DeFi Bulls Can Be Ready; Elliott Wave AnalysisDeFi Index made nice and clean five-wave rally from June of 2023 into March of 2024, which confirms bottom in place, especially if we respect a complex W-X-Y corrective decline since March 2024 highs till August 2024.
It's actually already bouncing quite strongly away from key 78,6% Fibo. retracement after potentially completed projected complex W-X-Y corrective setback, but to confirm bulls back in the game, we need to see it back above channel resistance line and 861 region.
After recent stock market sell-off due to recession fears, Crypto market slowed down again, but now that risk-on sentiment is back with bullish stocks and bearish USdollar, seems like even Crypto market may stay in the bullish trend, especially if we consider an inflation cool-down and upcoming interest rate cut in US.
DEFI
Is money moving from Ethereum to Solana?Solana quoted in Ether is in a decisive region.
It has already broken the 2021 high, but it is necessary to be aware of a possible bull trap.
It is interesting to note that Solana's TVL¹ is still 9% of Ethereum .
We obtain this number by dividing the TVL's.
So the chart shows a break above the 2021 all-time high, when it was 8.64%:
However, in the USD quote, the price is in a turbulent region; there may be false breakouts up or down.
¹ Total Value Locked:
total value of assets that are locked in a DeFi protocol through smart contracts
#HEX Total Value locked on the path down to sub $50 millionand before haters start doing a dance on the coffin of Richard Heart.
This is HEX on Ethereum
HEX on #Pulsechain is 2X more valuable
But even Hex on pulsechain I do believe will continue to struggle for a while.
Most value from these two different HEX's should in theory migrate to the superior product and disinflationary token of $Pulsechain
This is only makes sense as Ethereum enables more value creation than a simple store of value (bitcoin is a unicorn and nothing has comeclose to toppling it )
The market more easily understands the value proposition of smart contract platforms.
So Even thous Pulse is still down massively off its high's
It has better chance to recover going forwards than either of the HEX's
MANAUSDT Comprehensive Technical Analysis✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day.
📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the MANAUSDT pair in the crypto market.
🗂 About the Project:
Decentraland (MANA) is a decentralized virtual reality platform powered by the Ethereum blockchain. Users can create, experience, and monetize content and applications within this virtual world. MANA serves as the cryptocurrency used within the platform for transactions such as purchasing land and goods.
📅 Weekly Timeframe Analysis
In this timeframe, MANA has experienced significant movements. Recently, it saw a downward trend, reflecting a broader market decline. MANA is currently testing a crucial support level around $0.1716 after a prolonged correction phase.
📈 If MANA stabilizes above $0.4133, we can anticipate bullish momentum potentially pushing the price towards the next resistance at $0.7816. Confirmation of a new upward trend will depend on candle stability above this level.
📉 Conversely, if MANA falls back into the range between $0.1716 and $0.4133 and stabilizes below $0.1716, it indicates a bearish trend continuation. The next critical support level would be around $0.1300.
In both scenarios, volume analysis is crucial. A healthy trend should be supported by corresponding volume without any divergence.
📅 Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, MANA ranged around the $0.4133 level before initiating another downward wave. Currently, there is noticeable bearish momentum, and the price has found temporary support at $0.2890.
🧲 Given the current setup, stabilization below $0.2890 could signal another bearish wave.
On the flip side, if the price moves above $0.3932, it could indicate the start of a bullish trend, targeting higher resistance levels.
📅 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, MANA has pulled back and reached the support at $0.2890. Volume analysis shows a decrease, indicating potential exhaustion of the recent downward movement.
📈 For short positions, the key levels to watch are $0.3158 and $0.3932, where price reactions could provide better entry points.
📉 For long positions, critical levels are $0.2890 and $0.2616.
📊 RSI Oscillator
The RSI is currently ranging between 20.73 and 37.93 on different timeframes. Breaking these levels could provide confirmation for opening positions. However, always use these levels in conjunction with candle patterns and volume analysis to find the best entry and exit points.
📉 Given the current bearish signals in the daily and 4-hour timeframes, alongside the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I am inclined to open a short position. However, this is based on my trading strategy. Each trader should base their decisions on their strategies and risk management plans.
⚠️ Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
BITCOIN LONG TO $77,000 (4H UPDATE):Bitcoin dropping & getting cheaper for me. Loss for everyone who was impatient & just bought it at the top😂 Waiting for price to touch our supply zone, then I'll drop down to the lower TF & see if market presents a suitable buying opportunity.
Chance for us patient investors to now take advantage of the dip at a cheap price!
UNI Market Outlook: Trends and Levels to Watch✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day.
📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the UNI coin in the crypto market.
🗂 About the Project: UNI, or Uniswap, is a decentralized trading protocol known for its role in facilitating automated trading of decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens. Uniswap is also the name of the company that initially built the Uniswap protocol. The protocol enables users to trade crypto assets directly from their wallets without relying on a centralized intermediary.
⌛️Weekly Timeframe
In this timeframe, UNI has experienced significant movements. Recently, it saw a downward trend reaching a critical support level of 7.030. Following this, the price has shown some consolidation, suggesting a potential shift in trend.
📈 If UNI stabilizes above 7.030, we can anticipate bullish momentum potentially pushing the price towards the next resistance at 12.099. Confirmation of a new upward trend will depend on candle stability above this level.
📉 Conversely, if UNI falls back and stabilizes below 7.030, it indicates a bearish trend continuation. The next critical support level would be around 4.039.
📊 In both scenarios, volume analysis is crucial. A healthy trend should be supported by corresponding volume without any divergence.
⌛️Daily Timeframe
🔍 On the daily chart, UNI ranged around the 8.193 level before initiating another downward wave. Currently, there is noticeable bearish momentum, and the price has found temporary support at 7.280.
🧲 Given the current setup, a stabilization below 7.280 could signal another bearish wave. On the flip side, if the price moves above 8.193, it could indicate the start of a bullish trend, targeting higher resistance levels.
⌛️4-Hour Timeframe
📈 In the 4-hour timeframe, UNI has pulled back to the resistance at 7.683. Volume analysis shows a decrease, indicating potential exhaustion of the recent upward movement.
📉 For short positions, the key levels to watch are 7.683 and 8.278, where price reactions could provide better entry points. For long positions, critical levels are 7.463 and 6.945.
💥RSI Oscillator
The RSI is currently ranging between 42.46 and 53.05 on different timeframes. Breaking these levels could provide confirmation for opening positions. However, always use these levels in conjunction with candle patterns and volume analysis to find the best entry and exit points.
📉 Given the current bearish signals in the daily and 4-hour timeframes, alongside the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I am inclined to open a short position. However, this is based on my trading strategy. Each trader should base their decisions on their strategies and risk management plans.
⚠️ Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
ATOM: Understanding the Key Levels and Trends✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day.
📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the ATOM coin in the crypto market.
🗂 About the Project: ATOM, or Cosmos, is a decentralized network aiming to facilitate interoperability between multiple blockchains. It is known for its unique consensus mechanism and ability to enable communication between different blockchain networks. Cosmos is particularly popular among DeFi and blockchain developers due to its scalability and modular architecture.
📅Weekly Timeframe
In this timeframe, ATOM has experienced significant movements. Recently, it saw an upward trend reaching a peak around the $44 level, which was a critical supply zone. Following this, the price entered a correction phase with lower volume, suggesting the strength of the previous upward trend. Currently, ATOM is at a support level of $6.51 after a correction phase.
📈 If ATOM stabilizes above $8.08, we can anticipate a bullish momentum potentially pushing the price towards the next resistance at $16.07. Confirmation of a new upward trend will depend on candle stability above this level.
📉 Conversely, if ATOM falls back into the range between $6.51 and $8.08, and stabilizes below $6.51, it indicates a bearish trend continuation. The next critical support level would be around $4.50.
📊 In both scenarios, volume analysis is crucial. A healthy trend should be supported by corresponding volume without any divergence.
📅Daily Timeframe
🔍 On the daily chart, ATOM ranged around the $8.07 level before initiating another downward wave. Currently, there is noticeable bearish momentum, and the price has found temporary support at $6.00.
🧲 Given the current setup, a stabilization below $6.00 could signal another bearish wave. On the flip side, if the price moves above $8.07, it could indicate the start of a bullish trend, targeting higher resistance levels.
📅4-Hour Timeframe
📈 In the 4-hour timeframe, ATOM has pulled back to the resistance at $6.56. Volume analysis shows a decrease, indicating potential exhaustion of the recent upward movement.
📉 For short positions, the key levels to watch are $6.56 and $7.03, where price reactions could provide better entry points. For long positions, critical levels are $5.77 and $5.20.
💥RSI Oscillator
The RSI is currently ranging between 31.20 and 36.56 on different timeframes. Breaking these levels could provide confirmation for opening positions. However, always use these levels in conjunction with candle patterns and volume analysis to find the best entry and exit points.
📉 Given the current bearish signals in the daily and 4-hour timeframes, alongside the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I am inclined to open a short position. However, this is based on my trading strategy. Each trader should base their decisions on their strategies and risk management plans.
⚠️ Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Analyzing DYDX: Current Trends and Future Projections📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the DYDX coin in the crypto market.
⌛️ Weekly Timeframe
In this timeframe, DYDX has experienced significant movements. Recently, it saw an upward trend reaching a peak at 24.295, which was a critical supply zone. Following this, the price entered a correction phase with lower volume, suggesting the strength of the previous upward trend. Currently, DYDX is at a support level of 1.800 after a correction phase.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 6.861, 4.068
Support: 1.800, 1.178
📈 If DYDX stabilizes above 2.510, we can anticipate a bullish momentum potentially pushing the price towards the next resistance at 4.068. Confirmation of a new upward trend will depend on candle stability above this level.
📉 Conversely, if DYDX falls back into the range between 1.800 and 2.510, and stabilizes below 1.800, it indicates a bearish trend continuation. The next critical support level would be around 1.178.
📊 In both scenarios, volume analysis is crucial. A healthy trend should be supported by corresponding volume without any divergence.
⌛️ Daily Timeframe
🔍 On the daily chart, DYDX ranged around the 1.450 level before initiating another downward wave. Currently, there is noticeable bearish momentum, and the price has found temporary support at 1.286.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.450, 1.590
Support: 1.286, 1.175
🧲 Given the current setup, a stabilization below 1.286 could signal another bearish wave. On the flip side, if the price moves above 1.450, it could indicate the start of a bullish trend, targeting higher resistance levels.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
📈 In the 4-hour timeframe, DYDX has pulled back to the SMA99 and reached the resistance at 1.450. Volume analysis shows a decrease, indicating potential exhaustion of the recent upward movement.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.450, 1.590
Support: 1.286, 1.175
💥 The RSI is currently ranging between 33.26 and 40.45 on different timeframes. Breaking these levels could provide confirmation for opening positions. However, always use these levels in conjunction with candle patterns and volume analysis to find the best entry and exit points.
Conclusion
Given the current bearish signals in the daily and 4-hour timeframes, alongside the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I am inclined to open a short position. However, this is based on my trading strategy. Each trader should base their decisions on their strategies and risk management plans.
⚠️ Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
TSUKA Enters Bazooka ModeThere aren't many crypto's I'm bullish on in the short term future, but TSUKA seems primed to make a statement during the 2nd half of 2024 as many other coins look to begin their major descent.
The Year of the Dragon is still upon us.
If you miss this one, it's all on you, word to the Sangha.
(Btw, due to slightly misplaced fib placements, the topside target in the associated idea ($164) is not valid and should not be expected on this next run).
pancake swap ready for 400 % profit (cakeusdt)hello dear trader and investors
this price action for cake with usdt pair and now cake in the QM bulish pattern after bitcoin retest supourt zone pancake collected liQ on the supourt zone
and fundamentally:
A multichain DEX PancakeSwap has recently announced a token burn event. As per the platform, the respective episode takes into account the burning of up to 9,039,859 NASDAQ:CAKE tokens with a value of up to $16 million. The company took to the social media platform X to disclose further details of this development.
9,039,859 NASDAQ:CAKE just burned – that’s $16M!
PancakeSwap Commences a Token Burn of up to 9,039,859 NASDAQ:CAKE Tokens
In its recent X post, the firm revealed that this burn event works as a part of PancakeSwap’s broader efforts. According to the platform, the current endeavors thereof focus on minimizing the NASDAQ:CAKE token’s supply and increasing its value. Apart from that, the post also offered insights into the trading fees. Additionally, it also discussed the activity across diverse sections of the platform.
In terms of trading fees, PancakeSwap noted that trading fees from Automated Market Maker V2 accounted for 89,000 NASDAQ:CAKE tokens. These coins had a value of up to $156,000, denoting a more than 9% change from the previous week. Nonetheless, trading fees from Automated Maker V3 accounted for nearly 71,000 NASDAQ:CAKE coins. This figure equaled the value of up to $124,000, signifying a change of -50% from the previous week.
EBONDS an exclusive LP Fee Aggregator +++EBONDS Finance is a very special project which aims to collect money via several Blockchain LP Fees and Airdrop incentives and more. It's hosted on the Arbitrum network to have low tx fees to interact with their DAPP.
The main token is EBONDS which has a buyback scheme. The interest token is ESIR, which you get daily 1 ESIR for 1000 EBONDS.
Quote from their website: ebonds.finance
"Asset diversification with high stable allocations (asset/stable pools) and mainly operating with strong and safe protocols, balancing between V2 and V3 LP’s, offers great decentralization and high fees without the traditional risks of rugs/hacks from new degen protocols chasing high yields. Traditional rebalancing mechanisms by pure holding (without the forced rebalancing from LP) prove to be highly rewarding longterm with 30–60 day rebalancing periods.
The Collateralized Investment Strategy in different allocations generating different cash flows aim to build up the Protocol-Owned Liquidity and surplus collateral to generate a flywheel effect. More yield and rewards can be generated and flow to the most imbalanced allocation, prioritizing Protocol-Owned Liquidity first. Users can purchase EBONDS Tokens in the EBONDS.Finance dapp at 1$ / 1# EBONDS using the Purchasing Smart Contract."
"The 1% fee on the ESIR Tokens swap add an extra revenue to support the protocol and longer term hodlers. The fair way to earn ESIR Tokens is by purchasing and staking EBONDS, contributing to the Collateralized Investment Strategy. In general, available ESIR Tokens on the Liquidity Pool and users holding remain asset-backed. A maximum supply of 7.000.000# of EBONDS Tokens and 7.000.000# ESIR Tokens will ever be in circulation."
Discord Invite discord.gg
Webpage ebonds.finance
Buy EBONDS ebonds.finance
Stake EBONDS ebonds.finance
Sell EBONDS sell.ebonds.finance
Buy/Sell ESIR on Uniswap app.uniswap.org
Buy/Sell EBONDS on Uniswap app.uniswap.org
IMO this is a longterm hold, getting decent interest % wise and have a good stake in several blue chip blockchains. Read more detailed info on the medium link or via their Discord
medium.com
Ribbon Finance #RBN Inverse Head & ShouldersIt's #DEFI
Defi season hasn't really kicked off yet --- but it will
I mean that is literally one of th big Goals of #crypto right?
To decentralise Finance?!
I've mentioned Ribbon previously as a token to watch
So we have a potential breakout & neckline retest going on right now
Could be an opportunity.
As always
your risk
your reward
In-Depth Arbitrum Analysis: Current Trends & Insights✨Welcome to my channel. Here, we conduct a daily analysis of crypto projects and forex pairs.
📅Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the crypto market and the Arbitrum project.
🗂 About the Project : Arbitrum is a blockchain project in the crypto space, known for being one of the popular Layer 2 Ethereum solutions. It helps reduce transaction fees and increases speed and security. Arbitrum launched as a Layer 2 blockchain in August 2021 and also conducted a major airdrop, which significantly boosted its popularity over its competitors.
📦 Arbitrum Airdrop : In March 2023, Arbitrum introduced the ARB token and simultaneously airdropped 12.75% of the tokens to its users. This large distribution excited many in the crypto community.
🏅 Airdrop Impact : The airdrop significantly increased trust in the blockchain. Currently, Arbitrum has around $3 billion in TVL (Total Value Locked) and ranks fifth in the market. Its token has a market cap of $2.3 billion and holds the 41st position on CoinMarketCap.
🌱 Project Ecosystem : Given the high TVL, Arbitrum's ecosystem is very active. Major platforms like AAVE, GMX, UNISWAP, PENDLE, and RENZO support this blockchain. There are also specialized platforms that operate solely on Arbitrum, such as Camelot, a DEX that has greatly contributed to the project's growth.
🗡 Camelot Project : As mentioned, Camelot is one of the exclusive projects in the Arbitrum ecosystem. It is a DEX where you can swap tokens in a decentralized manner and become a Liquidity Provider to earn rewards.
📈Here is the chart for the GRAIL token, Camelot's official token. Camelot rewards you with this token for providing liquidity. As you can see, after hitting the resistance at 2675 and breaking the upward trendline, the price entered a downtrend, dropping to 709 and forming key levels at 1008, 1252, and 1418, which could act as strong barriers to price growth.
⚡️Now that we have reviewed the project and its ecosystem, let's analyze the ARB token chart from a technical perspective.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In this timeframe, after the token launch and airdrop, the price pumped initially and corrected to the 0.7654 level. Alongside Bitcoin, it started an uptrend reaching 2.1782. The price tested this resistance several times but failed to establish above it. Following the entry of selling volume, the chart exited the Distribution Zone and started to drop, now even losing the 0.7654 support and reaching 0.6482.
🛒If you had already bought this token, I hope your stop-loss was triggered. If not, I hope you managed your investment well to avoid significant losses. For spot purchases, I would wait for the RSI to break above 34.79 to confirm that the downward momentum is out of the market. Afterward, we can buy based on our personal strategy once the price stabilizes above key levels.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In this timeframe, after reaching the 0.6216 support, the price is correcting upwards with decreasing volume, indicating the strength of the downtrend. Despite the RSI losing the 40.13 resistance, upward momentum has not entered the market. This is because the SMA25 is directly above the price, serving as a major resistance.
📉If the SMA25, which coincides with the 0.7654 resistance, pushes the price down, it could reach the S1 pivot monthly level. Should the price continue to make lower highs and drop further, the 0.4826 level (S2 pivot) would be a logical target.
📈If the price stabilizes above the SMA25 and breaks through the 0.7654 level, with increased buying volume and upward momentum, we can confirm an uptrend in this timeframe.
🔑 Key levels in the daily timeframe for ARB are:
Supports at 0.6216 and 0.4826
Resistances at 0.7654, 0.9264, 1.2669, and 2.1782
⌛️For short-term analysis of this token, let's move to the 4-hour timeframe for more detailed insights.
🔍In the 4-hour timeframe, we can observe a Low Wave Cycle. After hitting the 0.6263 support, the price has made higher highs and lows twice. According to Dow Theory's definition of an uptrend, we can say this timeframe is in an uptrend. However, we must also consider another crucial point. According to Dow Theory, volume should confirm the trend and align with the price. As seen in the chart, volume diverges from the price, so we cannot declare an uptrend in the 4-hour timeframe as it lacks the primary Dow Theory confirmation.
📈For an uptrend, I suggest waiting for the price to stabilize above 0.7654, a significant level observable in the daily timeframe. Additionally, buying volume should increase to gain Dow Theory confirmation, allowing us to trust the price rise. If the trend becomes bullish, the resistances ahead are 0.8449 and 0.9264.
📉For a market downturn, since higher timeframes are bearish, we can use riskier triggers to confirm the entry of downward momentum, as these risky triggers align with the trend and are more reliable. The risky trigger level is 0.6822, and the main support is 0.6263. Note that the 0.6822 trigger, being risky, is not entirely reliable, and there's a higher probability of fake moves and traps. If the market turns bearish, the target, as seen in the daily timeframe, would be 0.4826.
⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
TM on the Rise or Fall? In-Depth Crypto Analysis Revealed✨ Welcome to my channel. Here, we analyze a new crypto project or Forex pair every day.
📅 Let's dive into today's analysis, focusing on the FTM coin in the crypto market.
🗂 About the Project : FTM is a blockchain-based project with its own ecosystem and blockchain. It is one of the popular networks for DeFi enthusiasts, and if you're interested in this space, you're probably familiar with this blockchain.
⌛️ Weekly Timeframe
In this timeframe, FTM experienced a significant upward movement with high volume, pushing the price up to 1.0993, reaching a critical supply zone. After hitting this resistance, the price started a low-volume correction, indicating the strength of the upward trend and volume-price convergence. However, in the last wave of decline, as you can see, the volume is increasing while the price has corrected a significant portion of its upward movement, currently sitting at the 0.4138 support.
📈 If the price is supported and candles stabilize above the 0.5720 area, we can confirm that the price trend has regained bullish momentum with the potential for further price increases. The main resistance for confirming an upward High Wave Cycle (HWC) is at 1.0993. For FTM to have a significant pump, the price must stabilize above this area, allowing you to enter a buying position according to your trading strategy after confirmation.
📉 If the price returns to the range box between 0.1756 and 0.5720, we can confirm this after the price stabilizes below the 0.3276 area, as this is the last low before the range box breakout and move towards 1.0993. It could be the final defense against further price drops.
📊 In both scenarios, candle volume must confirm the price movement, and there should be no volume divergence; otherwise, the trend will not be healthy.
⌛️ Daily Timeframe
In this timeframe, you can see more details of the price movement. As indicated, the price ranged for a long period on the 0.6147 support and, after a breakout and pullback, initiated another downward wave to the 0.4163 area with the 0.5334 trigger. Currently, there is significant bearish momentum in this timeframe, and the volume aligns perfectly with the downward trend.
Given the strong support at 0.4163, we can expect another bearish wave if candles stabilize below this area.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe: In this timeframe, the price has pulled back to the SMA99 and simultaneously reached the critical 0.4889 resistance, which was the main market low in the previous cycle. The volume is gradually decreasing, indicating that the long-term downward trend impacts the 4-hour timeframe. In my opinion, this upward movement offers a better entry point for a short position.
🔑 Key Levels : For a long position, the key levels are 0.4889, 0.5350, and 0.6147. For a short position, 0.4150 and 0.45 are critical areas where the price may react in the future.
💥 RSI Oscillator : The RSI is ranging between 45.01 and 60.97, and breaking either of these levels can provide confirmation for opening positions. However, be sure to use these levels only for confirmation and rely on candles to find the trigger.
🎲 My Strategy : Given the bearish market in the 4-hour and daily timeframes and the potential trend change in the weekly timeframe, I prefer to open a short position on this coin as I always trade in the direction of the momentum. However, there's no necessity for you to do the same; everyone should trade based on their strategy and plan. This is a personal decision, and each trader must find their strategy.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
Today's Analysis: Ethereum & Bitcoin at Critical Levels📅Today, we're diving into the analysis of Ethereum (ETH) in both weekly and daily timeframes, alongside our usual analysis of Bitcoin (BTC). Let's kick things off with a detailed look at Bitcoin in the 1-hour timeframe.
👑 Bitcoin Analysis
🔍 1-Hour Timeframe Technical Analysis
After a prolonged bearish wave, Bitcoin hit support at 53921 and entered a correction phase. Currently, it is breaking through the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which significantly supports the bearish trend as the volume of green candles is much lower than the red ones from the previous days. This indicates volume and trend convergence, confirming the trend's health. The next correction levels are 58516 and 59550. Upon reaching and confirming these levels, short positions can be considered.
📈 Long Position Strategy
For long positions, I will hold off until the price stabilizes above the 99-day Simple Moving Average (SMA99). Once the price secures this level, I will announce the entry point for a long position.
📉 Short Position Strategy
For short positions, you can utilize the levels of 58516 and 59550 during market corrections. If the market declines or you miss these two levels, you can open positions upon breaking 56045 or 53921. The levels mentioned for corrections are reactive, and since we adopt a breakout strategy, we must wait for the price to range at these levels. With a break below the range's floor and increasing sell volume, you can enter the position. The RSI trigger for confirming momentum entry is 44.10.
💰 Ethereum Analysis
🗂 Project Overview
Ethereum is a blockchain-based project and one of the best in the crypto space, particularly for those interested in DeFi. Besides its native coin and blockchain, Ethereum also supports Layer 2 (L2) blockchains like Arbitrum, zkSync, Optimism (OP), Base, Linea, and Mode, which help manage transactions to reduce the load on the main blockchain, optimizing transaction fees and speeds.
Ethereum's transaction fees have significantly decreased following the Shanghai and Dencun updates, dropping from 60-70 Gwei to 2-9 Gwei, attracting more users to the blockchain. Various earning methods exist on the Ethereum network. The primary method is staking 32 ETH to become an Ethereum node, which ensures network security and earns fees from network transactions and block creation. Other methods include creating Liquidity Pool Tokens (LP tokens) on DEXs and earning fees from trades and swaps or engaging in lending and borrowing, which is a vast field in itself.
🔍 Weekly Timeframe Technical Analysis
In the weekly timeframe, Ethereum began an upward move from the 1550$ area, continuing up to 4100$, then faced resistance at 3876$ and started to correct. It has now formed a double top pattern, which hasn't activated yet. Remember, a pattern holds no significance until it activates. So, we disregard this pattern unless the price stabilizes below 2914. If that happens, we can say the pattern is activated, and the price could move downward.
The critical point now is that the curved trendline is broken, the strong bullish momentum in the market has faded, and the price has been stabilizing below the 25-day SMA. Additionally, the 51.51 support in RSI is broken, potentially pushing the price down.
📈 Bullish Scenarios
We have a few scenarios for bullish movements. First, the price doesn't stabilize below 2914, gets supported, and starts creating higher highs. Second, a further correction to the 24709 support, a significant support level for Ethereum, might prevent further price drops. Third, reaching the double top target of 2188, which is the last stronghold for Ethereum's bullish trend.
🛒 Spot Trading Strategy
For spot trading, it’s better to move to the daily timeframe for clearer charts. In this timeframe, a bearish momentum has caused the price to drop from 3919 to 2883, and it’s currently resting. If the price ranges adequately and forms a suitable structure for buying, you can enter upon breaking its range box. If it doesn't range and moves directly upward, our trigger is breaking the main resistance at 3919 unless we buy according to Dow Theory rules. Upon breaking 2883, the first support is 2620, and the second is 2188.
📊 Volume Analysis
The significant volume of red candles suggests a probable break of 2883, but since yesterday’s candle was a selloff, and today and tomorrow are holidays, the price might range for a few days before selling volume re-enters the market.
🔔 Entry Points
Regarding the entry points mentioned, don't place orders in advance. Wait for the price to react to these levels and form a range structure. After buy volume enters and breaks the range box, you can proceed with your purchase.
📝 Conclusion
In conclusion, both Bitcoin and Ethereum are at critical levels, with Bitcoin showing bearish tendencies and Ethereum facing significant support challenges. It's crucial to wait for confirmation signals and volume trends before entering any positions.
🧠💼 Always remember the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Stick to strict capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, ensuring an initial target with a risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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