Idea on the DJILooking at the moving average we can see that it is trending hard to the down side. A few days of recovery and considerable buying power has yet to stop the MA trend. We may see an attempt to bring the market back up for a rally, however, all things considered the market had a great run in 2017 and we may have hit an all time high and look to start a correction to the downside.
We will see what the next few weeks has in terms of media FUD and FOMO.
I do believe we might see another 6-10% to the downside.
Thoughts or feedback?
Please understand this is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Djiaprediction
As we watch the Superbow game, our world crumbles, financially.Is this the end the day after Superbowl?
Early February looking good for rebound. But not so quick! And here's why? Get your tin hat on, because this read dabbles into a little bit of conspiracy under the notion that the banks own the world.
Think, the scene in Batman (www.youtube.com), Dark Knight Rises where Bane attempts to attack the Gotham football game (not a huge fan of Batman or football,read into this what you will.). There's no real explosion, except to our financial reality, the landscape changes. BOOM! Stocks crash foretold in the DJI avarage, dropping 665.75 points on Friday 2, 2018. Coincidentally rounding to 666? Not sure the last date this happened. But Sep 11, 2015 is the closest date I can find since the last occurance. I referenced this video for the date: youtu.be (which I didn't bother to watch, so the date may be the day after or something.). We all probably know that the stock market was manipulated. Could Sept 2015 had marked the beginning of manipulation and Friday 2, 2018, was the end of manipulation? Consider we just had a consecutive 3 day drop on the DJI and crypto markets has never correlated with DJI. I believe there will be a reaction for good or bad effecting cryptos very soon. Here's why.
I think many of us were hoping for a rebound to occur early in February to March, as indicated by TA? I am not sure the rebound will be a reality now, if a stock market crash occurs. Laddering in may be too early with BTC leading all cryptos at 7-8K at the time of this writing. Could go to 1K easy, given the light of this new theory. With a stock crash looming (Boom!), which may effect pensions (Boom!), 401K's (Boom!), bond market (Boom!), auto loan industry and heaven forbid, another housing collapse (Boom!), etc. Boom! Boom! Boom! Expect a run on banks and cryptos as investors scramble for liquidity to have cash in hand in order to survive. I think it would be safe to say we can expect hyper inflation to come as it has recently happened in Venezuela. Silver -0.36% and Gold -1.24% manipulated to keep prices low for those who know - given an opportunity to accumulate metals. Why? Who's collecting?
So many questions ...
1. Does this mark the death of the dollar?
2. Will crypto rise after stock market recovers?
3. Will retirements and traditional investments in the dollar vanish into thin air?
4. Will the accumulation of metals keep up with inflation this time? Or was that s-o-o-o 2010-11?
5. Wasn't it odd the news had perfect timing to drive the crypto market's price down. Some real, some fake news? Korea, India, Tether, China, hacked accounts, etc.
I am not trying to create FUD. But I sure do think it's time to ask and be cautious, like now!
Answer? Come back to crypto when the stock market rebounds from bottom. Well then, see you later!
Crypto will be the new money.
What I'm saying may be hard to swallow. Because belief is hard to be-lie-ve.
Batman is fiction. That's why my theory can't be real, right? I hope I am wrong. I really do. But if I had that much power as a super villain, that's how I'd F with everyone. Like I said, because Batman is fiction, you may be programmed to believe it could never happen.
For shits and giggles, my Superbowl prediction ... Eagles win in overtime by field goal or touchdown last minute. "The (American) Patriots" lose, as a political statement that America is going down. Yeah, I believe there's a bankers war on the US and for whatever reason, I think they love that shit.
Thoughts? Help me write this. Please share.
-C
Dow Jones Index TargetI expect the Dow Jones within a week or so to be hitting a $26225 price point. I definitely say it is bullish and potential resistance could be near. However, the correlations have been seemingly positive and as an index of the general market, it looks like a good position. As a HODL it looks to be a fairly conservative investment strategy to be in your portfolio. Still obviously you got that risk, but I would not withdraw to quick. You can always invest in many different index funds or the S & P as well as just the top performing stocks. Overall, it is about mitigating risk and maximizing returns.
*DJI 4HR Update* **Watch out -- Bears are winning**TVC:DJI has been on an up trend, however I am seeing signs of weakness although it is now heading toward the its initial control price area.
Chances are that if it cannot break 22200.00 , the reversal may be unfolding... real soon.
If it does break, it may go above 22200.00 and beyond. If not, it is highly likely to come back to 21600.00 , 21500.00 level.
Key levels to watch out 22200.00, 22300.00 and 22400.00
Trade with care.
Digit
CORRECTIVE STRUCTURE IN DJI - 1H CHARTHey Traders,
Just wanted to pull this simple analysis on DJI (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
We had an impulse and a corrective structure, I am sure we can get a brakeout soon, watch for that and then go long for a short term trade.
-
Hey Traders,
Simplemente compartir este analisis en DJI (Índice Down Jones)
Tuvimos un impulso y una corrección. Estoy seguro que pronto el mercado rompéra alcista, estad al tanto y en la ruptura de la estructura buscad una oportunidad en largo a corto plazo.
Carlos
YM1! & DXY @ Weekly @ "operating under cloud of uncertainty""it`s been a long time as we`re coming" & "theres no turning back now ..."
(www.youtube.com) as the blues - under the clintons (with their fake code red policy) takin over the US - after the cold war! By the way, paint it on the wall , if u don`t wanna buying it ;) After Bush junior and Obama, meanwhile Trump will be right red president, with the best result since years !!! More isn`t possible, hardly !!! The takin` over spoils my imagination (www.youtube.com) also :flushed: ...
How ever, enough (true red or even fake blue) raps - let me show you a few calculations :P
DXY raised just less than 3% & the YM1! just less 8% - last two years! Form this point of view (bigger picture - even takin over of the republicans while the midterm elections and last president elections) we can`t talk from a rally! It`s much more somthing like a come out from the blue water under Obama & this all Anti WalLStreet Movement (under Sanders). If the republicans (under Trump) the market not disappointed - lower taxes, better jobs & more fiscal stimulus - and the fed (under Yellen) don`raise the rates to fast 2017, the market is starting to anticipating and prisíng this (future) in. "No trace of euphoria - Rather, relief that we`re in power back again. And this more powerfull as we all were able to imagine!" But let`s leave that left behind, that topic we already had ;)
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a big picture analysis - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
Best regards
Aaron
YM1! @ 30 min @ give him time until Christmas (until evening)basic upside trend is still intact - and runs around 19500 (today) and even around currently prices around 19838 (while 23rd december`16). How ever much more important is the 19810 price are, in my opinion! `Cause this price was the low before yesterdays fed rate hike. And from this point of view, technicly bulls need to defeat this price areafirstly, to get accumulate more bulls for higher prices.
The targets are clear:
19900 last alltime high (tuesday)
19911 alltime high (1st reaction - while fed rate hike releases)
19930 target of lows (before and while fed decission yesterday)
20140 high & low projection while yesterdays fomc press conference
But as i am trying to say: "give him time until Christmas"
- it`s not forbidden to buy lows tomorrow or even next week :)
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
This is only a analysis (for swing traders) - no recommendation !!!
Buying/Selling or even only watching is always your own responsibility ...
Best regards
Aaron
YM1! @ 1h @ in front, while & after FOMC press conferencelet me first clarify: "i got cold feets traders - & closed my both long positions in AXP & GS"! I am thinking that we will can buying both shares a little bit cheaper, in the next few days :shades: ...
In the YM1! i am still long, not only `cause the sentiment is by far not so euphoric even like in the banks & financials. And by the way the chart is also looking much better! Not so fast and furios - and much more constructive! I`ve made the effort, that everybody understands what i mean - and why i am slightly optimistic - not sensitive - still restrained (kosher) bullish :)
As long the consolditaion Box holds between 19605 & 19431 Points i don`t see any reason the get in panic about the future - in the YM1! - in the US Major Equities - in the US Blue Chip shares.
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your decission ...
(for a bigger picture zoom the chart)
Best regards
Aaron
E-MINI DOW JONES @ 60 min. @ slightly optimistic upside trendFrom the technical point of view, the E-MINI DOW JONES FUTURE is in an intact slightly optimistic upside trend.
I am pretty kosher bullish and would prefere to buy back above 19000 - even between 19150 & 19100 ...
I don`t think that US Labour Data or even FED Chair Woman Yellen will stop this trend !?
Take care
& analyzed it again
- it`s always your choice ...
Best regards
4XSetUps
Dow to get 23k before crashMorning guys,
Wishing you all a happy weekend - I will not be free much this weekend so wanted to share this chart this morning. The eurusd call was completely as expected which was brilliant for us all, please see the related idea if you have not already plenty more opportunity before we reach parity. There are still plenty of people who continue to think inflation is bad and rising interest rates. Deflation has done nothing to help the European economy. All they keep doing is reading their text books from school.
The Dow has made a thrust up to the late 19k level. We can see technically, the market has closing resistance at 19576 level with the next level up at the 19731 area. I suspect that the majority of the retail public will start to jump in after 23k is exceeded on the Dow. They will keep expecting this to "end any day now" and we may yet get that Phase Transition after getting through the 23,000 level.
The highest PE Ratio took place in 2009 during the crash - not a bull market. Why? Smart money just wanted to park in blue chips. There are times when you just want to park your money when banks and bonds are not a place to be.
Volatility will rise next week, we could pause, retest support then turn back up into January. There is a risk that we then have a correction.
Naturally these moves present great investment opportunities, more on this to come.
LONG DJI ::: RISK CALL :::The reason why we feel DJIA may Rise.
* On weekly basis it has started moving up
* To Rise and come near 17287, 17418 levels .
* Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) is Rising.
* RSI (14,CLOSE) is Rising.
* CCI (20,CLOSE) is Rising.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to Rise. Our Buy call shall be from Buy above :17151, SL:17113, Tgt 01: 17245, Tgt 02: 17287, Tgt 03:17418. The view expressed here is on weekly basis. A WORD OF CAUTION IN LONGING THE DJIA as DJIA has already travelled to far into buy region be ready for a snap back.. [b ]Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.
SHORT DJI ::: REVERSAL CALLDJI is expected to sink now.
There are many reason why we feel it may sink.
01. It is below quarterly buy level.
02. hammerl in daily Chart.
03. To sink and may come near 16150
04. Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) is not clear.
05. RSI(14,CLOSE) Is Bearish.
06. CCI(20,CLOSE) Is also sinking.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to sink. Our sell call shall be from sell bellow:16628 with a SL @: 16839 Tgt01: 16334 Tgt02: 16150 . We are expecting this to happen shortly. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.
DJI LONGDJIA is expected to rise.
There are many reason why we feel it may RISE
01. It is trying to touch Monthly Risk buy level of 16719.
02. BULLISH ENGULFING in WEEKLY Chart.
03. To RISE and come near 16597.
04. Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) clearly states it may RISE.
05. RSI(14,CLOSE) Is also of the same view.
06. CCI(20,CLOSE) Is of the same view.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to rise. Our BUY call shall be from 16427 with a SL @: 16379 Tgt01: 16544 Tgt02: 16597 Tgt03: 16759. We are expecting this to happen shortly. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.