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EURUSD) bearish on the market) analysis)💥💯💯The US dollar fell against its major trading partners early Thursday ahead of a trio of economic releases at 8:30 am ET. The third estimate of Q3 gross domestic product is scheduled for release at 8:30 am ET, at the same time as weekly jobless claims and the Philadelphia Federal Reserve's manufacturing reading for December. Later, the Conference Board's leading indicators report for November is due at 10:00 am ET, followed by weekly natural gas stocks data at 10:30 am ET and the Kansas City Fed's manufacturing reading at 11:00 am ET. A quick summary of foreign exchange activity heading into Thursday: USDEUR rose to 1.0982 from 1.0943 at the Wednesday US close and 1.0937 at the same time Wednesday morning. There are no EU data on Thursday's calendar but European Central Bank policy board member Philip Lane is scheduled to speak at 11:00 am ET. The next ECB meeting is set for Jan. 25. GBPUSD rose to 1.2663 from 1.2639 at the Wednesday US close and 1.2655 at the same time Wednesday morning. The UK CBI distributive trade survey showed expectations of a large contraction in retail spending in December, data released overnight showed. The next Bank of England meeting is scheduled for Feb. 1. USDJPY fell to 142.6838 from 143.5636 at Wednesday US close and 143.4100 at the same time Wednesday morning. There were no Japanese data released overnight. The next Bank of Japan meeting is scheduled for Jan. 22-23. USDCAD fell to 1.3343 from 1.3368 at the Wednesday US close but was up from a level of 1.3338 at the same time Wednesday morning. Canada retail sales and average weekly earnings data for October are scheduled to be released at 8:30 am ET. The next Bank of Canada meeting is set for Jan. 24.
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
Learn to identify some useful Chart patterns, Merry Christmas🎄 Unlocking the Secrets of Chart Patterns: Navigating Market Trends 📈 Season's Greetings to all our readers! As we celebrate the spirit of the holidays, let's delve into the fascinating world of financial markets. In our journey to understand and navigate the complexities of trading and investing, we've touched upon essential chart patterns that can serve as invaluable guides for market enthusiasts. In the midst of the festive cheer, let's revisit some of these powerful indicators: the Double Bottom, Flag and Pole, Bullish Pennant, Rising Wedge, Falling Wedge, Triple Top, and Inverted Head and Shoulders. Understanding these patterns can be akin to unwrapping gifts of insight into potential market movements. So, grab a cup of cocoa, settle into your favorite chair, and join us as we explore the significance of these chart patterns and share practical tips on incorporating stop-loss strategies to enhance your trading toolkit. Wishing you a Merry Christmas filled with joy, warmth, and prosperous insights in the financial markets! 🎅🎁🚀 Double Bottom: Description: Imagine a smiley face turned upside down. A double bottom is a chart pattern that looks like two rounded troughs (bottoms) next to each other. Interpretation: Indicates a possible reversal of a downtrend. The price has tried to go down twice but failed, suggesting a potential upward movement. Stop-Loss Tip: One can place a stop-loss slightly below the lowest point of the double bottom. If the price falls below this level, it may invalidate the pattern. Flag and Pole: Description: Think of a flag on a flagpole. The "pole" is a strong, quick price movement, and the "flag" is a rectangular-shaped consolidation pattern. Interpretation: The flag and pole pattern often signals a continuation of the previous trend. The flag represents a brief pause before the price resumes its original direction. Stop-Loss Tip: One should set a stop-loss just below the lower end of the flag. If the price drops below this level, it might suggest a reversal of the trend. Bullish Pennant: Description: Similar to the flag and pole but with a small symmetrical triangle (pennant) instead of a rectangle. Interpretation: Indicates a temporary consolidation after a strong upward movement. It suggests that the bullish trend might continue after the brief pause. Stop-Loss Tip: Place a stop-loss under the lower trendline of the pennant. A break below this line could signal a potential trend reversal. Rising Wedge: Description: Picture a triangle with its top side steeper than the bottom side. The price makes higher highs and higher lows but in a narrowing range, with indicator making Lower Highs (Bearish Divergences). Interpretation: This pattern can indicate a potential reversal to the downside. It suggests that the buying interest is weakening, and the price may soon decline. Stop-Loss Tip: Place a stop-loss just above the last price swing high of the wedge. If the price drops below this line, it may suggest a potential reversal. Falling Wedge: Description: Similar to the rising wedge but inverted. The top side is less steep than the bottom side. Interpretation: Represents a potential reversal to the upside. It suggests that selling pressure is weakening, and the price may be ready to move higher. Stop-Loss Tip: Place a stop-loss just below the last price swing low of the wedge. If the price drops below this line, it may suggest a potential reversal. Triple Top: Description: Visualize a horizontal line touching the tops of three consecutive peaks. Interpretation : Indicates a possible reversal of an uptrend. The price has failed to break above a certain level three times, suggesting a potential downturn. Stop-Loss Tip: One should set a stop-loss slightly above the highest point of the triple top. If the price rises above this level, it may negate the pattern. Inverted Head and Shoulders: Description: Picture three troughs, where the middle one (head) is lower than the two on either side (shoulders). Interpretation: This pattern suggests a potential reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. It signifies a shift in momentum from bearish to bullish. Stop-Loss Tip: One should place a stop-loss just below the neckline (the line connecting the highs of the pattern). If the price falls below this line, it might indicate a failed reversal. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by RK_Chaarts
49
GBPJPY) 4H) tame frame ) analysis)Speculation about when the Bank of Japan will end its negative interest rate policy (NIRP) has been rife, but seen as more likely to come in January than December. Price action in JPY-related FX option markets isn't offering many clues, with increased demand and high volatility risk premiums for both meetings, and also for a speech by BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda on Dec. 25. Deutsche shares sentiment with other banks who expect the Bank of Japan to maintain its current monetary policy framework in December, while hinting at an end to the NIRP at its Jan. 23 meeting. Deutsche attribute a 60% probability to hints being made. In terms of fundamentals, Deutsche believe that ending NIRP in January is appropriate because the forecast in the outlook report will change since the data already imply a virtuous circle in wages and prices. In terms of practicalities, it is because financial institutions would have sufficient time to prepare for it. Deutsche suspect that the BoJ will hint at the upcoming policy revision by including some key points in its statement; that it will assess and confirm the virtual circle between wages and prices by the January meeting, with the results to be published at the same time as the outlook report; and that, as a result of this assessment, the policy revision will be judged appropriate and it will continue to emphasize an accommodative policy stance and stable JGB markets even after the revision. Overnight expiry FXO implied volatility
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
2
TSLA: Pay Close Attention to These Chart Patterns (D & W charts)Today we see an important move in TSLA's share price, a break of the resistance level of its previous top at $252.75. Now, after the breakout, we see that this area is serving as intraday support, which is in line with the principle of polarity (former supports can become future resistances and vice versa). Since our last analysis last week, we see that the price has broken through its most important resistances, which we mentioned in our previous analysis, and is committed to a clear uptrend. The link to the latest study is below this post, as always. What’s more, after our analysis, TSLA performed a clear “Hammer” candlestick pattern above its support line, as evidenced on the chart above. According to Bulkowski’s studies, a Hammer acts as a bullish reversal roughly 60% of the time (Encyclopedia of Candlestick Charts, chapter 40: Hammer, p. 348). What's even more interesting is that the price has thwarted a possible reversal pattern called Head and Shoulders, as we can see in detail in the chart below. By not triggering the neckline by closing a candle below $230, and reacting to the point of breaking through the top of the head, TSLA has completely rejected any bearish thesis. Another important point that reinforces the bullish sentiment is the breaking of an important resistance on the weekly chart, breaking a bearish channel, frustrating the price's downward sequence and triggering a bullish reversal for the long term. As we see in the image below, such a pattern could be interpreted as a Bullish Flag as well. Now, TSLA shares could reverse the long-term trend and finally turn bullish. Could it follow the example of the Nasdaq index, which made a similar pattern recently, also on the weekly chart? QQQ chart: It's a plausible move with a good technical basis, but as always, we need to be aware of a few risk points. Firstly, if the price loses a lot of strength, to the point of making a bearish pattern on the weekly, closing below the resistance of the bearish channel, the bullish thesis loses strength. Secondly, if a reversal pattern is observed on the daily, and the price loses its supports, we have a rejection of the uptrend in the medium term. Especially if the 21 EMA is lost. Although the price has breached the average a few times, at no time since November 10 have we seen a close below the 21 EMA on the daily chart. If this happens, the bullish thesis described in the analysis could be thwarted. I'll keep you updated, so if you like the content, please support me, and follow me to receive more analysis like this, with technically grounded ideas. Best regards, Nathan.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
7
EURUSD Double Top OpportunityHi Traders! EURUSD is forming a potential double-top pattern, and there is great risk-reward potential for shorting opportunities near the resistance. Here are the details: The market tested the previous month's high of 1.10173, but the bears are holding very strongly around this level, which has currently formed a double-top pattern on the chart. Preferred Direction: Sell Entry Level: 1.09960 Stop Level: 0.65089 Target Level: 1.10771 Technical Indicators: 20 EMA Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
Short
by BluetonaFX
4
🔥 GPBUSD BEARISH ANALYSIS 🎯🔥✅Hello traders what do you think about Gpbusd)? traders 1h tame frame see a bearish pattern channels breakout. rsl retet 1.26393 Down 👇 support levels ✅ 1.25222 now waiting. Same time Dollar steady as traders weigh labour data; yuan eases Dec 6, 202311:22 GMT+5 The dollar was near a two-week high against a basket of currencies on Wednesday as investors assessed U.S. economic data that showed a cooling labour market, while wagering the Federal Reserve will cut rates next year. The spotlight in Asia was on China, where the yuan extended losses as markets grappled with rating agency Moody's cut to the Asian giant's credit outlook. The dollar index DXY , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was 0.029% lower at 103.93, having climbed 0.3% overnight. The index is up 0.5% this month, after sliding 3% in November, its steepest monthly decline in a year. Data on Tuesday showed U.S. job openings fell to more than a 2-1/2-year low in October, the strongest sign yet that higher interest rates were dampening demand for workers. Data also showed there were 1.34 vacancies for every unemployed person in October, the lowest since August 2021. Moh Siong Sim, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore, said the data indicated that the cooling of the labour market is on track. "It puts a lot of focus now on the non farm payrolls this Friday." The November jobs data will provide further clues on the labour market ahead of the Fed's policy meeting next week Fed officials are now in a blackout period ahead of the U.S. central bank’s Dec. 12-13 meeting, where a key focus will be the updated projections of where they see rates at in 2024. Dollar steady as traders weigh labour data; yuan eases Dec 6, 202311:22 GMT+5 The dollar was near a two-week high against a basket of currencies on Wednesday as investors assessed U.S. economic data that showed a cooling labour market, while wagering the Federal Reserve will cut rates next year. The spotlight in Asia was on China, where the yuan extended losses as markets grappled with rating agency Moody's cut to the Asian giant's credit outlook. The dollar index DXY , which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was 0.029% lower at 103.93, having climbed 0.3% overnight. The index is up 0.5% this month, after sliding 3% in November, its steepest monthly decline in a year. Data on Tuesday showed U.S. job openings fell to more than a 2-1/2-year low in October, the strongest sign yet that higher interest rates were dampening demand for workers. Data also showed there were 1.34 vacancies for every unemployed person in October, the lowest since August 2021. Moh Siong Sim, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore, said the data indicated that the cooling of the labour market is on track. "It puts a lot of focus now on the non farm payrolls this Friday." The November jobs data will provide further clues on the labour market ahead of the Fed's policy meeting next week Fed officials are now in a blackout period ahead of the U.S. central bank’s Dec. 12-13 meeting, where a key focus will be the updated projections of where they see rates at in 2024. Traders have priced in 99.7% chance of the Fed standing pat next week but a 56% chance of the central bank cutting rates in March, according to CME's FedWatch tool. They have also priced in at least 125 basis points worth of cuts next year. (FEDWATCH) Mitra said there could be a snapback should the Fed drive home the message more forcefully that it is not about to cut rates anytime soon.
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point