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BTC BULLTREND STARTED DEPENDING ON THIS STUDY 47KWe are avid researchers of market cycles, analyzing the volumes and trends that occur. Based on our thorough study, we have determined that the bullish trend cycle of BTC has commenced. The first cycle began in November 2022, and just this week, we have received confirmation of its bullish trajectory from the study on a technical view. According to our projections, we anticipate BTC to experience gains within this bullish trend, reaching $32,800 initially. Subsequently, there is potential for a significant surge towards the $38,000 range, ultimately leading to a price increase of up to $47,000. Although this progression may occur in stages, we are confident in our assessment that this is indeed a bullish trend. However, it is crucial to bear in mind that as BTC operates within a dynamic market, unexpected news and trends can always arise. To date, our data from November until now has not indicated any shifts in the cycle perspective. Therefore, we anticipate that BTC is currently embarking on a new bullish trend that could soon propel the price to $32,800, with a high expectation of reaching $47,000. Let's see if this is what we expect a new bull trend that are running with the cycle since NOV 2022.
Long
by Goldenbreakout
2
Japanese Yen Is Trading At The SupportJapanese Yen has been one of the weakest currency in the last couple of months. But, looking at the JPY Futures chart, we can see it finishing a larger A-B-C corrective decline, while it's trading at the support, which can cause reversal and recovery for the Japanese Yen. Even COT data of the japanese Yen shows extreme levels for Large speculators (green). It means that we may see some slow down of a current bear move, or even rally in the months ahead.
CME:6J1!Long
by ew-forecast
DXY In An Intraday Corrective RecoveryUSD Index turned down in October 2022 where we think that the dollar might have seen an important, multi-year top. Notice that the decline is strong and impulsive, meaning that there can be more weakness coming this year. However, because of the lower swing high, around 104, there is also a chance that this is a big triangle on a daily chart, but also bearish structure. So in either case, we think that DXY can be headed to 100 this year, which can come in play after A-B-C rally is done. US Dollar - DXY is in new intraday recovery mode, which looks to be corrective as an A-B-C zig-zag pattern. Ideal resistance comes around 103.50 area, from where we should be aware of a bearish continuation.
TVC:DXYShort
by ew-forecast
7
BTC: Tired bulls against raging bearsThe 30K psychological range was strong, since price orbited for days around it, as you've seen. But Bitcoin's price has recently started to decline, primarily due to the impact of the violet line on the ascending price candles. This impact can be seen as a signal to the bulls that they have hit a resistance level and should exercise caution. While it is not always the case, many times when the violet line touches the price, it triggers a reversal. In my previous post, I estimated this "impact" to occur around 31,200. However, it actually happened at a lower price two hours ago, as indicated on the chart. Based on current conditions, I don't anticipate the price reaching or surpassing 31,500 in the near future. Consequently, I am currently adopting a short position in my approach, but I am waiting for the price to fall below the WHITE "stairs" line twice to confirm this short scenario. There was a fakeout crossing of the red and blue lines, which should have occurred but didn't. This indicates that the bears have enough strength locally, particularly within the 1-hour period. My short-term forecast remains the same as in my previous post: the price is likely to drop to 29,500 and linger there momentarily before further descending to the range of 28,000-28,500. Around the 28,000 mark, we will need to conduct another analysis to determine if the price is inclined to go as low as 25,000 or even lower, or if it will rebound instead. Please do not rely solely on my words. Conduct your own thorough analysis, re-analyze the data, and make your own decisions. Trading is a challenging endeavor that requires careful consideration. Atémak
Short
by TradeWithAtemak
1
BTCUSD up 31.2K then downIn this analysis, I've identified a significant moving average (MA) crossover, indicated by the red and blue lines crossing. Historically, such crossovers often lead to price increases. Additionally, I've included a violet line which I believe acts as a catalyst for a downward movement. Once the violet line touches a candle, I anticipate the end of the upward move and the beginning of a substantial price decline. I hadn't previously considered this scenario as I was focused on other indicators and patterns. Based on my analysis, I foresee the following scenario over the comind days: Initially, the price will rise following the crossover of the red and blue lines. The price will continue to climb until the violet line interacts with a candle. Subsequently, a significant price drop is expected, targeting approximately 29500 initially, followed by around 28500. After reaching around 28K, there will be some uncertainty, necessitating a new analysis as the price may potentially drop back to 25K. Although I maintain a bullish stance, I believe a correction is imminent, as mentioned in my previous post. Currently, there appears to be a buying opportunity until the take profit (TP) level of 31200. it's not finished yet for the bulls on a high perspective. I don't think we will see an enormous price drop (below 25K), since we are still in a bullish phase anyway, which needs a correction. Remember, trading can be challenging, so conduct your own analysis and do not solely rely on my words. Stay cautious and take care. Atémak
Long
by TradeWithAtemak
1
Bitcoin's Psychological 30K: Uncertainty and PotentialBitcoin has reached the psychological barrier of 30K, likely triggering a temporary pullback to around 28K. At 28K, uncertainty arises: a strong climb to 32K is expected if bullish momentum persists, while falling below 28K could test the 25,800 support level. On the Weekly, the scenario is still bullish though, but starts to weak a bit. PS: I'm happy to see that the price didn't fall under the 25K support, and climbed as stated in my previous posts. But for now, I would say there is a little slowdown in the bull movement. I hope it is just local and temporary. We need extra candles to be more sure of the bullish strength, if it will last or not (even if there was the sudden surge which reached 30K). My bullish goal is 49K, but it's really far from now.
Short
by TradeWithAtemak
3
USDJPY Is Approaching Strong ResistanceUSDJPY made a sharp reversal in 2022 on a daily chart, and touched 126-130 area after BoJ policy YCC adjustment back in December. However that drop appears completed as we have seen a strong bullish reversal in the lat few months, but it's just another corrective recovery that can be now slowly approaching the end. It's ideally an A-B-C move up to 142 resistance area where we can expect a bearish turn still this year. Alternatively, this can even be W-X-Y from 127 lows, but still a corrective and temporary higher degree pause for wave B/II. A drop and turn back below 137 can be the first evidence of a top in place.
Short
by ew-forecast
SPX on Weekly Resistance Trendline: Is It Correction Time?The S&P 500 index ( SP:SPX ) currently faces a pivotal juncture as it encounters a resistance trendline near the $4400 level. This price region assumes significant importance and necessitates close monitoring to assess potential market dynamics. Should SPX successfully breach and sustain a close above the $4400 resistance this week, it could portend the initiation of a bullish phase, with a notable target at the subsequent resistance level of $4550. This scenario suggests the possibility of further upward momentum for the index. Conversely, a failure to overcome the resistance barrier at $4400 may indicate the likelihood of a corrective phase or the continuation of the prevailing range-bound trading conditions. In such circumstances, it is prudent to exercise caution and consider the potential downside risks. It is worth noting that SPX recently exited the bear market territory, achieving the significant milestone of a close above $4190. This level represents a noteworthy 20% increment from the index's lowest point in October 2022. This development signals a discernible shift in market sentiment and serves as a reference point to assess the underlying strength of SPX. To make well-informed trading decisions, it is imperative to closely monitor the price action of SPX, particularly its ability to surmount the resistance trendline at $4400. Analyzing the index's response at this critical level will offer valuable insights into its near-term direction and potential opportunities. What do you think will happen next? Leave your comments below. Disclaimer: This trading idea is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Conduct independent analysis and exercise due diligence before making trading decisions. Trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results.
SP:SPX
by arielfuggini
1
AUDNZD Is Finishing A Corrective RallyAUDNZD pair made an impulsive sell-off at the end of 2022 on a daily chart, which we see it as a wave (A). Since then, we can see it trading in a larger A-B-C corrective rally within wave (B) that can be now approaching important February highs resistance, from where we should be aware of another sell-off for a higher degree wave (C). Basic Elliott wave pattern with an impulsive five-wave 1-2-3-4-5 decline, followed by a three-wave A-B-C correction indicates for more weakness.
Short
by ew-forecast