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✨ NEW: EURCHF ✨ LONG TERM SWING ✨SLO @ 0.9625 TP4 @ 0.9610 (shaving) TP3 @ 0.9590 (shaving) TP2 @ 0.9580 (shaving) TP1 @ 0.9566 (shaving) BSO @ 0.9555 ⏳ -SL @ 0.9530 If the Pivot Low hold up, we can then use this range as our Curve Analysis and hope for some uptrend momentum above 0.9555 To help me better understand this pair, I use the correlation between EURCHF and EURUSD, which is positive 69%. This means that the two currency pairs tend to move in the same direction roughly 70% of the time. Whereas, about 30% of the time, they're negatively correlated. Looking at the history SHORTING is obviously you're best bet. Otherwise, you'll have to use TEMASHA to catch the actual turn to the upside. ⚠️ Because PA is at the ALL Time Low (with no real pivot low), there is NO CURVE to be analyzed. The only thing I see is a BSO @ 0.9555 WE ARE A COMMUNITY BOOST a trade idea to share with others and "pay it forward" FOLLOW to receive alerts of any new posted ideas COMMENT with questions, insight, and expertise JOIN our group chat: receive free analyses on any instrument
Long
by ProfessorCEWard
AUDCHF: Buy opportunity emergingAUDCHF is trading inside a Channel Down pattern for more than one year with the 1D timeframe bearish (RSI = 38.270, MACD = -0.004, ADX = 43.501) as the price is under its middle and the 1D MA50. The 1D MA200 is located exactly on its top. The 1D MACD is in the process of completing a Bullish Cross, which has been a strong buy signal inside this pattern. Even though the price can extend to 0.57000 to complete a -7.55% decline from the recent Lower High (similar declines have been -8.06%, -7.94% and -7.55% since the start of the pattern so we use the minimum scenario), once the Bullish Cross is formed, we will buy and target the 1D MA50 (TP = 0.59000). Prior idea: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
1
CADCHF - Watch For Breakout!Following on from our last CADCHF post, which resulted in a full TP of 900pips, we have found another great opportunity. We are currently in wave 4, which appears to be a ABC correction. We are looking to trade the C leg of wave 4. We anticipate that wave B has completed therefore we can use the lows of wave B as invalidation level for our bullish trade. Trade idea: - Watch for bullish price action and enter - stop loss below wave B completion (basically the lows) - Target: 6.8 (300pips) but do actively manage your positions as we move higher. See our last CADCHF post here: Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
2
GBPCHF: Price Action Analysis & Forecast 🇬🇧🇨🇭 GBPCHF is testing a strong horizontal resistance. Here are multiple bearish clues that I spotted after the test of the underlined area: the market was rejected heavily, forming a sequence of rejection candles, the price formed a head and shoulders pattern and broke its horizontal neckline, the pair violated a support line of an expanding wedge pattern. I believe that the market will most likely drop lower soon. Goals: 1.1117 ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Short
by VasilyTrader
8
CHFARS Long Trend bullish continuesNo divergence! Bullish Trend will continue Strategy:JUST TREND TRADING!!!!!On Higher TF (Daily,weekly monthly) What is the state of Argentina’s economy? Argentina is the third-largest economy in Latin America, behind Brazil and Mexico. Its major industries include automobiles, textiles, mining, technology, agriculture, and tourism. Additionally, analysts say there is significant economic potential in the development of renewable energy, such as solar and wind power, and related resources, such as lithium. Argentina has historically shifted between pro-business and populist administrations, which have taken a more heavy-handed role in the economy and increased social spending. Before taking office, Fernandez promised to reverse the austerity measures enacted under Macri. His administration has since increased taxes on exports and high-income households, lowered interest rates, and raised the minimum wage. However, while year-on-year unemployment has fallen recently, the country still has one of the highest inflation rates in the world, and four in ten Argentines live below the national poverty line. Argentina’s top trading partners are the United States, Brazil, and China. The United States is also Argentina’s largest foreign investor, with more than three hundred U.S. companies operating there. In addition, Argentina is a member of several regional trade groups, including the Southern Common Market (Mercosur) and the Latin American Integration Association, and it is currently a prospective member for the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, a bloc of the world’s most advanced economies. What are Argentina’s major economic challenges? Argentina’s climate for business and investment has worsened in recent years, weakening due to political dysfunction, price and capital controls, high inflation, debt concerns, and the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2020, foreign investment dropped to $4.1 billion, down 38 percent from the previous year, and several international companies announced they were downsizing or leaving Argentina amid the country’s ongoing recession. The overall economy has shrunk each year since 2018. Argentina was one of the ten wealthiest countries per capita in the early twentieth century. However, economists say that its overreliance on commodity exports and unsustainable government spending fueled frequent boom-bust cycles, resulting in political instability and economic decline in the decades that followed. Successive administrations have struggled to keep the country’s finances in check during periods of economic turmoil. As a result, Argentina has often failed to pay its international creditors; it has defaulted on its sovereign debt nine times over the last two centuries, one of the most frequent in the world to do so. The largest default occurred in December 2001, when the government reneged on nearly $93 billion in loans, causing Argentina to lose access to international debt markets. To restore its ability to borrow, Macri cut export taxes, lifted currency controls, and negotiated a debt settlement with holdout creditors in 2016. While these actions were successful, Argentina lost access again following the country’s default in May 2020. As of December 2020, Argentina’s total national debt was $336 billion, or nearly 90 percent of its gross domestic product (GDP). Of that, the government owes $45 billion to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and $2.4 billion to the Paris Club, an informal group of private creditors.
Long
by DaveBrascoFX
GBP/CHF Interest Rates up But Gold Supporting CHFBoth the UK and Switzerland are sort of rebels as they’ve both disregarded the EU in one way or the other. This makes them unique to the rest of the world but quite similar to each other. Here is why you should trade the GBPCHF currency pair: GOLD PRICE Across the seven seas, Switzerland’s currency, the Swiss franc, also has a strong link with gold. Using the dollar as base currency, the USD/CHF usually climbs when the price of gold slides. Conversely, the pair dips when the price of gold goes up. Unlike the Australian dollar, the reason why the Swiss franc moves along with gold is that more than 25% of Switzerland’s money is backed by gold reserves. Gold has a negative correlation with USD/CHF. When gold goes up, USD/CHF goes down. When gold goes down, USD/CHF goes up. Isn’t that awesome? Keep in mind that that this correlation is not set in stone and may change in the future. So the Gold price has a positive correlation with AUD and CHF. Market Correlations The correlations between currency pairs like the GBPCHF and other assets in the market are a great reason to trade them. This is evident in the case of the British Pound, which has strong correlations with commodities such as machinery and transport. These are its most popular exports. It is especially evident in the instance of the Swiss franc, which has strong linkages with goods such as medicines and watches. This is due to their involvement in the exportation of these valuable products. As a result, trading this pair becomes even easier since if we understand the direction of the commodities market, we can easily grasp the direction of the GBPCHF market as well. We’ll go over how these commodities will affect the movement of the GBPCHF currency pair in greater detail later. Market Predictability Identifying market conditions for GBPCHF seems to be rather clear cut. This is due to the fact that they are most influenced by developments in their respective countries, namely the United Kingdom and Switzerland. Because the USD is the standard currency for global transactions, any changes anywhere in the world would have an impact on a pair including the USD. Similarly, any changes that occur anywhere in the European Union’s 28 member countries would have an impact on a pair that contains the Euro. As a result, maintaining track of every location that may have an impact on a currency pair becomes rather difficult. Forex pairs that are exclusively tied to a certain region, such as GBPCHF, are much easier to forecast since we just need to assess their individual nations for economic changes. Interest Rates The United Kingdom is well-known for its high interest rates set by the Bank of England. These high interest rates are far higher than those of other market players like the United States and Australia. Switzerland has substantially lower interest rates than the United Kingdom. The Swiss National Bank is responsible for Switzerland’s low interest rates. Their economy is relatively steady, which is why their interest rates are so low. As a result of these interest rates, traders are driven to the GBPCHF currency pair due to its high interest yields. Because of the wide disparity in interest rates, this combination delivers high returns. When trading this currency pair, traders usually employ a carry trade due to the high rewards. Carry trading is the practice of selling a low-interest-rate currency in order to buy one with a higher interest rate. GBPCHF Trading Tips As we’ve mentioned previously, GBPCHF is quite unique to others but very similar to each other. This places them in quite a tricky spot as their markets would be facing very unique circumstances. Here are a few tips for trading the GBPCHF currency pair: Trade Timings Although you can generally trade the GBPCHF currency pair anytime as long as the market is open, there are certain timings that make the market conditions perfectly ideal for this dynamic duo. The perfect time to trade this pair is when the London market is open. This would be considered between 8 am and 4 am GMT. The reason this timing is so ideal is because if any changes were to occur in the economic or monetary policies of these individual countries, they would occur within this time zone. And so, this is why it is important to keep in mind trade timings when trading the GBPCHF currency pair. Carry Trading Carry trade is the practice of borrowing a low-interest-rate currency to invest in a higher-interest-rate currency. When using the carry trade strategy, you must first decide on the funding and asset currencies. The currency traded in the transaction is known as the funding currency. This currency often has a lower interest rate. Historically, the CHF has been a popular funding currency. Selling the CHF while simultaneously buying the GBP, is critical for successful GBPCHF carry trading. When this happens, you will be paid interest based on the difference in interest rates between GBP and CHF which is quite a significant amount. Range Trading The technique of determining when to enter a trade by analyzing support and resistance levels is known as range trading. The highest points on a particular chart are the resistance levels. Similarly, the lowest points on a particular chart represent support levels. Understanding the location of these highs and lows is critical to the range trading approach. For instance, if the price is approaching a resistance level and you believe it will hold, you may place a SELL order. If the price, on the other hand, reaches a level of support that you believe will hold, you may make a BUY transaction. If the price goes below the support level, you can begin a short position because the support level will no longer be valid. Similarly, if the price continues to rise over the resistance level, you may enter the market long since the resistance level will be invalidated. Factors Affecting GBPCHF Both the UK and Switzerland are quite similar to each other. Despite this, they are each known for their own reasons and have greatly benefitted from them respectively. Here are a few factors impacting the GBPCHF currency pair: The Pharmaceuticals Industry Switzerland is one of the world’s largest exporters of medicinal products. These mostly consist of medications, although other pharmaceutical items are also provided. Any changes in demand for these products have a considerable influence on the value of Switzerland’s economy. If worldwide demand for drugs and other medicines rises, Switzerland will be able to export them more often, improving the value of the CHF. As a result, the value of the GBPCHF currency pair would plummet. Similarly, if the worldwide demand for drugs and other pharmaceuticals falls, Switzerland will be unable to export as much as usual, leading the CHF to lose value. As a result, the value of the GBPCHF currency pair would increase. The Transport Industry The United Kingdom is a leading exporter of automobiles and auto parts. As a result, its economy is strongly dependent on worldwide demand for these goods. Any changes in demand for transportation vehicles will have an immediate impact on the pound’s value. If demand for automobiles declines, the UK will not export as many of them, causing the value of the GBPCHF to fall. Similarly, if worldwide demand for autos increases, the UK will export them more frequently, and the value of the GBPCHF will rise. The Watch Industry Switzerland is also well-known for its timepieces and its exports of them as well. They produce some of the highest-quality watches in the world. Their watches are quite popular abroad, accounting for a sizable share of their exports. Any changes in demand for these products have a substantial influence on the Swiss economy’s value. If worldwide demand for watches rises, Switzerland will be able to export them more often, raising the value of the CHF. As a result, the GBPCHF currency pair’s value would plummet. Similarly, if worldwide demand for watches falls, Switzerland will be unable to export as many as it does now, leading the CHF to lose value. As a result, the GBPCHF currency pair’s value would appreciate in value. The Machinery Industry The United Kingdom is a leading exporter of electrical machinery. As a result, its economy is strongly dependent on worldwide demand for these goods. Any changes in demand for electrical machinery will have an immediate impact on the pound’s value. If demand for electrical machinery declines, the UK will not export as many of them, causing the value of the GBPCHF to fall. Similarly, if worldwide demand for electrical machinery increases, the UK will export them more frequently, and the value of the GBPCHF will rise. Financial Institutions Both the Bank of England and the Swiss National Bank are majorly responsible for any instability in the GBPCHF marketplace. The BOE and SNB release monthly reports and statements regarding updates to any policy changes. These reports also display the economic and monetary forecasts for the upcoming short-term. Any positive results from the BOE will have a positive impact on the GBPCHF currency pair. However, any positive results from the SNB will have an inverse impact on the GBPCHF currency pair. The representatives of these individual banks also hold speeches frequently where they explain these results in more detail. These speeches are just, if not more, important in determining the direction of the GBPCHF market. From BOE, Andrew Bailey who is the Governor of the institution is highly looked upon for his speeches. From SNB, Thomas Jordan who is the Governor of the institution is highly looked upon for his speeches. Unemployment Rate The unemployment rate has a considerable influence on the GBPCHF currency pair’s value. Switzerland is renowned for having a very low unemployment rate. Switzerland has one of the world’s most stable economies. Any changes in the number of citizens employed in a country will have an impact on the economy. This is because the more people who are unemployed, the more the government must pay for them from its own resources. This significantly reduces the value of a country’s economy. If Switzerland’s unemployment rate rises, the CHF will decline in value, leading the GBPCHF currency pair to gain in value. Similarly, if the unemployment rate in the United Kingdom rises, the value of the GBP lowers, leading the GBPCHF currency pair to decline as well.
Short
by DaveBrascoFX
🔥 MODIFICATION: CHFJPY 🔥 POSITION TRADE 🔥Being that Price Action (PA) continues to go long, please manage your trades as we take the risk of shorting it from here. SSO1 @ 158.50 ⏳ SSO2 @ 152.60 ⏳ TP1 @ 141.33 (shaving 25%) TP2 @ 131.85 (shaving 25%) TP3 @ 124.90 (shaving 25%) TP4 @ 114.15 (closing ALL Sell Orders) BLO1 @ 111.55 ⏳ BLO2 @ 105.25 ⏳ WE ARE A COMMUNITY BOOST a trade idea to share with others and "pay it forward" FOLLOW to receive alerts of any new posted ideas COMMENT with questions, insight, and expertise JOIN our group chat: receive free analyses on any instrument
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
1
EURCHF to stall at EURCHF - Intraday There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. Broken out of the channel formation to the downside. Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high. 50 4-hour EMA is at 0.9661. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. We look to Sell at 0.9659 (stop at 0.9685) Our profit targets will be 0.9599 and 0.9589 Resistance: 0.9625 / 0.9650 / 0.9670 Support: 0.9603 / 0.9580 / 0.9560 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
USDCHF to correct to the upside?USDCHF - Intraday Broken out of the channel formation to the upside. Short term momentum is bullish. A break of yesterdays high would confirm bullish momentum. We are trading at oversold extremes. Trades at the lowest level in 105-months. We look to Buy a break of 0.8686 (stop at 0.8650) Our profit targets will be 0.8776 and 0.8796 Resistance: 0.8684 / 0.8700 / 0.8720 Support: 0.8656 / 0.8626 / 0.8600 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
USDCHF LONG /BUY🔰 Pair Name : USD/CHF 🔰 Time Frame : 4H 🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale 🔰 Direction : LONG/BUY Today, the US Dollar exhibited marginal strength against the Australian and New Zealand Dollars, while facing weakness against the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc as investors adopted a risk-off approach. The currency movements can be attributed to disappointing data from China, which revealed an overall softening of the economy, with a year-on-year growth rate of 6.3% in the second quarter. This figure fell short of the previous quarter's forecasts of 7.3% and 4.5%. Specifically, retail sales grew by 3.1% year-on-year until the end of June, slightly below the estimated 3.2% and significantly lower than the 12.7% recorded in May. Despite the mixed data, there were some encouraging signs in the Chinese economy. Industrial production expanded by 4.4% year-on-year until the end of June, surpassing expectations of 2.7% and the previous figure of 3.5%. Additionally, fixed asset investment outperformed expectations, growing by 3.8% over the January to June period, compared to the anticipated 3.5%. In the Asian-Pacific markets, China's CSI 300 equity index experienced a decline of more than 1%, while other APAC markets had a subdued start to the trading week. Tokyo remained closed for a holiday, and markets in Hong Kong and Taiwan were impacted by typhoon Talim. Futures indicate a slightly negative start to the Wall Street cash session. Meanwhile, G-20 Finance Ministers and central bankers gathered in India today for their meeting. While this event is expected to generate numerous headlines, it's worth noting that no speeches from Federal Reserve speakers are scheduled, as they have entered a communications blackout in preparation for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on July 26th. The market has already priced in a 25 basis point lift at the conclave. In the commodities market, crude oil slipped before Monday's session, with both WTI and Brent futures contracts down approximately 1%. On the other hand, gold maintained relative stability, trading near the middle of its range, just above the USD 1950 level. In the European markets, several central bank voting members, including President Christine Lagarde, will deliver speeches today, potentially influencing market sentiment. Regarding the DXY (USD) index, it reached a 15-month low on Friday, breaking below prior support levels in the 100.80 – 101.00 range. This area could now act as a breakpoint resistance zone, with another resistance point anticipated at 101.92, followed by the peak of 103.57. The recent sell-off caused the DXY to breach below the lower band of the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) based Bollinger Band. A close back inside the band might indicate a potential pause in the bearish trend or signal a potential reversal. Looking back at last Friday's trading, the DXY recorded a low of 99.58, just above the April 2022 low of 99.57. These levels may provide support ahead of a potential break point at 99.42. It's worth noting that the USD/CHF pair appears to have landed on the 4-hour/daily demand zone, positioned at the bottom of the downward channel, suggesting a significant market imbalance. This imbalance indicates a need for correction to rebalance the market with more selling positions. If the market continues to decline, we may expect further downward movement after the correction, filling up the imbalance above. As traders, we should closely monitor these developments to capitalize on potential trading opportunities.
Long
by Moon_SmartMoney
USDCHF in a bearish channel at oversold extremes.USDCHF - 24h expiry We are trading at oversold extremes. The primary trend remains bearish. Trades at the highest level in 105 months. Trading within a Bearish Channel formation. Trend line resistance is located at 0.8607. There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end. We look to Sell at 0.8607 (stop at 0.8639) Our profit targets will be 0.8527 and 0.8517 Resistance: 0.8575 / 0.8600 / 0.8630 Support: 0.8555 / 0.8530 / 0.8500 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
GbpChf mid of a daily/weekly rangeWatching it to act accordingly... **Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week** *************************************************************************************** Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
1
USDCHF Buy opportunity on extremely oversold levels.USDCHF is approaching the bottom of the year long Channel Down after an aggressive rejection on the MA100 (1d). The RSI (1d) is extremly oversold, close to 20.00. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 0.88000 (expected contact with the MA50 1d near the top of the Channel Down). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) gets rejected above its MA level and the 60.00 mark. Use it in addition to the MA100 (1d) rejection indication. Please like, follow and comment!!
Long
by TradingBrokersView
6