The Crypto Market Game: How to Win Against Fear and ManipulationDid you really think profiting from the current bull run (a comprehensive upward market) would be easy? Don't be naive. Do you think they’ll let you buy low, hold, and sell high without any struggle? If it were that simple, everyone would be rich. But the truth is: 90% of you will lose. Why? Because the crypto market is not designed for everyone to win.
They will shake you. They will make you doubt everything. They will create panic, causing you to sell at the worst possible moment. Do you know what happens next? The best players in this game buy when there’s fear, not sell—because your panic gives them cheap assets.
This is how the game works: strong hands feed off weak hands. They exaggerate every dip, every correction, every sell-off. They make it look like the end of the world so you abandon everything. And when the market rises again, you’re left sitting there asking, “What just happened?”
This is not an accident. It’s a system. The market rewards patience and punishes weak emotions. The big players already know your thoughts. They know exactly when and how to stir fear, forcing you to give up. When you panic, they profit. They don’t just play the market—they play you. That’s why most people never succeed: they fall into the same traps over and over again.
People don’t realize that dips, FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), and panic are all part of the plan. But the winners? They block out the noise. They know that fear is temporary, but smart decisions last forever.
We’ve seen this play out hundreds of times. They pump the market after you sell. They take your assets, hold them, and sell them back to you at the top—leaving you with nothing, wondering how it happened.
Don’t play their game. Play your own.
Christmas
Santa Claus Rally: How Will Christmas Impact Stock MarketsSanta Claus Rally: How Will Christmas Impact Stock Markets in 2024
The Santa Claus rally is a well-known seasonal phenomenon where stock markets often see gains during the final trading days of December and the start of January. But what causes this year-end trend, and how does Christmas influence stock markets overall? In this article, we’ll explore the factors behind the rally, its historical significance, and what traders can learn from this unique period in the financial calendar.
What Is the Santa Claus Rally?
The Santa Claus rally, or simply the Santa rally, refers to a seasonal trend where stock markets often rise during the last five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January. For instance, Santa Claus rally dates for 2024 start on the 24th December and end on the 2nd January, with stock markets closed on the 25th (Christmas day) and the 28th and 29th (a weekend).
First identified by Yale Hirsch in 1972 in the Stock Trader’s Almanac, this phenomenon has intrigued traders for decades. While not a guaranteed outcome, it has shown a consistent pattern in market data over the years, making it a point of interest for those analysing year-end trends.
In Santa rally history, average returns are modest but noteworthy. For example, per 2019’s Stock Trader’s Almanac, the S&P 500 has historically gained around 1.3% during this period, outperforming most other weeks of the year. Across the seven days, prices have historically climbed 76% of the time. This trend isn’t limited to the US; global indices often experience similar movements, further highlighting its significance.
To check market dynamics, head over to FXOpen’s free TickTrader trading platform.
The Christmas rally in the stock market is believed to stem from several factors. Low trading volumes during the holiday season, as many institutional investors take time off, may reduce resistance to upward price movements. Retail investors, buoyed by end-of-year optimism or holiday bonuses, may drive additional buying. Additionally, some investors reposition portfolios for tax purposes or adjust holdings ahead of the new year, contributing to the upward momentum.
However, this pattern is not immune to disruption. Broader economic events, geopolitical tensions, or bearish sentiment can easily override it. While the Santa Claus rally is a fascinating seasonal trend, it’s essential to view it as one piece of the larger market puzzle rather than a reliable signal on its own.
Why Might the Santa Claus Rally Happen?
The Santa Claus rally isn’t a random occurrence. Several factors, both psychological and practical, can drive this year-end market trend. While it doesn’t happen every year, when it does, there are usually clear reasons behind it.
Investor Optimism and Holiday Sentiment
The holiday season often brings a wave of positive sentiment. This optimism can influence traders to take a bullish stance, especially as many are eager to start the new year on a strong note. Retail investors, in particular, may view this period as an opportunity to position themselves for potential January gains. The festive atmosphere and the prospect of year-end “window dressing”—where fund managers buy well-performing stocks to improve portfolio appearances—can also contribute.
Tax-Driven Portfolio Adjustments
As the year closes, many investors engage in tax-loss harvesting, selling underperforming assets to offset taxable gains. Once these adjustments are complete, reinvestments into higher-performing or promising stocks may push markets higher. This activity can create short-term demand, fuelling upward momentum during the rally period.
Lower Trading Volumes
Institutional investors often step back during the holidays, leaving markets dominated by retail traders and smaller participants. Lower trading volumes can result in less resistance to price movements, making it easier for upward trends to emerge. With fewer large players balancing the market, price shifts may become more pronounced.
Bonus Reinvestments and End-of-Year Contributions
Many professionals receive year-end bonuses or make final contributions to retirement accounts during this period. Some of this money flows into the markets, adding buying pressure. This effect is particularly noticeable in December, as investors seek to capitalise on potential market opportunities before the year wraps up.
How Christmas Impacts Stock Markets
The Christmas period is unique in the trading calendar, shaping market behaviour in ways that stand out from other times of the year. While some effects align with holiday-driven sentiment, others reflect broader seasonal trends.
Reduced Liquidity and Trading Volumes
One of the most notable impacts of Christmas is the sharp decline in trading activity. This contributes to the Santa rally, with the largest market participants—institutional investors and professional traders—stepping away for the holidays. This thinner activity can lead to sharper price movements as smaller trades carry more influence. For example, stocks with lower market capitalisation may experience greater volatility during this time.
Sector-Specific Strength
The most popular Christmas stocks tend to be those in the consumer discretionary and retail sectors (though this isn’t guaranteed). The holiday shopping boom drives significant revenues for companies in these sectors, often lifting their stock prices.
A strong showing in retail sales, especially in countries like the US, can bolster market indices tied to consumer spending. Many consider companies like Amazon and brick-and-mortar retailers to be among the most popular stocks to buy before Christmas, given they often see increased trading interest around the holidays and a potential Christmas rally.
Economic Data Releases
The Christmas season still sees the publication of economic indicators. While there are no specific year-end releases from government statistical bodies, some 3rd-party reports may have an impact. Likewise, scheduled publications, such as US jobless claims (every Thursday) or non-farm payrolls (the first Friday of each month), can affect sentiment. Positive data can provide an additional boost to stock markets in December. However, weaker-than-expected results can dampen enthusiasm, counteracting any seasonal cheer.
International Variations
While Western markets slow down for Christmas, other global markets may not follow the same pattern. For instance, Asian markets, where Christmas is less of a holiday, may see regular or even increased activity. This discrepancy can create interesting dynamics for traders who keep an eye on global portfolios.
The "Post-Holiday Rebound"
As Christmas wraps up, markets often experience a slight rebound leading into the New Year, driven by renewed investor activity. This period, while brief, is closely watched as it can set the tone for the opening days of January trading.
Potential Risks and Considerations
While the Santa Claus rally and year-end trends can be intriguing, they are far from guaranteed. Relying solely on these patterns without deeper analysis can lead to overlooked risks and missed opportunities.
Uncertain Market Conditions
Macro factors, like interest rate changes, geopolitical tensions, or unexpected economic data, can disrupt seasonal trends. For instance, during times of economic uncertainty, the optimism often associated with the holidays might not translate to market gains. Traders must account for these broader dynamics rather than assuming the rally will occur.
Overemphasis on Historical Patterns
Historical data can provide valuable insights, but markets evolve. A pattern that held up in past decades may not carry the same weight today due to shifts in investor behaviour, technological advancements, and globalisation. Traders focusing too heavily on past trends may miss the impact of more relevant, current developments.
Low Liquidity Risks
The reduced trading volumes typical of the holiday season can work both ways. While thin markets may allow for upward price movements, they can also lead to heightened volatility. A single large trade or unexpected event can swing prices sharply, posing challenges for those navigating the market during this time.
Sector-Specific Sensitivity
Sectors like retail and consumer discretionary often draw attention during December due to strong sales data. However, poor performance or weak holiday shopping figures can cause a ripple effect, dragging down not only individual stocks but broader indices tied to these sectors.
FOMO and Overtrading
The hype surrounding the Santa Claus rally can lead to overtrading or ill-timed decisions, particularly for less experienced traders. Maintaining a disciplined approach, potentially combined with clear risk management strategies, can potentially help mitigate this issue.
The Bottom Line
The Santa Claus rally is a fascinating seasonal trend, offering insights into how market sentiment and activity shift during the holidays. While not guaranteed, understanding these patterns can help traders develop their strategies.
Whether you’re exploring seasonal trends in stock CFDs or other potential opportunities across forex and commodity CFDs, having the right platform is essential. Open an FXOpen account today to access more than 700 markets, four trading platforms, and low-cost trading conditions.
FAQ
What Is the Santa Claus Rally?
The Santa Claus rally refers to a seasonal trend where stock markets often rise during the final week of December and the first two trading days of January. It’s a well-documented phenomenon, first identified by Yale Hirsch in the Stock Trader’s Almanac. While it doesn’t occur every year, Santa Claus rally history demonstrates consistent patterns, with the S&P 500 averaging a 1.3% gain during this period.
What Are the Dates for the Santa Claus Rally?
The Santa Claus rally typically covers the final five trading days of December and the first two trading days of January. The Santa Claus rally in 2024 starts on the 24th of December and ends on the 2nd of January. During this period, stock markets will be closed on the 25th (Christmas Day) and the weekend of the 28th and 29th.
How Many Days Does the Santa Claus Stock Rally Take?
The rally spans seven trading days: the last five of December and the first two of January. While its duration is fixed, the intensity and consistency of the trend vary from year to year.
Is December Good for Stocks?
Historically, December has been one of the strongest months for stock markets. Positive sentiment, strong retail performance, and tax-related portfolio adjustments often contribute to this trend.
Is the Stock Market Open on Christmas?
No, US and UK stock markets are closed on Christmas Day, with reduced hours on Christmas Eve.
Historically, What Is the Best Day of December to Invest in the Stock Market?
Financial markets bear high risks, therefore, there is no best day for trading or investing. According to theory, in December stock market history, the last trading day of the year has often been among the strongest, as investors position portfolios for the new year. However, results vary based on broader market conditions and a trader’s skills.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
XAUUSD - what will happen before the Holiday season?Here is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for before the Holiday season starts.
Let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we are attaching the long-term overview on the pair.
We are still following the sell bias we have published.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2625 with lower volume than usual.
Scenario 1: SELLS from 2620
That would confirm our pullback to the upside and breaking below 2620 would give us an opportunity to drop back down to 2604 or 2600 flat. Next we would be targeting a very important KL (Key Level) 2590.
Scenario 2: BUYS from 2638
We broke above 2638 and are trading above it. We should see more upside potentially reaching new highs at around 2666 which was also an important KL (Key Level) before.
Personal opinion:
The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. A safe sell trade could be taken at 2620 or a safe buy at the breaks of 2638. Be patient and stay tuned for updates on this pair. For now we are sticking to the sell bias from the long-term overview.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking below 2620 would confirm sells down to 2604 - 2600.
- XAUUSD breaking above 2638 would confirm further buys up to 2666.
- Volume is lower as the business year is coming to an end and Holiday season is about to start.
Thank you everyone for your amazing support lately. We will continue to provide value to you. Happy Holidays!
Happy trading!
FxPocket
HaPpY HoLiDaYS ~ MERRY X-MAS ~ From CryptoCheck \( *, * )A Happy Festive season, from Us to You 🥂
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⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⡸⠦⣠⣢⠔⠉⠀⠀⠀⠐⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠈⠁⠀⠀⠀⠘⠔⠀⠁⠑⠤⣀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⣀⠤⠄⠒⠂⠁⠀⠀⡀⢀⢀⠀⠀⡀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠦⠆⠀⠀⠀⠀⡄⠀⢀⡄⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⣆⠀⠀⠀⠉⠐⢤⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠐⠣⠄⢄⠀⠤⠤⠒⢹⠀⠈⠈⡠⠔⠡⡀⠀⠀⣀⠀⠀⢀⠜⠢⡀⠀⠀⣂⠈⠐⣲⠉⠐⡄⠀⠀⠀⠀⢠⠋⡍⠂⠤⠀⠠⠜⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⡴⢯⣚⢯⣂⠀⠀⣠⠋⡉⠁⠀⠀⠀⠉⡢⡊⠙⢅⣲⠁⠀⠀⠀⠈⠀⠂⠐⠴⠄⠀⠀⡨⠓⠂⠐⢒⣡⡤⡃⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠘⡼⡱⠭⡳⡾⢀⠴⢁⡠⠁⠒⡆⠀⠀⠀⠗⢌⡐⢄⢐⠃⠀⠀⠀⠰⣔⠀⢀⡠⠄⠒⠁⠀⢀⠠⢎⣵⣛⠚⢫⠦⡀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠈⢒⡳⠿⣊⣁⠀⠀⠑⡀⠤⠥⠀⠀⠀⠈⠂⠼⠘⣊⣀⠠⠤⠐⠒⠈⠉⢀⣀⠠⠄⠒⠉⠀⠀⢶⢬⣩⣩⡱⠀⠈⠒⢄⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢠⠊⠁⠀⠀⠃⠈⡠⠓⠒⠒⠒⠒⠒⠒⠀⠈⢉⣉⣀⡀⠤⠤⠄⠒⠒⠈⠉⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠝⠇⠀⠀⠁⠒⠈⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠉⠒⠤⡀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⡈⠂⢤⠤⠤⠒⠈⠀⠈⠉⠉⢩⡏⠉⠉⠀⠀⢠⠐⠤⡄⡀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⡠⣄⡀⢀⢄⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠠⣀⡀⠀⣄⠀⠀⠀⠀⣀⡀⡸⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⡠⠁⠒⡓⠀⠀⠈⠢⠤⠠⠤⠒⠁⢣⠀⠀⠀⠈⠢⢀⢀⠒⠑⢄⡀⠀⠀⣐⠓⣂⠀⡹⡈⠒⢄⡀⠀⠠⣈⠀⠀⣞⠈⠂⢄⣀⡐⢉⡠⢋⢢⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⢀⠤⠒⠁⣀⠤⠥⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠑⠢⠤⠤⠤⠓⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠉⠉⢟⡎⢊⢹⢸⠃⠀⠀⠈⠁⠐⠀⠃⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⡏⠡⠔⢀⢼⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⢰⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⡀⡀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠉⠚⠊⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠈⠐⠊⠓⠁⠉⠲⡀
⠀⠀⠀⠑⠂⠤⠄⢀⣀⣀⣀⣀⢠⠤⠒⠊⠱⢄⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠑⠂⠀⠀⠀⡰⠢⡀⠀⠀⠀⢠⠠⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢀⠶⡀⠀⠀⠘⠀⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢀⡠⠔⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠉⠒⠤⠄⣀⣀⣀⡀⠤⠔⠈⠀⠀⠉⠢⢀⡀⠀⠉⠀⠀⠀⢀⠠⠊⠀⠈⠑⠂⠤⠤⠤⠤⠤⠤⠐⠒⠈⠁⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢸⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠈⠉⠀⠀⠀⢹⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠘⠢⠄⣀⡀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢀⣀⡠⠄⠊⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢠⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠈⠉⠉⠉⠉⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⣸⡄⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⢀⡀⠌⠣⣀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠚⠄⡌⠓⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢡⠎⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠸⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⣠⣄⡀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢰⡾⢷⣦⠸⣿⠙⢿⡄⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢀⣴⡾⠿⢶⣄⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠘⢷⡄⠹⠿⠟⠀⢈⡇⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢸⡏⠀⠀⠀⣿⠆⠀⠀⠀⣴⡿⠿⠶⠾⠃⠀⠀⠀⢀⣾⠇⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢀⣤⣤⡄⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠈⠿⣦⣤⣴⣟⠀⠀⠀⠀⠙⠷⢶⣶⠃⢰⣶⡶⠾⠋⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⣴⣶⣄⢸⣇⠈⣿⢀⣴⡿⢻⣧⠀⠀⢀⣿⠋⠙⠛⠷⠶⢶⣤⣄⣼⠏⣠⡿⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠰⣿⠀⠻⠿⠟⠀⠙⠛⠋⣤⣾⠃⠀⣠⡿⠃⢀⣠⣤⣤⣶⢶⣮⣿⣿⡾⠋⣀⣤⣤⣤⣤⡤⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⢻⣦⡀⠀⠀⠀⣀⣴⣤⣈⡛⠛⣿⣿⣴⠾⠛⠉⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢹⣷⡾⢋⣽⠟⠁⣼⠇⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠉⠛⠛⠛⠛⠋⠁⠈⠙⠛⠛⢻⡿⠁⠀⠀⣠⣤⡶⠾⠿⠿⠶⣾⡟⢠⡿⠁⣀⣾⠏⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢀⡀⣀⣠⠶⡄⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⣀⣠⣴⡶⠶⠶⣾⣿⣄⣴⡿⠋⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠁⢿⣷⠾⠛⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠐⣯⣽⢷⣽⣿⣟⣦⣀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠘⢿⣏⡛⠛⠷⢶⣤⣌⣙⠏⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠈⠻⣦⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⣸⣿⣿⡿⠙⢿⣽⣷⠞
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠙⠻⠶⣦⣤⣤⣿⡟⠀⠀⠀⠀⣤⢦⢀⣿⣷⠀⠀⠀⠀⠙⣷⡀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠛⠻⣿⣟⣸⠯⣽⢿⡀
⠀⣠⠤⣴⠶⣯⣵⡀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⣼⠇⠀⠀⠀⠀⢿⡿⠀⠛⠟⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠘⣷⡀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠹⠥⠟⠛⠉⠋⠀
⠀⣹⢒⣉⣿⣯⣿⣾⣲⡄⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⣿⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⣀⣤⣤⣴⡶⠶⠶⣶⣤⡀⠘⣷⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⢰⣛⡇⣩⠄⣐⣿⣿⡏⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⣿⠀⠀⢀⣴⡾⠛⢋⡽⠶⢶⡆⠀⠀⠀⠈⠻⣦⢹⡇⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠉⠳⡿⢶⣽⡿⣿⠇⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⣿⡄⢰⡟⠁⠀⠀⠈⠳⠶⠛⠁⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⣿⣿⡇⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠙⠋⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢸⣇⢸⡇⠀⠀⠀⣀⠀⠀⠀⢀⣠⠎⠀⢀⣼⢟⣾⠃⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⣿⣜⢿⣤⣀⠀⠈⠙⠛⠛⣋⣁⣤⡾⠛⣡⣾⣏⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢸⣟⠻⣷⣯⣝⣻⣿⡟⡛⣛⣋⣉⣥⣴⡾⠋⢹⣿⠂⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢻⣿⣧⣀⣽⠉⢹⡟⠛⡟⠉⢹⡁⢀⣿⣤⣿⣏⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢠⡿⠉⠉⠙⠛⠛⠿⣿⣶⣿⣿⣟⣛⣋⣉⣿⡄⢻⡆⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢀⣶⠿⢶⣦⣤⣤⣾⠃⠀⠀⠀⠀⢀⣾⠋⣹⣇⡀⢀⣿⠋⠀⢈⣷⠈⣿⣦⣤⣴⣶⡾⢷⣆⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢸⡇⠀⠘⣷⠀⢸⡟⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢸⡇⣴⣏⡀⠉⢹⣿⠓⠉⠁⢹⡄⢸⡇⠀⢰⡟⠀⠀⣿⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢸⡇⠀⠀⣿⠀⢸⡇⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⢸⡿⣧⡀⠈⢉⣿⣿⠤⠴⠒⣻⠇⠈⡇⠀⢸⡇⠀⠀⣿⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠘⣷⠀⢸⡏⠀⢸⡇⠀⠀⠀⠀⣀⣸⣇⠈⠉⠛⠛⢹⣿⣦⣴⠞⠋⠀⢰⡇⠀⢸⣇⠀⣸⡏⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠹⠷⣿⣅⣤⡾⣿⣤⡶⠟⠛⠛⠛⢿⣦⣤⣤⣤⣾⠛⠛⠛⠻⢷⣤⣾⠷⣤⣄⣿⡶⠟⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠈⠀⠀⠸⣿⡀⠀⠀⠀⢀⣼⡏⠀⠀⠸⣷⡀⠀⠀⠀⢀⣹⡏⠀⠀⠈⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠉⠛⠻⠷⠾⠛⠋⠀⠀⠀⠀⠈⠛⠷⠶⠟⠛⠉⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀
BTC - This Christmas is NOT different!Hello TradingView Family, this is Richard, and I want to wish you all a Merry Christmas.
I hope you enjoy this Christmas-themed idea.🎄
💡Can you spot a pattern here?
As shown in my last two Christmas posts (attached to the chart), BTC broke out of consolidation and surged by around 70%.📈
I believe this Christmas will be no different.
For the next bullish wave to begin, a break above the orange zone is needed, which aligns perfectly with the $100,000 round number.
What do you think? Will this Christmas follow the structure of the past two years, or will it be different and lead to a deeper correction⁉️
📚Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
And Remember: All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
Merry Christmas Everyone 🎄
~Richard Nasr
BTC/USD Bullish movementHello Crypto Enthusiasts,
🚀 Exciting news! Master Chef is back in the kitchen, ready to serve up some piping hot hypotheses on crypto tokens, including potential meme tokens for us all to feast our eyes on! 🍲 Today, let's delve into why BTC is set to soar to new heights.
1.) 📈 EMA Health Check: The 4-hour time frame EMAs are looking fit and fabulous. Could this be the start of a glorious trend continuation? Let's explore!
2.) 🚀 Bullish Pennant Unveiled: Post-recent pump analysis reveals a promising bullish pennant formation. Buckle up for potential upward swings!
3.) 🌕 Bullish Moon Vibes: Riding the wave of a bullish moon cycle. The stars (and the moon) are aligning for a probable continuation of the upward trend.
Hold on to your seats, as my next post and surprise live video session won't just be about the crypto classics. I've got my eyes on a mysterious meme token that has captured my interest. 🕵️♂️
Tap that ❤️ and hit the share button if you're hungry for more insights and want me to uncover a hidden gem in my upcoming posts.
Let's cook up some crypto magic together! 🔮✨ #CryptoMagic #BitcoinRising #HiddenGems 🚀🌙
Happy Holidays and Happy New Year! ❄️
Dear traders,
This year:
☃️ I shared with you 1200+ forecasts, signals and analysis posts.
🎄 I did 25+ live trading sessions,
🔴 I wrote 50+ educational articles,
❄️ I recorded 70+ educational videos.
Thank you so much for supporting my work,
thank you for great feedbacks and reviews.
Thank you for your participation in live sessions and your involvement.❤️
I promise to do even better next year.
Happy New Year, traders!
All the best!✨
🔥 XAU/USD - 2023 is Ending , Ready for 2024 ?We are approaching the last days of the year and soon the annual gold candle will be closed! Last year, the lowest price of gold (Low) was $1,614 and the highest price (High) was $2,070, but finally the 12-month or one-year candle closed at $1,823! In 2023, the price of gold recorded the lowest price (Low) of $1804 and managed to record the highest historical price (ATH) by reaching the price of $2146! At the moment that I am writing this to you, gold is trading in the range of $2070 And I would like you to tell me what price you think gold will close in the next 2 days and 8 hours, and share your prediction of the possible trend of gold in 2024 in the comment section below !
Please share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me and support us with your likes and comments.
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
🔥 XAU/USD : $2100 or $1999 ? (READ THE CAPTION)By examining gold in the daily time frame, we see that the price after it was able to grow up to $2070 (as expected) faced selling pressure and corrected up to the range of $2050! Now, with the opening of the market after the Christmas holidays, to fill the liquidity void caused by this drop, the price is moving towards targets above $2060 and is currently trading in the range of $2063! Considering that the majority of the market is closed today, the price can have irrational fluctuations, so in order to stay away from the traps of Bears and Bulls , it is better to rest today and monitor the market from tomorrow! "Sincerely, Arman Shaban"
Please share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me and support us with your likes and comments.
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
BTC - Christmas Theme Analysis 🎄Hello TradingView Family, this is Richard, and I want to wish you all a Merry Christmas.
I hope you enjoy this Christmas Theme Idea.
After acquiring the 🎁Gifts at 16,000 and breaking above the 🎄Christmas Tree neckline resistance at 30,000, 🎅Santa Claus has been heading North towards the previous all-time-high ⭐️Star.
📈 BTC is approaching the 48,000 - 50,000 resistance / supply zone. For the bulls to remain in control and push towards the all-time high, a break above the 50,000 level is required.
📉 Meanwhile, there is still a possibility that BTC may reject the 48,000 resistance and undergo one more bearish correction, reaching the 30,000 - 32,000 support before the next upward impulse begins.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen first? Why and when?
📚 Always adhere to your trading plan, including entry points, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
Merry Christmas, Everyone! 🎄
~Richard Nasr
BTC - Stuck Inside A Range, Again ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
BTC has been hovering within a range , taking the form of a symmetrical triangle.
📈 If the triangle breaks to the upside , confirmed by an H4 candle closing above 44,750, we anticipate a bullish continuation, targeting the resistance range up to 48,000.
📉 Conversely , as BTC approaches the lower bound of the triangle around 41,000, we will be looking for short-term buy setups on lower timeframes, targeting the upper bound of the triangle.
For now, we wait! ⏱
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen, and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays! 🎁
I hope that this holiday season will be a time of reflection for all of us, where we can appreciate the successes and learn from the challenges of the past year.
Let's take this opportunity to set our intentions for the coming year, to focus on growth, resilience, and continued dedication to mastering the art of trading.
Let's foster a sense of community and collaboration that will uplift us all and contribute to our collective success.
Wishing you and your loved ones a very Merry Christmas and a Happy New Year!
Warm regards,
VasilyTrader
Happy Holidays and Merry ChristmasHappy holidays and merry Christmas, traders.
With only a few days remaining in 2023, now is the time to rejuvenate, reflect on all the things markets threw at us, and plan for the start of a new year.
Do your research, study up, and be ready.
We've also got a few things to show you next year, so stay tuned 💪
Look first, then leap.
Decoding the Mystery Behind Dec 20 Fall - Part 33. Nifty Small Cap 100 - 3rd highest fall today - 3.63%
Monthly - Upward Parallel Channel BO + Cup & Handle BO confirmed at Monthly as of Nov
Weekly - The Customary BO Retest process in progress. Today's fall has formed a Bearish Engulfing Candle, but only by weekly close we can confirm if it is still an Engulfing Candle or a smaller one with a wick at bottom.
Folks in IT / Agile process would use the term "Definition of Done.....which says "Anything is not Done until its fully complete" - So wait for the weekly close to derive the real story
Decoding the Mystery behind Dec 20 Fall - Part 11. Nifty Media - the Biggest Fall among its Peers (-5.11%) - Comparison between Monthly & Weekly Chart
Month - Beautiful Cup & Handle Pattern - BO attempted today but didn't sustain (no change in pattern)
Week - Inside the Handle - there is an Inv. H&S pattern - Look at the rejection today from BO + Resistance zone of 2500
Neither is this the Biggest Weekly fall (as per weekly chart) nor does it negate the current Bullish Pattern.
After 2-3 months when you see the weekly chart - does it really matter whether it fell 5% in 1 day or 5% in total across the entire week ? no one cares. So why so much noise ?
BTC - For Now, We Wait ⏱Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
Based on my recent BTC analysis (attached on the chart), we anticipated a rejection from the blue circle zone, as it is the intersection of the lower bound of the channel and the 40,000 round number.
Now, what's next?
📈 For the bulls to remain in control and take over from a medium-term perspective again, we need an H4 candle close above the last major high marked in orange at 43,550.
In this case, a movement to the 48,000 resistance would be expected.
📉 Meanwhile , BTC would be stuck inside a range, but the bulls will remain in control as long as the 40,000 level holds.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
SANTA CLAUS Rally in 2023 for JSE ALSI 40?Will we have a Santa Claus rally this year?
Statistics say, it is likely but let's start from the beginning...
The Santa Claus rally is when stock prices, both locally and globally, tend to go up and end the year on a positive note.
Now, why does this happen? Here are some ideas:
Holiday Cheer:
During the holiday season, people generally feel more optimistic and positive.
The festive mood can rub off on investors, making them look at the market with a brighter outlook.
Positivity often leads to more buying, which helps the rally.
Tax Time:
Toward the end of the year, investors and fund managers review their portfolios for tax purposes. This is when you'll see them selling stocks to get some tax benefits.
Once they sell, they use the money to buy other stocks, thinking those will do well in the coming year.
This buying spree lifts stock prices and pushes up market indices.
Bonus Spending:
Investors often use their year-end bonuses to buy stocks. More buying means higher demand, and you know what that does – stocks go up!
While it's a bit speculative, nothing says Santa Claus Rally like charts showing off holiday cheer.
The JSE has seen gains in 14 out of 20 Decembers!
Take a look at the JSE-ALSI stock market chart since 2003. Each December is marked with a vertical blue line, showing how it performed:
That's a 70% win rate with positive gains in 14 out of 20 Decembers, accumulating a total of 38.72% gains.
So, chances are, buying this Christmas might be a good idea, especially after a sideways year for the JSE ALSI.
Starlinkusdt ... Identification of Elliott waves and trend line Thank God that we got a good profit from Starlink,
... Halelooya
now we are in wave 2 which is being corrected, after breaking the trend line, we will enter strong wave 3 and complete our profit, I hope from the wave of Elliott and And enjoy surfing.
be blessed Merry Christmas in advance to all Christians ✝️🎁🎄🤶🏽❄️🙋🏽♀️
Trading in December. Everything You Need to Know
Because of the coming holidays, you are probably wondering should you trade in December at all and if yes, when should you stop and resume your trading.
In this article, I will share with you how I trade in December.
First, let me briefly explain to you how holidays, especially Christmas and New Year, affect the financial markets.
In many countries, Christmas and New Year's Day are official banking holidays. 🗓
In Europe, for example, December 24th, 25th, 26th and 31st are official banking holidays.
In the UK, the markets are officially closed December 25th and 26th.
While December 25th is the official banking holiday in the US.
When I trade I stick to the following rule: when there is a banking holiday in US, UK or EU I don't place any trade in that exact day.
However, with winter holidays it is a bit different.
I always skip the entire Christmas week - from 25th to 30th of December , because even though many markets remain opened, they are hardly moving and very slow.
You should also be very careful, trading the third week of December.
Till Wednesday, I trade in a normal schedule.
The presence of various important fundamentals in the economic calendar (especially the US ones), indicates potential volatility and nice movements on the markets.
With many years of experience, I noticed that trading volumes start falling since Thursday. And on Friday in many countries there are early bank closes or banking holidays like in New Zealand.
So my advice is, close all your trades on Wednesday 20th in the middle of NY session and stop trading.
📝 Here is the plan: we trade in a normal schedule the first half of December and then all the trades are closed, and we are enjoying holidays.
And when should you resume trading?
Again, here is a constant debate among traders. My take is to resume trading from the third week of January.
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