on the exact level of the June 2nd break out, showing a high level of symmetry of waves inside the Channel Up structure.
Buy and target the 0.786 Fibonacci level (35300).
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Dow Jones 4hr TF
The Dow Jones has recently breached a bearish flag pattern, leading me to anticipate a shift towards a bearish trend following nine consecutive weeks of bullish performance. There are several factors aligning to suggest that the Dow Jones may embark on a downward trajectory. Meanwhile, the outlook for gold appears favorable for long positions, signaling a potential shift towards a bullish trend.
DOW JONES; Main ASCENDING-WEDGE, Crucial Completion Incoming!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about the DJI - Dow Jones Industrial Average Index. An important index in the stock market and as we have seen an absolute recovery since the heavy corona breakdowns that hit global financial markets at the beginning of the corona pandemic last year there developed unhealthy movements within the market as the stock market moved to the upside with a vast majority of indices while the real economy still not recovered that fastly and in this steep manner as it was the case in the stock market, in fact in many places the real economy is still heavily damaged and besides that there is a accelerating inflation going on that can be a source of a potential bear market to set up, especially when looking at this whole determination the possibilities for a pullback scenario are quite high in this measurement. Therefore, when looking at my chart we can watch there how the DOW is building this main ascending-wedge-formation which is certainly a bearish reversal formation and as the DOW already completed the whole wave-count within this formation and after that completion pulled off the upper-boundary there is not much remaining for a completion of this formation which will happen when the DOW bounces below the lower-boundary and from there it will be the origin for a continuation to the downside with the DOW pointing the 32500 USD level marked in my chart in blue, when this level has been reached the situation needs to be elevated again and the DOW needs to show if it manages to reverse from there on or just sets up for a bearish continuation to the downside.
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Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
DOW JONES: Rejected on the 2week Resistance. Any change to recovDow Jones is having a sharp opening pullback on the 1H timeframe but remains on a bullish 4H technical outlook (RSI = 58.586, MACD = 126.970, ADX = 41.565), as the HL trendline of the Bullish Megaphone is holding. The reason for the pullback is the rejection on the R1 Zone (35,100 - 35,030). A 4H MACD Bearish Cross will most likely take the price to the HL trendline and the 4H MA50 (TP = 34730) in order to test the buying accumulation at the bottom of the Megaphone.
A buy signal consists over the R1 Zone, whose target will be the Megaphone's HH trendline (TP = 35,400).
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DOW Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 15/09/2023 (+ Higher TF)For traders (lower timeframe):
The primary expectation is now that we will go back into the wave ((b)) area to take out the previous high. That would mean we get an additional correction up as a wave ((b)). This move should be followed by further downside as a wave ((c)).
For investors (higher timeframe):
In the higher timeframe, investors should wait for the completion of the abc pullback. The wave 2 area is a nice buying opportunity for investors.
DOW JONES, Clean Breakout Of The Descending-Triangle!________________________________________________________________________________________________
Hi Traders, this is a signal I give to you for free today. The DOW INDEX has formed a clear triangle breakout
with volatility and completed above the 400-EMA where entry with pull back is possible.
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ENTRY: 27800-27300
MINIMUM TARGET: 28500
STOP LOSS: 26300
MINIMUM RISK REWARD: 1
REASON: Descending-Triangle Breakout
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In this manner, thank you for watching and support for more market insight.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
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