DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 26/10/2023In the higher time frame, we have completed a WXY correction but as forecasted this was not yet the wave (2) low. The lower time frame was showing corrective price action indicating more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered because we took out the 04/10/2023 low. In the lower time frame, before going down, we might see some upside as a wave (iv) or wave X.
Dax30
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 25/10/2023In the higher time frame, we have completed a WXY correction but as forecasted this was not yet the wave (2) low. The lower time frame was showing corrective price action indicating more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered because we took out the 04/10/2023 low. In the lower time frame, before going down, we might see some upside as a wave (iv) or wave X.
Has the Twilight Zone with the World Markets ended? -DOWN we go!If you've just been a position (swint trader) with shares this year.
You'll know it's been bvery difficult and challening.
We've seen world markets move in a sideways motion which I like to call the Twilight Zone.
FTSE 100 - UK-
DAX 30 - Germany
CAC 40 - France
ASX 200 - Australia
It breaks down, it goes back up into the range.
It breaks up and it goes back down into the range.
The only semblance of hope right now is that the price has broken BELOW the range and has remained below the 200MA Blue LIne.
This means, the markets are more likely to be and stay in the downtrend for the next couple of weeks and months.
And we might need to look to short (sell) more than we go long and buy.
The overall trend is down right now, but for how long?
We as traders can only react and anticipate based on what we see in front of our eyes.
It's all we can do really with strict money management principles to preserve and protect.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 24/10/2023In the higher time frame, we have completed a WXY correction but as forecasted this was not yet the wave (2) low. The lower time frame was showing corrective price action indicating more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered because we took out the 04/10/2023 low. In the lower time frame, before going down, we might see some upside as a wave (iv) or wave X.
Will DAX turnaround today?DE30EUR - 24h expiry
We are trading at oversold extremes.
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the daily (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
A break of the recent high at 14920 should result in a further move higher.
The primary trend remains bullish.
We look to Buy a break of 14922 (stop at 14822)
Our profit targets will be 15172 and 15232
Resistance: 14920 / 15000 / 15100
Support: 14780 / 14700 / 14600
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX continues in the downward move.DE30EUR - 24h expiry
Our short-term bias remains negative.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
15100 has been pivotal.
Bespoke resistance is located at 15100.
The preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
20 4-hour EMA is at 15080.
We look to Sell at 15098 (stop at 15198)
Our profit targets will be 14848 and 14788
Resistance: 14981 / 15100 / 15200
Support: 14916 / 14800 / 14700
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Friday 20/10/2023 (+ Higher TF)In the higher time frame, we have completed a WXY correction but this is probably not yet the wave (2) low. The lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
GER30 H4 | Bullish reversal off 127.2% fibo?Price could fall to our buy entry at 14946.6, which is a swing low support level, aligning with the 127.2% fibo extension and 78.6% fibo projection. This is a level which has fibo confluence, hence price may reverse from here. Our stop loss is at 14829.8, which is below the previous major swing low support level. Take profit is at 15128.4, which is a pullback resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Thursday 19/10/2023In the higher timeframe, it looks like we have completed a WXY correction. If the low holds, the wave (2) correction can be finished. However, the lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
Most difficult trading environment since 2011I've been trading since 2003.
And if you're a position (swing trader , medium term) trader, you'll know there comes a time where the markets flow in a difficult range...
There are two types of markets when it comes to strategies.
Favourable and Unfavourable.
Right now, I don't mean to speak for everyone else, but I believe the markets are in an unfavourable territory for medium term traders.
Initially, I was blaming the JSE ALSI 40 (South African) index.
I blamed the Load Shedding (cutting of electricity)
Incompetency of the government providing sufficient water and services
I blamed us being downgraded to grey (which has pushed out Foreign direct investments).
I blamed the low liquidity and volume and the blame game kept going on...
But then I realised something even more problematic.
This horrible market environment has not only been for the JSE ALSI 40... It's been for the ASX (Australia), CAC40 (France), DAX (Germany) and even UK 100 (FTSE 100)...
And I'm sure there are a lot more stock markets that have had this tight and ongoing range...
So, what market environment are we in at the moment.
It's not going up so it's not the Mark-up phase
It's not going down so it's not the Mark-down phase
We can either call it Accumulation or Distribution, but it's been moving in a sideways range for obver a year.
So clearly we are in a larger market environment, which is known as the capitulation stage.
The volumes are low worldwide, the prices are erratic and volatile.
Many traders and investors are holding tight onto their money and not even dabbling into these markets at the moment.
How long will this last?
Well in 2011, it lasted two years. And right now, we are not seeing any strong signs of change yet...
So what do we do?
Well I don't have the holy grail nor some incredible points. But I can share what I'm doing during these timultuous times...
1. I've reduced my risk to 0.5% to 1% per trade (Instead of 2%).
2. I'm always hedging with Longs and Shorts
3. I'm trading other markets (Forex, Indices and intraday trades).
4. The drawdown isn't bad so I haven't halted trading
5. I've come to terms that this is the new normal for the next year or too.
Expect disppointment and you'll never be disappointed. You learn a thing from Marvel Movies now and then...
What are you doing and can you relate to these difficult trading conditions right now?
What are your thoughts on the matter?
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 18/10/2023In the higher timeframe, it looks like we have completed a WXY correction. If the low holds, the wave (2) correction can be finished. However, the lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Tuesday 17/10/2023In the higher timeframe, it looks like we have completed a WXY correction. If the low holds, the wave (2) correction can be finished. However, the lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
GER30 H4 | Bullish reversal off 127.2% fibo?Price could fall to our buy entry at 15088.5, which is a swing low support level, aligning with the 127.2% fibo extension and 78.6% fibo retracement. Our stop loss is 15019.7, which is below the swing low support level. Take profit is at 15190.7, which is a swing high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Monday 16/10/2023 (+ Higher TF)In the higher timeframe, it looks like we have completed a WXY correction. If the low holds, the wave (2) correction can be finished. However, the lower time frame suggests further corrective price action which will result in more wave (2) downside. Several bearish scenarios can be considered if we take out the 04/10/2023 low.
GER30 H4 | Bearish reversal off 161.8% fibo?Price is approaching our sell entry at 15406.6, which is at the right shoulder of the previous H&S pattern formed. There is also fibo confluence there, which are 78.6% fibo retracement and 161.8% fibo extension. Our stop loss is at 15513, which is above the major swing high resistance level. Take profit is at 15277.3, which is a pullback support level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Forex Capital Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
FXCM Australia Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
DAX Elliott Wave Analysis for Wednesday 04/10/2023As expected we are seeing further downside as a wave ((v)). There are some signs in favor of a reversal which means that the corrective WXY structure down can be finished. However, at this moment, we are still bearish in the daily and the weekly timeframe.