#202447 - priceactiontds - weekly update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
gold futures: I was bullish last Sunday and boi did that pay but now is not the time to buy into this climax. Market is way overdue for a pullback but I would not try to pick the top here. Only longs for me on this but only after we have seen some sideways to down movement. Buying is strong enough to expect a second leg up, which could bring us to 2900. I do think it is highly likely that we close this year above 2800.
Quote from last week:
comment: Market took 48 days to gain the 10% we now lost in 14. This selling is climactic and thus unsustainable. We will soon see a bigger bounce, if not a complete reversal to 2800 again. On the daily chart it looks nasty but on the weekly chart tis but a scratch. Bears closed all but one open bull gap and technically just retested the breakout price for the previous bull leg. This selling is strong enough to seriously doubt much higher prices than 2800. What I do expect is some bounce and more sideways movement between 2600-2800 before we could test lower prices (2300-2400) next year. For now it’s too early to go long, since market has not found a credible bottom yet but since market has not traded much below the weekly 20ema for a year. Swing longs with stop 2480ish are very reasonable.
comment: Market overdid it a bit with the selling and since Monday there are no bears to be found. Measured move up gives us 2866 and if we reach that, 2900 is probably given. You can’t think bearish at all until we reach 2800 again. 5 very strong bull bars closing at the highs. Can’t get any stronger for the bulls. Right now we went from overbought to oversold to overbought. Some pullback is expected and it will likely be a great buying opportunity.
current market cycle: Bull trend
key levels: 2500 - 2900
bull case: Can you buy the highs at 2700 and hope for a 6th consecutive bullish day? I would not. Only interested in buying this on pullbacks but I due think it’s bullish and nothing else. Will likely close 2024 above 2800 if not 2900. Next target for the bulls is 2750, followed by 2800. Dip can go as low as 2650 but below I would get more cautious.
Invalidation is below 2650.
bear case: Bears gave up on Monday. No argument for them at all here and I won’t make much up. Can only see more selling pressure coming back around 2800. I expect any pullback to be bought.
Invalidation is above 2750.
outlook last week:
short term: Neutral until bulls claim 2630 again. 2540 just has to hold or if we spike down to 2500 we would have to see huge buying or this will flush down more. Bears are in full control until market trades above the 4h ema again.
→ Last Sunday we traded 2570 and now we are at 2712. Perfect. Hope you made some or at least did not short the lows.
short term: Max bullish if we stay above 2650. 2800 is my expectation and 2900 possible.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-24: Likely to close 2024 above 2800 but I do think the recent selling was the first hint that we will transition into a trading range soon.
current swing trade: None
chart update: Added two legged correction (ABC)
Commodities
Our beloved Gold🌟 GOLD WEEKLY FORECAST 🌟
The price is moving within an ascending channel, indicating a bullish trend
✓ Sell Zone: Between $2,724-$2,734, indicating resistance where selling pressure could increase. (A breakout above the Sell Zone could target the Strong Sell Zone.)If the price sustains above the Sell Zone, further bullish movement toward the Strong Sell Zone is anticipated .
✓ Strong Sell Zone: Above the $2,758-$2,764 range, marked as a potential reversal area.
A breakout below $2,716 (highlighted level) could lead to the retracement or the Strong Buy Zone.
✓ Strong Buy Zone: Around $2,686-$2,692, a key support area for potential buying opportunities.
Retracement Zone: Below the $2,686 level, indicating a potential bearish retracement zone.
Silver is in the bullish trend after testing supportHello Traders
In This Chart XAGUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today XAGUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (XAGUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on XAGUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Gold: Strong Gains Driven by Global Uncertainty and DemandGold: Strong Gains Driven by Global Uncertainty and Demand
Last week, gold continued its upward trajectory, closing at $2,716 per ounce. The positive momentum in the gold market was driven by several key factors related to geopolitics, the global economy, and structural demand for the metal.
Geopolitics and Economic Uncertainty
One of the primary drivers of gold prices remains geopolitical uncertainty. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine has prompted investors to seek safe havens, with gold, as a traditional "safe haven" asset, attracting significant capital inflows.
Additionally, economic uncertainty in the Eurozone and China is boosting demand for gold. In Europe, tensions stem from economic instability, while in China, concerns about a slowdown in key sectors of the economy weigh on market sentiment.
Inflation Concerns
The rising risk of a global inflation rebound also supports higher gold prices. The tariffs proposed by future President Donald Trump on goods imported into the U.S. could raise production costs and consumer prices, fueling inflation concerns. In such scenarios, gold becomes an attractive hedge against inflation.
Monetary Policy and Central Bank Purchases
Gold is also benefiting from the ongoing cycle of interest rate cuts around the world. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it a more appealing investment asset.
Moreover, central banks continue to bolster their reserves by purchasing gold at a strong pace, a trend that supports the market amid increasing global uncertainties and inflation risks.
Emerging Economies Driving Demand
The economic growth of emerging markets, such as China and India, is another factor driving gold prices. These countries traditionally have high demand for gold, driven by cultural and investment preferences. As the wealth of these societies grows, demand for gold, both as an investment and in the form of jewelry, is likely to rise.
Conclusion
Gold remains a key beneficiary of global uncertainties, both geopolitical and economic. Factors such as escalating conflicts, inflation fears, loose monetary policy, and rising demand from emerging economies are bolstering its upward momentum.
Will gold maintain its current growth trajectory? Much depends on the future course of geopolitical and economic developments. For now, gold stands out as an attractive asset for investors seeking safety and inflation protection.
What are your forecasts for the gold market? Share your thoughts in the comments below.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2728 and a gap below at 2703. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2728
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2728 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2743
POTENTIALLY 2759
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2759 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2772
POTENTIALLY 2787
BEARISH TARGETS
2703
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2703 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2684
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2684 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2657
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
2638
SWING RANGE
2638 - 2620
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price lay between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2736 and a gap below at 2694, as weighted Goldturns and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2736
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2736 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2785
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2785 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2821
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2821 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2858
BEARISH TARGETS
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2654
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2654 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2565 - 2519
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
This is an update on the weekly chart idea we have been tracking for over a month now.
This chart allowed us to project the long term corrections and direction. We were able to track our bullish targets until no ema5 lock to confirm rejection into the retracement range below for the correction.
We have been suggesting over the last few weeks that we will be looking for the channel top and the retracement range to provide the support for a reaction.
We also stated that we have a body close below the retracement range opening the swing range but will need ema5 cross and lock to further confirm this. No lock below confirmed the rejection. The new weekly candle this week also had the ema5 detachment to the top, which followed with the correction above to re-attach and now heading towards the 2729 axis target once again.
Overall the channel top provided the support like we analysed. Although we saw candle body closes below the channel there was no ema5 break into the channel, which allowed us to identify the fake-out and confirm the support. This is the beauty of our Gold channels, which we draw in our unique way, using averages rather than the price. This enables us to identify fake-outs and breakouts clearly, as minimal noise in the way our channels are drawn.
We will track the movement down, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps for the future.
We will continue to track the movement down and trade the bounces up, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gaps above for the future..
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Crude Oil - High Tide Pt.2Pt 1 found here .
This is an extremely critical market at this time. What must be understood, is NYMEX light crude oil is not its' own independent market, but rather a BENCHMARK for a larger market for crude oil globally, and its' derivatives. Consider a Kenyan bank, that owns a loan on a Kenyan gas station. What is the best instrument to hedge their investment? Well, obviously the answer is NYMEX:RB1! , NYMEX gasoline futures. The sovereign bond of gasoline prices so to speak.
Examining the market technically, we see that it appears bullish. The market experienced a severe panic in price during 2020, as demand and logistics collapsed in face of a global epidemic. However the price has recovered considerably, due to OPEC controls and the global necessity for this commodity. In fact, the market has even retested attempts made at reaching its 2008 high.
Many local market do not have access to global markets as might be expected, such as the NYSE and CME to conduct their day-to-day affairs. This highlights the importance of NYMEX:CL1! globally, not only for the physical delivery of light crude in the United States. But the global marketplace for light crude oil and its' derivatives, such as plastic containers, heating oil and cosmetic products. The reference price for such items by suppliers, is naturally the most liquid benchmark available to them. Which is to say, they will sell their product based on the most available market for their ingredients. A notion common in all business, to be examined at a global level to understand the relevance of this market into the future. This market exists in the United States, which is what underpins the importance of the US Dollar as this principle applies to all commodity and equity benchmarks. Furthermore, the principle of liquidity remains relevant all through history, where commodities as long as trade exists have been priced according to the most liquid benchmark.
The relevance of the US Dollar can most clearly be observed in global bond markets. As capital becomes scarce as Quantitative Easing globally comes to an end, and begins to flow towards the USA, creating the rally in $TVC:DXY. Rates in sovereign debt markets in the US and abroad have risen, and prices have fallen. A lack of demand in sovereign debt outside the USA is being realized, as FRED:RRPONTTLD RRP usage has risen since the beginning of the war between Ukraine and Russia. Because the USA is also the global benchmark for interest rates, due to its deep liquidity. Banks all around the globe balance and hedge their local debt based on this proxy market. For all intents and purposes, this is the only game in town.
It may seem odd that the price of crude oil in US Dollars has risen, given that the value of the US Dollar has risen significantly worldwide. Inflation domestically might dictate that the price of NYMEX:CL1! should fall, but this has not been the case. There is something beneath the surface, that indicates a deep value in this trade yet to be realised. Despite governments and activist organisations fighting against the product, its relevance in commerce has not diminished. Coupled with the importance of this global benchmark, the whole of oil-based product globally appears as important as ever. The market indicated last week the potential for a turning point, as it has capitulated. Traders should consider the market will likely make another low, but appears to be setting up for a rally.
Jesus help us! New to ECO and probably bought at the very wrong time. Currently watching this falling knife and wondering how I missed there monstrous amount of debt!!! It hurts so bad!!
No idea where bottom is. I thought it was going to eat the gap and recover...looks like its beyond my crystal ball abilities.
Crossing my fingers it doesn't go low enough to cause the DIV to get shut down but it's a huge div so it will either pay it forward like a golden goose or take hard earned money like so many other stocks and leave me thinking about savings accounts over investing!
Gold: Strong Gains Driven by Global Uncertainty and DemandGold: Strong Gains Driven by Global Uncertainty and Demand
Last week, gold continued its upward trajectory, closing at $2,716 per ounce. The positive momentum in the gold market was driven by several key factors related to geopolitics, the global economy, and structural demand for the metal.
Geopolitics and Economic Uncertainty
One of the primary drivers of gold prices remains geopolitical uncertainty. The escalation of the conflict in Ukraine has prompted investors to seek safe havens, with gold, as a traditional "safe haven" asset, attracting significant capital inflows.
Additionally, economic uncertainty in the Eurozone and China is boosting demand for gold. In Europe, tensions stem from economic instability, while in China, concerns about a slowdown in key sectors of the economy weigh on market sentiment.
Inflation Concerns
The rising risk of a global inflation rebound also supports higher gold prices. The tariffs proposed by future President Donald Trump on goods imported into the U.S. could raise production costs and consumer prices, fueling inflation concerns. In such scenarios, gold becomes an attractive hedge against inflation.
Monetary Policy and Central Bank Purchases
Gold is also benefiting from the ongoing cycle of interest rate cuts around the world. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, making it a more appealing investment asset.
Moreover, central banks continue to bolster their reserves by purchasing gold at a strong pace, a trend that supports the market amid increasing global uncertainties and inflation risks.
Emerging Economies Driving Demand
The economic growth of emerging markets, such as China and India, is another factor driving gold prices. These countries traditionally have high demand for gold, driven by cultural and investment preferences. As the wealth of these societies grows, demand for gold, both as an investment and in the form of jewelry, is likely to rise.
Conclusion
Gold remains a key beneficiary of global uncertainties, both geopolitical and economic. Factors such as escalating conflicts, inflation fears, loose monetary policy, and rising demand from emerging economies are bolstering its upward momentum.
Will gold maintain its current growth trajectory? Much depends on the future course of geopolitical and economic developments. For now, gold stands out as an attractive asset for investors seeking safety and inflation protection.
What are your forecasts for the gold market? Share your thoughts in the comments below.
Meta, time to enter?Hi everyone!
Pattern: Meta formed an ascending triangle from Jan 2024 up to Sep 2024 where it broke out of the pattern. Currently retesting the breakout level and has potential for long entry.
Price target: The price target for ascending triangle breakout pattern is the measure of the height of the triangle from its base to the resistance line. Add this to the breakout point and we get the target price of 670$
Caution: If the price fall back to the triangle, this analysis is not valid anymore.
Weekly Forex Forecast Nov. 25-28th: GOLD Resumes Bullish Trend.After three bearish Weekly candles, safehaven seekers pushed the prices past the previous weekly high with a strong close. Will this continue next week? I suspect it will. The Monthly and Weekly TFs show bullishness, and indicate the bearishness was short term.
That said, I am prepared to sell if the entry function presents itself at the current -FVG price is contacting. This price level is in the premium of the trading range, making it a great area to look for a short. But it is counter-trend, so a reasonable profit target is in order.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NATGAS REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅NATGAS is approaching a demand level around 3.00$
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bearish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅