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Disney stock has maintained strong support in the past 10 weeksDisney's stock has maintained strong support levels in the past 10 weeks This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Disney stocks from the end of 2019 to the present. The graph overlays the bottom to top golden section at the beginning of 2020. As shown in the figure, Disney's stock has maintained strong support levels in the past 10 weeks, with inter district fluctuations above the golden section's 0.236 level! Once Disney stocks close below this strong support level for three consecutive trading days, the downside space opens up and it is likely to fall below the low point of early 2020!
NYSE:DIS
by Think_More
1
The last hurrah is here. All aboard to 2400As projected yesterday, Intermediate wave 4 could be complete based on the early morning low on June 8. There is a slim chance Minor wave B inside of Intermediate wave 4 is the current location, but that will be invalidated if the index goes above 4300 tomorrow. To recap. Intermediate wave 1 was 25 trading days and gained 360.62 points. Intermediate wave 2 dropped 121.2 points over 12 days for a retracement of 33.61%. Intermediate wave 3 then gained 251 points over 21 days which was a price extension of 135.99% from the starting point of Intermediate wave 1. Intermediate wave 4 was likely completed today and would have retraced 15.22% of wave 3 by only dropping 38.21 points over 3 days. I am surprised by the accuracy of the models to project such a shallow drop over very few days in Intermediate wave 4 but the historic data was spot on. I put is in Sub-millennial wave 1, Grand Supercycle wave 5, Supercycle wave 2, Cycle wave B, Primary wave C, Intermediate wave 5. I use shorthand to call it 152BC5 Intermediate wave 5 must now be less than the 21 days of Intermediate wave 3 as wave 3 cannot be the shortest wave. Based on models ending in 2BC5, strongest model agreement is on wave 5 to last 2 or 17 days, second most agreement is at 4, 5, and 18 days. The quartile movement extensions based on Intermediate wave 3’s movement (light blue lines) are 121.05%, 153.2%, and 186.17%. The first quartile of all historic movement reverses after a move to the 121.05% level which is 4352.12. The median movement reverses after a move to the 153.2% level which is 4432.81, while the third quartile is at 186.17% which is 4515.57. Based on waves ending in BC5, largest model agreement places the length at 5 trading days in length, second most agreement is 6 and 18 days, third is 3, 4, 10, and 12 days. The quartile movement extensions (yellow level) are 122.06%, 137.71% and 153.2%. Final projections are based on waves ending in C5 where largest model agreement has the length at 4 days, second most at 6 days, third most at 5 days, fourth at 12 days. The quartile retracements (white line) 109.46%, 122.9%, and 151.06%. There are also two major resistance lines in play. One stems from the end of Primary wave A from December 1, 2022 and aligned with the Intermediate wave B top from Primary wave B on February 2, 2023. The other trendline has been solid resistance since February 21st and the market never closed above it since then. If this second trendline proves the fatal resistance, it could be tested as late as June 26 around a level of 4352.12. If the first resistance line is the fatal level it could be around 4393.93 and achieved as soon as the day of the next Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. I dramatically call this next top a fatal level in that I expect it to be the final market top for many years. This will be the end of Cycle wave B and a continuation of the Bear Market which ultimately topped on January 4, 2022. I am projecting the length of Intermediate wave 5 to last between 4 and 12 trading days. I have three key dates which could contain the top based on the historical data above. Day 4 is the next Federal Reserve rate decision on June 14th. Day 11 is June 26th where nothing major appears to be occurring which is the same on July 5 or Day 17. I do not expect the top to surpass 4410 and could possibly top out around 4393. 4393 is within 100 points from today’s close which means Intermediate wave 5 will likely be very fast. The TVC:VIX is very low right now and a huge indicator of complacency in an economy that is quickly slowing and on the immediate verge of higher inflation and/or recession. A break above the second mentioned resistance trendline may get the bulls fired up but I am 95% certain it is a false breakout and bull trap. My initial calls for the bottom are around December 2024 somewhere between 2200-2400. I have been projecting this entire run up and final bottom since July of last year with pretty decent accuracy. I am using math, statistics and history to project forward market movement. I have figured this next drop could revolve around China taking Taiwan and disrupting the world’s microchip supply. Not sure if this happens next week but it could still be an issue that further escalates the selling over the next 12 months. There is a chance the US economy is heavily impacted now that students must continue paying their student loan debt and thus not spending money on luxury items or other facets of their daily lives. There is also a chance of Russia doing something exotic in Ukraine to attempt to upend the conflict. And as always the other black swan event most people have not seen coming. Metals will likely become more expensive and most companies selling luxury goods that are not necessary will get crushed (I am thinking NYSE:DIS and NYSE:DRI here). Casinos and gambling websites could have issues sometime next year when money starts to get very tight and people can not afford to make the gambles they will likely take in the beginning. Some companies will outright fail and go bankrupt while others will be forced to slash prices to remain relevant once the world comes out of this recession. Don’t panic, invest wisely.
SP:SPXShort
by StockSignaler
NFLX Watching for another BreakoutNFLX gapped up on the morning of 5/18 with high momentum and a volume spike both of which faded by mid-day shown on this 15- minute chart. Since then price has been in a narrow consolidation range centered about the POC line of the multisession volume profile. Price is in the fair value area between the mean anchored VWAP and the +1 STD band. The zero lag MACD is confirmatory for a trend resting in consolidation I will watch for green candles in a row with the second having more range than the first. I will check to see if the relative volume is 2X the running mean. If so, I will enter and try to get the early breakout. Stop loss will be $365 below the POC line. I will exit upon seeing upper wicks and volume falling back down to the mean. My expectation is for a quick 3 to 5 percent trade with a R:R of better than 10:!.
NASDAQ:NFLXLong
by AwesomeAvani
3/29 Watchlist + NotesSPY - I had no real bias going into today's session other than mentioning last night that downside was more likely to come today because of the failed 2U daily created on monday. We closed slightly red after seeing a decent drop to the high 393 area, forming a weak bearish 2D. Going into wednesday (3/29), I am hoping to see some downward continuation to the 392/390 levels tomorrow to test that range. Key word is hoping. I remain neutral with my personal bias as we have no real clear direction this week still. Given that we closed very weak to the downside leads me to believe we can ultimately go either way tomorrow, but once again, playing what is in front of us I have to be looking more so to the downside. Watchlist + Bias: DIS - 2-1 Daily: Slightly Bullish MRNA - 2-1 Daily: Bearish. PEP - 2-1 Daily: Bearish FDX - 3-1- Weekly: Neutral Main Watch: MRNA - Back in our main spotlight for the 2nd time this week is MRNA. There is a 2-1 daily setup that is within a bearish week with a lot of room to the downside due to a huge FVG on the daily. Looking to target Monday's low of 145.36 and the 50% retrace point of the original FVG at 144.72. Will only play downside and not upside if markets pump tomorrow Also heavily watching FDX still as the 3-1 weekly has not broken out yet. Hourly chart stuck in a flat channel currently just consolidating. Yesterdays Main Watch: NVDA - (Status:) Winner (Personally Enter?) No I mentioned we had downside targets and that I wanted to play with markets momentum. I missed entry due to being in class and not being able to trade, but I saw how it played out. Broke short entry level in the first few minutes of market open and dumped past our 260 target to the mid 258 level. Cons ran a little over 75% from entry and realistically I would have caught the full move due to the dump being so consistent and strong before reversing. Watchlist Stats For The Week: 2/2 On Spy Predictions 2/2 On Main Watch Plays Top Winner: NVDA (75%+) Personal Stats: 3/5 for the week. Overall Green/Red? Green
NASDAQ:MRNA
by Alanger17
Walt Disney: Is Disney Stock Worth Buying Now?Walt Disney's Stock: A Look at its Recent Challenges and Future Prospects under New CEO Bob Iger With a market capitalization of around $170 billion, Walt Disney is one of the largest entertainment companies globally. However, with its stock price down over 30 percent from last year, investors may be questioning the value of the company's stock. After Bob Iger's departure as CEO in February 2020, Bob Chapek took over and pledged to continue Iger's successful path. However, Chapek faced many difficulties, leading to his departure in November 2022 and Iger's return to the CEO role. Iger made key personnel changes and promised to streamline costs and give creative teams more decision-making authority. Under Chapek's watch, Disney+ saw exponential growth, with 164.2 million subscribers worldwide. Still, it wasn't profitable, and subscriber growth became increasingly difficult in recent quarters, leading to criticism from activist investor Nelson Peltz. Disney lost 2.4 million Disney+ customers in the first quarter of fiscal year 2023, the first case of a shrinking subscriber base, prompting Iger to announce a plan to find $5.5 billion in savings in the coming years, including cutting $3 billion from the company's content division. While Peltz withdrew his proxy challenge after Iger's announcement, some analysts are concerned that Disney's decision to cut content spending could jeopardize future revenue growth, especially as the company plans to appoint a new CEO by early 2025. The company has invested heavily in Disney+, spending around $33 billion in the last fiscal year, and some investors may worry about future growth. However, the company still boasts a strong park business, with $7.4 billion in revenue in the first quarter, up from $5.5 billion in the previous quarter, and a diverse range of other assets. With Iger back at the helm, investors will be eagerly watching to see what steps the company takes next to address its streaming ambitions and navigate the challenging entertainment industry landscape.
NYSE:DISShort
by FOREXN1
26
Longsetup for DIS - The Walt Disney CompanyNYSE:DIS We saw a good amount of call options on Disney with a target of 105 for expiration in May 2023. I think the stock can also be an interesting longterm investment. DIS has a particularly unique and powerful economic moat. Disney, is of course, known for its media franchises, studio capabilities, parks and direct to consumer streaming app, Disney+. Disney’s brand is known around the world, and it is thanks to its brilliant flywheel. Children watch Disney movies and become familiar with characters, series, and movies. Their parents bring them to the parks where they have the time of their lives on rides while also meeting the characters from movies. Then they go home and watch Disney content, more connected to the characters than ever. When they grow older and have children of their own the cycle starts again. Disney is creating content for the adults now too. With Marvel and Star Wars franchises, DIS can entertain the whole family. There are few if any businesses that have connected to people the way Disney has, and that recognition, and those timeless stories and characters are its economic moat. Disney has been publicly traded since 1962, and its returns since then are astronomical. DIS stock has returned some 80,000% since 1962, which is 20% annualized over 60 years. Over the last 20 years, the performance has been strong as well, but a bit slower than the early years, compounding at about 10%. Source: Yahoo finance Buy Market: 93.00 $ Sell Stop Loss: 120.00 Sell Profit Target: 80.60 When the stock reaches 100.00 $ you can also move the stoploss to your entry price as a breakeven stop or use a trailing stop after reaching this level.
NYSE:DISLong
by tradevola
Disney: Fairy Tale Forest 🌲🌳🪄Disney is currently strolling through the dark green fairy tale forest between $103.29 and $88.41, where it should soon finish wave 2 in dark green. Afterward, the share should be enchanted enough to conjure a convincing upwards movement above the resistance at $122.50. There is a 38% chance, though, for Disney to leave the forest on the southern side, dropping below the support at $84.07. In that case, the course would develop a new low in the form of wave alt.II in light green first before starting the ascent.
NYSE:DIS
by MarketIntel