Dollarindex
Dollar Under Pressure as Japan and China Defend Their CurrencyIntroduction:
In recent times, the US dollar has faced increasing challenges as both Japan and China take measures to defend their respective currencies. This shift in global dynamics has raised concerns among traders and investors who heavily rely on the US dollar as their primary asset. However, this situation also presents an opportunity for us to reassess our investment strategies and consider diversifying our portfolios. In this article, we delve into the current state of the US dollar, the actions taken by Japan and China, and why it's time to consider allocating less to the US dollar.
The US Dollar's Vulnerability:
For decades, the US dollar has held its position as the world's primary reserve currency. However, recent economic developments have put pressure on its supremacy. Japan and China, two of the largest economies globally, have taken proactive steps to defend their currencies, challenging the US dollar's dominance. Japan's commitment to maintaining a weaker yen and China's efforts to stabilize the renminbi have created a more balanced global currency landscape.
The Rise of Japan and China:
Both Japan and China have demonstrated their determination to protect their currencies. Japan's monetary policies, such as negative interest rates and quantitative easing, have contributed to a weaker yen, boosting its export competitiveness. China, on the other hand, has implemented measures to stabilize the renminbi, preventing excessive depreciation and promoting stability in international trade.
The Benefits of Diversification:
While the US dollar remains a significant player in the global economy, recent events highlight the importance of diversifying our investment portfolios. Allocating less to the US dollar and exploring alternative currencies can provide numerous benefits, including:
1. Reduced Risk: Diversification allows us to spread risk across different currencies and economies, mitigating the impact of any potential downturn in the US dollar.
2. Increased Opportunities: By diversifying, we gain exposure to emerging markets and currencies that may offer higher growth potential, providing us with new investment opportunities.
3. Enhanced Resilience: A diversified portfolio is more resilient in the face of currency fluctuations, economic uncertainties, or geopolitical events, ensuring our investments remain stable over the long term.
4. Improved Returns: Diversification helps us capture the potential gains from different currencies, reducing the reliance on a single currency's performance.
Call-to-Action: Embrace Diversification Today!
As traders, we have the power to adapt to changing market conditions and seize opportunities when they arise. The current scenario, with Japan and China defending their currencies, presents an ideal moment to reassess our investment strategies and allocate less to the US dollar.
Consider exploring alternative currencies such as the yen or renminbi, which offer potential benefits and diversification advantages. Additionally, explore other investment avenues like emerging markets or commodities, which can further enhance the resilience and growth potential of your portfolio.
In conclusion, let us embrace this shift in global dynamics as an opportunity to diversify our portfolios, reducing our reliance on the US dollar. By embracing diversification, we position ourselves for greater resilience, increased opportunities, and improved returns. Now is the time to act and adapt our investment strategies to navigate the evolving global currency landscape successfully.
DXY - Weekly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)We have more clues on the Weekly timeframe.
Most recently, price broke out of a descending trendline and immediately rebalanced into a small Weekly Bisi (annotated by red arrow), which is usually indicative of rapid continuations to follow.
As a prediction, I see price digging into the Monthly Sibi and the nested Weekly Breaker Block and possibly Weekly Orderblock before a potential HTF reversal. The highlighted Weekly iFVG/Bisi would likely be used as support once price gets into that range.
Based on the current price action, bias, and high-impact news drivers coming out this week such as CPI, PPI, Consumer Price Index, Retail Sales and Unemployment Claims), we could see a potential low of the week on Monday/Tuesday/Wednesday.
Will the #Dollar Index Rally Continue?Monday, September 10, 2023
In the weekly chart of the US #Dollar Index, the market structure appears #bullish. Recently, the market found support around the 104 level, and the Dollar #Index has reached the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level as part of a corrective move.
In this week's trading, if the current #uptrend continues, and the 38.2% resistance level at 105.45 is #broken, the market may find a clear path towards the 50% Fibonacci #retracement at the 107 level.
However, if the #resistance zone at 105.45 holds its ground, the #upward #momentum in the market may be limited, and the Dollar Index could return to the 104 #support level, marking a 23.6% #Fibonacci #retracement #correction.
So based on this analysis I suggests a bullish outlook for the Dollar Index.
DXY - Monthly Timeframe Analysis (ICT)The Dollar Index has displaced to the upside on the Monthly timeframe. Prior, it dipped into a Monthly Sibi for multiple months before one final stab and bounce.
Current targets are the NMOG and digging into the Monthly Sibi. As a result we should see lower prices XXXUSD pairs in the coming. Seasonally, mid-October sees an incline on the DXY.
Dollar Index ($DXY): "The next Step"At the beginning of the year I already showed my idea about the upside potential of the US dollar (see chart below), and today I can only confirm what I said earlier. If from a technical point of view, my idea continues to be bearish on stocks markets, these considerations of mine could also have a logical sense and the scenario shown on chart could really happen.
In my previous analysis (February 2023) I showed the potential dollar rally from the area around $101, hence the Price Action showed something like a "Double Bottom" Pattern on daily and intraday chart:
(Click & Play on Chart below)
If we look at the S&P500 index over the long term, from a technical point of view, it may have completed a first bull cycle that started way back in 1872:
(Click & Play on Chart below)
At the same time, this potential "Perfect Storm" should also affect the real estate sector in the mid-term, with a contraction in prices (U.S. Case Shiller Home Price):
(Click & Play on Chart below)
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DXY AnalysisBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Dollar Index (DXY): Important Key Levels & Trading Plan 💵
Dollar Index closed this week approaching a key daily resistance.
Because bulls are currently dominating the market,
we may anticipate the breakout attempt of the underlined Resistance 1.
If the market breaks and closes above 105.15,
a further bullish continuation will be expected.
Next resistance will be 105.65
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BluetonaFX - DXY 3 Month Resistance BrokenHi Traders!
DXY has finally broken its 3-month resistance at 104.240 and looks like it may possibly complete the reversal as it is heading for the 6-month resistance level.
104.240 was the level that needed to be broken to continue the bullish momentum; 104.240 is now support, and the price action is looking very strong with higher lows and higher highs. The market has just completed the bullish three-drive pattern, which further supports our bullish bias on DXY.
The next target is likely to be the psychological 150 level, and then we have the six-month resistance level at 145.488.
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BluetonaFX
DXY H4 - Long SignalDXY H4
A little more on the calendar today but not masses. We have seen DXY unfold perfectly so far this week, exactly as expected and the dollar is moving in line with recent headlines and fundamentals discussed over the last couple of weeks finally.
Lets see if we can pullback to this 104.300 price as indicated with the arrow tool. This could be a great entry for further long positions in line with the upside bias.
Mighty Dollar Soars as Competing Currencies Succumb to InflationGet ready to witness an exhilarating opportunity in the world of currency trading! The global economic landscape is undergoing a seismic shift as major currencies face mounting inflationary pressures. Amidst this chaos, the mighty US dollar emerges as the frontrunner, poised to dominate the market. Brace yourselves for an exciting ride as we delve into the reasons behind the dollar's rise and present a compelling call to action for you to long the dollar!
1. Inflationary Headwinds
2. The Dollar's Unyielding Strength
3. Long the Dollar - A Lucrative Opportunity
Call-to-Action:
Are you ready to ride the wave of the dollar's ascent? Here's your call to action:
1. Educate Yourself: Dive deep into the currency market dynamics, understand the factors influencing the dollar's rise, and equip yourself with the knowledge to make informed trading decisions.
2. Analyze Market Trends: Keep a close eye on economic indicators, central bank policies, and geopolitical developments that impact currency values. Stay ahead of the curve and identify potential entry points for prolonged positions on the dollar.
3. Seek Expert Advice: Consult with experienced forex traders or financial advisors who can provide valuable insights and guidance on maximizing your dollar trading strategy.
4. Execute Your Trades: Utilize reputable trading platforms that offer access to a wide range of currency pairs, allowing you to capitalize on the dollar's rise against weaker currencies.
Conclusion:
Traders, the stage is set for an exhilarating journey into the world of currency trading. As major currencies face higher inflation pressure, the dollar emerges as the undisputed champion, ready to conquer the market. Seize this momentous opportunity, long the dollar, and embark on a path to potential profits. The time to act is now!
Disclaimer: Trading involves risks, and conducting thorough research and seeking professional advice is crucial before making any financial decisions.
DXY 4hrs AnalysisDXY is back ay the resistance (Supply zone) which has held severally in the past and it has formed double top. There are two possible thing that could probably happen this week. It's either the price continue to drop or the price would reverse and break the resistance and
What's your thought on this?
DOLLAR TO MAKE THE UNEXPECTED MOVEThe US Dollar has been dismissed for some time after the last 9 months of drop. Yet in the background something else is forming up.
The CoT data (you can add CoT data on the chart) shows USD is sold against GBP and EUR aggressively and hit extremes.
This gives us some ideas, such as reversal is in the cards.
Expect the DXY to make the unexpected moves but don't be surprised if you see.
-Signalwyse Team
DXY First 1W MA50 test since March. Bullish or bearish?The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has come the closest it's been to the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) in 6 months (since March 09 2023). So far the price action has shown a bearish reversal sentiment as the Higher Lows trend-line of the rally since the July 14 bottom, broke last week, but the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) supported. This bearish sentiment will be confirmed however if the price gets rejected on the 1W MA50, i.e. test it and close the 1W candle below it.
In that case we will open a sell on the spot and target the 1D MA200 again and Support 1 at 103.000. If after that the price closes a 1D candle below, we will sell again towards Support 2 (102.000).
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DXY Daily Analysis After taken liqudity of the sellseide and fill the fvg of monthly and change of structure ( Market structure Shift ) and rejection of order block we will see increase of the price to fill FVG of donwn trend and take liqudity of the buyside we will look opportunities of the buy position in low time frame