InvestMate|DAX Finally On The Decline🥨🥨DAX Finally On The Decline
🥨Every investor has probably been waiting for some sort of downward correction on the dax.
🥨After a month-long accumulation, it was time for a decline.
🥨Today, we are down a full -3.28%.
🥨We are currently at the 0.236 level of the current upward wave, which I do not believe will hold the price for much longer.
🥨My target market is around the 0.382 level of the current upward wave, where I have identified a support zone.
🥨Looking at the pro-declining signals on the MACD and RSI I have no doubts about a drop to these levels
🥨The scenario I am playing out is a continuation of declines to the vicinity of the support zone. I'm aware of the possibility of a correction at any time, this should be taken into account, If the outlook changes I will publish a post with an update, so I encourage you to actively follow the profile and read the description carefully.
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DE40
Buying DAX at market.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 14302 (stop at 14229)
Daily signals are bullish.
A lower correction is expected.
20 1day EMA is at 14302.
The 1 day moving average should provide support at 14300.
We look to buy dips.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 14488 and 14538
Resistance: 14450 / 14500 / 14550
Support: 14360 / 14300 / 14200
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX: Still in an Ascending Triangle. Opportunities both ways.DAX couldn't have given us a better trade yesterday as following the lower than expected U.S. CPI (which is a big plus in the ongoing battle to control inflation), the price broke above the 4H MA50 (14,376.70) and came close to the 14,710 (June 6th 2022 High) Resistance, getting rejected at 14,670, which is a Higher High since November 14th.
The price is now back down to the 4H MA50 and it remains to be seen if it acts as a Support. With 4H neutral again (RSI = 52.784, MACD = 16.600, ADX = 23.724) but especially ahead of today's critical Fed Rate Decision, the price can swing both ways and even more so violently. The 4H MA200 is at 14,103.20 now, and will be my buy entry but if we close the day below 14,100 I will book the loss and instead sell, targeting the 1D MA50 (13,646.70 and rising rapidly), which is the ultimate Support during long-term uptrends.
If however the price breaks above 14,710 first, I will take the break-out buy and target the 14,940 (March 29 2022 High) Resistance.
Previous DAX chart:
Buying GER40 at previous resistance.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 14381 (stop at 14309)
Short term momentum is bullish.
Short term bias has turned positive.
50 4hour EMA is at 14380.
Previous resistance at 14380 now becomes support.
We look for a temporary move lower.
We look to buy dips.
Daily signals are bullish.
Our profit targets will be 14558 and 14588
Resistance: 14500 / 14550 / 14600
Support: 14430 / 14380 / 14340
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Buying DE40 at daily 20 EMA.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 14271 (stop at 14198)
Daily signals are mildly bullish.
20 1day EMA is at 14271.
We look to buy dips. Daily momentum has stalled and our bias is now neutral.
The 1 day moving average should provide support at 14271.
Our profit targets will be 14448 and 14498
Resistance: 14390 / 14450 / 14500
Support: 14300 / 14250 / 14200
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX 1D Golden Cross is bullish but mid-term indicates volatilityToday the German stock market (DAX) completed a Golden Cross pattern on the 1D time-frame, which is when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). That is technically a bullish formation and that is what we interpret it as, at least on the long-term. Historically a 1D Golden Cross delivers new Bull Phases on DAX and it was such a Cross that took it out of the last major Bull Cycle in 2009 (U.S. housing crisis).
On this study though we give particular attention to the previous two Golden Crosses, which all share similar characteristics to today's. Once the index broke above the Bear Phase's Lower Highs trend-line, the Golden Cross was formed shortly after, with the 1W RSI getting rejected on roughly the same level (red Resistance Zone). On both occasions the price pulled-back to at least the 1D MA200. That is currently at 13540 and should stay around this level through-out Q1 of 2023. If a similar Megaphone pattern transitions DAX into the new Bull Phase, then we expect the index to have bottomed around the 1D MA200 by the end of Q1 (March) 2023 and then rebound towards recovering its All Time High.
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GER40 to extend losses?GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 14239 (stop at 14331)
Short term bias has turned negative.
The trend of higher intraday lows has also been broken.
Our outlook is bearish.
We look for losses to be extended today.
A break of yesterdays low would confirm bearish momentum.
20 1day EMA is at 14240.
Our profit targets will be 14012 and 13962
Resistance: 14330 / 14380 / 14450
Support: 14240 / 14150 / 14000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Buying DE40 close to market.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 14433 (stop at 14364)
Intraday signals are bullish.
Our short term bias remains positive.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
The trend of higher lows is located at 14430. We look to buy dips.
Our profit targets will be 14598 and 14648
Resistance: 14550 / 14605 / 14700
Support: 14430 / 14360 / 14300
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
GER40 to extended losses from engulfing.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 14319 (stop at 14401)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Posted a Treble Top formation.
A bearish Head and Shoulders is forming.
A break of yesterdays low would confirm bearish momentum.
Bearish engulfing has been posted on last candle.
Our profit targets will be 14131 and 14081
Resistance: 14450 / 14500 / 14583
Support: 14340 / 14250 / 14150
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DE40 posted a treble top.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 14549 (stop at 14631)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Posted a Treble Top formation.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
Our profit targets will be 14346 and 14306
Resistance: 14500 / 14550 / 14583
Support: 14440 / 14380 / 14300
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Buying DE40 at previous resistance.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Buy at 14481 (stop at 14399)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Daily signals are bullish.
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
20 4hour EMA is at 14478.
Our profit targets will be 14678 and 14708
Resistance: 14575 / 14700 / 14800
Support: 14500 / 14430 / 14350
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Selling DE40 at market.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 14439 (stop at 14521)
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We look for a temporary move higher.
The bearish engulfing candle on the 4 hour chart is negative for sentiment.
Our profit targets will be 14222 and 14162
Resistance: 14400 / 14470 / 14600
Support: 14350 / 14300 / 14250
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DE40 BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
A recent breakout signals
That the bears are still strong
And I am growing in confidence
That a bearish selloff is coming!
SELL!
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
GER40 with stalled bullish momentum.GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 14119 (stop at 14226)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Spikes (rejections) can be seen in both directions highlighting indecision.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
A higher correction is expected.
A break of the recent low at 14123 should result in a further move lower.
Our profit targets will be 13851 and 13801
Resistance: 14320 / 14400 / 14440
Support: 14200 / 14123 / 14000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
InvestMate|DAX Where will the correction end? 🇩🇪🇩🇪 DAX Where will the correction end?
🇩🇪 The last few months on the main German DAX index have been really rich in growth since the bottom we have made a correction with a range of more than 22%.
🇩🇪 In my opinion, now is the right time for a correction and to look for where it could end.
🇩🇪 On the chart I applied several technical analysis tools.
🇩🇪 At the very beginning I determined an upward trend channel. From which we have not been able to break out.
🇩🇪 I measured from the bottom to the current peak the current upward wave using a fibo grid in order to find intervening places to buy.
🇩🇪 With the help of the 0.5 level of the entire upward wave and the fact that the price has reacted at these levels in the past, I determined a support zone.
🇩🇪 Based on the recent current highs, I determined a resistance zone.
🇩🇪 The scenario I am playing out is to execute a correction in the entire uptrend momentum to the support levels marked on the chart
🇩🇪 *Please do not suggest the path I have drawn with the lines this is only a hypothetical scenario for further increases.
🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀
DE40 / GERMAN DAX INDEX ; SELL- DOWNTREDND lower lows and lower highs ; still in correction phase
- fib rejection from sing high to swing low
- inside supply zone
- wait for distrbution 2 newer lows to confirm downtrend continuation
GER40 to dip?GER40 - 11h expiry - We look to Buy at 14041 (stop at 13954)
Our short term bias remains positive.
We look to buy dips.
20 4 hour EMA is at 14033.
Our profit targets will be 14258 and 14298
Resistance: 14330 / 14400 / 14500
Support: 14170 / 14100 / 14000
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
InvestMate|DAX is it finally time for a correction?🇩🇪 DAX is it finally time for a correction?
🇩🇪 Post is a continuation of my previous post on the DAX in which I predicted declines.
for more information, see below:
🇩🇪 It looks like we no longer have the strength to continue upwards looking at the distribution that is taking place at 14200 levels
🇩🇪 It looks like we have had to wait a while with the falls since my last post, but playing short at this point seems like a reasonable option
🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀
DAX Big MA200 hit but needs +14000 to avoid new selloffBig bullish news for DAX yesterday as it hit the 1D MA200 for the first time since February 2nd. Even though it has also broken above the Lower High Resistance of the Bear Market since October 27th, there is one pattern remaining which if repeated, can cause a new selloff.
That is the April Cup pattern which after it failed to break its Resistance, it caused a massive selloff. The level for DAX to beat in order to cancel this is 14000, which just so happens to be near the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. Otherwise we can visit the September low again where the 1W MA500 will be waiting. The weekly RSI can offer a fair estimate of what could happen next, bullish above its Higher Highs Resistance and bearish below it.
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InvestMate|DAX Time to fall🇩🇪 DAX Time to fall
🇩🇪 Looking at the last few weeks on the dax, we see quite a bit of unwinding after new lows.
🇩🇪 The dax has already rallied more than 15.40% from its lows
🇩🇪 In my last post where I perfectly predicted the correction that took place last week.
🇩🇪 It was followed by a breakout to new highs but I believe that the correction potential has not yet been fully exhausted.
🇩🇪 It is unusual in a serious long-term downtrend for the price to just keep going higher and higher from a new low.
🇩🇪 Sooner or later a correction comes.
🇩🇪 Is the 13600 level the ideal time for a correction?
🇩🇪 Definitely highly likely in my opinion.
🇩🇪 My assumption is confirmed by the fact that we are in a place where the price has already reversed direction once in the past and that it is one of the more important fibo levels 0.382 of the whole downward wave.
🇩🇪 The correction targets will be 2 levels, one more likely and the other a little less likely
These are the levels 0.382 and 0.5 of the current upward impulse. These are places where the price has found support many times in the past
🇩🇪This is a long-term scenario, I do not even exclude breaking out even higher before the decline.
🚀If you appreciate my work and effort put into this post I encourage you to leave a like and give a follow on my profile.🚀
Selling break of GER40 low. GER40 - Intraday - We look to Sell a break of 12999 (stop at 13091)
The bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart is negative for sentiment.
A break of yesterdays low would confirm bearish momentum.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
The bias is to break to the downside.
Our profit targets will be 12778 and 12728
Resistance: 13200 / 13360 / 13450
Support: 13100 / 13020 / 12820
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
DAX Crucial 1D MA200 test! Sell with low risk but BUY if broken!The German stock index (DAX) has been trading within a Channel Up (Higher Highs/ Higher Lows) since the September 29 bottom. Following the contact with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) on Wednesday's Fed Rate Announcement, the price has been rebounding strongly, aiming at the 1D MA200 (red trend-line).
Having already broken above the January 05 Lower Highs trend-line last week, that would be the most crucial test for the long-term trend as the 1D MA200 has been unbroken since February 02, practically throughout the whole Bear Cycle of 2022. If broken, expect a Higher High on the Channel Up that would test the 13980 August 16 High (Resistance 1) where a 1W closing above it can target further upwards the 14710 June 06 High (Resistance 2).
Until the 1D MA200 break-out happens though, DAX's Channel Up draws heavy comparisons with the July 14 - August 16 Channel Up, which eventually topped and started a new heavy sell sequence that made the current market Low. As you see the top was formed after a 4H MA100/200 Bearish Cross (4H MA100 green trend-line crossing below the 4H MA200 orange trend-line), which is the pattern that DAX just formed today. On top of that, the 4H RSI sequences of the two Channel Up patterns are very similar following an (a)-(b)-(c)-(d) pattern. That means that until the price breaks and closes above the 1D MA200, being that close to it, we can take a low risk/ high reward sell and target the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
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Selling GER40 break of yesterday low.GER40 - 11h expiry - We look to Sell a break of 13098 (stop at 13171)
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
50 4hour EMA is at 13140.
A break of yesterdays low would confirm bearish momentum.
A close below the key support at 13100 is expected to lead to further selling pressure.
The bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart is negative for sentiment.
Our profit targets will be 12911 and 12861
Resistance: 13200 / 13360 / 13450
Support: 13100 / 13020 / 12800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.