GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A Piptastic finish to the week with our chart levels respecting and playing out like we analysed.
We tracked and traded the 1H chart all week, which was playing in a tight range, allowing us to use the weighted levels for the bounces throughout the week, taking advantage of the 30 to 40 pip weighted bounces.
This is now the 4h chart that we shared on Sunday and as you can see the retracement range was tested to perfection today, clearing 2612 bearish target, followed with the bounce just like we stated, completing the week with a bag full of pips.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Commodities
Gold: A Beacon in Economic UncertaintyGold: A Beacon in Economic Uncertainty
Gold has long been a symbol of stability, value, and security. In today’s turbulent economic and political environment, its role as a safe-haven asset is more critical than ever. Global events, ranging from monetary policy shifts to geopolitical crises, are shaping the price of this precious metal. What does the future hold for gold, and what does it mean for investors?
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A Safe Haven in Chaotic Times
During periods of global uncertainty, when financial markets grapple with volatility, gold remains one of the most sought-after assets. Recent events, such as the government crisis in France, fiscal policy uncertainties in the United States, and OPEC+ decisions to extend oil production cuts, have highlighted its enduring appeal.
Gold is often viewed as a stabilizer amid market turmoil, especially when investors are concerned about rising inflation and economic slowdowns. In Europe, the European Central Bank’s plans for further interest rate cuts enhance the attractiveness of assets like gold, which serve as a hedge against currency devaluation.
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Macroeconomic Trends Supporting Gold Prices
1. Monetary Policy and Real Interest Rates
Both the U.S. Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are adopting dovish stances, which bodes well for gold prices. In an environment of low real interest rates—where inflation outpaces bond yields—investors increasingly turn to gold as a protective asset.
2. Growing Demand for Gold
Central banks worldwide, particularly in China and India, are ramping up gold purchases, increasing global reserves. This reduced market supply acts as a catalyst for price growth.
3. Geopolitical Tensions
Political crises, such as budget impasses in the U.S. and uncertainty in the European Union stemming from France’s leadership challenges, drive investors toward safe-haven assets, lifting gold's value.
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Gold in the Digital Age
Modern technologies like blockchain are revolutionizing gold investment. Tokenization is making the gold market more accessible, blending the stability of traditional assets with the flexibility of digital solutions. Individual and institutional investors are increasingly leveraging these advancements, recognizing their potential to shape the future of the gold market.
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Forecast: Will Gold Hold Its Shine?
Experts predict that gold will remain in the spotlight in the coming years. Anticipated developments include:
- Further interest rate cuts in Europe and the United States.
- Rising geopolitical and political tensions, increasing demand for protective assets.
- Sustained high demand from central banks and financial institutions.
In the long term, gold appears to be an excellent hedge against inflation and market volatility.
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Conclusion
Gold, throughout history, has been synonymous with value and security. Amid today’s global economic and political challenges, its role is more crucial than ever. Investors should view gold not only as a means of capital preservation but also as a cornerstone of a well-diversified investment portfolio.
Is gold part of your financial strategy? In times of uncertainty, it may be precisely what you need for stability and peace of mind.
XAUUSD Gold price struggles to capitalize on its goodish intraday bounce from a one-and-half-week low touched earlier this Friday, though it manages to hold above $2,630. Investors refrain from taking large positions ahead of the November jobs report from the US.
From a technical perspective, an intraday breakdown below the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart and a short-term trading range support near the $2,633-2,632 area was seen as a key trigger for bearish traders. The subsequent swift recovery, however, warrants some caution before positioning for any further losses. Meanwhile, any further move up is likely to confront some resistance near the $2,649 region ahead of the $2,655 supply zone. Some follow-through buying beyond last Friday's swing high, around the $2,666 area will shift the bias in favor of bulls and allow the Gold price to reclaim the $2,700 mark.On the flip side, the Asian session low, around the $2,614-2,613 region, now seems to act as immediate strong support ahead of the $2,605-2,600 area. This is followed by the 100-day SMA, currently around the $2,583 zone, below which the Gold price could slide to the November monthly swing low, around the $2,537-2,536 area. The downward trajectory could extend further and eventually drag the XAU/USD to the $2,500 psychological mark
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-05 : Harami-Inside DayToday's pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will stay rather flat and likely close within yesterday's body range.
I'm not expecting a lot of price action today - although we could see a high/low range outside of yesterday's body range.
Gold and Silver are struggling to find support and rally from recent lows. The US Dollar's move back below 106 is positive for metals. But I urge traders to stay very cautious until they see a clear bullish breakaway pattern in metals.
I've been trying to tell everyone for 3+ weeks that the markets typically go a bit WONKY after a big election process. This year, Trump's victory was a big surprise for many, and I'm confident traders are attempting to avoid risks by staying away from making big moves before the end of the year.
Bitcoin fell back below $100k again and I believe BTCUSD could be setting up a very large Excess Phase Peak pattern. If I'm correct, we may see Bitcoin fall to GETTEX:82K (possibly $72k) as the EPP pattern continues.
It is very early in this EPP price structure, but ultimately, the EPP either continues to play out or invalidates. So, one way or another, we will either see a move down to GETTEX:82K (or below) or a rally move breaking above the $103k highs.
Again, I expect a very flat day for the SPY/QQQ. Stay safe.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
GOLD Under Pressure! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2650.4 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 2643.9
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP
This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price.
Quick report this week with the key levels to look for during the rest of the day. We had the 2630-35 region hold price down, giving us the move into the lower target regions completing all the bearish targets for the week, so now we’ll look for a similar move, or, simply stay out of it.
We have the level of 2670 still active from the KOG Report, maybe they have held back all week to swoop that level, so for that reason, that is where we will look to for a RIP and possible short attempt.
Circled below is a key level, 2625, any attempts at that region with rejection can give that push upside, unless broken. We did say yesterday a break of support will take us into those lower levels of 2610-15 which has already happened, so a similar move can not be discounted for a potential bounce from below.
Due to the range, the movement can be extreme, so please be careful, remember the trade comes after the event, let them move price to where they want, look for a clean reversal and you can capture the reversal.
RED BOXES:
Break above 2650 for 2661, 2664 and 2670 in extension of the move
Break below 2625 for 2615, 2610 and 2695 in extension of the move
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Don't be surprised with a $50 oil price next yearThe waves show the direction, and if this daily candle closes significantly lower than the previous low, and the red countertrend line breaks, we may witness a nice fall in the oil prices.
Of course, the OPEC may step in, but the trend is a trend.
Let me know what you think in the comments!
Stay Patient, Stay Disciplined!
Don't be surprised with a $50 oil price next yearThe waves show the direction, and if this daily candle closes significantly lower than the previous low, and the red countertrend line breaks, we may witness a nice fall in the oil prices.
Of course, the OPEC may step in, but the trend is a trend.
Stay Patient, Stay Disciplined!
GOLD Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2,637.581.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2,613.313.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Gold Short: Capitalizing on Sunday Open RejectionGold has shown a strong rejection of the $2,650 price area after retracing to the Sunday open levels, aligning with the prevailing higher time frame (HTF) bearish trend. This trade is engaged to capitalize on the downside potential as the price fails to break the dynamic resistance at $2,650. With the support of the HTF momentum and a clear rejection, the trade setup focuses on targeting the lower support levels in the $2,610-$2,600 zone while maintaining a disciplined approach to risk management.
Technical Analysis:
Daily Chart:
• Price struggles below the mildly bearish 20 SMA.
• Both 100 and 200 SMAs maintain their bearish slopes, confirming the downtrend.
• Momentum indicators remain neutral, supporting the absence of bullish reversal signs.
4-Hour Chart:
• XAU/USD trades below the flat 20 SMA while hovering near a directionless 100 SMA.
• The 200 SMA around $2,690 acts as dynamic resistance, pushing prices lower.
• Indicators are aligned with bearish momentum, suggesting further downside.
• Support Levels: $2,626.70, $2,611.35, $2,598.70
• Resistance Levels: $2,643.30, $2,655.00, $2,671.55
Fundamental Analysis:
The US Dollar’s strength continues to weigh on Gold prices, driven by robust macroeconomic data:
• ISM Manufacturing PMI: Revised upward to 49.7, better than expected, supporting USD strength.
• Wall Street Sentiment: Mixed trading as geopolitical tensions between the US and Russia persist.
• Upcoming Events: Markets anticipate key US employment data, particularly the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday, which could bring additional volatility to XAU/USD.
Trade Management:
• Entry near $2,645 with clear rejection signals.
• Stop Loss: Placed above $2,659 to manage risk efficiently.
• Targets: Initial take profit at $2,622, with a potential extension to $2,610.
• Risk Management: Adhering to the bearish trend, the trade will be closely monitored, especially as the US Nonfarm Payrolls data approaches.
• Risk Management: Trail stops as price moves lower. Monitor market reactions closely, especially around major support and resistance zones, and adapt as Nonfarm Payrolls approach.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
USOIL SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
USOIL is making a bearish pullback on the 1H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 68.67 level.
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XAGUSD - Silver will return to its upward trend?!Silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term bullish channel. If the trend line breaks and continues to decline, we can see the demand zone and buy within that zone with the appropriate risk reward. Stabilization of silver above the resistance area will provide us with the path for silver to rise to the supply range.
The CIBC bank forecasts that silver prices will average around $35 per ounce in 2025, maintaining this level through 2026. By 2027, prices may slightly decline, averaging $34.50 per ounce.
Analysts at the bank expressed a bullish outlook on gold and silver markets, citing preparations by global markets to deal with the unpredictable policies of Trump’s administration. Last month, the president-elect threatened to impose a 25% tariff on imports from Mexico and Canada if they fail to tighten border controls. Additionally, he warned over the weekend that a 100% tariff might be applied to the BRICS bloc if they develop a settlement currency to bypass the U.S. dollar.
Analysts stated, “We anticipate that higher tariffs, the potential for trade wars, lower interest rates, and deregulation will all support rising gold and silver prices.” They added, “We believe that Trump’s tariff policies could provoke retaliatory measures against U.S. exports, thereby fueling inflationary pressures.”
Performance of Gold and Silver in 2024:
• Gold has surged by 29% this year. Following a 3.4% increase in October and a 5.2% gain in September, gold prices declined by 2.5% in November.
• Silver also rose by 29% in 2024. However, after advancing 4.3% in October and 7.9% in September, silver prices fell by 5.2% in November.
Throughout 2024, gold has repeatedly hit record highs, breaking price ceilings 39 times. However, silver has yet to return to its previous bull market peak of $50 per ounce. While this may be disappointing for silver enthusiasts, historical trends suggest that silver often lags behind gold during bullish cycles, only to later outpace gold explosively. This lag presents an excellent opportunity for investors looking to capitalize on potential gains in this market.
Meanwhile, the market’s primary focus remains on the release of today’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report and potential signals from Federal Reserve officials ahead of the central bank’s communication blackout, starting at midnight on Friday.
The most significant signal so far has come from Christopher Waller, a Federal Reserve Board member. Waller expressed willingness to support a rate cut in December, but noted that this decision depends on forthcoming economic data. He specifically highlighted the NFP report as one of five key indicators under consideration but cautioned that these figures might be distorted by factors such as October’s strikes, post-storm economic activity, and the upcoming elections.
Currently, markets estimate a 70% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates at its December 18 meeting. This likelihood has dipped slightly from 75% earlier this week but has remained unchanged since Monday.
In addition to the NFP report, scheduled speeches from several Federal Reserve officials—including Bowman, Goolsbee, Harker, and Daly—are planned for Friday.
XAUUSD - Gold Awaiting NFP!In the 4H timeframe, gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 and has exited its ascending channel. If gold re-enters the channel and stabilizes above the drawn downward trend line, we can witness the continued rise of gold and limited visibility of the channel ceiling. Within the supply zone, we can sell with appropriate risk reward. The failure of the support area paves the way for gold to fall and you can buy in the demand zones.
The U.S. nonfarm payroll report is set to be released today, drawing the full attention of markets. It is expected that nonfarm jobs will increase by 200,000, primarily due to the resolution of the Miloten hurricane and the conclusion of Boeing’s strike.
However, recent charts indicate a declining trend in nonfarm employment over the past few years, confirming the weaker labor market conditions that the Federal Reserve has noted during its rate-cutting cycle. Even if the headline figure exceeds 200,000, it is unlikely to prompt a change in policymakers’ stance. The unemployment rate is also projected to rise to 4.2%.
Markets may look for meaningful insights from today’s employment data, but they are unlikely to find anything substantial. Overall, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates again in December.
Forecasts for job growth range between 155,000 and 275,000, compared to just 12,000 new jobs in September. The unemployment rate for this month is anticipated at 4.2%, slightly up from 4.1% last month. Last month’s precise unemployment rate was reported at 4.145%, while the labor force participation rate stood at 62.6%.
In terms of wages, annual average hourly earnings growth is expected to slow to 3.9%, down from 4% last month. Monthly wage growth is forecasted at 0.3%, slightly below the previous month’s 0.4%. Average weekly working hours are expected to remain unchanged at 34.3 hours.
Key data released so far include:
• ADP Report: 146,000 jobs added compared to 150,000 in the previous month.
• ISM Services Employment Index: Declined to 51.5 from 53, still the second-highest figure of the year.
• ISM Manufacturing Employment Index: Rose to 48.1 from 44.4.
• Challenger Job Cuts: 57,727 compared to 55,597 in the previous month.
• Philadelphia Fed Employment Index: Increased to 8.6 from -2.2.
• Empire State Employment Index: Rose slightly to 0.9 from 4.1.
Recent trends suggest that the labor market is generally weakening, though temporary improvements are evident in some areas. JOLTS data paints a similar picture, with most Federal Reserve members convinced that the labor market is cooling. However, a single NFP report is unlikely to alter this broader trend, particularly given the influence of hurricanes, elections, and the end of Boeing’s strike on the numbers.
On the other hand, President-elect Donald Trump's pro-business policies and "America First" approach have pushed gold prices lower ahead of the new year. However, one Canadian bank believes that gold's upward trend is not over yet.
While markets may need time to adjust to Trump's economic policies, CIBC analysts remain bullish on gold's future in 2025. Investors should not be surprised by the gold market's current woes, the analysts said, as a similar trend was seen in 2016, during Trump's first term. The Bank of Canada has reiterated its summer forecasts and stated that Trump's impact on the gold market will ultimately be positive.
According to analysts, “It may take several seasons, but inflationary pressures will eventually show. Although this issue may challenge the trend of interest rate cuts, we believe that wealth preservation and the desire of non-US investors and central banks for safe assets will continue to support gold prices."
Peter Schiff, chief strategist at Euro Pacific Asset Management, believes that the price of gold will not return below $2,000 an ounce, and that the price of gold is likely to double or triple. He noted that gold fluctuated between $1,500 and $2,000 from 2011 to 2024 and has now reached higher levels without resistance.
Schiff emphasized at the New Orleans investment conference that the performance of gold this year shows the strength and high potential of this valuable metal. He also predicted that as the price of gold rises, more investors will be interested in stocks of mining companies.
Meanwhile, BlackRock emphasized in its recent report that the Federal Reserve does not appear to have entered a typical cycle of interest rate cuts. The analysis shows that the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates further in 2025.
This reduction will occur in a situation where economic growth will slow down somewhat, but inflation will still remain above the target. Therefore, the Fed is unlikely to cut interest rates below 4%, and rates will remain above pre-pandemic levels.
GOLD → NFP may release price from consolidationFX:XAUUSD declines to 2615 and forms a false breakdown. Traders are confused as they wait for NFP and are not preparing for premature action yet, waiting for economic data...
The dollar is having some trouble indicating it is ready to enter a deeper correction phase, but now it all depends on NFP and the Fed. Metal is still squeezed inside the 2660 - 2615 flat. A false break of the support forms a pullback to the liquidity sides
If the NFP is below the expected 200K, the gold may go up, as it will indicate the continued cooling of the US labor market and encourage the Fed to cut rates further. But, strong NFP data could put pressure on the decision to pause the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, which could put negative pressure on the metal....
Resistance levels: 2655, 2660
Support levels: 2636, 2605
Technically, the NFP may influence the price to leave the channel, which may be accompanied by a strong impulse. The price direction depends on the immediate actual employment data....
A break of resistance will trigger a rise to 2690
A break of support will trigger a fall to 2580
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
PALLADIUM has started a massive 3-year rally. Don't miss it.We first published this Palladium (XPDUSD) chart exactly 4 months ago (August 06, see chart below) and it is the appropriate time to update it now:
As you can see, we gave the buy signal exactly on the market bottom which was in fact a Triple Bottom. The rebound broke above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), a Resistance that was unbroken since the week of October 10 2022, and technically confirmed the uptrend and the trend reversal from bearish to bullish. The pattern that is carrying this uptrend is a Channel Up and in November in fact, it respected both the Higher Highs and Higher Lows trend-lines.
As mentioned on that August analysis, Palladium formed the very same Channel Up after both previous major market bottoms (Bear Cycles) since the December 2008 bottom of the U.S. Housing Crisis. All Channel Up patterns (the current is the 3rd one), started after the 1W RSI formed Higher Lows against the price's Lower Lows, which is a Bullish Divergence. They broke out once the 1W RSI made the first pull-back on the Arc shapes you see on the chart, indicating a normalization on the initial buying pressure at the bottom.
Obviously, this is a recurring technical cyclical pattern, formed on a 6-year Cycle. With the use of the Sine Waves we can accurately display the previous bottoms (January 11 2026 and December 01 2008) and to a fair extent the tops (we can argue that those are formed on the 3rd Lower High (red circles) on the 1W RSI Lower Highs trend-line).
Needless to say, we still expect Palladium to reach at least the 'Russia-Ukraine war peak' at 3450 by mid 2026 - mid 2027. If you want to go beyond that, technically, it can extend as high as $4780, which would represent a +451.52% rise from the recent 2024 bottom. The previous two Bull Cycles rose by +533.56% and 451.52% respectively, which also represents they high degree of symmetry within Cycles.
In any event, the current levels remain a unique buy opportunity on a 3 year horizon if you are a long-term investor.
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XAUUSD H1 Short From S/R TP BEARS 2565 USD🔸Hello traders, today let's review 1hour price chart for gold. Recently
price action compressed into rising wedge and then broke down
currently re-test of breakdown zone in progress.
🔸Strong resistances at 2655/2665 USD, shorting from resistance
is the recommended strategy right now, limited upside.
🔸Recommended strategy bears: short sell from overhead resistances near 2655/65 SL 2675 USD TP1 2600 TP2 2565 usd. usd fixed stop loss for this entry at 2675 usd, swing trade setup may take more time to hit target. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
GOLD dropped and recovered quickly, new news from Korea, NFPOn the Asian market on Friday (December 6), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery suddenly increased sharply in the short term. Gold prices have increased sharply from an intraday low of nearly 2,613 USD/ounce and are currently trading around 2,643 USD/ounce, close to the technical level of 2,644 USD.
There was news that South Korea might impose martial law for a second time, which quickly increased market risk aversion and stimulated a sharp increase in gold prices.
According to the latest report from Yonhap News Agency on Friday, South Korea's opposition parties may seek to hold an impeachment vote on President Yun Xiyue at 5 p.m. local time on Saturday.
South Korean media JTBC reported on Friday that the Military Human Rights Center held an emergency press conference at its office in Mapo district, Seoul in the morning, following the instructions of superiors, commanders The squadron commander's superiors could convene an emergency press conference before the 8th.
The Military Human Rights Center emphasized that this was Yoon Seok-yue's Sign that martial law would be reintroduced.
South Korean President Yoon Seok-yue suddenly declared martial law on the evening of December 3, with the reason of eliminating pro-North Korean forces and protecting constitutional order. The South Korean National Assembly voted late at night to pass a resolution to "remove martial law", and Yoon Seok-yue finally announced that he would "remove martial law".
However, there are rumors that senior South Korean military officials have been asked to be on standby until December 8. This is something the market is eyeing as a sign that Yin Xiyue will declare martial law again.
In a headline on Friday, Yonhap news agency quoted the South Korean opposition party as saying lawmakers were on standby after receiving multiple reports of martial law being declared again.
Gold is considered a leading haven asset when the market receives risky impacts from geopolitical developments (especially in places closely related to the US).
On this trading day, investors will receive the release of the US non-farm payrolls report, which is expected to cause major fluctuations in the gold market.
US nonfarm payrolls jobs are expected to increase by 195,000 in November. Gold could rebound stronger on more disappointing jobs data, and come under some pressure ahead of the tabular data Non-farm wages are optimistic.
Today (Friday), the United States will release the November nonfarm payrolls report. Surveys expected 200,000 new jobs were added, but only 12,000 jobs were added in October, the lowest increase since December 2020.
The US unemployment rate is expected to increase slightly to 4.2% in November, from 4.1% in October. Additionally, average hourly wages in the US are expected to increase 0.3%. month-over-month in November. Annual wage growth will likely slow from 4% to 3.9%.
A report released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday showed that the number of job vacancies in the United States increased again in October and the number of layoffs decreased, indicating market demand for workers are stable.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after gold fell but fell short of its weekly target of $2,606 – $2,600 sent to readers in the weekly edition, it rose rapidly to retest the 2,644 technical level. USD.
Temporarily, gold's recovery does not give it enough conditions to increase in price as the Relative Strength Index is still operating below 50.
Along with that, the EMA21 is the closest resistance currently and as long as gold has not broken the price channel, it still has the main trend during this time which is down.
Once again gold falls below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level which will be the best condition to head towards the weekly target area at 2,606 – 2,600USD.
Meanwhile, expectations of a new bearish cycle will be opened once gold falls below the original price of 2,600 USD with the target then around 2,591 USD in the short term, more than 2,538 USD.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold remains bearish with notable points listed as follows.
Support: 2,634 – 2,606 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,644 – 2,657 – 2,663USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2690
→Take Profit 1 2679
↨
→Take Profit 2 2674
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2584 - 2586⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2580
→Take Profit 1 2591
↨
→Take Profit 2 2596
GOLD--> Consolidation. Which Direction Will Momentum Take?Hello dear friends, Ben here!
Gold prices continue to consolidate sideways within a familiar range as the market eagerly awaits a new catalyst to determine the next directional move. What lies ahead, and what scenarios could unfold?
Meanwhile, sellers are holding back as they await key developments, including comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, U.S. employment data, and the CPI report, to gain insights into the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, traders currently assign a 74% probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at the upcoming policy meeting. However, theoretically, this remains uncertain, and the market may remain in consolidation until new information emerges.
On the technical side, gold may build bullish momentum to test critical resistance levels, which could potentially lead to a decline afterward. However, if the price breaks below the 2636 support level and consolidates beneath it, bearish pressure may emerge earlier than expected.
What are your thoughts? Share your insights, forecasts, and questions—let’s explore the ongoing dynamics of XAUUSD together!
Gold prices continue their downward trend, falling from $2,710.
Gold prices today continue their downward trend, trading around $2,642.
This decline comes as the market braces for the release of the highly anticipated U.S. labor report from the Department of Labor, scheduled for Friday. According to a Bloomberg survey, nonfarm payrolls for November are expected to show an increase of approximately 200,000 jobs.
However, remarks made by Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell on Wednesday in New York also had a significant impact. Powell emphasized that the U.S. economy is in "very good shape," with risks to the labor market diminishing. This has raised concerns among investors that the upcoming jobs report could outperform expectations, potentially weakening gold’s outlook further.
From a technical perspective, the focus is on the descending wedge channel. If sellers manage to defend the resistance levels within this channel, the downtrend may persist. The next projected targets for the sell-off are $2,605, $2,547, and $2,471, respectively.
Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let's discuss what’s unfolding in the market!
Breaking support and following the downtrendGold's 1-hour moving average continues to cross downward to form a dead cross, and continues to diverge downward, so the downside space of gold will be further opened, the gold oscillation range is broken, and a new low this week is created. Gold begins to weaken, so the rebound of gold is an opportunity to continue to be shorted. After gold rebounds to around 2634, it begins to fall directly under pressure. Then the Asian session gold rebounds around 2634 and continues to be shorted at highs
First support: 2613, second support: 2600, third support: 2588
First resistance: 2633, second resistance: 2642, third resistance: 2657
Trading strategy:
Sell high and buy low according to the resistance range.
THE END OF THE GOLDEN ROADGold had failed to break above 2700s resistance area and is showing bearish pressure making LHs and LLs. Currently it is a bit choppy but is overall still bearish and is failing to break above 2650s price area. Next target is 2500s price area for the continuation of current trend.