Confirmation neededWe've been in a bearish trend until the price recently broke through a key daily liquidity level and reversed the weekly demand zone. Price pulled back to the 30-minute demand zone and bounced upwards. The 1.07970 fair value gap was invalidated, indicating a shift in market sentiment. Minor sweep and retracement to the 1.08060 swing high. Buy from the current demand zone due to imbalance and expected liquidity sweep. Targeting a 1:4 risk-reward ratio (20 pips risk for 80 pips gain). Initial stop loss below the current demand zone. Plan to move stop loss to 1.08100 for a risk-free trade once in profit…
Candlestick Analysis
Are Stocks Topping for Now?The S&P 500 has had a dramatic run, with gains in the last six weeks and 10 of the last 11 months. But will the run continue?
The first pattern on today’s chart is last week’s low around 5804. The index crossed under it and stayed there yesterday, producing a lower low on the weekly chart. Ending the week below that level could resemble moments like late-July or early April, when pullbacks followed.
Second, the index got rejected at or near highs on October 15 and 17. Those solid candles (marked with white arrows) may reflect selling pressures.
MACD also turned lower and prices closed below the 8-day exponential moving average, which could suggest momentum is slowing.
Next, the Nasdaq-100 stalled below its July peak. Does that reflect exhaustion among the biggest stocks in the market?
This lethargic price action in the big growth names contrasts with Treasury yields pushing higher. That may also be a risk to equities and risk assets in general.
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GBPCHF: Bullish Movement After News 🇬🇧🇨🇭
The release of the morning's UK fundamentals looks very bullish for GBPCHF.
The price nicely respected an intraday horizontal support
and formed a double bottom pattern on that.
The closest strong resistance is a falling trend line on an hourly,
with a high probability, it will be reached soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
EURGBP Daily longHi fellow traders,
The first trade that I spot for the week.
The reason why it's interesting the last candle is engulfing the last 3 candles.
And it's closed above the previous support level.
Wen, Thu are also the optimal trading days.
There is high impact news tomorrow but I still take the trade because it's a daily setup.
So If the current daily candle close like it's now I take the trade
BITCOIN → False Breakout & Bearish Engulfment ↓ BINANCE:BTCUSD entered a strong buying zone (68900) within the rally. BUT, the expected growth did not happen, the bulls could not realize the potential. A bearish engulfment of the last three bars is formed and actually - a false breakdown of the descending resistance...
The growth formed from 59K is partly connected with the election race in the USA, economic revival in China, as well as economic news. But apparently, this energy is not yet enough for the price to easily overcome 68-69K with a target of retesting 71-73. The resistance zone of 68.4-69.4 is putting pressure. Buyers are taking profits, while bears, seeing the strong resistance zone, are trying to resist.
The structure will break down if the price breaks 69400
At the moment, we see a bearish engulfment forming relative to the previous three bars, and this is a strong enough signal. Consolidation below resistance is forming, a small correction may be formed, the first target of which may be 65K, then 61-58-57.
Resistance levels: 68400, 69400, 71500
Support levels: 66500, 65000
After the false breakdown, the price consolidation is formed below the resistance, which indicates the pressure from the sellers. This may provoke further downward correction.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
USD/CHF looks heavy despite relentless USD strength The Swiss franc has held up remarkably well this week despite some of the G10 FX moves against the USD.
Sitting in a rising wedge, it was rejected at uptrend resistance on Wednesday, deliver an inverse candle on the daily. The price now finds itself resting on uptrend support and looks heavy. RSI (14) has diverged from price but the bearish signal on momentum has yet to be confirmed by MACD, although the latter also looks toppy.
One short setup would be to sell now or on a break of the uptrend with a stop above Wednesday’s high for protection against reversal. The initial target would be .8617 although, to make the risk-reward stack up, it would be preferable to target the 50-day moving average.
Good luck!
DS
The Fall of Google: 40% Crash next ??5 days before earnings, a bold call... or is it.
On October 22nd, morningstar.com a leading provider of independent investment insights with 10.9 million subscribers said:
“With its 4-star rating, we believe Alphabet’s stock is undervalued compared with our long-term fair value estimate of $209 per share”
source: tinyurl.com
Meanwhile on October 23rd Without Worries with his 14k followers says.. a 40% correction to $100 is probable.
Why bearish?
Before the TA, there be some fundamentals to consider. I’m sure it cannot escaped your attention that Google has become a platform for your attention rather a provider of results. Advertisements plaster the screen to most search enquires.
Mr Who the Boss “Why Google search is falling apart” makes an excellent deep dive: tinyurl.com
The TA
On the 2 week chart above:
1) Price action and RSI support fails.
2) Regular bearish divergence, as measured over several months.
3) Uptrend channel breakdown with confirmation. This forecast projects price action to correct circa 40% to $96.
4) The 3 month chart (below). Can’t ignore this beautiful signal. This candle is named as the “hanging man”, it is an indication of exhausted buyers. This should not be surprising after 6 straight green quarterly candles. It is fairly obvious what should now occur, look left.
Is it possible price action continues to grow? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
3 month hanging man candle
NZDUSD ShortMarket structure Bearish at HTFs 30
Entry At Daily AOI
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 0.60500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.84
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
Fresh demand zone in the EUR/USD pairHello everyone, I've identified a fresh demand zone in the EUR/USD pair, and the location looks quite promising. You can approach this trade in two ways: either set a buy limit at the weekly demand zone or use price action to enter on lower timeframes. Personally, I use both strategies.
As always, it's essential to apply proper money management and never trade without setting an appropriate stop-loss. Remember, trading is a game of probabilities, so your success should be evaluated over a series of trades, not just one.
Thanks!
Bitcoin important areas 1hBased on previous idea , price drops under 66500.
Now , based on the down trend , there are 2 supply areas which I have specified them on the chart
Notice that when price reaches the areas , should wait for a good confirmation and then decide to enter the position.
This idea will be updated...
GBP/JPY Consolidation Tightens: Bulls Eyeing a Break Above 195.7After a strong correction and finding a bottom at 180 in early August, OANDA:GBPJPY began to recover, initially rising to the 193 zone.
Another leg down followed, but this time, bulls regained control at the 183.90 level, forming a higher low supported by a double bottom pattern.
The next upward move stalled at the 195 resistance, and the pair has since entered a consolidation phase.
However, the recent consolidation range is tightening, and it appears that the price is gearing up for an upward breakout.
I am slightly bullish on this pair, and a break with a daily close above the 195.70 resistance level would confirm this outlook, potentially leading to further gains toward the key 200 zone.
In the short term, interim resistance around 198 could also serve as a target for bullish traders.
EURUSD SHORTMarket structure Bearish on HTFs 30
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Around Psychological Level 1.09000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 5.33
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King
GBPUSD SHORTMarket structure Bearish on HTFs DW
Entry at Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Around Psychological Level 1.31000
Entry at the same area as previous week Level, I will react accordingly as the week progresses
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 6.45
Entry 90%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King