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Cadjpysignals

CADJPY Rejected on the 1D MA200. Is this a trend change?The CADJPY pair got a rejected yesterday near the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which hasn't been touched since November 30 2022. Since the March 24 Low the price has been trading within a Channel Up but the long term pattern is a Megaphone and yesterday's rejection took place on its top (Higher Highs trend-line). With the 1D MACD about to make a Bearish Cross, this is a Triple Sell signal on the long-term. As long however as the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the Channel Up hold, we can buy and target short-term the 1D MA200 at 101.500. If however we close a 1D candle below the Channel Down, the Sell Signal will be confirmed and we will target 95.200 (above the Support Zone) and 93.500 (Megaphone's bottom) in succession. P.S. It's been almost 4 months since we called for a bullish divergence on CADJPY: ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
2
CADJPY : Current Situation & Technical , Fundamental View#CADJPY - CADJPY is currently selling after a STRUCTURE BREAK because the current MARKET SENTIMENT is NEUTRAL. Somehow, JPY is becoming somewhat STRONG. Similarly, the YEILD given by the BOJ to JP10Y increased, making the JPY STRONG. - The reason for that is because the Central Bank of Japan did not intervene in the long term to strengthen the JPY, they are strengthening the JPY in other ways without raising the rate. Meanwhile, the price of OIL has gone down a bit, so the CAD has become very weak in the last few days. Anyway, as expected in the BOC RATE DECISION the other day, the RATE HIKE was done. - But somehow the CANADIAN CENTRAL BANK has become HAWKISH. Therefore, CADJPY should definitely be slightly UP until the 103.110 LEVEL. Before that, there is definitely a very high possibility to sell to the 95.92 LEVEL. So FOLLOW STRUCTURES. If JPY becomes strong, it can sell at 93.01 level.
by benny_marshall
CADJPY Confirmed sell.The CADJPY pair broke below the January 19 Low and the Arc pattern is giving the same confirmed sell signal it gave on November 11 when this multi-month downtrend had started. Even though the downside may be quite significant if it imitates the whole November - December move (-14.22%), we will target 90.000, which is the top of the 1 year Support Zone, slightly above the 1W MA200 (red trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
CADJPY : Current Situation & Technical , Fundamental View#CADJPY - CADJPY is currently selling after a STRUCTURE BREAK because the current MARKET SENTIMENT is NEUTRAL. Somehow, JPY is becoming somewhat STRONG. Similarly, the YEILD given by the BOJ to JP10Y increased, making the JPY STRONG. The reason for that is because the Bank of Japan did not intervene in the long term to strengthen the JPY, they are strengthening the JPY in other ways without raising the rate. Meanwhile, the price of OIL has gone down a bit, so the CAD has become very weak in the last few days. Anyway, as expected in the BOC RATE DECISION the other day, the RATE HIKE was done. - But somehow the CANADIAN CENTRAL BANK has become HAWKISH. Therefore, CADJPY should definitely be slightly UP until the 103.110 LEVEL. Before that, there is definitely a very high possibility to sell to 96.33 LEVEL. So FOLLOW STRUCTURES.
by benny_marshall
CADJPY : Current Situation & Technical , Fundamental View#CADJPY - CADJPY is currently selling after a STRUCTURE BREAK because the current MARKET SENTIMENT is NEUTRAL. Somehow, JPY is becoming somewhat STRONG. Similarly, the YEILD given by the BOJ to JP10Y increased, making the JPY STRONG. The reason for that is because the Bank of Japan did not intervene in the long term to strengthen the JPY, they are strengthening the JPY in other ways without raising the rate. Meanwhile, the price of OIL has gone down a bit, so the CAD has become very weak in the last few days. Anyway, as expected in the BOC RATE DECISION the other day, the RATE HIKE was done. - But somehow the CANADIAN CENTRAL BANK has become HAWKISH. Therefore, CADJPY should definitely be slightly UP until the 103.110 LEVEL. Before that, there is definitely a very high possibility to sell to the 96.68 LEVEL. So FOLLOW STRUCTURES.
by benny_marshall
CADJPY 1D Death Cross but bullish divergence short-termThe CADJPY pair has gone a long way since we caught the perfect sell at the top on our September 20 2022 idea as it hit our 1W MA50 target: The price broke even lower and touched the bottom of the Channel and the Higher Lows trend-line that started on the March 09 2020 Low, and has since been rebounding. As we mentioned on our last analysis, we can expect a sustainable rise only if the RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line. On the long-term the 1D Death Cross formed on December 27, confirms that the trend switched to bearish but on the short-term the 1D RSI Higher Lows since December 05 being a bullish divergence against the Lower Lows of the price, favors a rebound not just to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but also the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), but again we need the RSI Lower Highs break-out confirmation. If however the pair breaks below the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) earlier, we will resume selling, targeting the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels in succession. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
2
CADJPY : Current Situation & Technical , Fundamental View#CADJPY - CADJPY is currently selling after a STRUCTURE BREAK because the current MARKET SENTIMENT is NEUTRAL. Somehow, JPY is becoming somewhat STRONG. And as expected, JPY WEAKNESS came after the BOJ INTERVENTION. This was because the Bank of Japan did not intervene in the long run to strengthen the JPY. Meanwhile, CAD has become very STRONG in the last few days due to the increase in OIL prices. Anyway, the RATE HIKE was not done as expected in the BOC RATE DECISION the other day. The rate hike was less than that. - Currently, the price of OIL is rising very fast. For this reason, CAD should be a BUY in the future. - Definitely CADJPY should be slightly UP until 108.500 LEVEL. Before that, there is a very high possibility of selling to the 105.00 level. The reason for that is because even now OIL PRICES are going up a bit.
by benny_marshall
1
CADJPY Accumulation before pump?The CADJPY pair continues to follow our trading plan presented on September 20, as it repeats the fractal of late 2021 - early 2022: As you see, the MACD Bearish Cross was the correct sell signal we needed and the price hit the 0.618 Fibonacci target and rebounded. Right now it appears that the price has entered a consolidation phase similar to the post January 20 MACD Bearish Cross. As long as the Green Support Zone holds, we should expect within a 5 week horizon a break above the September High, targeting the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. A break below the Zone though, shouldn't stop on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) but instead target the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time since December 20 2021. An additional bullish confirmation would be a break of the RSI above its own Lower Highs trend-line, which in more than a year has delivered very strong and rapid rallies. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, SUBSCRIBE ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support me, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You may also TELL ME 🙋‍♀️🙋‍♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
1
CADJPY Sell-opportunity on a long-term rising trend.The CADJPY pair has been on a (very) long-term rising trend as depicted by the Fibonacci Channel on this chart, since the March 2020 market low. At the moment we see a short-term pull-back after the price made a new Higher High since the April 21 one. Based both on the RSI and MACD indicators, it appears that we are in a similar pull-back leg as the one that started on October 21 2021. As you see the MACD was on a Bearish Cross with the RSI dropping after previously breaking a Lower Highs trend-line. That sequence found bottom on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level. On the current pattern that level is at 104.810 and that is our target on the short-term. This is invalidated if we break above the 110.630 Resistance, in which case we will take it as a buy break-out signal, targeting the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of the Channel. Further selling can be made if the price breaks below the 1.0 Channel Fib, in which case we would expect it to reach the 1D MA200/ 1W MA50 (orange and red trend-lines respectively) Support Zone. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by TradingShot
2
CADJPY going lower for the next 2 monthsThe CADJPY pair has broken below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on July 29 and has stayed below it since then, being unable to made a break-out and return to the bullish trend of the past year. The longer it fails to do so, the more selling accumulation we will see. In fact both in terms of RSI and MACD, this resembles the sequence of June - September 2021, where the price again fell below the 1D MA50 and being unable to recover it, it made consistent Lower Lows. Based on the RSI Lower Highs and MACD Cross symmetries, it appears that, relative to the 2021 pattern, we are still near the start of this bearish move. The target is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) - 1W MA50 (red trend-line) cluster, which has been the pair's long-term Support Zone since November 2020. On the other hand, a candle close above the 1D MA50 can provide a short-term rise towards the Higher Highs trend-line where an even more comfortable sell position can be taken. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by TradingShot
3
CADJPY Trading plan based on simple break-outs.The CADJPY pair has been consolidating within a Triangle pattern since the June 08 High and basically supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since early March. The 1W MACD is close to a Bearish Cross and with the 1D RSI practically neutral, the pattern draws similarities with the peak formation of June 2021. That sequence eventually broke below and turned the 1D MA50 into a Resistance, before marginally breaking below the Support. Currently the new Support is at 98.100 and this is best traded on break-outs. A break below the 1D MA50 again, will be a sell, aimed at 98.100 and quite possibly contact the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). On the other hand, a break above the 107.100 High, will be a buy signal, targeting the -0.5 Fibonacci extension around 111.500. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Please like, subscribe and share your ideas and charts with the community! --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
by TradingShot
1
CADJPY Top confirmed. Huge success with previous pattern.The CADJPY pair has been trading within a Bullish Megaphone as outlined by our last analysis almost two months ago: As you see the Fibonacci Channel helped to very efficiently identify the pressure points and the price moved exactly as per our trading strategy. As seen, it found support on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and rebounded, imitating the pattern of March 15 - May 15 2021. Yesterday it almost hit the Higher Lows trend-line of the Megaphone and is being rejected currently. As the 1W RSI Double topped in the same fashion as late May, it is more likely that this was the top on the medium-term. It is now that the Fibonacci levels will come in play again and if the pattern continues to replicate the 2021 one, expect a strong correction during the summer months towards the 1.5 Fib level, were the price should find support within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), or earlier if they rise faster. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please support this idea with your likes and comments, it is the best way to keep it relevant and support me. ** --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Short
by TradingShot
4
GBPJPY - FUNDAMENTALS WITH SECHNICAL BIAS- GBP FEATURE currently stands at 1.2608 LEVEL. Also the JPY FEATURE stays at 0.0077 LEVEL. GBPJPY PRICE is moving higher than DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. So most of the time the PRICE can be a bit UP ahead. But the MARKET SENTIMENT must be POSITIVE if you want to BUY GBPJPY. - STOCKS are currently DOWN. And VIX is becoming DOWN. COMMODITIES OVERALL DOWN. Also BONDS PRICES are becoming NEUTRAL. Also BONDS SPREADS are DOWN. Currently the MARKET RISK ON status is heavy. So definitely create a UP TREND for AUD CAD NZD and a DOWN TREND for JPY CHF USD. - GBPJPY PRICE can be UP to 164.988 LEVEL before DOWN. Then you can BREAK the TREND LINE and DOWN to 157.611 LEVEL. Focus on breaking the TREND LINE. The VIX INDEX is also special.
by benny_marshall
CADJPY : Current Situation & Technical , Fundamental View- The Canadian Dollar is a COMMODITY BASED CURRENCY and continues to follow market sentiment. CADJPY BUY NOT BE WITHOUT VIX DOWNING THE JAPANESE YEN is also slightly down. For these reasons, the CADJPY price may rise further. Today is the day of the CAD CENTRAL BANK DECISION. So you definitely have to pay attention to it. - CAD FEATURE currently stands at 0.7902 LEVEL. Also the JPY FEATURE stays at 0.0077 LEVEL. The CADJPY PRICE is located above the DYNAMIC S / R LEVELS. Therefore, most of the time the PRICE can be down after a RETRACEMENT SHORT TERM. - STOCKS are currently DOWN. And VIX is becoming DOWN. Also COMMODITIES OVERALL DOWN. Also BONDS PRICES are becoming NEUTRAL. Also BONDS SPREADS are DOWN. Currently the MARKET RISK ON status has been weighed down. So definitely create a UP TREND for AUD CAD NZD and a DOWN TREND for JPY CHF USD. - The CADJPY PRICE can be UP to the RESISTANCE AREA above before the SHORT TERM DOWN. That is 104.183 LEVEL can be UP. If the MARKET SENTIMENT does not continue to function or the MARKET RISK is OFF then the PRICE can be DOWN to CADJPY 97.84 LEVELS.
by benny_marshall