9 - XAUUSD - Metals | Reversal & Impulse | July 2019XAUUSD labeled within Bullish Impulse in Intermediate (3) (green).
Patterns:
- Minor 3 (green) - Bullish Extension
- Minor 4 (green) - Contracting Triangle
Gold should be able to resume the bullish impulse after completing the correction in Minor 4 (green).
Minor 5 (green) should present a sudden and sustained rally.
CFD
[Gold] July 11, 2019 - ALuoTradingJournalThe gold was successfully weakened with its first resistance level near 1423 as analysed in the last journal.
A upward trend went up to the price near 1423, and from what we can see in H4, we can see that the signal is hinting that 1427 was its high for today.
This means that, if doing a short term position if it does not surpass the its current high. I will make stop loss at 1429 or 1430 with a tiny space, incase of a sudden spike pops up and go downward trend straight afterwards, but the final destination for short position will still be as 1440. Anything passes that, all short positions must stop from my point of view. For the moment, I will aim for the 1400 as my Take Profit.
In long term, if price doesnt break 1440, I will aim 1360 as the first long term aim. During time will be getting those retracements.
Disclaimer: ALuoTradingJournal does not provide any personal advice or general advice. This is only a journal to keep ALuo in noting the trades and what the market in going on as a trading journal. ALuo will not take any responsibility for any profits or losses. Please trade at own risk.
US30 - READY FOR BIG SHORT? It is getting more and more obvious that Trump's Government have used trade war as a leverage to propel markets to ATH or higher (SPX) to this point. However, it looks like "all masks will come off at midnight" i.e. Sunday before futures open to reveal that it all was a big disguise. Trump's approval ratings going into election year are at record low. One thing that boosts popularity is a nation's solidarity in the time of war (trade or real or both).
Huawei was reportedly collaborating with Chinese army on R&D projects. Dead end for 5G in US. Trump will never lift its ban.
Two crucial trading days left. There will be a lot of news from Government officials about upcoming deal with Xi, but you know that that is method that they use "pump before dump". Watch out...
Tariffs, that is the only source of funds that can offset evergrowing US debt in Trumps opinion, not by much but to cap it somehow. If not Monday, but soon enough we will see additional tariffs in place on majority of Chinese goods. That will tank the whole market, but Trump will have a secret weapon to unveil at the time when everybody think that recession is at the door step - they will sell billions of Dollars to make it much more competitive among other currencies. That in itself will temporary boost the market.
For now, Monday the July 1st is our climax point. We shall see...
Good luck to all of you.
US30 - Trading near key support. Watch for more downsideObserved limited bounce on SPX from its 236 fib. I'm taking LONG position once again after yesterday's profitable day and handsome 130+ pip profit. We're getting closer and closer to decision date. Where market has to decide it's direction, UP or DOWN. Right now upside is limited by ATH @ 26950, so unless we pump hard on some definitive news from Munchin we're set to revisit ATH this week. If not, we are going to be capped by 26500-26700 range until Sunday futures open.
I'm cautiously sitting on a fence right now leaning LONG with tight stops at 26470. TP is 26615. Not getting greedy. Just make some $$$ is enough in this choppy market.
US30 - Uptrend intact. Iran sanctions minorTrump exaggerated seriousness of sanctions against Iran. Considering that 80% of Iran's economy crippled by existing sanctions, new sanctions announced by Trump yesterday were aimed at heads of the Republic. Market reacted positively (as it's not a war), shooting up toward 26830.
Right now we are in range trading which will probably last until Monday, pending trade war negotiations with Xi.
Personally, I'm long from 26750 with SL at 26730. We are clearly still within ascending channel and prior to G20 might test ATH at 26900 with high probability as there is no negative news on the horizon.
-=Never give up=-
US30 - Sanctions on Iran, another chance to bearsAs always, Trump likes it to make important decision while markets closed or on weekends. This is market manipulation, probing waters with airstrikes days earlier and calling the off shortly after. Now we need to dump or release some bullish pressure to go to ATH or 3000 SPX.
This is not trade war with China, hence I don't anticipate any huge down movement at the open on Sunday. My scalp position will be set to 26515 with SL at 26460. We shall see tomorrow.
-=Never give up=-
OIL - A Little Throwback?!Oil tanker explosions, Iran admitted shooting down a US drone, crude inventories decrease - those are probably the major reasons why USOIL has made a pretty solid climb upwards.
It has climbed into a pretty interesting area where we can make a short-term SELL:
1. Previously worked support levels has become resistance.
2. Fibonacci Extensions
3. Fibonacci Retracements
4. 2006 Low (not so significant but still, one yearly low has been in this area)
5. AB=CD - D point is on the marked blue box.
6. The price has got a rejection from those levels and the rejection has ended with a bearish candlestick pattern called Evening Star, not a perfect because the previous two candles have been a bit tiny ones but the idea remains still the same.
On the top, we have also a Shooting Star and after that, the selloff has been pretty decent.
Do your own research and if this matching with mine then you are ready to go!
Please, take a second and support my idea post by hitting the "LIKE" button, it is my only fee from You!
Best regards,
Vaido
Corn/USD Bearish Divergence- Corn have an exponential growth recent month. but i expect a consolidation after it hit the 2.618 fib line(golden ratio fib) area just like in 29 may 2019.
- Bearish Divergence sighted but it could be negated if the indicators could rise in a same level as a previous level high.
- expect a golden ratio fib, EMA and SMA as a potential support and resistance line.
peace.
DAX30 CFD about to enter bearish seasonal window–but the Fed...As we enter the start of the trading week the economic calendar is quite thin, so our focus will be on the technical and seasonal aspects of the DAX30 CFD.
From a purely technical perspective, the DAX30 CFD can be considered range-bound on an hourly time-frame between 12,050 and 12,220 points. The bearish tendency into the last weekly close gives the neutral picture a bearish touch, and a sustainable break below 12,050 points would likely be followed by a dynamic test of the region around 12,000 points, a drop below activates 11,900/930 points.
This bearish touch is underlined by a bearish seasonal window beginning today: over the last 21 years, the DAX lost in 16, or 76% of the cases 187 points between the June 17-25. In the other 5 years, the DAX gained on average only 48 points with a maximum drawdown of only 144 points.
But with the Fed rate decision coming on Wednesday and current rising speculation of a equity-friendly rate cut - which is probably also the reason for the dynamic break to new yearly highs in Gold last Friday - we consider anticipating a break lower in the DAX30 CFD to be too aggressive, and favour a short entry only if we get to see a clear, clean, sustainable break below 12,050 points:
Disclaimer: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 84% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
GOLD/USD Is Looking BullishGold/USD is moving inside the ascending triangle Pattern and held above the current up trendline in weekly chart.
Recently it hit an upper line of the resistance. If the price action do retrace, I assume the current up trendline or fibonacci line would be a good bounce in price action and buy opportunity.
Indicators:
Macd line cross over with signal line for bullish signal for gold/usd. Histogram for buyer is also continue to building up.
DMI+ is above DMI- which current trend is bullish.DMX is still relatively weak (below 25).
please take this idea as a grain of salt as reality always differ from what i expect as this post merely just an opinion.
and please feel free to share what your thought on comment section.
peace.