Silver Slowed Down Within A Corrective StructureSilver is bullish on a daily chart and structure up from 21.90 is not in five waves yet, thus bulls can stay in play for $34/35 targets, where we see some strong resistance levels, so be aware of a limited upside up there.
But because drop is still overlapping on 4h time frame, which we see it as a three-wave A-B-C correction with a potential wedge pattern in wave C, new buyers can still show up, ideally here around 29-28 support area.
Correction
FLOKIUSDT | Another Small Correction Downside?🐶📉 Market Context
Are we on the verge of another downside correction for FLOKIUSDT? It certainly looks possible!
Strategy
Friday saw a strong move down, and we usually fill those wicks sooner or later. Given this pattern, we could see FLOKIUSDT dip a few more pips. This setup presents a quick 1.5:1 risk-reward trade—an exciting opportunity to capitalize on the market's momentum!
Let’s dive in and see how it plays out—stay tuned!
ELF Beauty (ELF): Ready for a Turn? Key Insights Inside!Following the last earnings call, ELF Beauty Inc. has caught the attention of many investors, with the stock surging 25% since then. However, we do not believe this signifies the emergence of a new super-bullish trend. Instead, we anticipate entering Wave B, which will likely lead to another significant pullback. In our view, the stock has completed Wave (5) of the first cycle and is now in the process of forming an overarching Wave 2. The exact duration and nature of this Wave 2 remain uncertain, as it depends on whether it will be a longer or shorter corrective wave.
In the coming days, we expect the stock to rise again, potentially reaching up to $207, which should be the maximum target. Just below this level is the high-volume node's point of control, which we expect to hold. It is possible that the stock could reach the high-volume node edge at $210, but it is unlikely to surpass this level. After this rise, we anticipate another sell-off down to Wave C, which we expect to fall within the range of $119 to $96. This expectation is based on the assumption that this is a zig-zag correction, where Wave C extends significantly below Wave A.
Before the recent rise, we observed a clear collection of liquidity a few days ago, leading to the breakout of the trendline. The RSI is not yet overbought, but it could become so in the coming days. If the RSI forms higher highs and the price breaks above the high-volume node edge at $221, it could indicate the potential for further upward movement. However, our current expectation is that the stock will hit resistance and then enter Wave C, leading to a deeper correction.
Meta Platforms (META): Ready for a Correction?We initially set our maximum target at $510, and the price climbed to $531—a difference of only about 4%, which is quite close given the magnitude. We're satisfied with our analysis so far and want to stay within this timeframe.
While it's possible that Waves 3 and 4 haven't fully played out yet, we need to consider that Wave 5 in Meta often tends to be longer. This historical pattern suggests that the current Wave 5 might have extended similarly.
If Waves 5 and (1) are not yet complete, we would need to see the price rise significantly, surpassing $575. Such a move would indicate that the bullish cycle isn't finished, and we might see a further upward spike before a deeper correction.
However, the RSI shows a bearish divergence: lower lows on the RSI while the price chart shows higher lows. This divergence is typically a bearish signal and shouldn't be ignored, as it often leads to price corrections.
Even though we have closed the gap, we believe that a further decline is possible, potentially down to around $384 to complete Wave A. An ideal entry zone for us would be around $306, with a worst-case scenario down to $181. This analysis takes into account both historical price patterns and current indicators to inform our strategy moving forward. Keep in mind even though META seems to be a huge organisation we have seen some bigger pullbacks in the past.
#nzdcad Elliott wave analysisAs you can see in the chart, it seems like the price has completed the 3rd wave of wave 3 and is now getting ready for a bearish corrective move to form wave 4 of wave 3.
During this bearish correction, we could expect the price to retrace all the way towards the static support zone. However, based on the three basic rules of Elliott Wave theory, wave 4 cannot interact with wave 1. As a result, if this labeling is going to materialized, then the price cannot go below 0.82190. And that's where our stop loss could be placed.
Commodities on the rise, but can they pull back?Commodities have been in a bull run since 2020, within an uptrend that can resume after the pullback observed in 2022. Analyzing the CRB Commodity Index, I believe that the pullback from that recent 2022 high isn’t over yet. There’s potential for a C wave that could retrace to 38.2% of the 2020 bull run. This may suggests that inflation might cool down, but much depends on the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions. Premature rate cuts could spur demand and drive prices higher, complicating the inflation scenario.
Up Up and Elliot Wave!? EU to March Levels and Beyond?!Here I have EUR/USD on the 4 Hr Chart!!
Upon deeper analysis of EU, the LOW created on Apr. 16th happens to be a NEW LOW since the LOW back in Oct. of 2023!!
Since that low, price has been in an UPROAR! Moving fairly Bullishly! Not to mention that it seems we could be seeing the end of an Elliot Wave!!
Price is currently at a STRONG ZONE tested Multiple times throughout Price action in the past few months but we are seeing this Level as SUPPORT!!
Now with the Current HIGH @ 1.08949 and based off the LOW @ 1.06494, we see our Targeted Fibonacci Range @ ( 1.08125 - 1.07717 )
**If Price is unable to Break down Below this Zone, We could be seeing the NEW LOW being the next best area for BUY OPPORTUNITIES!! W/ Range Target being ( 1.08949 - 1.09528 )
Fundamentally, EUR and USD both came in with Strong SERVICES and MANUFACTURING PMI numbers!!!
The only difference is:
EUR is looking at Rate Cuts as soon as July!
USD is looking at Rate Cuts as soon as Sept!
(*Fed unsatisfied by Progress towards optimal 2% Inflation meaning Rates stay "Steady For Longer"
Lets See What Happens!!
Gold can start decline to support line of upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Gold. Observing the chart, we can see that the price reached the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and soon broke this level and continued to grow inside the pennant. In this pattern, XAU rose to the current support level, which coincided with the support area, and even rose higher and reached the resistance line, after which turned around and made a correction to the support line of the pennant. Later price reached the 2400 level again and then made a strong downward impulse to the buyer zone, exiting from the pennant pattern and breaking the 2290 level. But soon, the price turned around and started to grow inside the upward channel, where it soon broke the 2290 level again. Next, Gold reached the resistance line, and made corrections to the support line, after which rebounded up to the support area, breaking the 2400 support level. As well recently, the price rose higher than the support area and now trades close to the resistance line of the upward channel. In my opinion, Gold can rebound from the resistance line and decline to the support line of the upward channel, breaking the current support level. For this case, I set my target at the 2370. points, which coincided with the support line of the channel. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Petrobras (PETR): Bearish Divergence - Heading for a Dip After the market closed yesterday, Petrobras, a Brazilian stock, released a new earnings report. We're analyzing it in Brazilian Real (BRL) to get the most accurate view of the chart. On the weekly chart, we anticipate a mild but noticeable bearish divergence, especially since the beginning of 2024 when the stock has significantly appreciated.
There is considerable downside potential as we expect the completion of Wave (3), followed by a downward adjustment in Wave (4). The exact retracement level for Wave (4) is yet to be determined, but we anticipate a pullback to around 38.52% before the stock resumes its upward trajectory in Wave (5).
Our downside target is around 50 BRL, considering Petrobras' high dividend yield. This makes the stock attractive not only for its growth potential but also for its income-generating ability.
A closer look at the daily chart reveals potential scenarios for either the completion of Wave 5 or Wave (3), highlighting areas where bearish divergence becomes more apparent. This divergence is evident due to the significant impulsive rises in the stock over recent months and weeks, which have created several imbalances. Despite closing gaps and reaching new highs, a downward correction is likely needed before we can see further upward movement.
We anticipate that the correction in Wave (4) will take the stock lower, potentially reaching levels between 28.28 and 23.30 BRL.
Can ETH Outperform BTC?ETHBTC is one of those charts, which can be telling us that volatility is near. Loking at the daily price chart, it can be actually finishing a larger (A)-(B)-(C) correction, currently seen in final stages of the wedge pattern within subwave 5, with ideal swing zone here around channel support line , 0.045 – 0.040 area. So, as we have been talking about for a while, BTC.dominance might slow down and ALTcoins may kick in, so ETH may try to catch Bitcoin soon. Just keep in mind that the first bullish evidence for ETHBTC is only above 0.061 region.
QQQ Bear Flag (Potential Correct Start)Classic trend reversal retracement
-Bear flag directly into one of the last imbalances (on 30m timeframe)
- Breakdown to 393 area very possible in the next month or two
- ~10% drop from current levels, would put QQQ squarely in correction territory
- Upside is that 393 area looks to be a very strong (and fresh) support
Silver May Resume Its UptrendSilver may resume its uptrend after recent corrective decline from technical point of view and by Elliott wave theory.
We have been talking a lot about bullish metals in the past months and they may easily stay in the uptrend, especially now when bonds across the globe are recovering away from the supports.
We have seen some slow down on silver recently, but we believe it's just a corrective setback within ongoing bullish trend, as we see an unfinished five-wave bullish cycle.
If we take a look at silver from Elliott wave perspective, we can see a nice three-wave A-B-C correction, which can belong to a higher degree wave 4, so soon be aware of a bullish resumption back to highs within 5 wave.
AU to Dec. 2023 Levels?!Here I have AUD/USD on the Daily Chart!
Since the Low in April, Price for AU has been on a Bullish Run!
I believe the Resistance Level it has been struggling with all year may be coming to BREAK soon!!
On the tail of LOWER than expected NFP numbers for USD last week AND word that the RBA may be needing to look to INCREASE INTEREST RATES .. We could see MUCH more bullishness from AU
SO much in fact that I think the Highs of Dec. 2023 may be in sights!
I am currently waiting for:
Price to fall Lower to a Minor Level of Support to enter a Buy Position
-OR-
Price to Break the Resistance Zone @ ( .6640 - .6612 ) and then to Retest Break for Buy Position
Next Leg Correction underwayRally was short and sweet. Got 0.50. Fibo. Meta cracked it. Was fading all day already after the morning pump; just three up days.
C legs typically extend farther and give a 1.62 extension, capitulation and panic prevail.
May will be Bearish, at least to start, imo. Need to watch this correction carefully to gauge whether it takes ABC form or a more sinister impulsive move.
Setup for a summer rally beyond.
Bears Beware!A correction is coming soon. Maybe started this week. How low will it go? Nobody knows.
So many Bearish Posts. Permabears predicting cataclysm. The End is Near!
Doomsayers who repeatedly forecast massive crashes will eventually be right, once every 15-20 years.
Almost always these guys are just plain wrong. Markets exist to print money. Money prints when prices rise.
Stonks mostly go UP. Every ATH is preceeded by... a prior ATH.
Markets climbs a wall of worry.
Sudden sharp pullbacks and price declines are always a shocker.
But they don't last very long. Few weeks, a few months. Then it goes UP again. Correction of Aug-Oct 2023 was just 3 months, now look at it.
Here is something to consider. Overlay is from April 2020 - Jan 2021.
IF this entire move for past five months has been a First Wave after the 2022 bear, THEN we got a lot more pain for bears coming. Fib extension 1.618 = 6515!
It is certainly possible to enjoy another 20% rally following a correction.
The 2022 bear shaved over 1300 pips off SPX. At current index price closed 5117, we are just 6.5% above the 2021 ATH! Only six percent... after all this bullishness!
Lotta folks worry, "But we are already up 20%!" Well, actually we are up 6% here. The other 14% was recovery of lost value.
I do not foresee another bear market following on the heels of 2022. We should get a sharp correction and then prices will rise, again, as always.
Watch this correction, note the form it takes for clues as to what is next.
Election years tend to be BULLISH. Incumbents promote policy to support financial markets. Uncertainty surrounding the election in October gives way to relief rally in November.
I Tried To Tell Y'all 58K Was In Play- What's Next For Bitcoin?Not to say I told you so, but, yeah, I did tell you all a while back when we broke previous all time highs that the 58K range for Bitcoin was still in play, and guess what happened? We hit it... Well, I didn't post that one on TV, so I may not have told you guys, lol, but it's on my other outlets.
Okay so now that is all out of the way, let's talk about what could possibly happen next. I do not think that just because we hit this level that we will have some kind of V-shaped recovery. Highly doubtful. As a matter of fact, I still believe that we will be heading even further south to the 50K-52K range as I stated in another previous technical analysis post.
Why do I think this? Well, that is where the largest amount of support is sitting. This pump went too high, too fast and is having to correct back down and retest the previous major zone of volume. I mean, it doesn't have to, but it's normal market movements.
Too many in the Bitcoin and crypto space are too short term focused. I know I have been at times, but that is why I am flashing the Daily chart at you is because on the bigger picture, we still have some retracing to do to build a solid market structure before we really go for moon shots. Not only that, the news of government FUD has really shaken up the Bitcoin ETF TradFi crowd and they have been dumping right and left. So downside is not finished by any means and I feel that 50K-52K is still in the cards.
Until next time my trading buddies, trade logically!
BTC - Roadmap to 82k 🗺Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📦 Post-halving , BTC has been hovering within a big range between $60,000 support and $70,000 resistance.
📈 For the bulls to take full control again , and test the $82,000 and upper bound of the red channel, a break above the $72,000 resistance is needed.
📉 In parallel, if the $60,000 support is broken downward, we expect a bearish movement towards the $52,000 demand zone.
Which scenario is more likely to happen first? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Microsoft (MSFT): A Potential Plunge After a Decade's RiseOn the Microsoft three-day chart NASDAQ:MSFT , we've observed that the initial cycle of Wave (5) & I peaked at $430, hitting the 61.8% extension level, and has since declined to $402. We believe that $430 will now act as a strong resistance level.
We anticipate a significant correction for Microsoft, potentially dropping to between $220 and $100. This forecast is based on the end of the first bullish cycle, following a decade of substantial increases in Microsoft's stock price. Such a correction is seen as necessary for sustainable long-term growth
The exact nature of the correction, whether it adopts a Flat or Zigzag pattern, remains to be determined. Flats are more common than Zigzags, hence they are considered more likely, but we are keeping an open mind as we monitor the chart's developments.
We will hold off on positioning ourselves immediately, opting instead to watch how the situation unfolds on the broader chart before identifying potential smaller-scale entry points.