Crudeoillong
WTI CRUDE OIL, DAY CHART, LONG (11-DEC-2016)Crude Oil is trying its 2nd attempt to break the
resistance zone.
There are 3 possibilities here:
1. If it break the resistance zone, wait for PB
to the resistance zone and a bullish signal to long.
2. Eventually, it might form consolidation near
the resistance zone. If breakout, can directly long
3. If there are 2-3 "2 BARS REVERSAL" to trigger
the BEARISH movement, we will change our
view to short!
A Risk to Reward of 1:3 for this trade :)
Fundamentally, the crude oil price rally is due to the oil production cut by OPEC and potential cut from Russia and NON-OPEC Countries. The production cut might not able to reduce the current global stockpile significantly. It might be the reason to hold the crude oil price trading in the range!
Crude Oil Reverse Head and Shoulders Pattern I think this post is pretty clear and easy to understand. A large reverse Head and Shoulders pattern has formed in Crude. I am confident in the validity of this pattern due to the fact that it has been over a year in the making.
Please leave your thoughts and comments!
All the best and Happy Trading!
Confluence buy area on crude. Long swing trade. Hello again friends!
Today we see that price crossing into a potential reversal area where we see many things have been lining up. First and foremost, notice this steady uptrend. Price has come down in the form of a complex pullback. A fibonacci inversion was taken from the center of this pullback and price has just hit the all-important 1.618 extension, given the context. In addition, a double bottom is starting to form in the same area as a bullish bat pattern completion.
Stops are taken 1 ATR from the swing low, which will equate to roughly 2 ATR from the minimum allowable entry candle area to unsure nothing less than a one to one risk to reward ratio on the first contract. The targets are based on a projection of .382 and .618 retracements based on our knowledge of stops and the absolute minimum area which we can become involved in. Should target one be attained, stops then roll to break even on the second half of the position.
Also noteworthy is the possible hidden divergence (note the blue lines) between price action and my oscillator. This is nice, as we use hidden divergence in connection with trend continuation, which is what we have here.
I do require an entry reason to execute orders. No limit orders here. I will require RSI to enter an oversold condition, and a bullish engulfing candle, or a higher high higher close candle. I will also start to peek around my lower trading time frame that my plan allows for down on the 15 minute to see if I can time my entry in a similar fashion. As of this writing, I'm showing a combined technical score on this bullish trade of 6.
Stay thirsty my friends,
Benny Manieri
Point of interest and possible long entryTechnically we are still in an uptrend but candles this big are hard to ignore. It looks like the deliberate august run up just turned into a massacre. However i have found an interesting area to watch for possible long entry, or at least for a bump to re enter short.
AnybOdy 2 bUy BALCK GOLD!!!!The red line is a historical resistance line. The green line is the new buy or support line. CRUDE is in a position to buy and hold for some long term. May be till end of the year or even may be early next year and before 2017 summer comes or even during spring 2017 may sell.
Long for medianNo follow through on drop, even after retesting broken TL from the back resulted in squeezed swings, that left the downsloping median set without reaching it's median. Now the last of the swings got zoomed and is currently being retested. A long postion shooting for the median seems like a good idea to me here. Sl underneath last swing.
/CL - Comex Market Analysis and Trading Tips - 28th June 2016Overview:
The Crude oil market had a fairly negative day on Monday, as market continue to worry about all things European Union and United Kingdom related. The primary trend of Crude oil is bearish on charts. On its 4 hourly chart, market is trading below 100 days moving average. It is having important resistance at the level of $48.12 and support level at the level of $46.50. On its 4 hourly charts, MACD is sustaining in its negative territory and RSI is sustaining in its selling zone indicating the upcoming bearish trend in the oil prices. On an intraday basis one can go for sell on higher level strategy.
www.tradingsignalreviews.com
Crude Oil Wolfe Wave Completion, 1-4 Line TargetHere we have a Wolfe Wave for Crude Oil, CL1!. Price broke the 1-3 trend line but did not quite reach 5'. Therefore, we look at the 1-4 line as a target. The arrow pointing to the 1-4 line does not signify the path price will be taking. It is simply a visual tool.
I should also mention, I do not have a stake in Crude Oil. I am comparing the movement of this chart to the related ideas below.
Crude Oil High Significance Elliott Wave Analysis
hi Readers,
The Chart deals with weekly time Frame
As we now Know that the wave Y in Grand Super Cycle degree & hence the initiation of X wave after Y has pushed it to new highs, say to the current levels. The important idea is that the W within the current X wave in one lesser degree has been progressing as w,x,y,x & z within which waves W,X & Y are completed. so , after an intermediate downtrend for completing the X wave, the market resumes its upper trend to the areas of 55.12 $
For analysis below this degree, that is on daily time frame click here ,
Thanks for reading
Feel free to contact us in need of any assistance
Happy Trading
Dinesh -senior Technical analyst
LeadBrains FSL - www.mytradingcourses.com Trading education & training firm
Oil to go higher. Part 1This is part one (1) of two analyses. This is
of course on daily basis. You should pay
attention to the number 2 on indicator and
on graph. The price where took a lower low
but MACD took a higher low. A positive divergens.
What to expect? Saudi Arabia will only free oil
production if Iran joins. This fundamental news
puts pressure on oil. It is likely we will see
a rebound on prices of 32-33 USD/per barrel.
CRUDE LONGCRUDE is expected to RISE now.
The reason why we feel CRUDE may Rise.
* On weekly basis it has just started moving up
* To Rise and come near 43 levels
* Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) is Rising.
* RSI (14,CLOSE) is Rising.
* CCI (20,CLOSE) is Sinking..
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to Rise. Our Buy call shall be from LONG ABOVE: 41.95, SL: 41.67, Tgt 01: 42.71, Tgt 02: 43.03, Tgt 03:44.00
. The view expressed here is on weekly basis. [b ]Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.
CRUDE LONGCRUDE is expected to rise now.
There are many reason why we feel it may rise.
01. It has bounced back from quarterly sell target 02 level.
02. Bullish Engulfing pattern in daily Chart.
03. To rise and clear quarterly targets it had to come down to gain momentum for up move.
04. Stoch RSI (3,3,14,Close) states it may rise.
05. RSI(14,CLOSE) Is also of the same view.
06. CCI(20,CLOSE) Is also rising.
Keeping all the above indicators in view along with the chart pattern we expect it to rise. Our buy call shall be from BUY above :29.60 with a SL @: 30.39 Tgt 01: 29.8 Tgt 02: 32.19 Tgt 03: 32.80. Chances are that it may even touch 40. We are expecting this to happen shortly. Caution: The above is our personal view. Neither a recommendation nor a tip nor an advice for trade. Please consult your personal financial advisor before investing.
32$ essentiell 4 Bulls 2 survive (@ least technically) this week35.80 USD: 2.Target (292 Chance)
33.97 USD: 1.Target (109 Chance)
32.88 USD: last Price
32.21 USD: last Support (67 Risk)
You can use the support levels as stop-loss price level.
And both targets also even as take profit price leves too, if you want.
But take care! Think about it - and create your own opinion! It`s your own decision...
Change/Risk Ratios are 1.63 C/R Ratio (1st) & 4.36 C/R Ratio (2nd)
Change/Risk Ratio = 1.Target/Support & 2.Target/Support
Best regards!
Aaron