GOLD / Consolidating Between 2653 and 2637 !Gold Technical Analysis
The price is consolidating between 2637 and 2653, with stability above 2653 which is bullish toward 2661 and 2678,
Otherwise, as long as trades below 2653 will trade at the bearish area, closing 1h or 4h candle below 2637 will support bearish toward 2624
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2653
Resistance Levels: 2661, 2678, 2706
Support Levels: 2637, 2625, 2612, 2585
Trend Outlook
Uptrend: Bullish momentum is expected if the price holds above 2653.
Bearish Momentum: Dominant as long as the price remains below 2649, especially below 2638.
Commodities
GOLD--> The bears are gaining strength! Next target: 2605OANDA:XAUUSD is declining after a false breakout of the resistance range. The fundamental backdrop is mixed and still does not allow for a clear medium- and long-term strategy to be formed. But!...
Trump's tariff policy and rising geopolitical tensions are influencing metal prices. Against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar and expectations of a Fed rate cut, gold prices are declining and confirming the market's structure.
Looking ahead, all eyes will be on U.S. employment data as the country will release multiple job-related figures ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday.
From a technical standpoint, we have a trend to watch after leaving the rising channel support and the 2636 area, reflecting the prevailing bearish sentiment.
A breakout below 2636 could trigger aggressive selling against the backdrop of a newly strengthened dollar. However, the possibility of a retest of the area of interest before continuing the downward trend cannot be ruled out. Gold prices are expected to decline and reach levels of 2610 and 2596, respectively.
Long Gold AgainWe just bought gold near 2632, and then gold rebounded above 2643. I just closed our long position near 2642 and easily earned 100 pips.
At present, gold has fallen back to around 2626. Although we just missed the opportunity to short gold, when gold falls back, as long as gold does not fall below the 2625 line, I think the gold fall is still an opportunity to go long on gold, so I just went long on gold again near 2628. I think we should be able to make at least another 100 pips profit. Anyway, wish us good luck!
Bros, have you gone long on gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Silver's Next Big Move: A High-Probability Trade to $34.88!This trade is based on a clean 4-hour FVG (Fair Value Gap) setup. The FVG displaced above a short-term high, confirming a bullish structure shift, and subsequently retraced into a high-probability FVG. This type of retracement often offers strong entries with minimal risk while aligning with the higher timeframe directional bias.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Within the retraced 4-hour FVG.
- Immediate Target: HTF (Higher Timeframe) buyside liquidity at 34.88981.
- Stop Loss: Positioned below the 4-hour FVG to protect against invalidation of the setup.
Conclusion: This setup leverages a textbook ICT concept, utilizing displacement and retracement into a high-probability zone. If the price continues respecting the FVG and bullish structure, the HTF buyside liquidity target at 34.88981 becomes highly achievable.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research)!
2024-12-05 - priceactiontds - daily update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well.
tl;dr
gold - Neutral. Death zone is 2644 - 2688. Until we break out of it, I will not touch it again. Unchanged. But the accuracy is pretty amazing so far. I am not touching this but longs are preferred below 2650 for trading back up to 2670+.
comment: Clear trading range so don’t over analyse it. 2644 has to hold for the bulls and bears need to stay below 2680 tomorrow. As long as these prices hold, you have to trade the range and mean reverse. Market is in total balance, so don’t try to guess where the next breakout will happen.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 2644 - 2680
bull case: If bulls fail at 2644, 2630 comes next and then the big bull trend line around 2620ish. They desperately need a close above 2680 if they want a buy signal going into next week and even then the upside is probably limited to 2700 and the bear trend line.
Invalidation is below 2610ish.
bear case: Bears are preventing the market from closing above the daily ema but fail to make new lows below 2644. No side has an advantage and if you don’t like scalping, it’s best to wait for a clear new trend. If bulls were strong and wanted to close this year above 2800, we would probably have seen it by now.
Invalidation is above 2700.
short term: Neutral. Market is in balance around 2630.
medium-long term - Update from 2024-11-24: Likely to close 2024 above 2800 but I do think the recent selling was the first hint that we will transition into a trading range soon.
current swing trade: None
trade of the day: Selling above 2675 has been profitable since Monday.
XAUUSD (1h) buy signal inside a Rectangle.Gold is neutral on the (1h) timeframe, trading sideways inside a Rectangle (Resistance 1 and Support 1).
The price almost hit Support (1) for the 3rd time since Nov 26th and is a technical buy signal.
Each of those times it rose to at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 2649 (the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) almost turned oversold (below 30.00). The previous two times that happened, it was a technical buy signal as well.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
GOLD (xauusd) → a short signalhello there!
as you can see gold broke the ascending channel once and it returned!
now in a short time frame, it is forming a Quasimodo pattern!
this pattern confirmed our short position suspect!
in a higher time frame, it formed an engulfed candle too!
the target of this position is the internal trendline!
let's see what will happen!
GOLD → Consolidation before a strong movement. But where to?FX:XAUUSD continues to consolidate and we have questionable preconditions that indicate both a possible fall (fundamental background) and growth (technical background).
Gold is holding back after Fed Chairman Powell's speech:
The US economy is in remarkably good shape.We are moving very quickly with rates.
"I am very pleased with where monetary policy is right now"
Unemployment is still very low and progress is being made in fighting inflation
The focus remains on the jobless claims data and NFP at this time
Technically, the focus is on consolidation in a locally rising channel format. A price exit from the channel in either direction may be accompanied by a strong impulse.
Resistance levels: 2655, 2660, 2688
Support levels: 2636, 2620, 2605
Two scenarios due to mixed and stalemate situation:
black: Powell commented on the situation as strong enough for the US market, accordingly, gold is forming a consolidation in a flag format, which is technically a pattern for a continuation of the fall.
blue: On D1 there are prerequisites for local growth. If the price breaks 2655, then 2660, the growth may continue to the zone of interest 2688.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another ranging day on the charts today, which works perfectly with our strategy and plans to buy dips, as we are able to continue to use the weighted level to take the bounces.
Please see the daily chart update, to give you all an overall view of the range. We are playing between two weighted levels 2629 and 2686. 2629 is still providing support with no ema5 lock below.
This is allowing us to use our smaller timeframe analysis on the 1H chart to buy dips from the weighted Goldturns for 30 to 40 pips clean. Ranging markets are perfectly suited for this type of trading, instead of trying to hold longer positions and getting chopped up in the swings up and down in the range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up using our smaller timeframe ideas.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we look forward to drops like this, which allows us to continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
gold currently at 2646 and the 1-hour trend showing bearishWith gold currently at **2646** and the **1-hour trend showing bearish momentum**, this aligns well with your sell entry at **2647** targeting **2622**. Here's OANDA:XAUUSD how the setup looks:
Current Position Analysis:
*Price**: 2646
-Trend**: 1-hour timeframe bearish (indicates downward pressure).
Strategy Insights:
1. **Entry Timing**:
- Since the price is hovering around your intended entry (2647), you could open the position soon, provided the bearish trend is confirmed by indicators such as moving averages, RSI, or MACD.
2. **Target**:
- Aim for 2622, which is 24 points below the current price, offering a potential profit depending on your lot size.
3. **Risk Management**:
- Set a **stop-loss** to guard against reversal. A level around **2655-2660** could be reasonable, depending on volatility and resistance zones.
4. **Confirming the Bearish Trend**:
- Look for additional confirmation like:
- **Candlestick patterns**: E.g., a bearish engulfing pattern.
- **Volume**: Decreasing on pullbacks and increasing on sell-offs.
- **Support levels**: Ensure 2622 aligns with a key support zone.
Would you like help analyzing charts or identifying technical levels?
The Anomaly Price Event May Hit Before December 31Just before the US Presidential Elections, I published a detailed research report suggesting the markets may move into a low-liquidity event that could be very dangerous for traders.
My Adaptive Dynamic Learning (AI) predictive modeling system highlighted a range of price volatility just after the election showing a very real downward price event. If this event takes place, we may see the SPY/QQQ fall more than 5.5% while other sectors may fall more than 10.5%.
What is interesting is the post-election rally pushed some SPDR sectors above the upper ADL predicted price range. This means price is now very overbought in terms of expected levels.
Any reversion could prompt a very solid downward price move and catch many traders by surprise.
I'm watching my Crash Index and the XLF & XLRE sectors for any signs of a breakdown.
I suggest all of you move to protect capital as we move into the end of 2024 and prepare for what may become a very violent and volatile Anomaly Price Event.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
XAUUSD:5/12 Today's Market Analysis and StrategyGold technical analysis
Daily resistance 2700, support below 2580
Four-hour resistance 2653, support below 2622
Gold operation suggestions:
The above pattern shows today's oscillation range pattern, and also estimates the rhythm of fluctuations. Today's short opportunities are 2657 and 2666. Only when 2666 is broken will the thinking be readjusted. 2632/33 is also very critical. Recently, it has stopped here for many times to rebound. It has been emphasized many times to arrange long orders near 2632. Today is the same. If there is a suitable low point below, continue to do more. The current idea is to short below 2657 and buy more above 2632!
Idea for Gold @2024/12/05FPMARKETS:XAUUSD
Key Observations:
Elliott Wave Count:
The chart is labeled with Elliott Wave counts, including primary (i, ii, iii, iv, v) and corrective waves (a, b, c).
It suggests that a five-wave impulse structure (upward trend) has been completed, followed by a corrective wave sequence (A-B-C).
Corrective Structure:
The ongoing correction seems to be forming a zigzag (A-B-C).
Wave (a) is downward, wave (b) retraces upwards, and wave (c) is expected to continue downward, possibly breaking support levels.
Channels:
The price action is within a parallel upward channel. This channel might represent the larger trend boundary, with corrective waves testing the lower channel boundary.
Moving Average:
A moving average (likely the 50-period) is plotted and appears to act as dynamic support/resistance. The price is currently below it, indicating bearish momentum.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Key support levels are marked at approximately $2,484, $2,363, and $2,320.
Resistance is visible at the wave (b) high near $2,680.
Projection:
The projection for wave (c) suggests a potential decline toward the lower boundary of the channel, aligning with the Fibonacci retracement levels or significant support zones.
Analysis:
Short-Term Bearish: The corrective wave (c) is likely to extend downward, aiming for support near $2,484–$2,363.
Mid-to-Long-Term Bullish: As this is a corrective phase within an upward trend, the longer-term perspective might favor resumption of the bullish trend after wave (c) completes.
Key Trading Considerations:
Watch for wave (c) completion near support levels for a potential reversal and long entry.
A break below the channel’s lower boundary could signal a deeper correction.
Monitor price action and volume near the 50-period moving average for shifts in momentum.
The bulls are not completely defeated, go long gold!Brothers, gold has fallen sharply to around 2635 in the short term, which seems to have broken the recent range of fluctuations. So are the bears really coming? Have the bulls completely failed in the struggle between the long and short sides?
Although gold seems to be falling rapidly in the short term, the bulls still have a certain degree of resistance and will not be completely defeated immediately. I have just reminded that it is difficult for gold to have a sustainable market before the NFP market. So the short-term decline of gold is probably a fake move to trap more short positions of short gold at low levels. So I think before gold falls below the 2630-2625 area, we must be particularly careful about the counterattack of bullish energy, and we cannot blindly chase short gold.
So in terms of trading, we can try to go long on gold in batches in the 2635-2625 area. Wish us good luck!Bros, will you follow me to do more gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Analysis ==>>Expanding Triangle Pattern!!!Gold ( OANDA:XAUUSD )is entering the Resistance zone($2,667-$2,653) .
From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , Gold seems to be moving in the Expanding Triangle Pattern during the last 3 days .
In terms of Elliott wave theory , Gold appears to be completing a Zigzag Correction(ABC) . ( Wave B(WXY) was complicated ).
Also, Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect Gold to drop to at least $2,642 , and if the Support lines(1,2) break, the Heavy Support zone($2,642-$2,620) can also break.
⚠️Note: You can enter a Short position by considering capital management after finding a trigger near the resistance lines or after breaking the Support zone($2,652-$2,648).⚠️
⚠️Note: However, the next few hours(6:45 pm UTC) of Fed Chair Powell's Speech will greatly impact the Gold trend.⚠️
⚠️Note: If the Resistance lines(upper line of triangle) and the Resistance zone($2,667-$2,653) are broken, we should wait for the Gold pump.⚠️
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Gold Analyze ( XAUUSD ), 15-minute time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)While everyone is getting very impatient with Gold's consolidation, I'm sitting here in peace. I told you all on the FIRST ANALYSIS that we have a 'Flat Correction' from the EW Theory strategy currently playing out. This means a 3 Sub-Wave (A,B,C) schematic playing out within a tight range.
Now waiting for a break below the current consolidation, so price can create Wave B around $2,580 & consolidate within a larger range.
Gold: A Beacon in Economic UncertaintyGold: A Beacon in Economic Uncertainty
Gold has long been a symbol of stability, value, and security. In today’s turbulent economic and political environment, its role as a safe-haven asset is more critical than ever. Global events, ranging from monetary policy shifts to geopolitical crises, are shaping the price of this precious metal. What does the future hold for gold, and what does it mean for investors?
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A Safe Haven in Chaotic Times
During periods of global uncertainty, when financial markets grapple with volatility, gold remains one of the most sought-after assets. Recent events, such as the government crisis in France, fiscal policy uncertainties in the United States, and OPEC+ decisions to extend oil production cuts, have highlighted its enduring appeal.
Gold is often viewed as a stabilizer amid market turmoil, especially when investors are concerned about rising inflation and economic slowdowns. In Europe, the European Central Bank’s plans for further interest rate cuts enhance the attractiveness of assets like gold, which serve as a hedge against currency devaluation.
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Macroeconomic Trends Supporting Gold Prices
1. Monetary Policy and Real Interest Rates
Both the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are adopting dovish stances, which bodes well for gold prices. In an environment of low real interest rates—where inflation outpaces bond yields—investors increasingly turn to gold as a protective asset.
2. Growing Demand for Gold
Central banks worldwide, particularly in China and India, are ramping up gold purchases, increasing global reserves. This reduced market supply acts as a catalyst for price growth.
3. Geopolitical Tensions
Political crises, such as budget impasses in the U.S. and uncertainty in the European Union stemming from France’s leadership challenges, drive investors toward safe-haven assets, lifting gold's value.
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Gold in the Digital Age
Modern technologies like blockchain are revolutionizing gold investment. Tokenization is making the gold market more accessible, blending the stability of traditional assets with the flexibility of digital solutions. Individual and institutional investors are increasingly leveraging these advancements, recognizing their potential to shape the future of the gold market.
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Forecast: Will Gold Hold Its Shine?
Experts predict that gold will remain in the spotlight in the coming years. Anticipated developments include:
- Further interest rate cuts in Europe and the United States.
- Rising geopolitical and political tensions, increasing demand for protective assets.
- Sustained high demand from central banks and financial institutions.
In the long term, gold appears to be an excellent hedge against inflation and market volatility.
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Conclusion
Gold, throughout history, has been synonymous with value and security. Amid today’s global economic and political challenges, its role is more crucial than ever. Investors should view gold not only as a means of capital preservation but also as a cornerstone of a well-diversified investment portfolio.
Is gold part of your financial strategy? In times of uncertainty, it may be precisely what you need for stability and peace of mind.
GOLD - Price can exit from pennant and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price entered to falling channel, where soon broke $2720 level and then fell to support line.
After this, price rose to resistance line and then continued to fall, until it broke $2610 level and fell to $2536 points.
Then price turned around and started to grow in pennant, exiting from falling channel and soon breaking $2610 level.
Later Gold rose to resistance level, which coincided with resistance line of pennant, which bounced down.
Next, price was corrected to support level and some time traded near, and at the moment, XAU trades close support line.
In my mind, price can leave pennant and then bounce up to $2720 resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
HelenP. I Gold will exit from pennant and rise to $2705 levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price declined firstly to the 2705 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and soon broke this level. After this, XAU tried to back up, but when it entered to resistance zone, the price continued to decline and later fell to the 2620 support level, which coincided with the support zone. Gold broke this level too, made a retest, and dropped to the trend line. Then the price started to grow inside the pennant, where it in a short time rose to the 2620 support level and broke it again. Next, the price made a retest and continued to grow until to resistance zone. When Gold reached this area, the price made a fake breakout of the resistance level and then dropped back to the support level. After this, the price some time traded near this level and later tried to grow, but soon fell to the trend line. At the moment price continues to trades near this line inside the pennant. That's why I expect that XAUUSD will start to grow to a resistance level, thereby exiting from the pennant pattern. For this case, my goal is the 2705 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-05 : Flat-Down PatternToday's Flat-Down pattern may continue the rolling top pattern in my Crash Index - suggesting the markets are consolidating after the post-Election rally phase.
I continue to warn traders this low liquidity market phase will likely prompt some very big volatility in price action between the election and, roughly, January 5-10. Stay cautious.
I believe the markets are starting to revert a bit downward and I believe this is a very healthy move for the markets - especially after the post-election rally phase.
We need the markets to resolve back into a moderation phase before attempting to make another bigger move to the upside. So, watching the markets potential roll over and fall about 3~5% would not surprise me.
Gold and Silver are moving into a fairly strong rally phase. This could be coupled with a moderate US Dollar decline.
Bitcoin rallied above $103k over the past 24 hour - WOW. Buckle up - the Bitcoin crew will be out in force with their memes and other comments.
Remember, play these market moves safely. If you can afford to take the lumps, don't trade too much capital with each trade.
Going to be a very interesting holiday as I believe liquidity will continue to erode and present even more volatility.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold