CHFJPY Low risk trades on the 1D MA50 closing.The CHFJPY pair is trading within a Bullish Megaphone for almost 4 months (since July 12) and is on a rebound on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Technically it priced the Higher High of the Megaphone 2 weeks ago so this should be the bearish leg towards its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). Especially since the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) broke last month for the first time since March 29th, the trend should start shifting more towards bearish on the long-term.
Since however our focus is more on the short/ medium-term, we will continue to take it a step at a time and as long as the price is closing above the 1D MA50, we will be bullish, targeting the top of the Megaphone again at 169.100. If however we get a 1D candle close below the 1D MA50, we will take the loss and sell instead, targeting the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (where the previous Higher Low was priced) at 161.900. Note that the 1D MACD is currently on a Bearish Cross, which favors selling. Still, our trading plan a low risk and high return approach.
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Chf
USDCHF 5/11/23As you can see from US dollar chef you're probably starting to recognise that there is a clear pattern here we have a freshly established swing with a swing high and a swing low giving us the exact opposite of what we've seen with our usd secondary pairs which is of course a bullish range in this case we have a bearish range breaker structure has occurred at the end of Friday session we have now fully established our range we'll be looking at exactly the same thing for our other pairs just in this case reversed as we are looking for highs to be ramped for continuation to the downside or the higher poi to be tapped into for again continuations to the downside.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
AUDCHF: Fakeout or Breakout?We can see we've just broken out of my channel top after a strong bullish move, but this isn't the first time and we're hitting strong resistance.
Swissie has been weak of late, unlike the Aussie, so I believe this can go either way. I'll be looking at longs around 0.589 if resistance is broken, but we may well fall back first. If we fall back below 0.578 then I'll be waiting for the triple bottom around 0.561 before looking to go long.
Obviously this could all be a fakeout and we'll be back in the channel, but I do think it's risky shorting down hear unless it's for a quick scalp as it definitely looks like a good double bottom is already in play.
Both of these currencies are gold dependent for different reasons (Aussie exporting it, Swissie holding it), and Aussie is doing well because gold is.
I'm expecting a c0ontinuation of gold strength as per my recent idea, so probably expecting this pair could keep flying?
GBPCHF November 2nd, 2023Based on the Daily timeframe for GBPCHF, a clear technical analysis reveals a notable development. The previous support trendline has experienced a downside breakout, now functioning as a resistance zone. Currently, the price is approaching this trendline, showcasing a retest scenario. There's a potential for a bounce off this resistance area.
This probability is reinforced by the stochastic indicator, specifically with parameters set at 5,3,3. These settings are well-suited for the D1 forex market, where the 5-day (weekly) average aligns with the market's open days (Monday to Friday). The stochastic has crossed above the overbought (>80), indicating a potential reversal.
In terms of price targets, a decline is anticipated towards the 1.09-1.08 range. It's advisable to set a stop loss if the price surpasses the current resistance level. This analysis aims to provide a straightforward and easily understandable overview of the GBPCHF pair's current technical situation.
EURCHF Sell opportunity near the top of the Channel Down.More than a month ago (September 19) we gave a short-term buy signal on the EURCHF pair (see chart below) that quickly hit its target:
The price is now ranged within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) near not only the top of the 10-month Channel Down but also the Lower Highs trend-line from September 20 2021. The MACD is on a similar pattern as March 02. We are taking this as a sell signal, targeting Support 1 at 0.941850.
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CADCHF: Ready to go?Been watching this pair for a while, I'm noticing the Swissie generally weaken against it's crosses, many look ready for a reversal to me.
CADCHF has been trading in a range, we can see daily failures at the current level which suggests to me we're about to bounce up so I'm looking for a buy on LTF's.
I first posted this idea on the 18th October, it now looks like we're about ready to go!
CADCHF: Six month Support Zone holding.CADCHF has held trading over the six month S1 Zone for the eight straight session. Obviously this turned the 4H timeframe (and below) neutral (RSI = 52.551, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 32.796), which makes for a solid bottom formation. On a wider look it appears that the original Channel Down transitioned into a Rectangle of a R1 and S1 Zone. The 1D MACD Bullish Cross will give the buy signal if formed and our target will by the LH trendline of the Channel Down (TP = 0.67850).
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USDCHF 29/10/23UC really clean trend from last week following our ranges as we thought it would, we now have another range to the upside as it stands we are looking for our swing high to be taken, if we break down we will track price as we should, this would also line up with our other bias setups for GU EU N1.
Remember to always read order flow and follow what price is showing you instead of trading based on your desired direction. And, as always, stick to your risk and your plan.
We'll be closely monitoring market openings and price action throughout the week. If you find this analysis useful, let us know in the comments below and hit the boost button to show your support. Here's to a successful week of trading!
CAD/CHF Sell Trade: Navigating Oil Dynamics and Safe HavensAlright, let's break down this CAD/CHF sell trade. 📉
First off, if you peek at the monthly and weekly charts, you'll notice this pair's still riding the bearish wave. 📊
On the hourly chart, buyers seem to be in control and have pushed the market into overbought territory. 📈
Now, my eye's on two attractive targets: 0.65750 and 0.65000. 🎯🎯
Now, a bit of context: CAD's been on a rally lately, thanks to the surging oil demand. 🛢️ But, I've got a hunch that this momentum might not last much longer.
Why, you ask? Well, CAD's closely tied to oil, and with all the uncertainties in the world, the oil demand might waver. 🌍
And don't forget about the Swiss Franc - it's a safe haven currency, especially in turbulent times. Given the current global climate, I think it's gonna stay strong. 💪
No stop losses this time. I'm playing it cautious with small lots, about .01 for every 1000 USD.
Keep an eye out for updates! 🚀
UsdChf watch out for rejectionTechnically Uchf came back to its R zone, 4 up candles on daily so far. careful with this zone. or the uptrendline later on.
Of coz act accordingly as PA unfolds over the week.
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
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GBPCHF: Retest incoming, then downWe've broken out of a long-standing sideways channel to the lower side, now bouncing off support to retest the broken channel.
I'm expecting a big dump in this paid once the retest is complete, UK economy vs Swiss economy, interest yields etc, no comparison.
The Swiss has been a stand-out performer against most crosses this year, GBP has been clinging on but I think we'll drop again soon.
CHFJPY possible expansionAfter price broke previous structure with momentum, it started to consolidate forming what could be seen as something along the lines of a bullish flag or rising wedge. Price is currently above a demand zone that was left behind, with liquidity on both sides of the wedge. Price is unquestionably bullish, so it could use this demand zone with liquidity formed to expand and take out our recently formed weak swing high.
CADCHF BUY | Day Trading Analysis With Volume ProfileHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Watch strong action at the current levels for BUY . GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity CADCHF
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Bearish Again on the 1 Hour...?Yesterday, we made our analysis and found a possibility of the market dipping.
The market played out our prediction and hit the 1 and 4-hour liquidity target at 0.89016.
With that swing completed, we are setting up for the next trading opportunity.
We see prices begin to retrace Bullish after hitting our liquidity target.
We have prices back inside our Panzy Pips Block (PB) and we are setting up for a trade. Price is expected to get to our marked-out zone, and from there, it will reverse Bearish. We will look to jump on that Bearishness when the reversal begins.
Even though we are Bearish on the 1 Hour, as well as the 4 hour, it is important to notice and pay attention to the fact that the daily chart is bullish and we have seen prices very recently come into our marked-out zone. This is a sign of Bullishness on the Daily. Be that as it may, since we are trading the 1 hour time frame, we will hold on to the Bearishness sold to us by the 1 hour timeframe and only look to think otherwise where and when the 1 hour reverses adn begins to move Bullish, in the direction of and in syncrony with the Daily Chart.