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Crudeoilwti

Crude Oil peaks on OverSupply of Commercial Held Barrels?Hello Traders.. Today Crude Oil went up and up and up and was beginning to resemble a small cap crypto.. this was until US Inventories data release showed an oversupply of 2/3 items. The number of barrels held by Commerical firms was forecasted to decrease by -1.2 million barrels in this weeks readings. Maybe this is why we saw crude hiking up and up (+1.15$) throughout Asian session and London session. The Actual reading, released 30 minutes prior to London close, showed an increase in the number of barrels held by commercial firms. 3.7M is the number. This increase is signnifcant , especially since the last 4 releases have been forecasted to show a decrease in the number of barrels held . With an oversupply, price naturally dropped , abiding to the laws of supply and demand. In our previous forecast we were anticipating a retest of 77.8 and consequential increase. We indeed observed this after price dropped dramatically. We saw 77.8 1Hr Zone hold firm. The Monthly, Weekly and Daily timeframes are still screaming buys and I'm still thinking there is some momentum bullish in the market. These are the prices that I like for scalping in the upcoming sessions. 78.80 1hr zone, 77.8 1hr zone. 77.30 is target for sells for upcmoming session while 79.25 is the target for longs in the upcoming sessions.
TVC:USOILLong
by ShrewdCatfx
2
Monday/Tuesday Bullish.. Continuation on Wednesday? Hello Traders. The Monthly candle has flipped bullish and the weekly candle is pushing for new highs as the 3rd Asian session of the week kicks off here. Monday was super bullish and today's tuesday candle closed bullish after a late NY bullish push. We observed (4) 4hr candles print bearish consecutively only to be overshadowed by a large bullish candle that began it's ascent at around London close today. The Market is bullish and so continuing to look for longs up to the next 4hr level (79.00) is a scenario for the next session. Another scenario is we push to the 78.50 4hr level and then rollover towards (77.30) 4hr level. The market totally changed behavior after dipping into 73 Weekly Level. The last crude oil inventories, which was forecasted to see a decrease by 2.1m barrels, instead saw an increase and this lined up with a low in the market . The news was About 1.13$ off the low and has been a catalyst for this bullish momentum in the last few days. Interest rates, CPI and Inventories tomorrow will surely send the markets into an uproar so careful trading ahead.
TVC:USOILLong
by ShrewdCatfx
1
Crude oil trade analysis International oil prices fluctuated slightly on Thursday (May 30), with U.S. crude oil currently trading around $79.13 per barrel. Oil prices fell about 1% on Wednesday on worries that weak U.S. gasoline demand and economic data could lead the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates higher for longer. High interest rates aimed at countering high inflation could drag on economic growth and reduce demand for oil. Crude oil persisted despite the headwinds yesterday. Both short positions at 79.4 and short orders at 80.2 made profits. Today's white market resistance is 80 and yesterday's high of 80.6, while support is 78.5 and 77.7. At present, the 4-hour SAR indicator has completed the top-to-bottom transition and appears at a high level. Today, Thursday, the trend continues to rebound high and bearish. Crude oil strategy: short after rebounding at 79.7, covering short positions at 80.3, stop loss at 80.7, target 78.5-78, hold if it breaks below;
TVC:USOILShort
by Jerome-Leon
1
Black Gold Judgment Says Huge Challenge Is Just One Step AheadGlobal shares rose while the dollar retreated on Wednesday, after a hot reading of U.S. wholesale inflation set a nervous tone for trading before a consumer price report that could prove decisive about when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. The frenzy in so-called meme stocks entered a third day, with shares in AMC and GameStop soaring by more than 25% at one point in premarket trading before retracing some of those gains. Price action was more subdued as investors were reluctant to push any market too aggressively one way or another ahead of the monthly U.S. consumer price index later in the day. The boom has drawn parallels with the meme-stock craze that gripped markets in early 2021, where retail traders, using trading platforms and social media investment advice pumped up the value of stocks that many large investors had bet heavily against. Technical graph for Brent crude oil says, right here is a similar challenge like in 2021.
TVC:UKOIL
by Pandorra
Crude Oil | BULLS MAY DOMINATE THE NEXT DAYSMay is not always a good month for crude oil. When you look at the last 40 years, there is a positive change rate of less than 50%. However, Crude oil is moving to the support resistance point, and its performance in the last 8 election years, from the beginning of the may to the 21-22 of May during the election years, is 7 years positive and an average return of 12%. That's why I'm very BULLISH on Crude oil, which is below last year's opening level and at a significant support-resistance flip point.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by XU3Trades
Crude Oil WednesdayToday On the Daily I am in confliction with bias meaning that it could be changing soon if we repeat another bullish closing day. For this I have dropped down onto the 4hr TF and the most recent 4hr -ob is what I will be referencing as to Bullish or Bearish intra day PA. Scalpers Market atm If you un sure, sit still. We did close above the Daily v.i as I have mentioned in my previous posts... so my bias for 80.50 is in jeopardy but as a trader your mind must be dynamic. As I said sit still or scalp but not in the middle.
NYMEX:CL1!
by IamThattrader
Crude Oil Technical Analysis The crude oil market is as expected. The Asian and European markets are falling. The US market continues to be optimistic about the bulls. The market has tested as low as 80.7. Our stop loss is placed at 80.5. The US market still maintains low and long positions. The lower defense is placed at 80.5. The target is first. See if 82.5 breaks. If it breaks 82.5, it will test the high point of 86.4-87.7. We are optimistic about the range between 80.5 and 86.7. Before breaking through 80.5, keep the overestimation and underestimation within the range, and pay attention to the rational use of your own positions.
TVC:USOILLong
by Jerome-Leon
Crude oil trade rise and fall analysis On Friday, during the European trading session, WTI crude oil prices fell slightly. WTI crude oil futures experienced modest gains during the Asian session after Israel attacked Iran, initially surging 3% but later giving up most of those gains. The escalation briefly raised concerns about potential supply disruptions, but those concerns faded as the situation developed as it became apparent that there was no immediate threat to oil flows. WTI crude oil has fallen 6.5% from last week's 2024 highs, despite ongoing tensions in the Middle East and important U.S. economic data that cannot be ignored. The short-term outlook for oil prices is bearish, driven by high global inventory levels and lower immediate impact of tensions in the Middle East on supply channels. While markets remain wary of geopolitical escalations that could disrupt supply routes, the current supply glut is likely to depress prices. Investors should remain vigilant and pay close attention to geopolitical developments and strategic policy changes that may affect market conditions. Today's price surge and then rapid reversal points to the presence of bears, putting further downward pressure on WTI crude oil futures. Clearly, traders are selling on the rallies and this selling is likely to continue as long as demand issues persist and there are no offsetting supply disruptions. This keeps traders’ eyes focused on the 50-day moving average at $80.10. This level affects the medium-term trend.
TVC:USOILShort
by Jerome-Leon
Crude Oil Technical Analysis Real-time crude oil market analysis: Futures crude oil prices are rising slowly, with real-time quotes at 86.8. Let’s first look at the position breaking situation between the hourly upper rail of 87.2 and the hourly lower rail of 85.8. If the position breaks upward, pay attention to the pressure range formed by the 4-hour Bollinger Band upper rail of 87.5 and the 4-hour error upper rail of 88. Above, focus on the 89 integer mark. In terms of support, pay attention to the hourly lower track of 85.8, followed by yesterday's low support position of 84.6. For defensive support, look at the weekly MA5 moving average of 83.6. Overall, crude oil prices are rising slowly and gradually breaking through highs, but the span of increase is not large. The European market is tentatively set to fluctuate in the range of 87.5-85.8, and the market will continue to trend after subsequent breaks.
TVC:USOILLong
by Jerome-Leon
Crude Oil Market Insights: Exploring Potential ReversalUS crude oil prices have experienced continued selling pressure for the third consecutive day, with the market reaching the $83 mark. This price level is accompanied by notable areas of resistance, suggesting the potential for a reversal in the near term. Recent events have contributed to the uncertainty surrounding crude oil prices. Notably, Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries have raised concerns about a potential decrease in fuel production by Russia. This incident compounds the impact of OPEC+ members' decision to extend production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day through the second quarter. Adding to the mix, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has revised its forecast for oil demand growth in 2024, predicting an upward trend. This, coupled with expectations of a stronger US economy and a potential recovery in China, suggests a tightening of oil supplies on the horizon. In light of these developments, traders are advised to exercise caution. While selling pressure persists, the convergence of factors such as geopolitical tensions, production cuts, and demand forecasts could act as a catalyst for a reversal in crude oil prices. Looking ahead, market participants will closely monitor key resistance levels and market dynamics for signs of a potential bearish setup. With multiple variables at play, prudent risk management and a keen eye on market developments will be crucial for navigating the volatile crude oil market effectively.
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by FOREXN1
1
WTI Crude oil global trade analysis U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 6.674 million barrels in the week ended January 19 from the previous level of 483,000 barrels. WTI prices were lower on the day as traders focused on rising U.S. oil production and rising supplies from Libya and Norway. The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil has repeatedly fluctuated near the E point of the triangle, with the range ranging from 75.30 to 73.30. Oil prices cross the moving average system up and down, and the short-term objective trend enters a volatile rhythm. Judging from the gradually rising arrangement of lows and highs, the short-term subjective trend is still bullish. Crude oil is expected to continue to hover within the range during the day, and buying operations will be dominated by waiting for lows.
TVC:USOILLong
by Jerome-Leon
WTI crude looks set to retrace before its next big leg higherWTI appears set tor a cheeky retracement. Volumes were falling during its leg higher from $68, and Wednesday closed with an exhaustion candle. Note the strong trading activity around $70 which indicates some bears were caught short and bulls initiated, which assumes short-covering helped fuel the rally and any retracement towards $70 could also be supported. From here we’re looking for prices to revert to $70. But given the strong support around the June lows / $68 and false break of $70, the bigger picture view is for a bullish rally to develop following a retracement heading into the new year. $80 seems feasible as an initial target, around the 200-day EMA. But as you’ll see in the next post, a bigger bullish reversal could be unfolding on the weekly chart.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by CityIndex
2