CADJPYThe Canadian dollar went back and forth over last week as we continue to hang about the ¥92 level. The market will follow oil, as it typically does over the longer term. For what it is worth, the oil market looks as if it is ready to go higher, so it will be interesting to see how this plays out. The Bank of Canada has also suggested during last week that an interest rate hike is coming much sooner than anticipated, and that could continue to favor the Loonie over the Japanese yen.
Cadjpyanalysis
CADJPY Low Risk High Reward ideaCADJPY looks like in bearish trend in the hourly time frame as its making LHs and LLs. An attempt to short it from the current position can be made with a very tight stop loss as risk reward ratio is quite high here.
Entry: Current Price
Stop Loss 1 : 92.152
Stop Loss 2 : 92.482
Take Profit : 91.691
CADJPY Analysis and Trade IdeaCADJPY has entered my POI. I am now waiting for it give indications of a reversal, so I may find a valid short.
If price stay strong, making the HH even higher, I wait. Patiently. It will pull back at some point, to make the HL. This is dictated by HTF market structure.
I wait, patiently, for confirmations. No confirmations, no trade.
NOTE: I didn't mention it in the video, but CAD gas CPI news on Wednesday. Banks may look to take profits and send the market to move unpredictably. Be very careful trading this pair with the news looming.
CADJPY Short! Price Action AnalysisPrice is currently trading within Caption zone/s that last saw Tests for rejection to the downside in October-November of 2015.
For price to experience the anticipated drop, CAD has to weaken and JPY has to strengthen inclusive of fundamentals.
Bearish pattern signs have initialized on smaller time frames with rejection at 92.545, which is the beginning of a Caption zone that extends through 94.745.
Note: Idea is to complement your research.
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CADJPYBullish Indicators:
1) HH HL
2) Upward trend
3) Support at 89.698
Bearish Indicators:
1) Bearish inside bar
2) Resistance zone at 92.670
3) Bearish divergence on RSI
4) Breaking of lower trendline
Plan: After making bearish inside bar and bearish divergence on RSI one can take a short position from here for the target of 89.698.
Price has reached to critical zone, highest level since 2018As oil and gasoline prices spike in the world, Canadian dollar is getting stronger again. Right now, as you can see on CAD/JPY chart , price has entered the critical zone again. This is the forth time since 2017 that price reaches to this zone. Price behavior is very important here. Will gas, oil and commodities help Canadian Dollar to get stronger , break the zone and goes back to its wonderful days on 2014-2016 ? On the other side, Justin Trudeaus government is facing with a massive deficit, highest inflation rate since 2003 and vast volume of money printing which have made Canadian Dollar weaker than ever. Will positive factor overcome negative factors?
CADJPY SHORTCADJPY is approaching big resistance after a major impulse to the upside.
This is looking like a nice area to short but do it carefully, since JPY is really shaky at the moment.
- I would only enter this trade if I see this resistance stoppping this big movement up and starting to range or If I prefer to enter on a sell limit at 91.00 I would use a 25/30 Pip Stop.
CADJPYBullish Indicators:
1) HH HL
2) Upward trend
3) Taking Support from the lower trendline
Bearish Indicators:
1) Resistance area at 88.698
Plan A: On the bounce from the lower trendline one can buy for the target of 88..698 and then for the 89.795.
Plan B: Failure to take a support from here one can take a short position for the target of 87.157.