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Bullrun

CYCLE 4 | CME GAP: Bull Cycle Period First Major Pull Back?Quick post to address BTCs expected potential first major pull back into this bull run period... BULL MARKET PULL BACKS Historically, BTC during its bull market enjoys pull back which ranged from 15% to as much as 30%-40% in prior markets. This is essential for trader participants in the market to take profits, allow BTC to retest low levels and prove new heights are sustainable before ranging to new higher price levels. The first pull back historically for BTC post the start of the 'Bull Run' phase of BTCs 4 year cycle is traditionally the largest pull back opportunity and historically been the best short term buying opportunity in the Bull Run (NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE). We can expect a 30-40% correction for this pull back based on historic bull market period examples (Let me know in the comments below if you would like me to detail consistent price behaviour during BTC bull run periods in a future post). ARE WE AT THIS POINT NOW OF THE CYCLE? WHAT ARE THE INDICATORS SAYING? As highlighted by the RED arrow on the chart, a number of the indicators like to monitor on the weekly chat are suggesting bearish divergences and fading momentum exists with the current price action. This is calling for a cooling off period of the market. CME GAP Historically, BTC has had a tendency to want to 'close' open gap, created by weekend trading of BTC that does not align with equities that follow the traditional 'No Trading' over the weekend policy of Traditional Financial instruments. Hence crypto ETFs which align with these policies (such as the CME Futures chart as seen in this chart) can create 'GAP' between the open (Monday) and close (Friday) candles. To understand CME gaps, please take the time to review the details discussion in the earlier post. The orange BOX shows the below CME gap target that BTC price may range towards to close. NOTE: this box has been listed as Partially Closed as the open Monday candle of the gap did go below before rising during the weekly candle but did no dip past the close of the previous weekly candle. 21W EMA & 20W SMA Historically, a fully developed healthy bull market for BTC has required periodic retesting and holding of these moving averages. A close of the CME gap at this point of the market would also satisfy this historic trend for BTC. ORANGE TREND LINE Bears if eager to continue the 'close the CME gap' trend will need to convince the market by first exceeding the orange trend line. Currently this allows BTC to complete a 10 to 12% correction while also taking the price below the key psychological 100K price level, without phasing the bulls conviction to charger higher. * Holding the Orange Trend Line Scenario: we want to see price bounce and conviction from the bulls to push BTC to higher highs. The goal for Bears would be to achieve the measured move up to 180K. This would most potentially shorted the bull run (time prospective) and potentially cap our ATH for this cycle early; creating a distribution zone similar to the 2021 cycle top. * Breaking below the Orange Trend Line Scenario: If we break the Orange Trend Line then Bulls will concede ground to the MA levels (allowing the CME gap to also close). Bulls will write this off as a market reset and holding support at these levels will entice Traders to take positions needed to drive BTC up sustainably to the next higher level(s). Losing the MAs would ask serious questions to the intent of BULLs and the sustainability of the market moving forward this bull run.....
CME:BTC1!
by Brodie
BTC - Let's Do It Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, this is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 As per my last BTC analysis (attached to the chart), BTC rejected the blue circle zone and made a new ATH. If you missed it, we might have another opportunity to catch it again. The new blue circle marks the intersection of a key structure, the lower blue trendline, and the $100,000 round number. 📚 According to my trading style: As #BTC approaches the new blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (such as a double bottom pattern, trendline break, and so on). 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~ Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
31
"Breakout Confirmed: MEME/USDT Poised for 250% Gains – Don’t MisHere’s an overview of the MEME/USDT chart, pointing out its potential to increase in value by 250% or more in the next few months. Important Findings Breaking above a downward trend line. A clear downward trendline was crossed in early November 2024, showing a change from a negative to a positive outlook. After the price increased, it has now become steady, which means people might be gathering more before the next big change. Important Support Points: 0. 01262 (current breakout level): This is a key level for support right now. Below this, 0. 01200 acts as strong support, keeping the price above important low points. Important Levels Where Prices Might Stop Rising (Target Areas): 0. 02122: The first big obstacle. If it goes above this point, it could start a big rise. 002500: The next goal after breaking out, which is the same as the last highest point. 003311: A medium-term goal that matches earlier supply areas. 004732: This is the last key resistance point, which could lead to a profit of about 250% to 300% from the current price. MACD Analysis: Understanding MACD is about looking at two moving averages to help predict the price trends of a stock. It can tell us when to buy or sell by showing the momentum of price changes. The CM_Ult_MACD and MACDRe indicators suggest that momentum is slowing down and may start to go up soon. When the histogram shows positive divergence and the red bars are getting smaller, it might mean that there is a chance for more upward movement in the market. Amount and Market Setup: The amount of trading seems stable after the price went up, showing that the market is settling down. A big increase in trading activity when prices go up can show that investors are interested and that the upward trend will keep going. Story of Investing for Medium-Term Profits Technical Breakout Setup: The price has moved up from a long period of decline and is now settling down, which suggests that people are starting to buy more. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: There's a small chance of losing money at the support level of 0. 012, but there's a big chance to make money, reaching between 0. 03311 and 004732 250% Target Reason: The main resistance points match up with past price patterns and show a slow return to a positive trend. Planning When to Start and Stop: Start buying at a price around 0. 01239 to 001262 Stop-Loss: Under 0. 01200 (a solid support area). Profit Goals: 0. 02122 (Goal for the short term: about 75% increase) 0. 03311 (Goal for the middle of the term: about 150% increase) 0. 04732 (Goal: about 280-300% profit) This chart setup provides: Low risk with a clear point to stop losses. Big chances for profit with possible returns over 250%. A clear confirmation of a breakout and positive MACD signals are boosting confidence in continued price increases.
Long
by PROFITPULSE10X
Cardano - Starting The 10x Parabolic Rally!Cardano ( CRYPTO:ADAUSD ) is perfectly following the break and retest: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 With an incredible +200% pump in November, Cardano is finally coming back to life after creating the bullish double bottom break and retest just a couple of months ago. Looking at previous cycles, this seems to be just the beginning of another +3.000 rally. Levels to watch: $3.0, $10.0 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:ADAUSDLong
by basictradingtv
17
BTC/USD Bull Run Continuation My analysis is pretty simple. Using moving averages, volatility, and momentum indicators, I predict a sizeable move to the upside on a daily time frame. price action has consolidated around the yellow 21 EMA and is now officially bouncing off of the 5 EMA. The last time this happened was last month in the beginning of November after we broke the all time highs within the 70K range. Momentum itself has also shifted to the upside along with volatility rising. That's pretty much it. Have a great holiday season everyone.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by kuzonthereaper
1
16/12/24 Weekly outlookLast weeks high: $106,649.88 Last weeks low: $94,177.33 Midpoint: $100,413.61 A new ATH for BTC last week as we saw $106K for the first time, truly amazing price action since the Trump election win. NASDAQ:MSTR , IBIT and other massive institutions are continuing to buy with more companies having rumoured to add BTC to their balance sheet, demand is strong and does not seem to be going away as we go into the end of the quarter/year. This week we have many different data releases from the UK, US & ECB. Naturally volatility is expected around these events, it also makes traders a little tentative to enter into trades, I would say this is more accurate during bear markets/ choppy conditions. Right now we're in a strong Bullrun and therefor the momentum is less news data driven and more a race for institutional buying, It's a given at this point that we're in a period of rate cuts and so that is factored into price. Altcoins have seen a recent pullback despite BTC pushing higher, this is as a result of the BTC.D chart tanking when alts took the liquidity from BTC profits and so dominance did see a correction. This latest BTC move up while alts are down is just a continuation of BTC.D continuing its surge as it always does in the Bullrun before the true altseason where alts outpace BTC after a blow-off top. This week I'd like to see BTC come through data events unscathed with altcoins bouncing off the 4H 200EMAs and starting the next leg up going into year end.
by ProR35
TOTAL3 2H: Bull Flag Formation - 1.6T TargetThe TOTAL3 index, representing the total cryptocurrency market capitalization excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum, is displaying a bullish continuation pattern in the form of a bull flag. The market has established a strong uptrend, followed by a consolidation period that appears to be setting up for another leg higher. Key Technical Observations: The primary trend is decisively bullish, with price action showing a steep ascent from around 600B to 1.14T market cap. The recent consolidation has formed a flag pattern, with parallel downward-sloping lines containing the price action. This type of consolidation after a strong move is typically a continuation pattern, suggesting the bullish momentum may resume. The volume profile during the consolidation appears to be diminishing, which is characteristic of flag patterns and supports the continuation thesis. Price Targets: Based on the measured move technique for flag patterns, taking the flagpole's height and projecting it from the breakout point, the primary target extends to approximately 1.6T. This projection aligns with the principle that crypto markets often extend previous moves after corrections. The target represents a significant psychological level that could act as a major resistance zone. Trading Setup: - Entry Conditions: Look for a decisive break above the upper flag boundary at approximately 1.14T, preferably with increased volume - Initial Stop Loss: Place below the lower flag boundary around 1.07T - Take Profit Levels: Primary target at 1.6T, with potential intermediate resistance at 1.3T and 1.4T Risk Management: - Stop Loss Placement: The tight consolidation pattern allows for a relatively close stop loss, improving the risk-reward ratio - Market Conditions to Watch: Monitor Bitcoin and Ethereum's price action as they can influence the broader market sentiment Additional Considerations: The current consolidation is occurring at all-time high levels for TOTAL3, suggesting strong underlying strength in the altcoin market. The clean technical pattern, combined with the strategic location of the consolidation, provides a favorable setup for continuation. Trade Validation: - Bullish Case: A high-volume breakout above 1.14T would confirm the pattern - Invalidation: A decisive break below 1.07T would negate the immediate bullish setup Market Context: The altcoin market has shown significant strength relative to Bitcoin and Ethereum, indicating growing interest in the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem. This suggests potential capital rotation into alternative cryptocurrencies, which could support the bullish thesis.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3Long
by Achilly
NOSUSDT 4H: Ascending Triangle Breakout with Cup FormationNosana (NOS) has established a strong ascending trendline dating back to its earlier price action, demonstrating consistent higher lows. What's particularly interesting is the recent price action forming what appears to be a Inverse Head & shoulders pattern (marked by the blue curved line) right along the support of the ascending trendline while being in bigger Cup&Handle pattern (marked by yellow). Key Technical Observations: The current setup shows multiple bullish signals working in harmony: The ascending trendline has served as reliable dynamic support with multiple confirmations The cup formation suggests accumulation, with price now attempting to complete the pattern The recent consolidation near the trendline indicates strong buying pressure at support levels Price Targets: The initial target based on the chart pattern projects to around 4.39, with potential for extension to 7.30 if momentum maintains. These targets align with the overall trend structure and previous resistance levels. Trading Strategy Considerations: Entry opportunities present themselves on either a bounce from the ascending trendline or a confirmed breakout above the cup formation. The ascending nature of support provides clear invalidation levels for risk management. Risk Management: Place stops below the ascending trendline, as a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
Long
by Achilly
Dogecoin - This Is Still Just The Beginning!Dogecoin ( CRYPTO:DOGEUSD ) is still in its early stages: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Although Dogecoin already rallied more than +350% after breaking out of the triangle pattern, this still just seems to be the beginning of the next major bullrun. A conservative approach would indicate a +9.000% rally, but the first primary target is still the previous all time high. Levels to watch: $0.7, $5.0 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by basictradingtv
59
XRP - History Repeating Itself... Again!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📔I find the OKX:XRPUSDT 4H chart interesting. Previous post: Do you notice a pattern here? is XRP doing again? 🔄 If history will repeat itself, a break above the green zone around $2.7 is needed to signal the start of the next bullish movement. 🎯Once the setup is activated, $3 will be the short-term target, and then $5. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
10