EUR/USD - A little Range to Start NY Coffee OpenOANDA:EURUSD
My set-up is holding up pretty good today, a few successful short scalps, considering what's coming soon.
A little slow chop, looks like the market makers waiting for some news release directional push.
Ranging in between some round numbers after a break below previous days low.
Lets see where this takes us.
Dollarindex
Are You Selling The Dollar?The dollar is declined again last week creating a new lower price. This is a good opportunity for sellers to take advantage of a potential sell opportunity. If you believe in the sell, will you take action?
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DXYDXY Breakdown for the week of 4/16 w/ @MiFranz
So as we see on the Weekly chart, We are at a VERY important Support. Click the link and zoom out and you will see the bullish flag. Also, its the re-test of the falling wedge (more to come on the daily for that). This is re-test #2 and a possible Higher Low. Also, look below at the RSI. We are either at a divergence opportunity with a double bottom or it will continue to go to the 20-25 OS (Oversold) zone. If we are looking at a double bottom and we go bullish, its a long way up to a new high.
Now we look at the daily. The falling wedge is present w/ re-test AND we are at a double bottom, looks possibly Bullish. Plus the last candle to close is bullish engulfing.
Now we are getting into the execution realm on the 4h and below. I have marked of in a red zone, a FVG (Fair Value gap). Friday's push caused a nice reason to pullback. I expect a bearish opening now so we will see any major bull moves probably starting Tuesday (based on Technicals)We also see the RSI rejected off the 20-25 OS zone which is an interesting sign. It was so strong, it could either go touch 70-75 and continue bearish or pullback for a HL and then go touch OB (Overbought).
Off the 1h, we are now looking for entry. I would look for a very small gap up, and then the drop to go to the FVG.We see the 1h is very OB in the RSI and it needs a LH on it with the drop afterward. Im looking for bearish moves until otherwise.
We can clearly see now on the 15m, the small bull move up (Opening gap), and then the drop coming afterwards (path tool)
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Will a Bullish Movement Continue?! 💵
Dollar Index reached a solid horizontal support on Friday.
The market nicely reacted to that, forming a bullish engulfing candle.
I believe that the Index may go higher next week.
Goal will be a falling trend line.
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DXY (Long) - Temporary bottom for the dollar
The dollar has fallen significantly on the back of falling interest rates and the bank crisis
Currently sitting at a crucial support going back several years
My thesis is a temporary bounce up to the 50SMA on the weekly
Bullish engulfing candle on the daily suggesting a temporary reversal
The yields on bond have also slightly reversed, hitting a 50SMA on the weekly; yields and the dollar collerate
This strategy could be also used for any of the USD pairs of your choice, whichever one shows the more strength relative to the dollar
It is a short-term trade with very good risk/reward
I would use the support line as a stop-loss
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EUR/USD Heading into Friday - Can we push higher?OANDA:EURUSD
Past weeks' price action on the EU.
Heading into London open, with NY news releases, this Friday, to end the week.
Will London put the brakes on this bull momentum?
Or push higher knowing the fundamentals have not changed with our economy?
Difference - China Yuan and Offshore Yuan The Chinese yuan, also known as RMB, is the official currency of China. It is used both onshore in mainland China and offshore in international markets.
The offshore yuan, also known as the CNH (Chinese yuan - Hong Kong), is the version of the yuan that is traded outside of mainland China. It is traded in offshore financial centers, such as Hong Kong, Singapore, and London. The offshore yuan is not subject to the same restrictions and regulations as the onshore yuan.
The main difference between the onshore and offshore yuan is that the onshore yuan is subject to capital controls imposed by the Chinese government, while the offshore yuan is not subject to these same restrictions. This means that the offshore yuan is more freely tradable and can be used for a wider range of international transactions, such as international trade and investment, while the onshore yuan is more restricted in its use.
Offshore Yuan -
Standard-Size USD/Offshore RMB (CNH)
Outright:
0.0001 per USD increment = 10 CNH
MICRO USD/CNH FUTURES
0.0001 offshore Chinese renminbi per USD
CNH Option
Google search:
USD/CNH Monthly Options Contract Specs - CME Group
Google search
Frequently Asked Questions: USD/CNH options - CME Group
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CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
2023 tradingdesk for the dollarHi Traders.
From now i will have one main idea, and all the ideas as we reach cycle targets for the year will be updated in the thread.
Fallow, like so you dont miss the updates.
I dont trade short term, keep in mind my ideas are longer term, and its boring.
We wait for the cycles to bottom and we wait once in the trade for the trade to mature.
DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Important Breakout 💵
Dollar Index broke and closed above a resistance line of a falling parallel channel on a daily.
The price is retesting the broken vertical structure at the moment.
I will expect a pullback from that at least to 103.0 level.
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DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Potential Scenarios Explained 💵
Dollar Index is approaching a resistance line of a falling parallel channel on a daily.
Depending on the reaction of the price to that, I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bearish
Because the index is currently trading in a bearish trend,
probabilities will be higher that it will drop.
To confirm that, watch a horizontal range on 1H time frame.
If the price breaks and closes below its support, it will confirm the strength of bears.
A bearish continuation will be expected at least to 101.5 then.
Bullish
The market may break the resistance of the channel.
If a daily candle closes above that, it will confirm the violation.
A bullish movement will be expected to 103.0 level then.
Wait for a confirmation & then follow the market.
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