Oil prices rebound on expectations of Chinese economic stimulus
Oil prices rebounded as Chinese authorities demonstrated their strong will to stimulate the economy. Chinese authorities announced that they will continue to respond to the economy with a more active fiscal policy, focusing on expanding domestic demand and stimulating consumption. Meanwhile, Aramco announced it would cut its OSP for Asian refineries to 90 cents lower per barrel. This is the lowest since Jan 2021, when global demand was weak due to the pandemic.
USOIL briefly broke below the support at 67.60 but rebounded, compensating some of the decline. However, the price stays within the downward channel, maintaining bearish momentum. If USOIL breaks below 67.60 again and the channel’s lower bound, the price may fall further to 64.80. Conversely, if USOIL breaches above EMA78 and the channel’s upper bound, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 70.00 threshold.
Commodities
An Update For MY Followers Hey Everyone
Wanted to quickly update everyone as I have been MIA the last two weeks working on a really cool project to create even more value for everyone. I will be back in action tomorrow, so if you have any assets you want me to analyze let me know and I will do that for you. Secondly if you are wanting to increase your wellness and your trading send me a DM.
Hope everyone has a awesome day and I will see you tomorrow
Kris / Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
GOLD → Resistance Retest. False breakthrough?FX:XAUUSD lingers inside the consolidation and channel 2660 - 2615. Technically, speculators are confused. The fundamental background is mixed. What's next?
Focus on the escalating conflict in Syria, which has led to the overthrow of the Assad government and the end of the long-running Civil War. Risks regarding the Middle East are still quite high despite the ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon.
Fundamentally, despite Friday's better than expected NFP, markets are 80% likely to expect a 0.25% Fed interest rate cut. In the week ahead, all eyes are on economic data such as CPI and PPI.
Technically, I don't see any reason for the price to break out of this consolidation. Accordingly, I expect a false breakout with a high degree of probability.
Resistance levels: 2655, 2660, 2667
Support levels: 2636, 2615
The price has passed 0.85% since the opening of the session. There are no reasons for the resistance breakout. There is also no potential for a breakout. Accordingly, based on the available data, there is a high probability of a decline from the key resistance zone.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Gold 1H Intra-Day Chart 09.12.2024Gold is in a neutral zone right now, but overall I am bearish. Here is what I am looking for next;
Option 1: Gold keeps dropping in its bear trend. Our target is $2,580. You can see the zig zag move Gold is creating. We saw a break below + retest so should continue now.
Option 2: If Gold moves above $2,690 next week then we can see a mid term bull trend towards $2,740 before it drops back down again.
SILVER - Idea for a long !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on SILVER.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I want price to continue the retracement to fill that huge imbalance and then to reject from bullish OB.
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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Smashing start to the week with our chart idea playing out perfectly, as analysed.
We started the day with our first bullish target hit at 2645. This followed with ema5 cross and lock above 2645 opening 2661, which was hit perfectly completing this gap.
We now have a gap left at 2679, which fell just short and as long as 2661 holds, we will look for this gap to be completed. However, if we see ema5 lock below 2661, then we are likely to see lower Goldlturns tested to find support again.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2645 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2645 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2661 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2661 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2679
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2679 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2697
BEARISH TARGETS
2626
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2626 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2612
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2612 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2599 - 2584
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Investors predict the Fed will lower interest ratesAccording to a report by the World Gold Council (WGC), the People's Bank of China (PBOC) bought gold for reserves in November after a 6-month pause. China's gold reserves rose to 72.96 million ounces of pure gold at the end of November, up from 72.8 million ounces the previous month. In November, gold prices dropped sharply due to the sell-off after the US election results.
WGC said that central banks' demand for gold continues to be positive. The main motivation for buying gold is to diversify foreign exchange reserves and reduce dependence on the USD.
In the US, the market is looking towards an interest rate adjustment by the Federal Reserve (Fed). According to MT Newswires, strong labor market data reduces immediate pressure on the Fed to accelerate interest rate cuts.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2676 - 2678🔥
💵 TP1: 2650
💵 TP2: 2640
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2686
🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2653 - 5651🔥
💵 TP1: 2665
💵 TP2: 2675
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2646
Last Leg XAUOverall uptrend still needs a leg to complete its wave.
Considering higher lows of around -10%, the recent drop is the 4th point in our Elliot Wave analysis.
Last leg is to form the head and shoulders, synonym of long term tops.
I think the focus will be towards currencies, with countries focusing on Trumponomics, strengthening currencies for the dollar against tariffs. PBOC just reached an ATH in their gold hoarding.
Dollar itself might feel some headwind, because of the recent rise in DXY, a cool down soon is expected with my lower yields analysis. This would go well with foreign currencies reaching up while some headwind causes the USD to lag.
Let's see
Gold H1 (XAU/USD)The 1-hour XAU/USD chart reveals a potential corrective Elliott Wave (A-B-C) pattern following a completed (W-X-Y) structure.
Expected Corrective ABC Pattern:
Wave (A): The initial decline is anticipated to target the $2,605-$2,620 support zone.
Wave (B): A minor retracement is expected to occur, likely staying below the $2,662 resistance level.
Wave (C): The final wave may extend the decline towards the $2,560-$2,580 lower support zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $2,662
Support Zones:
Middle support: $2,605-$2,620
Lower support: $2,560-$2,580
Keep an eye on the evolving market conditions and adjust your trading strategy accordingly. Good luck!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 12-9: Nothing PatternI'm visiting family most of this week and will be disrupted from my normal schedule for another 3+ days.
Please be aware I may not be as available for questions/comments as I usually am.
Please watch how the markets are extremely overbought at this moment and will likely fall into a pullback mode.
I don't expect this to be a big pullback - but big enough that you should consider locking in profits before the move plays out.
Get some.
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CRUDE OIL (WTI): Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis and important
supports and resistances on WTI Oil on a daily.
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 65.2 - 66.9 area
Resistance 1: 67.7 - 62.2 area
Resistance 2: 69.9 - 70.5 area
Resistance 3: 71.2 - 71.5 area
Resistance 4: 72.2 - 72.9 area
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Falling trend line
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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GOLD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 2,655.297.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 2,683.685 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD / Consolidation Zone 2653 - 2661Gold Technical Analysis
The price will consolidate between 2653 and 2665. At first, it will try to teach 2665, and then it should break 2665 by closing a 4-hour candle above it to get 2678. Stability above 2678 will start a bullish area toward 2706.
closing 4h candle below 2653 will be bearish toward 2638 and 2623.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2653
Resistance Levels: 2665, 2678, 2706
Support Levels: 2638, 2623, 2612
GOLD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GOLD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 15m timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 2,647.359 area.
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