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Canadadollar

USDCAD_1D&1W_BuyAnalysis of the Canadian dollar economy Elliott wave analysis Mid-term and long-term time frames According to the data of the chart, the trend is still upward and the US dollar can gain value in relation to the US dollar, and due to the drop of the Canadian dollar, it is necessary for the wave length to end and Canada to get out of the difficult situation. The market can complete its ascent in five waves, which is currently in the five big waves. If the Bank of Canada does not take action and the price does not return below 1.40000 The trend can continue to rise towards 1.45300 and again a short correction and again continue to rise towards 1.51500 Good luck for the difficult conditions of the great country of Canada
Long
by Elliottwaveofficial
USDCAD - CAD Vs tariffs!The USDCAD currency pair is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its upward channel. The correction of this currency pair towards the demand zone will provide us with the next buying position. You can sell up to the bottom of the ascending channel within the specified supply zone with the appropriate risk reward. The Canadian dollar has underperformed against other currencies this year, largely due to the Bank of Canada’s consistent interest rate cuts. It is expected that the central bank will lower interest rates for the fifth time in December, though the likelihood of a 50-basis-point cut has diminished following a higher-than-expected inflation report. The Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) and the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (CIBC) still foresee the possibility of a larger rate cut. Meanwhile, per capita GDP data reveals that economic growth has declined for the sixth consecutive period. Monthly GDP figures indicate that growth in September and October was only 0.1%. According to CIBC, domestic demand remained relatively stable during this time, comparable to the previous quarter. However, monthly data shows that the third quarter ended with gradual deceleration rather than the sharp rebound initially expected, leading to significantly lower fourth-quarter forecasts compared to the projections in October’s Monetary Policy Report (MPR). RBC maintains its prediction of a 50-basis-point rate cut but has stated that Friday’s employment report will be closely monitored ahead of the central bank’s December 11 meeting. “GDP numbers reinforce the notion that current interest rates are higher than necessary to maintain inflation at the 2% target. The Bank of Canada will also closely monitor next week’s labor market data, but a further 50-basis-point cut in December is likely,” an analyst remarked. Currently, the Bank of Canada projects 2% GDP growth in the fourth quarter, but this figure is likely to be revised downward. With government forecasts suggesting population declines, the central bank may adopt a more cautious approach for 2025. Deputy Governor Mendes of the Bank of Canada stated that inflation is gradually easing and will eventually stabilize at 2%. Lower inflation will boost consumer and business confidence, encouraging spending and investment. If the economy evolves as anticipated, further rate cuts could be possible. However, he emphasized that decisions will be made step-by-step, considering both above-target and below-target inflation. Mendes warned that additional measures to curb inflation might hurt economic growth, with potentially more negative long-term consequences than short-term benefits. According to Axios, a senior Canadian Liberal minister involved in Sunday’s negotiations stated that Canadian officials plan to “visibly and robustly” enhance border security following a meeting between Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and President-elect Trump. Trump previously threatened to impose tariffs on Canada and other countries due to his concerns over migrants and drugs entering the U.S. Dominic LeBlanc, Canada’s Public Safety Minister, told CBC Radio and Television that Canadian officials met with Trump and Commerce Secretary nominee Howard Lutnick to discuss tariffs and their implications for the economy. LeBlanc stressed that existing border security cooperation remains strong but noted concerns over firearm smuggling from the U.S. LeBlanc also shared that during an informal dinner with Trudeau, Trump jokingly suggested that Canada become the 51st U.S. state. He clarified that the comment was made in jest and was not meant seriously.
Short
by Ali_PSND
Volatile Week for USD/CAD? Volatile Week for USD/CAD? The Bank of Canada (BoC) is anticipated to lower rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday, bringing the policy rate down to 4.25%. This expectation follows a recent CPI report that indicated further easing in core inflation, coupled with weaker labor market data. While a 50-basis point cut seems unlikely, it can't be entirely dismissed. In the July monetary policy meeting, Governor Tiff Macklem suggested that the focus may shift towards supporting economic growth rather than solely controlling inflation. Additionally, Canada's August employment report is set to be released on Friday, coinciding with the US nonfarm payrolls report. This timing could heighten uncertainty and volatility in the USD/CAD pair. A key level to watch will be the 1.3570-1.3600 zone, which previously served as a significant support area. Whether this area will be re-tested remains to be seen.
by BlackBull_Markets
Key Canadian trading events this week On Friday, alongside the US PCE data release, Canada will publish its Q1 GDP growth figures. Earlier in the week, Canada will also release its producer prices data. Note that US markets will be closed on Monday for Memorial Day. According to the Royal Bank of Canada, the Canadian economy likely grew more quickly in Q1 2024 based on headline figures. However, this growth was still insufficient to keep pace with the surging population. Consequently, GDP per capita contracted for the seventh consecutive quarter. Speaking of the Royal Bank of Canada, they will also be reporting its earnings this week, along with other major Canadian banks. Tuesday, May 28 Earnings: Bank of Nova Scotia Wednesday, May 29 Earnings: Bank of Montreal, National Bank, EQB Inc. Thursday, May 30 Earnings: CIBC, Royal Bank of Canada Friday, May 31 8:30 a.m. Canada Q1 GDP Earnings: Laurentian Bank, Western Bank The USD/CAD ended its four-day winning streak on Friday, closing down by half a percent at approximately 1.3660. Declining crude oil prices had been putting pressure on the CAD until now. Buyers could step in around this level for a potential bounce back though. Additionally, the upcoming OPEC+ meeting on June 2 could influence this pair. Market participants are watching for potential output cut extensions by major producers to address global oversupply concerns and support prices, which might cause hesitation among USD/CAD buyers at the 1.3660 level.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDCAD → Two possible scenariohello guys... I published before about the head and shoulders pattern and the rising pattern, you can check it that the target touched! You can see the usdcad made a Quasimodo pattern and it is possible to start an upward movement to the blue area! but the question is from where?! there are two scenarios: 1- starting from the QML (S1) 2- starting from the next level (S2) which scenarios are you interested in?! ___________________________ ✓✓✓ always do your research. ❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them. ❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
Long
by melikatrader94
13
Exploring the Impact of CBDC on Forex Trading in CanadaI am reaching out to discuss an intriguing topic that has been gaining significant attention in the financial realm: the potential impact of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) on forex trading in Canada. As you may be aware, the introduction of CBDC has sparked numerous discussions and debates among forex traders. The purpose of this idea is to delve into the concerns raised by these traders and shed light on how the implementation of CBDC could potentially affect their trading strategies, market liquidity, and overall dynamics of the forex market. Forex traders have expressed several apprehensions regarding the introduction of CBDC. Firstly, they are concerned about the potential disruption to their trading strategies. Since CBDC would be a digital representation of the national currency, traders fear that its introduction could alter the existing forex market dynamics, making their current strategies less effective or even obsolete. Moreover, market liquidity is another aspect that traders are closely monitoring. The introduction of CBDC could potentially impact the liquidity of the forex market, as it may attract a significant portion of trading volume towards this new digital currency. This shift in liquidity could have implications for traders who rely on the current market conditions and liquidity levels to execute their trades effectively. Furthermore, the overall dynamics of the forex market might experience some changes with the introduction of CBDC. Traders are concerned about potential shifts in exchange rates, volatility, and the relationship between different currency pairs. These changes could create uncertainties and challenges for traders who have built their strategies based on the existing market dynamics. In conclusion, the potential implications of CBDC on forex trading in Canada have raised valid concerns among traders. The impact on trading strategies, market liquidity, and overall forex market dynamics are critical factors that need to be carefully considered. Understanding these concerns and their potential consequences is crucial for traders and policymakers alike. cointelegraph.com
CME_MINI:MCD1!
by bryandowningqln
Canadian Dollar - CAD - pairs(This post is to be a collection place/"container" for all CAD - Canadian Dollar - and related pairs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- After weeks of consolidation near the bottom of a rising, long-term, weekly price trend channel, the USDCAD looks to be poised for a near-term, +500 pt topside breakout, toward visible targets around the 1.3650s level. The well-formed, large bullish Wedge further suggests a potentially swift, upward price move. The USDCAD Daily;
by Nemo_Confidat
Will the GCAD push to 1.35?I think price will be able to push to the 1.35 lvl as time goes on. The UK is struggling to keep its economy afloat while simultaneously the BOE is attempting to fight inflation. One or the other needs to happen and a soft landing is not going to happen, especially with double digit inflation. Canada's economy I think will be able to resist a recession. It may happen, but won't be as severe as other countries. Canada also has a trade surplus along with Australia. The BOC is holding on rate hikes but will raise rates if needed. Oil is pushing lower, but in the future, is likely to rise as OPEC+ looks to keep prices higher and the on going Russia/Ukraine issues. I think the move lower, will happen towards the end of the 2nd Quarter/beginning of the 3rd Quarter and last up until the end of the 4th Quarter or into next year. We seem to be in the eye of the storm, and there is something bound to set something off. Regardless though, how long can the UK economy hold on?
Short
by DollarSaenz
1
NAFTA vs. the EU; A "generational" Long! (but wait for it!)OK, so the CAD/HUF is not the most liquid of pairs - although quite tradable -, it is the pair which best expresses the upcoming abyss, the EU as a whole staring into. As for conviction; I owned some real estate all over the EU (not that I cared for them, too much. It was just a good price at the time.) BUT I've completed dumping them all - about 4 months ago. The funds raised by those sales are about to be dumped into this upcoming Long. This is just my personal take on it but I also feel very comfortable with this trade setup, including for the (very) long term. Here, the idea is, to go long the strongest NAFTA components vs. the weakest EU component. Everything that could be said about the Loonie and the HU Forint has been already said in previous posts - attached - thus, the only thing left here is to execute at the right time - clearly depicted on the main chart! The Monthly;
Long
by Nemo_Confidat
3
EUR/CAD - Short Sell on Higher Oil & Interest Rate DifferentialsIn this video I breakdown why EUR/CAD continues to weaken to the downside as Higher Oil prices support the commodity-linked Canadian Dollar. I also breakdown how interest rate differentials favors investors to sell euros to Buy Canadian Government Bonds paying a significant premium over Bunds. Europe's economic outlook continues to turn grim as the war in Ukraine is very damaging for Europe's economy that is heavily reliant on Russian Oil and Gas exports.
Short
by KayansMarkets
Waiting for a buying opportunity with USDCADH4 time frame. Structure: Uptrend. The price broke the Key level, the previous downtrend. The price had a retracement move to the 61.8 Fibonacci zone and made a new bot then rose sharply to the current Key level 1.27000. Wait for price to break Key level again and get buy signal after retest with USDCAD. The profit target is the 1.2900-1.29500 price zone. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wish you all have a good trading day!
by tradafx