CADJPY - 240 Bullish continuation and BAT Pattern set upIn consolidation. Recent high has broken previous structure high at 83.238 and is in a bullish trend. On the Day chart this is the last leg of a BAT pattern looking at completion of the D point at 102.765, quite some way off. The recent reversal in the "kill-zone" box has seen continuation of the bullish trend but has yet to break the current highest point at 83.554 and close above it. This would confirm the continuation up. On the watch list for a completion of the larger BAT.
Continuation
AUDJPY - 240 Bullish ContinuationBullish Trend continuation. Pullback to a double bottom and 1.272 Extension. Predicting continuation Bullish with current low at 74.608 not violated and a re-test of the high at 75.579. Target at resistance of previous structure around 76.144 and confluence with 1.272 extension taken from previous lowest swing (69.978).
AUDCAD - LONG TERM CONTINUATION - SHORT TRADEAUDCAD Multi timeframe analysis.
This is a short trade taking the WEEKLY downtrend as my bias using the Daily all the way down to the One Minute to pinpoint my entry.
1. Weekly Downtrend Continuation
2. Price at the Gartley Pattern with perfect ratios
3. Price has spiked out of every ADR channel at the high from the Daily - One Minute
4. A VSA entry on any timeframe is triggered at either a Weekly Pivot OR has spiked through a Weekly Pivot and pulled back closing below it in this case
5. Enter Trade
PT1/T1: Potential Target 1 is the lower ADR channel band on the Daily timeframe (Exact price level will change over time depending on how fast price reaches it)
T1/PT2: Potential Target 2 is the lower ADR channel band on the Weekly timeframe, used to build a basket of trend positions (Exact price level will change over time depending on how fast price reaches it)
If AUDCAD pushes lower like my analysis STRONGLY suggests and how Friday closing suggests; AUDCAD will could provide a good move of over 200 Pips.
CADCHF - LONG TERM CONTINUATION - SHORT TRADECADCHF Multi timeframe analysis.
This is a short trade taking the WEEKLY downtrend/RANGE as my bias using the Daily all the way down to the One Minute to pinpoint my entry.
1. Weekly Downtrend Continuation
2. Price at the ABCD Pattern with perfect ratios
3. Price has spiked out of every ADR channel at the high from the Daily - One Minute
4. A VSA entry on any timeframe is triggered at either a Weekly Pivot OR has spiked through a Weekly Pivot and pulled back closing below it in this case
5. Enter Trade
T1. Target 1 is the closest Weekly Pivot to a 38.2 retracement of the pattern setup (Will be adjusted if the trade is carried across weeks)
T2. Target 2 is price spiking below the highest timeframes ADR channel, in this case, the Four Hour (Will be adjusted if the trade is carried across weeks)
T3. Target 3 is a spike below the Weekly ADR signaling a change in bias (Used more for trend position building VS expecting the price to reach it every trade)
NZDUSD - LONG TERM CONTINUATION - SHORT TRADENZDUSD Multi timeframe analysis.
This is a short trade taking the DAILY downtrend as my bias using the Four Hour all the way down to the One Minute to pinpoint my entry.
1. Daily Downtrend Continuation
2. Price at the SHARK Pattern with perfect ratios
3. Price has spiked out of every ADR channel at the high from the Four Hour - One Minute
4. A VSA entry on any timeframe is triggered at either a Weekly Pivot OR has spiked through a Weekly Pivot and pulled back closing below it in this case
5. Enter Trade
T1. Target 1 is the closest Weekly Pivot to a 38.2 retracement of the pattern setup (Will be adjusted if the trade is carried across weeks)
T2. Target 2 is price spiking below the highest timeframes ADR channel, in this case, the Four Hour (Will be adjusted if the trade is carried across weeks)
T3. Target 3 is a 2.000 extension of the Daily trend retracement (Used more for trend position building VS expecting the price to reach it every trade)
ORBEX: EURGBP - Ready to Take Break-even Stops Lower?EURGBP could move a tad lower to complete intermediate wave 2 near 0.8480 before continuing higher. The said level is the 100% FE of the first minute degree zig-zag and could be duplicated as minor X was somewhat dominant.
Look for a valid reversal above last zig-zag's minute b wave but expect minute c to complete first. Minute c should be truncated to support this outlook, otherwise, fresh lows can be expected.
Should prices move below minute a low the complex minor W,X,Y pattern could come to an end.
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
This analysis is provided as general market commentary and does not constitute investment advice.
NOK short continuationRejected at zone and falling.
Brokevthrough trendline. Watch area
Around emas. With macd crossdown
Could retest bottom zone. Were on a
Gap fill end and at emas. Need confirmation
Below.
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EURJPY - LONG TERM CONTINUATION - SHORT TRADEEURJPY Multi timeframe analysis.
This is a short trade taking the Weekly downtrend as my bias using the Daily all the way down to the One Minute to pinpoint my entry.
1. Weekly Downtrend Continuation
2. Price at the Gartley & AB=CD Pattern with perfect ratios
3. Price has spiked out of every ADR channel at the high from the Daily - 1 Minute
4. A VSA entry on any timeframe is triggered at either a Weekly Pivot OR has spiked through a Weekly Pivot and pulled back closing below it in this case
5. Enter Trade
T1. Target 1 is the closest Weekly Pivot to a 38.2 retracement of the pattern setup (Can adjust if the trade is carried across weeks)
T2. Target 2 is price spiking below the highest timeframes ADR channel, in this case, the Daily
T3. Target 3 is a 1.618 extension of the Weekly trend retracement (Used more for trend position building VS expecting the price to reach it every trade)
ORBEX: CHFJPY - Open Triangle Top Trendline Penetrated!It looks like the corrective wave (2) of the bullish intermediate degree has ended at 106.74 with an open triangle pattern formed in minor wave C of the A,B,C correction. The recent breakout outside the triangle barriers looks impulsive (as seen in minute 5-wave upside move) and fresh highs could be expected.
In the short-term, we could receive a brief pullback before continuing higher to take out minute wave (iii) near 109.40. Or, we could get there first and then receive a pullback.
Minor wave 1 is expected to end near 110.23 and as part of the intermediate impulse to the upside, minor 5 has a long-term potential above 120.00.
This opportunity would be invalidated below 108.00. A break above 109.10 and then 109.57 would be validating the longer-term outlook.
Stavros Tousios
Head of Investment Research
Orbex
XAUUSD : look to buy near and above 1500It seems XAUUSD and other gold pairs can move much higher and form daily/weekly up swing.
Therefore, I look to buy inside day reversals as long 4 hour candles keep closing above the 1500 zone ( marked on the chart ).
Also daily pivot point could not reverse price down again = immediate bullish indication.
keep adding buys with the trend and make hundreds of pips.
best of luck :-)
SHORT Trade Based On Price ActionThis is a trade setup based on timeframe agreement and price action.
Looking at the relationship across the timeframes, these are some of the things to take notice of:
====DAILY CHART====
The daily chart shows good evidence of bearishness: there are lower lows and lower high; and the price is overbought, interacting with the upper linear regression channel.
====LOWER TIMEFRAMES====
The lower timeframes generally agree with what we are seeing on the daily chart. However the H4 is currently encountering a lot of support. A more conservative trade would be waiting for that support be broken and then retrace before entering.
====STOPLOSS PLACEMENT====
A conservative level for stoploss would be above the previous lower high on the daily.
====PROFIT TAKING====
Consider taking 1:1 profits before the daily's lowest low in the downtrend. However, scope to take profits into oversold area of linear regression channel.
SHORT Trade Based On Price ActionThis is a trade setup based on timeframe agreement and price action.
Looking at the relationship across the timeframes, these are some of the things to take notice of:
====DAILY CHART====
The daily chart shows good evidence of bearishness: there are lower lows and lower high; and the price is overbought, interacting with the upper linear regression channel.
====LOWER TIMEFRAMES====
The lower timeframes generally agree with what we are seeing on the daily chart. However the H4 is currently encountering a lot of support. A more conservative trade would be waiting for that support be broken and then retrace before entering.
====STOPLOSS PLACEMENT====
A conservative level for stoploss would be above the previous lower high on the daily.
====PROFIT TAKING====
Consider taking 1:1 profits before the daily's lowest low in the downtrend. However, scope to take profits into oversold area of linear regression channel.
Another Total Market Cap Update #2Update:
A few more lines added in to show direction
Down to 190 Billion then...
Up to 212 Billion...
Most likely a dump to follow,
if we break up from 212 then we may be seeing a reversal on the market.
Hard to speculate where we will go from here.
I still seeing the details laid out in my last update panning out,
refer to my last post for relevant data.
GBPCAD SS Short + 106 pip PotentialPrice is above the 60 minute and 15 minute KS but in the 15 minute cloud from below. This is a Type 2 trade with a High probability and good RRR.
Trade Parameters:
Entry = Sell a close below the 60 and 15 KS (do not sell now!!!)
Stop = ???
Risk = 25 pips
Profit target = 1.6248 ( The projected daily low )
Reward = + 106 Pips (approximately)
RRR = 4.24 - 1
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Allen
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Thank you for your support.
Another Short Term Update On Our Total Market CapUpdate:
changed my lines around a bit and through in a schiff pitchfork for reference to levels.
Looks like we are going to be consolidating at this price range for the next ~3 days.
What does this mean for Bitcoin and the ALT coins you may ask?
We most likely will see a rebuild up of Bitcoins markets cap putting its price back up t ~8,800-9,200.
If Bitcoins prices breaks the 9,200 resistance level, we may see more movement up here, followed by a recovery in the market.
Butttt... the market seems to very weak right now with large amount of wash trading going on ("Wash Trading" = Creating fake volume on the market to show strength where there truly is only weakness).
I expect more Dumping from BTC on Monday the 29th, if and when the total market cap doesn't recover to ~245-260 Total market cap.
(Which is highly unlikely, not impossible though)
First target for dump 7,100-7,300 (Reversal at 7,300/ continued dump at 7,100)
Second target 6,300-6,600 (Reversal at 6,600/ continued dump at 6,300)
"Second target may not hit until ~5-7th of October"
ALTs?...
Most likely are going to see a continued dump until Bitcoin holds/ finds a reversal.
(May still bleed in this scenario do to everyone FOMO buying btc).
or find an increase if Bitcoin dumps while simultaneously we see more total capital is hitting the market (Strong sign of a reversal coming in my mind at least).
Minor ALTS under the 400 ranking may find pumps during this process, but those are just high risk gambles in my mind.
(These are the true Shit coins on the market and will most likely die off after a recovery happens).