Candlestick Analysis
Nuvama wealth Management looking upwards Nuvama Wealth Management Ltd. is a stock broking company, which engages in conducting trading and broking activities for institutional as well as retail clients. It operates through the following segments: Capital Markets, Wealth Management, and Holding Company Activities. The Capital Markets segment includes institutional broking business, merchant banking business, and advisory. The Wealth Management segment distributes financial products and investment advisory.
Nuvama Wealth Management Ltd. CMP is 6727.60. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 28.8), Stocks Underperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter, Declining Net Cash Flow : Companies not able to generate net cash and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income. The positive aspects of the company are Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, MFs increased their shareholding last quarter, Good quarterly growth in the recent results, Strong Annual EPS Growth and Increasing Revenue every Quarter for the past 8 Quarters.
Entry can be taken after closing above 6742 Targets in the stock will be 6886 and 7021. The long-term target in the stock will be 7249 and 7484. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 5446.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Redington looking red hot. Redington Ltd. provision of machinery, equipment and supplies. It includes computers, computer peripheral equipment, software, electronic, and telecommunications equipment and parts. It operates through the India, and Overseas segments.
Redington Ltd. CMP is 193.37. The Negative aspects of the company are MFs decreased their shareholding last quarter. The positive aspects of the company are Attractive Valuation (P.E. = 12.5), Company with Low Debt, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge, Dividend yield greater than sector dividend yield, High Volume, High Gain and Stocks Outperforming their Industry Price Change in the Quarter.
Entry can be taken after closing above 199 Targets in the stock will be 204, 212 and 220. The long-term target in the stock will be 225 and 236. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 180 or 169. depending upon your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Nifty at cross road of critical support. Nifty this week gave a closing at 23532 a fraction below 200 days EMA or Father line which was at 23542. It will be imperative for Nifty to close above it within next week for bulls to get out of jail. Closing above 23542 will not be enough as there are many more hurdles to cross for Nifty once it scrambles above 200 days EMA.
If the Nifty is not able to cross above the 200 day's EMA by any chance next week the down side supports for Nifty will be at 23360, 23054 and 22819. Out of these 3 levels, 22819 is the most important support as it is the channel bottom support. This current channel in which Nifty is travelling initiates from May 22. Which means it is a pretty solid final support below which there can be a free fall into intense bear territory. In this case bears can drag Nifty further down to 21840 or 21264 levels.
On the positive side the resistances for Nifty remain at 23864, 24265, 24565 (Major resistance 50 days EMA) followed by 24796 and 25436 levels. Above 25436 we can see a pure Bull Market again.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
S&P biblical top? island top - falls back to 200 EMA weekly 22%S&P has made an island reversal
It will at some point fall back to the 200 EMA on the daily or weekly 22%
Bearish opportunity
I think that a multi year top is now in place for this index, this first 22% down may trigger the topping process for this index as sentiment indicators are at record levels and retail participation is at an all time high. Plus money mngt firms are fully long with next to no spare money to invest in a dip.
So like in the 1929 who is left to buy ? As per Jesse Livermore book 'Even the shoe shine lad said to the banker that he had bought stocks' and the banker went and sold out his entire holding and made himself rich as he realised there were no new buyers left everyone was all in just like now!
May be Trump stops the Fed continually printing debt to use it to buy up the market?
If debt is issued maybe they use it to buy stable coins now not the traditional markets which would lead to a huge multi year bear market for equities
Good luck to all and stay safe! Luck is when opportunity meets a prepared mind!
XAUUSD to 2455 before December Likely to see 2455 hit in the next two weeks, with potential resistance levels of 2580 & 2600 should it test these before dropping. Neither of which may get tested. The old stall and fall is more likely to play out.
From 2455, we should see Gold come back up towards 2600, maybe even 2670 before continuing its descent. But first things first, short now and a buy at 2455/65
EURNZD - Nov 15, 2024 - CRT methodBeeing studying Candle Range Theory. Works for some, but not for all. Also used Fair Value Gap. FVG works some but not all. This pair seem to respect CRT and FVG most of the time.
Using CRT method to predict next temporary long. Publishing my idea as to see what others think.
UJ longsUJ is in a strong bullish trend right now, with a larger pullback at the moment which indicates that we can now wait for the accumulation in the HTF demand zone.
I will be waiting for price to slow down within this area, switch into a consolidation were liquidity will be build.
I will be monitoring price in this range on the 5 min TF, enter on the 2 min TF using my SMA crossover marker indicator and try to ride this thing all the way up to the HH target.
Will NZDUSD continue its bearishness?From my analysis, NZDUSD may become bullish for a few days till it gets to the marked point of interest. Then, it'll continue its bearish trend again.
This trade idea has a risk-to-reward ratio of 1:10.
Patience will play a huge role in the execution of this trade.
Silver looks ready to reverse higherThursday's trading in silver saw a brief fall to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. The price then quickly rallied and closed green on the day, forming a fine bull hammer candlestick. The relative strength index dipped as low as 38, indicating a moderately oversold condition.
The kneejerk selloff in the metals that followed Trump's election appears to be unwinding, and Silver may be ready to begin it's next leg higher.
Retail and pros diverge while bitcoin mulls $100kBitcoin is tantalizingly close to the elusive $100k target - a level which has been thrown around, literally for years, by bitcoin visionaries. And it looks like it will finally get there. Yet with prices rising while real-money accounts derisk from the original-flavoured crypto currency, which crowd should we follow?
MS
Quiet U.S. calendar provides window for possible silver squeezeA squeeze may be underway in silver with a hammer candle printing on Thursday. Traders took one look at the intersection of uptrend support established in February and horizontal support at $29.66 and baulked, sparking a price reversal often seen around market bottoms.
While indictors such as RSI (14) and MACD continue to provide negative signals, favouring a bearish bias, the price signal hints we may see further upside in the near-term.
$30.80 is the first topside level of note with the 50-day moving average and $32.18 the next after that. Some traders may want to get long now purely on the price signal, but ensure you use a tight stop given a lack of nearby technical levels to use for protection.
Setups with better risk-reward would be to wait for a potential break above $30.80, or a pullback towards uptrend support, allowing for stops to be placed below either level for protection.
With a quiet U.S. economic calendar next week, we're unlikely to receive fresh catalysts to push U.S yields and dollar higher. The vacuum creates a window for a countertrend squeeze. A far less dovish Fed rates outlook has already been priced in.
Good luck!
DS
Bullish Crude Oil MoveSummary of Analysis:
Current Consolidation: Crude oil is consolidating along a resistance level touched multiple times, which might strengthen the case for an eventual breakout.
Entry and Target Zones:
Initial Long Position: You plan to go long up to approximately $71.10, which serves as an initial target.
Breakout Target Range: If momentum carries through this level with a solid breakout past the trendline, the next target would be in the $73-$76 range.
Additional Points to Consider:
Monitoring Volume: To confirm the breakout strength, high volume on the 4H and 1H frames as price breaches the resistance could be a reliable signal.
Risk Management: Given that oil markets are known for volatility, consider setting a tight stop just below the consolidation zone in case the breakout fails.
Sweep Potential: If back testing suggests this move might lead to a sweep beyond the $73-$76 range, have contingency levels in mind to lock in profits or reassess if conditions change.
This setup looks poised for an interesting opportunity, especially if broader market conditions support a bullish momentum.
Good Luck!
The Dollar Is Running - So Stop Trying To Call The Top or BottomThe Dollar has had an impressive run over October & now half of November with consistent bullish weekly closes. It's in these times as traders, that we project our opinion onto the market and start saying things like "The market has to pullback or reverse from here" where in reality, the market's going to do whatever it want to.
There is no indication as yet from structure across the board that trends are shifting so continue to ride the wave if it aligns with your strategy. Identify key areas on the weekly and monthly because that is likely where we're gravitating towards.
Tomorrow I see continued upside on USDJPY, which I'm currently long on, which would tie in nicely with the run higher on GBPJPY to sweep TBL and mitigate the bearish order block before a sell off lower.
SPX 500 day trading LONGAnalysis: Market Structure & Probabilities
OANDA:SPX500USD
PML (Previous Monthly Low) has been broken, moving higher than last month's low.
PMH (Previous Monthly High) has also been broken, pushing beyond last month’s high.
PWH/PWL (Previous Weekly High/Low) similarly breached, with price moving higher than the previous month's range.
PDL (Previous Daily Low) and 4H Swing High/Low have also been surpassed.
These indicators suggest a strong bullish bias, with an 87.5% probability of further upside movement vs. a 12.5% bearish scenario (reflected in PDH, as the price dipped below yesterday’s high).
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.14
Simple as that.