Crude - Testing the waters...We saw our weekly target hit yesterday,
I have a hunch as on the Daily we are constantly going back to the middle of the range that bsl of some form is in the eye of the market before we would want to move down.
I ask myself.... Why would we want to go all the way back (weekly ssl level) if we have been here and raided Sell Stops... If I was the market I would want some breakfast first before I head down for lunch and dinner right?
So for PRE 0930EST im watching to see if price respects the 4hr FVG's.
This will indicate some bsl to be taken.
Crudeoilanalysis
Crude oil trade analysis
The overall trend of crude oil hit the bottom yesterday, and the rebound did not break after testing 80.7 for the second time. It's still going strong. A positive hammer line collected on the daily chart. A close like this meant the market would rebound, and it has now. The key pressure level is 83.6. As long as the market does not break here, the market will continue to fluctuate at a low level. If it breaks through and stands firm, you can rest assured to be bearish and buy up. Friends who are stable can wait patiently after breaking through 83.6 and then buy up when approaching 82. Continue to watch for a breakthrough of 83.6 above!
Crude Oil Technical Analysis
The crude oil market is as expected. The Asian and European markets are falling. The US market continues to be optimistic about the bulls. The market has tested as low as 80.7. Our stop loss is placed at 80.5. The US market still maintains low and long positions. The lower defense is placed at 80.5. The target is first. See if 82.5 breaks. If it breaks 82.5, it will test the high point of 86.4-87.7. We are optimistic about the range between 80.5 and 86.7. Before breaking through 80.5, keep the overestimation and underestimation within the range, and pay attention to the rational use of your own positions.
Crude oil trade rise and fall analysis
On Friday, during the European trading session, WTI crude oil prices fell slightly. WTI crude oil futures experienced modest gains during the Asian session after Israel attacked Iran, initially surging 3% but later giving up most of those gains. The escalation briefly raised concerns about potential supply disruptions, but those concerns faded as the situation developed as it became apparent that there was no immediate threat to oil flows. WTI crude oil has fallen 6.5% from last week's 2024 highs, despite ongoing tensions in the Middle East and important U.S. economic data that cannot be ignored.
The short-term outlook for oil prices is bearish, driven by high global inventory levels and lower immediate impact of tensions in the Middle East on supply channels. While markets remain wary of geopolitical escalations that could disrupt supply routes, the current supply glut is likely to depress prices. Investors should remain vigilant and pay close attention to geopolitical developments and strategic policy changes that may affect market conditions.
Today's price surge and then rapid reversal points to the presence of bears, putting further downward pressure on WTI crude oil futures. Clearly, traders are selling on the rallies and this selling is likely to continue as long as demand issues persist and there are no offsetting supply disruptions. This keeps traders’ eyes focused on the 50-day moving average at $80.10. This level affects the medium-term trend.
Crude Oil Technical Analysis
Real-time crude oil market analysis: Futures crude oil prices are rising slowly, with real-time quotes at 86.8. Let’s first look at the position breaking situation between the hourly upper rail of 87.2 and the hourly lower rail of 85.8. If the position breaks upward, pay attention to the pressure range formed by the 4-hour Bollinger Band upper rail of 87.5 and the 4-hour error upper rail of 88. Above, focus on the 89 integer mark. In terms of support, pay attention to the hourly lower track of 85.8, followed by yesterday's low support position of 84.6. For defensive support, look at the weekly MA5 moving average of 83.6. Overall, crude oil prices are rising slowly and gradually breaking through highs, but the span of increase is not large. The European market is tentatively set to fluctuate in the range of 87.5-85.8, and the market will continue to trend after subsequent breaks.
WTI crude oil technical analysis
Crude oil prices opened lower on Monday. WTI crude oil prices were at $85.75 per barrel, down 1.05%. Brent crude oil prices were at $89.97 per barrel, down 1.32%.
Oil prices retreated on signs of a possible ceasefire between Hamas and Israel. However, Iran's response to the Israeli attack on Tehran's consulate in Damascus remains a factor in rising oil prices, and a bullish one at that.
WTI crude oil prices opened the week with a bearish gap, bringing the price close to the bullish channel support line. The EMA50 is near the channel’s support line to protect continued trading within the channel. Price is waiting to cover this gap and resume the bullish trend towards the next major target.
WTI crude oil's current trading pivot point is located at $84.62, with resistance levels at $86.14, $87.47 and $89.10. Support is found at $83.47, $82.23, and $80.56.
Crude oil rises, can it reach $90?
WTI crude oil futures fluctuated higher, trading at $84.89 per barrel, an increase of 1.09%.
Since March 27, oil prices have continued to rise and have hit a five-month high. During the European session, WTI crude oil prices continued to rise, hitting $85.42 during the session, before falling slightly during European midday trading.
To some extent, oil's rally is managing to emulate gold, which has also seen a steady increase in buying since the start of last week. The recent rise in oil prices can also be attributed to signs that China's economy is accelerating, as well as continued strength in U.S. manufacturing data, which bodes well for energy demand.
These all suggest that oil prices should rise further, with the line chart showing that oil prices have accelerated since the second half of March, with the upper boundary of the ascending channel turning into support last week. We are also watching for a "golden cross" to form, which may attract more speculative buying in the coming days.
The target is around $90.
Crude Oil (WTI) at ResistanceCrude oil is currently facing resistance on a 1-hour time frame.
We've established an upper and lower zone for trading.
On the weekly candle from last week, the price closed above the previous week's level, which indicates a possible uptrend towards higher levels around 83.
If there is a significant gap in the price on Sunday, we should watch for how the price reacts at these levels before closing the gap.
I'd appreciate your thoughts on this.
CL Crude Oil WTI LONGMy bias all week has been for oil to trade to the PWH. So far, I've been given no trigger to get involved.
However, end of NY session saw H4 candle bullish closing disrespecting bearish arrays.
I want to see these levels respected as bullish arrays to then look for m15 bullish displacement long entry.
WTI Crude oil global trade analysis
U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 6.674 million barrels in the week ended January 19 from the previous level of 483,000 barrels. WTI prices were lower on the day as traders focused on rising U.S. oil production and rising supplies from Libya and Norway.
The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil has repeatedly fluctuated near the E point of the triangle, with the range ranging from 75.30 to 73.30. Oil prices cross the moving average system up and down, and the short-term objective trend enters a volatile rhythm. Judging from the gradually rising arrangement of lows and highs, the short-term subjective trend is still bullish. Crude oil is expected to continue to hover within the range during the day, and buying operations will be dominated by waiting for lows.
Crude Oil 21/12Pair : Crude Oil
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and Making its " ABC " Corrective Waves. Bearish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Its Currently Rejecting from the Upper Trend Line to Complete the Retracement for Break of Structure
Entry Precaution :
Wait for Breakout and Retracement