Update on the Chinese YuanA few months ago, I proposed USDCNH/USDCNY consolidating for a bit and then going higher, as such strong moves usually follow through. The Chinese economy looks extremely weak for multiple reasons, and I see no way that the CNH/CNY won't lose much of its value relative to the dollar. Technically it is ready for another strong move higher, and the fact that Pelosi is visiting Taiwan could be the catalyst for a breakout.
Of course, I could be wrong, and the market has a pullback first. However, I think that would be a buy-the-dip opportunity. Going down to 6.6 would be a gift, and that's where I'd want to add to my long positions (short CNY). In my opinion, the market will take out the double top at 7.2$ first, maybe pull back, and then move significantly higher. However, my first target is a bit lower because I do some resistance there, as there was a breakdown that was never retested. Regardless of what your target is, the R/R here is tremendous.
Chinese
JD Options Ahead of EarningsLooking at the JD options chain ahead of earnings, i would buy the $47 strike price in the money Calls with
2022-11-18 expiration date for about
$8.50 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, i would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Iron ore hits record-low as demand drops By the end of 2022, the price of iron ore is expected to hit their lowest level in three or four years as global demand for the commodity continues to slow down, particularly from China, the world's largest consumer of iron ore.
In recent years, China has been cutting down its iron ore demand especially after the government placed restrictions on the industry to reduce carbon emissions. In 2021, the country's iron ore import fell to 1.12 billion tons from 1.17 billion tons in the prior-year period.
Expectations for 2022 from the production side are no better with Australia, the world's biggest exporter of iron ore, projecting a 0.6% drop in global steel output to 1.947 billion tons.
"Combined with growing global recessionary fears, new COVID-19 outbreaks and weakness in China's housing sector have dampened world steel and iron ore demand in recent months," the Australian government said in its October quarterly report.
A Reuters survey in October showed that prices are expected within the $90/ton to $115/ton range by the end of the year. MetalMiner data shows the price in early 2022 were at $160.30/ton at the beginning of Russia's war against Ukraine.
The decline comes despite forecasts of growth in the demand for iron ore through to 2026. The global market for iron ore is estimated to reach 2.7 billion metric tons, while production is expected to reach 3.17 billion metric tons.
Until definite signs of recovery are observed, maybe it is best to err on the side of caution regarding iron ore prices, especially considering the threats of a recession in Europe and the persisting problems in China's property sector, which could heavily impact on the demand for the key steelmaking ingredient.
$BABA 2nd entry 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
1st Entry: $90
2nd Entry: $82.5
Take profit: $180
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$ACH china aluminum 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Entry: $9.62
Take Profit: $13 (+35%)
Stop Loss: $8.98 (-6.6%)
*Stop loss is automatic*
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$CHINAH support should hold 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
This move will benefit $NIO and $BABA. They have been growing exponentially overseas in China and other countries. My team believes that the Chinese will continue to stimulate their economy financially in order to reverse the damages caused by the Covid-19 pandemic and lockdowns.
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$CHINAH bullish set-up? 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
$BABA longterm entry 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
Entry: $90
Take profit: $180
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
$BTCM great risk to reward ratio 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
Recap: My team took profit and ran away with a 34% gain from $BTCM just a few weeks ago. Price has dropped significantly since then and looks ready to pop.
My team entered Bitcoin Mining Company $BTCM today at $.67 cent per share. Our first take profit is $1. We also have a stop loss set at $.615.
This company is a standout from other Bitcoin mining companies. It doesn't exactly trade the same as the others due to China relations, but with investors now eyeing investments overseas this could become a goldmine soon.
OUR ENTRY: $.67
FIRST TAKE PROFIT: $1
STOP LOSS: $.615
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$CHINAH bearish set-up? 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
Bitcoin along with the US market should take a decent hit sometime this week due to the continuation of strength in the US dollar. Bear-Index's, the dollar, and energy appear to be where the money will be flowing during this period if this does play out. This would lead to a temporary slowdown in the growing Chinese economy and allow it to retest support.
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
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BABA respecting the diagonal trendlineSo far BABA is respecting the diagonal trendline and we've expected this retest. The short and midterm MA's are still in uptrend. BABA is approaching 200 MA, which will be crucial to break and continue higher. We'll most likely retest around there again. Fingers crossed. LT investors deserve some relief in this stock.
an other up channel will accurehello, this stock has a big oppotuinity to grow up more and more,
why?
As you see it tried to break out its channel several times by keeping its uptrend. so if you see it breaks up that up corridor stay at your buying position and blow up your earns.
targets are showen on my chart
NB: i don't have a cristal ball predicting markest' future but i try to be more efficientr and rationnal in my trading.
Good luck and let some feedbacks if you want more markets analysis (you can ask me other markets)
$BABA buy zone 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management
My team wants to start a good-sized position at the buy zone depicted on the chart. We either buy here or not at all.
!! This chart analysis is for reference purposes only !!
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$BABA my team is underrated 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
We've been here before. My team isn't expecting to lose this trade, but if we do it would only put a small dent into the 35% gain that we've already acquired.
Our Entry: $111
Take Profit: $128
Stop Loss: $102
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
$BABA out with a 35% gain! 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Recap: On 5/19/22 my team purchased shares of Chinese online and mobile commerce company Alibaba $BABA at $88 per share.
Our initial take profit was $118. We sold 1/2 at $117 and the rest several minutes ago at $121 which brings our take profit average to $119 for a 35% gain!
Congrats to those of you who took this trade! We sold out but our overall consensus for $BABA remains bullish! Good luck to longs!
Our Entry: $88
Take Profit Average (HIT): $119
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$BABA china fights to boost economic growth 👁🗨*This is not financial advice, so trade at your own risks*
*My team digs deep and finds stocks that are expected to perform well based off multiple confluences*
*Experienced traders understand the uphill battle in timing the market, so instead my team focuses mainly on risk management*
Today my team purchased shares of Chinese online and mobile commerce company Alibaba $BABA at $88 per share. Our take profit is $118, which is a 34% increase from current levels.
The Chinese economy is desperately in need of a boost. A cut on lending rates is expected to be announced tomorrow. This will boost credit demand and take some weight off of the economic slowdown due to COVID-19 interference.
Good luck to all!
Our Entry: $88
Take Profit: $118
If you want to see more, please like and follow us @SimplyShowMeTheMoney
Which Chinese firms face delisting from US stock exchanges?Geopolitical tensions between China and the US have escalated in recent years amid efforts by both countries to become the world’s economic powerhouse.
Speculations that the Chinese economy would overtake the US by 2030 have led to tit-for-tat tariffs, sanctions, and a revamp of capital market rules aimed at reducing Chinese companies’ access to American investors’ money.
Last week, the US Securities and Exchange Commission added more than 80 more companies to a growing list of Chinese firms that are facing a potential delisting from US stock exchanges.
Trump-era accounting law
Former President Donald Trump signed into law the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA) in December 2020, threatening to kick Chinese companies off US bourses if they fail to comply with auditing rules set by the US Public Accounting Oversight Board.
China has since repeatedly slammed the law, describing it as discriminatory and distorts "the basic norms of the market economy." Beijing also denies access to listed companies’ accounting documents, citing state secret concerns.
Protecting state secrets
The country's State Secret Law, which was enacted in May 1989, seeks to protect state secrets and safeguard national interests. This law has prevented the Chinese units of the Big Four accounting firms from handing over certain corporate information to overseas entities.
Even before the HFCAA was passed, the US has already expelled a number of big Chinese firms like the country’s big three telcos: China Telecom (HKG:0728), China Mobile (HKG:0941) and China Unicom (HKG:0762). China Telecom and China Mobile have since raised funds in the mainland market, joining China Unicom to tap into local capital. The Trump administration cited the company’s alleged ties with the Chinese military as the reason for the move.
Chinese oil major China National Offshore Oil or CNOOC (HKG:0883) was also delisted from the New York Stock Exchange in October 2021 for the same reason, prompting it to raise funds at home. Less than a month ago, CNOOC raised about $4.4 billion on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in one of this year’s biggest IPOs.
Most recently, more firms could be booted from US bourses after the SEC released a provisional list of firms that are found to be violating US auditing rules.
Dozens face delisting risks
Last week, more than 80 companies have been added to the list including CNOOC peers Sinopec (NYSE:SNP) and PetroChina (NYSE:PTR). Both companies are already listed on the Shanghai bourse.
Tech firms including e-commerce giant JD.com (NASDAQ:JD), Tencent Music Entertainment (NYSE:TME), Trip.com (NASDAQ:TCOM) and electric carmaker NIO (NYSE:NIO) were also added to the list last week, joining big names like aluminum giant Aluminum Corp. of China or Chalco (NYSE:ACH).
Some firms like JD.com have since vowed to protect their US listing status. The company on Thursday said it will "strive to maintain” its listing on the Nasdaq stock market and has been actively exploring possible solutions.
Market reaction
The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index, which tracks 98 of China's biggest US-listed firms, tumbled over 17% over the past five trading sessions since the May 4 SEC announcement.
The passage of the HFCAA marks the latest challenge for US-listed Chinese companies after the SEC earlier warned American investors about investing in shares of Chinese companies that operate through a variable interest entity (VIE) structure, which had been used by companies like Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) to bypass foreign investment restrictions.
The SEC warned in September 2021 that if either the Chinese firm or its US-listed shell company breach their contracts, "US investors may suffer significant losses with little or no recourse available."
Are investors bullish on Chinese stocks again?A raft of regulations targeting a number of sectors — from technology to real estate and education — have hammered Chinese stocks late last year and into 2022, and although many economists remain bullish on Chinese stocks’ potential, Beijing’s relationship with the Kremlin is now weighing on investor appetite for Chinese shares.
On Friday, April 1, Shanghai’s SSE Composite Index tumbled 5.8% year on year, and is down 9.6% from the start of the year. The SZSE Component Index, the benchmark index of the tech-heavy Shenzhen Stock Exchange, is also down 13.2% year over year on Friday, and 17.3% lower year-to-date.
The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index, which tracks Chinese companies listed in Hong Kong, likewise tanked 31.9% from last year as of Friday, and down 8% year-to-date.
2021 in retrospect
In 2021, Chinese companies were hit with regulatory changes as Beijing sought to weed out anti-competitive behavior, online gaming addiction, excessive childcare and education costs, and eliminate other risks in the private sector.
Beijing’s crackdown on the tech and financial technology sector led to the record fine of over 18 billion yuan (around $3 billion) on Alibaba (NYSE:BABA), the transition of Alibaba’s mobile payments arm Ant Group into a financial holding company and a raft of rules aimed at data security and anti-monopoly, among others.
The government also targeted the education sector last year, launching sweeping rules that upended for-profit tutoring companies. New rules aimed at protecting minors also took a toll on the operations and revenue of big gaming companies like Tencent Holdings (HKG:0700) and NetEase (NASDAQ:NTES).
Towards the end of last year, the vulnerability of China’s property sector came to light as China Evergrande's (HKG:3333) massive debt pileup of more than $300 billion highlighted the risks of the country’s highly-leveraged real estate sector that many fear would lead to a wider contagion affecting the country's financial industry and the global markets.
These factors led to a sell-off of Chinese stocks at home and in the US, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index (INDEXNASDAQ: HXC), which tracks 98 of China's biggest US-listed firms, posting its sharpest drop since the financial crisis of 2008 in March after reaching an all-time high in February 2021. As of writing, the HXC is trading lower than its 2008 peak after retracing approximately 70% of the gains it made since its 2008 bottom.
Booting Chinese stocks from US exchanges
Geopolitical tensions and data security concerns prompted the US Securities and Exchange Commission to tighten its auditing rules on Chinese companies listed on US bourses. This threatens the US listing status of companies like KFC operator Yum China Holdings (NYSE:YUMC), Twitter-like Weibo (NASDAQ:WB), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), and iQIYI (NASDAQ:IQ).
Even before these firms were added to the SEC’s “provisional list” of companies that are found to be violating the US Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act, the US has already booted several Chinese companies — including China’s big three telecommunications companies — over the past year, citing data security concerns and other alleged violations.
Bullish on Chinese stocks
Despite uncertainties over the outlook for China’s regulatory environment in the coming years, some global banks and economists including Bernstein, Credit Suisse and Goldman Sachs remain bullish on Chinese stocks.
Credit Suisse upgraded its outlook on China, noting that values may be depressed, while Goldman Sachs underscored the investability of Chinese assets due to the liberalization and reform measures in the Chinese capital markets, which according to the bank backs its view that China equity is an asset class “that is too big, too growthy, and too vibrant to ignore.”
Geopolitical woes, COVID-19 risks remain
However, some economists are polarized on their outlook on Chinese stocks due to lingering geopolitical tensions and the resurgence of COVID-19 cases that recently prompted lockdowns in two of the country's most populous cities.
Reports highlighting Beijing’s relationship with Russia might be reducing investor appetite for Chinese stocks. Beijing has refused to back a global condemnation of the Kremlin’s military actions against Ukraine, refusing to describe the attacks as an invasion.
US-listed Chinese companies have lost over $1.1 trillion in market value in recent weeks due to these concerns and Asian Corporate Governance Association’s Jamie Allen told CNBC over a week ago that the delisting of US-listed Chinese firms could come in the next two to three years.