GBPCHF Ahead of the BOE Interest Rate DecisionGBPCHF Ahead of the BOE Interest Rate Decision
Today, the Bank of England (BOE) is expected to release its rate decision. The BOE is anticipated to keep rates unchanged at 4.75%. If this happens, the GBP could see slight bullish momentum, but nothing significant.
However, considering the improving UK data over the past month, we could see a weaker GBP , if the BOE cuts rates.
The price has already broken out from a bearish pattern.
This movement is very risky, as it is mainly based on the BOE Interest Rate Decision.
These events can easily invalidate patterns, so it is advisable to be cautious.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
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Chart Patterns
Bitcoin and altcoin overview (December 20-21)Bitcoin did not follow the priority scenario and broke through the buying zone of $102,000-$100,000 (accumulated volume) without a proper secondary reaction.
At the moment, the local scenario has shifted to bearish, with all major volumes located above, so we only consider going long after confirmation or consolidation above the now mirrored selling zone of $100,000-$102,000.
Currently, there is a small absorption of sales in cumulative delta, but there are no reversal formations, we expect a test of the $94,200 level and will monitor the reaction.
Selling zones: $100,000-$102,000 (mirrored volume zone), $103,200-$104,200 (local volume zone).
Buying zones: level $94,200 (buyer aggression), ~$80,000 (volume anomaly), $77,000-$74,000 (major volume zone).
For altcoins, we are only considering local formations
December 19 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
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Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is Bitcoin's 30-minute chart.
In a little while, at 10:30 and 12:00, there will be a Nasdaq indicator announcement.
As I explained,
Nasdaq and Bitcoin both reached the center line of the Bollinger Band daily chart,
but Nasdaq is recovering the 12+ daily pattern,
and Bitcoin has touched the center line of the daily chart alone, so the mid-term pattern is broken.
Even if it succeeds in bouncing back from the current position,
it is a problem,
but today, at least in Nasdaq, there is a higher possibility of a sideways movement rather than a plunge,
so we proceeded with trend following.
*Red finger movement path
One-way long position strategy
1. 101796.5 dollars long position entry section / When the green support line is broken
or when section 2 is touched, stop loss price
2. 104828.5 dollars long position 1st target -> Good 2nd -> Great 3rd
If the strategy is successful, the daily chart ends. The 1st section of the red finger is
a long position re-entry attempt and stop loss price autonomous section.
Today, the 15-minute Bollinger Band center line
has not been touched even once, so the strategy is to play at 5+15 or even 15+30 even if it is pushed.
With a strong upward condition, the success rate is approximately less than 5%.
From the 1-hour chart center line touch,
it can be dangerous because it is open downward, right?
Also, I marked the purple finger at the top.
In order to succeed in today's strategy,
you must first touch 102.7K to increase the probability,
and the long position switching position can change from the 1st section touch consecutively.
If the adjustment comes out immediately without touching the purple finger at the current position,
a long position entry position can come out once within the purple support line near the center line of the 30-minute chart,
and it becomes a dangerous section from the 2nd section touch.
You can see the movement within the convergence section of the orange resistance line of the 1st section and the sky blue support line of the 2nd section at the top as a sideways market.
I drew a gray rising trend line in the 3rd section,
and if it doesn't deviate from this section depending on the movement this week,
it can continue to rise.
If the 3rd section touches today, it seems like it will be a double bottom condition,
but I don't recommend it. Bottom is the place where the 12+ daily pattern can be restored, but if a strong rebound does not occur, the candle may deviate from the center line of the daily chart, so additional declines may occur.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use,
and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
BTC: Bullish Weekly Trend, But Daily Chart CautionsKey Observations:
- Weekly candles forming higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish trend.
- Currently testing weekly bottom support.
- However Daily chart showing trend and EMA reversal, suggesting a potential short-term correction.
Dilemma:
- Should we buy now, given the bullish weekly trend?
- OR wait for daily EMA reversal off weekly EMA?
Possible solution is to watchout:
- for a break of the previous week's low may provide clarity.
- Alternatively, if the price holds above the previous low, to rally to 104k.
Trading Idea:
- Consider playing the 94k-104k range for a potential bounce.
- Alternatively, wait for a daily EMA reversal before entering a long position.
What are your thoughts?
Gold Next Week Timeframe :
D1 trendline broke
H4 Bullish eng
H1 Bullish eng + FVG
D1 trendline has broken the down trendline, H4 has bullish engulfing at demand zone, H1 has also bullish engulfing and Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Entry :
According to H1 TF, entry point is 2643 at the area of FVG and Bullish engulfing.
Stop loss 2630 and Target is 2723.
Its possible to achieve target next week in FOMC.
BTC/USD: Selling Opportunity EmergesBTC/USD: Selling Opportunity Emerges
A prime selling opportunity has arisen in the BTC/USD market. The recent breakdown of the rising wedge pattern has confirmed a bearish trend reversal.
Key Points:
- Rising wedge breakdown confirms bearish trend reversal
- Support levels breached, validating the downtrend
- Potential target at $95,000
- Selling opportunity emerges as price action aligns with bearish trend
Best wishes Tom 😎
USDJPY: Pullback From Key Level📉 The USDJPY appears to be overbought following yesterday's bullish movement.
The price might pull back from the highlighted blue daily resistance, potentially reaching at least the 156.48 level.
Additionally, I spotted a double top pattern on the hourly chart, which serves as confirmation.
Happy happy happy!~Happy happy happy!~
I hope you will find this informative to help you in navigating the market!
If you already have conviction in this token, consider this as an additional perspective.
Assumptions:
1. Intended for spot holding/trade.
2. Bullish market into Q1 2025.
3. Robust against sudden dumps.
4. Understanding of meme coin and risk management.
5. Awareness of broader market, macroeconomics, and geopolitics at play.
6. No rug pull or any funny business.
Invalidations:
1. Tier 1 CEX listing hype, straight moon before any retrace and correction.
2. Breakdown and invalidation of current MS.
3. Broader market extreme bearishness and unexpected turns.
Applied analysis:
1. ICT
a. Liquidity:
BSL:
H4 BSL as marked in red box (61.8% - 65% fib, golden pocket)
D1 BSL slightly higher than D1 EQ zone (78.6% - 85.4% fib, reversal zone).
SSL:
H4 and D1 currently overlaps (23.6% - 14.6%, strong support), sure will form deviations along the way.
Generally speaking, 38.2% fib would be a good start to do DCA, maybe add a bit bags in the 50% fib zone. As always, adding some buy order in the lower range will maximize the chance to catch liq. sweep by MM/whales testing S-D, deeper liq. grab followed by a strong rejection could confirm a bullish OB.
b. Order Blocks (Paired with VPVR):
Bearish OB/Supply zone:
H4-D1: both overlaps with SSL.
Bullish OB/Demand zone:
H4-D1: slightly higher than H4-D1 SSL, starts at 38.2% fib.
A bit explanation: overlapping of liquidity and OB indicates areas of strong market interest (retails/whales/institutions).
c. Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Very small range 0.01-0.0117.
d. Market Structure:
Premium-EQ-discount zone and PDH-PDL-PWH-PWL as marked in the D1 chart. CHoCH, BOS, and MSS shouldve visible in LTF. EQH and EQL is a good indicator too to support reversal thesis.
2. Candle Pattern:
Watch formation of hard price rejection (long wick down/up), reversal candle, or bullish continuation i.e. morning star/engulfing/hammer on HTF or near OB/liquidity.
3. Fib Analysis:
Use log price and log fib or vice versa, fib levels marked in the chart uses log fib-log price.
4. Technical Indicators:
Use your most comfortable indicators, watch for any reversal/bull div. signal and gauge the trend strength and confirming continuations. EMA 50-100-200 could act as resistance/support.
5. Market Phase Interpretation (Wyckoff):
I'll simply use the good ol' reliable Wyckoff Accumulation, everything marked in the chart. Any Tier 1 CEX listing will send this to the moon thus invalidate this interpretation, otherwise will have high probability to follow standard market phase development.
6. Entries and TP:
Exercise partial TP along the way, always reassess whether it is worth it or not to strengthen your position by reentry using profit generated or move it into another token of your interest. Once price goes way above your entry price, use stop-limit to move SL higher than your entry price to secure your bags incase sudden dump happens.
7. Risk/Reward (RR) Ratio:
This thing should has at least 1:3 RR.
NFA. DYOR. Good Luck!
Note:
As per usual, for DCA use cascading buy order, set tight TP/SL for higher price zone based on your risk tolerance and trading style, re entry at lower price once price stabilizes in HTF should be safe. This way, you should be able to minimize your realized loss (i.e. 2-5% or 5-10% SL distance for each staggered entries in spot market) and optimize your returns (parabolic/god candle moves included).
Follow your own risk management for max drawdown (MDD) tolerance and other boring metrics.
Dont overcommit, use ~5% of your portfolio to see if this coin suit your taste.
XRP/USD "Ripple" Crypto Market Heist Plan on Bearish Side🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XRP/USD "Ripple" Crypto market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a trade after the breakout & Retest
however I advise placing Multiple Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low & high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low level.
Goal 🎯: 3.00000
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Starbucks: A Bearish OutlookStarbucks: A Bearish Outlook
Starbucks completed a five-wave pattern at 103, with the price moving down clearly.
A large Rising Wedge pattern represents the fifth wave of the movement that began on May 2024 and finished at the end of November 2024
Currently, the price has broken through the support line of the pattern, indicating further decline.
After any small correction, we should see SBUX moving down to 88 and 82.5.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Technical Analysis of NIFTY Index - 30-Minute TimeframeDouble Top Pattern:
The chart shows a double top pattern (marked as "Top 1" and "Top 2"), which is a bearish reversal pattern.
The neckline for this pattern has been broken, confirming bearish momentum. The pattern suggests that the uptrend has reversed, leading to a downward move.
Falling Wedge Pattern:
After the double top, the index has formed a falling wedge, which is typically a bullish reversal pattern.
The price has broken out of the falling wedge, signaling the potential for a short-term bounce.
Targets:
Immediate Upside Target: The breakout from the falling wedge suggests a potential recovery toward 24,200–24,300.
Downside Target: If bearish momentum resumes, the index could move toward 23,500 as marked on the chart.
Volume Analysis:
The breakout from the falling wedge is accompanied by a slight increase in volume, which supports the bullish case. However, sustained volume is needed for the uptrend to continue.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support:
Immediate: 23,800
Stronger: 23,500
Resistance:
Immediate: 24,200–24,300
Extended: 24,500
Moving Averages:
The index is currently trading near its short-term moving averages, which could act as dynamic resistance. A breakout above these levels would confirm further bullish momentum.
Fundamental Analysis of NIFTY Index
Macroeconomic Environment:
Global Factors: Uncertainty in global markets, including rising interest rates and geopolitical tensions, have added to the volatility in Indian markets.
Domestic Growth: India's economy continues to grow steadily, supported by strong consumer demand, government infrastructure spending, and a robust services sector.
Sectoral Performance:
IT and Pharma: Defensive sectors like IT and Pharma have seen relative strength amid global uncertainties.
Banking and Financials: Despite some recent corrections, banking and financial services continue to drive the index, supported by rising credit growth and strong results from private banks.
Metals and Energy: Global commodity prices and demand from China remain key drivers for metals and energy stocks.
Corporate Earnings:
Indian corporates have shown resilience with steady earnings growth, particularly in the FMCG, banking, and auto sectors. However, margin pressures persist in some sectors due to higher input costs.
Valuation:
NIFTY's valuation remains slightly stretched compared to historical averages, suggesting room for further correction. However, strong long-term growth potential keeps the outlook positive.
Key Risks:
Rising interest rates globally could tighten liquidity.
Any further escalation in geopolitical tensions or slower global growth could impact market sentiment.
Conclusion:
Technical Outlook:
NIFTY has formed a double top, confirming bearish momentum, but a breakout from the falling wedge offers a short-term bullish opportunity.
Upside Targets: 24,200–24,300
Downside Risk: 23,500 (if bearish momentum resumes)
Fundamental Outlook:
India’s economic fundamentals remain strong, supported by consumer demand and government spending.
While the market faces short-term headwinds, the long-term outlook remains positive, making this an opportunity to accumulate quality stocks during corrections.
1000PEPEUSDT.Phello friends
Due to the high growth of this coin, now that it has entered a correction, it has reached a very strong support area, from where we expect a higher ceiling.
Note that the price will increase if the support zone remains valid and does not break, so manage your investment and be careful...
This analysis is checked from a technical point of view.
Be successful and profitable.
USDCHF: Bullish Move Confirmed 🇺🇸🇨🇭
It looks like a local correctional movement is over on USDCHF
and the pair is returning to a bullish trend.
The release of the today's US fundamentals made the pair
violate a resistance line of a narrow consolidation range on an hourly.
The price will most likely go up to 0.9007 level.
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