Does Bitcoin History Repeat Itself? 🚀 Does Bitcoin History Repeat Itself? 🌕
Comparing the 2017, 2021, and 2025 bull runs reveals a fascinating similarity:
🔹 Each cycle experiences mid-run corrections ranging from -25% to -40%!
🔹These corrections fuel the next leg up to new all-time highs.
🔹2024-2025 is shaping up to follow this historical trend. Therefore, it will be expected if we see a drop of around 25% to 30%.
Lessons: Corrections are part of growth.
Stay focused on the bigger picture!
#Bitcoin #Bullrun
Share your thoughts below!
BTCUSDTPERP
Bitcoin Roadmap=>Short-term!!!As I expected, Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) once again attacked the 50_SMA(Daily) but failed to defeat it .
Bitcoin is currently moving near Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870) , Support zone($96,620-$95,520) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , Bitcoin seems to have succeeded in completing the main wave 4 . To confirm the end of the main wave 4 , we need to confirm the break of the 50_SMA(Daily) .
It also seems that Bitcoin in microwaves should experience an upward movement in the coming hours.
I expect Bitcoin to at least rise to the Targets I have specified in the chart.
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes below the 50_SMA(Daily), we can expect a break of the Heavy Support zone($95,000-$90,870).⚠️
⚠️Note: In general, the analysis is short-term, and holding a long position for targets above the Resistance zone($100,000-$98,130) is a little risky.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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#BTC new structural evolution📊#BTC new structural evolution📉
🧠From a cyclical perspective, the 4h-level bullish structure is likely to fail, so seeking a trend reversal requires building a larger-level bullish structure.
➡️Given the existence of the bear flag, we expect further pullbacks, but we are currently on the edge of the bear flag and there is a risk of rebound, so it is best to wait for a rebound before considering shorting.
➡️I found a bullish signal in a smaller cycle, and now I have set up a risk-free, let's see if the market meets expectations.
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin Correction Signals Major Rally AheadBTCUSDT (Day Chart) Technical analysis update
BINANCE:BTCUSDT current price movement is forming a pattern similar to the December 2023 to February 2024 chart. At the beginning of 2024, Bitcoin experienced a gradual 20% correction before recovering and rallying by over 90% in the following months. This time, the price is exhibiting a similar behavior to December 2023's price action, having already dropped 15% from its peak. A maximum correction of 20% from the peak is anticipated. Once this correction concludes, a strong bullish move is expected, with a target price of $140,000 to $150,000.
#BTC/USDT Urgent Update. If you like money, Read This!Welcome to this quick update, everyone!
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at around $98,400 at the time of writing.
BTC is making a **bearish retest of the 21EMA** on the daily chart, which is a crucial indicator for identifying short-term trends. This is particularly significant for traders involved in futures and options within the crypto market.
- Break above the 21EMA is bullish.
- BTC is also retesting the previously broken pennant pattern to the downside.
If you're feeling FOMO (fear of missing out), it's better to wait until BTC reclaims the Blue EMA and trades back inside the channel/pennant.
If these two levels are recovered, we could anticipate a new all-time high (ATH). However, until that happens, exercise caution. Trading volume is exceptionally low across exchanges, and it's worth noting that during holiday seasons, market makers often exploit these conditions to manipulate prices, leaving retail traders at a disadvantage.
While you're free to make your own decisions, my advice is to trade with confirmations. This approach provides an edge and makes holding positions more comfortable while effectively managing risk.
If you found this analysis and chart helpful, please hit the like button to show your support and feel free to share your views in the comments section.
Thank you!
#PEACE
#BTC complex consolidation phase📊#BTC complex consolidation phase📊
🧠From a structural point of view, the 4-hour bullish structure still exists and is within the support zone, and the rebound seems reasonable. However, from a graphical point of view, a bear flag seems to have formed here, and there is a possibility of further correction.
➡️Since there is a contradiction, you need to wait patiently for the contradiction to be broken before participating in new transactions. The trading volume is lower on weekends, and the market seems very calm. A proper rest may be a good choice.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Bitcoin - Sell in March and Go Away?Let me begin with a caveat: a sample size of five is hardly enough to be statistically accurate. Regardless, this cycle analysis aligns with my Gann analysis and the Primary EW count.
My thesis is that Bitcoin will make a long-term top by March or April 2025, followed by a severe downtrend.
Supporting Evidence:
Cycle crests. Since 2021, Bitcoin has made significant tops in March, followed by a 12W or more downtrend.
Primary EW Count:
According to the primary EW count, beginning in November 2021, Bitcoin is in the final stage of completing primary wave 5. This estimate relates to the price axis. It is common practice to estimate the time of a fifth wave as the 1.272 extension of the fourth wave. According to this measure, the fifth wave could be completed as early as February 2025.
Gann Analysis:
Throughout the current uptrend, Bitcoin’s price traded almost exclusively within the bounds of the 2/1 Gann angle support and the 1/1 Gan angle resistance.
Even if completing the primary fifth wave leads to a substantial correction of more than 40%, as long as Bitcoin holds the 2/1 support, it is enough to support continuation in an overshooting wave B to the final blow-off top in October/November 2025, in line with the 4Y cycle.
Best wishes
Bitcoin Faces Key Test: Will It Bounce or Drop to $85K?#Bitcoin is staying above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level at $94,300, with the 50-day moving average near $93,000 providing support.
If these levels hold, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could start moving up again toward $108,000. But if it drops below, it might fall to the 0.382 Fibonacci level at $85,600.
Watch these key levels for Bitcoin's next move!
DYOR, NFA
#Crypto
BITCOIN 89K SupportBitcoin is holding strong around the GETTEX:89K level, forming a key support zone. If this level sustains, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend. Watch for a bounce with increased volume for a potential long entry. However, a break below could trigger a deeper retracement. Keep an eye on the $86K level as the next potential support. Trade cautiously and manage risk.
#BTC complex consolidation phase📊#BTC complex consolidation phase📊
🧠From a structural perspective, we are currently in the target area of the bull structure, so the divergence is relatively large.
➡️From a cyclical perspective, if we want to continue the bullish trend, we should continue the upward trend after the formation of the ascending triangle yesterday. However, the results are not as expected, indicating that the upward potential energy has begun to exhaust. Therefore, if you want to participate in new long transactions, you need to pay attention to the opportunity of callbacks.
⚠️If we continue to break through the previous high, then the expectation of a pullback will be invalid, which means that a new long structure is established. At this time, we need to pay attention to the new long trading opportunities after the pullback.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
#BTC reaches the target zone📊#BTC reaches the target zone✔️
🎄Merry Christmas, friends🎄Aren’t you happy to see such an increase during the holidays?😎
🧠I missed this rise because I was busy spending happy time with my family🤷♂️But the overall trend was completely in line with my expectations. After constructing a bull structure of the same cycle in the support area, the downward trend was reversed. At present, all the goals of this structure have been achieved, so we need to be alert to the possibility of a callback.
➡️If there is a pullback, the support levels worthy of our attention are neckline support 95481 and inflection point support 93805.
➡️If we make a horizontal consolidation, we need to pay attention to the breakthrough opportunity after the price is extremely compressed. The next resistance area is 101600-102750
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC/USD 4 HOUR CHART FALL WARNING BARTS HEADIn this idea I illustrate how we are on a Barts head falling to 86-87k range. The reason I believe this has been missed by a lot of people is the slanted angle of it as we are on a hard uptrend. Tilt your head and see what I mean...I hope this helps you. Much love - ND
#BTC Potential Head and Shoulders Structure📊#BTC Potential Head and Shoulders Structure☕️
🧠Yesterday, I set a long limit order in the support area 85700-90400 in order to find a rapid decline. However, it rebounded early, indicating that the previous expectations were invalid, so market risks need to be re-evaluated.
➡️We can see from the strong rebound that the support here is very heavy, so it is reasonable to form such a rebound.
➡️There is no bull signal appearing yet, so we need to remain patient. If we can build a bullish head and shoulders structure in the support area, it means that the trend reversal is likely to begin, so we can participate in long transactions normally.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
#BTC reaches support📊#BTC reaches support✔️
🧠From a structural perspective, the target of the bearish cup-with-handle structure was achieved, so a nice rally was justified, unfortunately it was $282 away from our long entry point. We ultimately failed to break above the resistance zone of 95835-96277, so we tried some shorts and have achieved a nice profit so far.
➡️If we want to reverse this downtrend, we need to build a long structure in the support zone, and the next resistance zone is around 98000-100000.
⚠️If we continue the bearish trend, the next support zone is around 90000-85700.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
BTC Price Action AnalysisBTC Price Action Analysis:
BTC is showing signs of consolidation in the 90,000 - 108,000 range for the next few days. During this period, we expect the price to move sideways as the market digests recent price action. This phase of consolidation could bring some stability before a potential volatility spike.
After this consolidation phase, I anticipate a possible wick down to around 86,000. This wick would be a short-term shakeout, likely designed to liquidate weak hands before a strong bullish rally.
Following this shakeout, I’m expecting BTC to surge and achieve a new all-time high (ATH). The overall market sentiment remains bullish, but this could take some time to fully develop.
Key takeaways:
- Short-term consolidation expected between 90k and 108k.
- A potential wick to 86k could happen before the next big move.
- Long-term outlook remains bullish with a target of a new ATH.
Make sure to practice proper risk management, as volatility could create sudden price swings. As always, this is not financial advice, and I encourage you to do your own research (DYOR).
#BTC Complex Consolidation Phase📊#BTC Complex Consolidation Phase📊
🧠It's the weekend again. It's easy to go out of complex consolidation when the market volume decreases. The overall market sentiment is still on the pessimistic side. We fell back after reaching the resistance zone.
➡️From the perspective of the market cycle, the previous downward trend is likely to end, because the downward trend line has been broken. The end of the downward trend does not mean that there will be no decline. It may also evolve into a larger downward trend. If we want to reverse this downward trend, then we need to build a long structure in the support zone. This is an expectation and requires enough patience.
➡️Since the support zone is below, we may also go out of the horizontal complex consolidation. If this scenario occurs, then we can enter the long trade after the price is squeezed to the limit.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Is the #BTC pullback over?📊Is the #BTC pullback over? ❓
🧠From a structural point of view, the ideal target area (83223-89155) of the short structure has not been fully realized, so we need to be alert to the possibility of further decline. However, we are currently in multiple overlapping support areas, and there is the possibility of continued rebound. We need to The resistance area of concern is near 98600, and we will wait patiently for new signals to appear. ☕️
➡️We need to be cautious enough when trading against the trend. Therefore, the long orders we held near 96,000 were set to break even after locking in the main profit. In the end, the long orders were swept and we made a small profit.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
Start of decline: Below 97821.58
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The Market Cap chart will be updated again when a new candle is created.
I think the gap increase of USDT, USDC is a trace of funds flowing in.
The increase in BTC dominance means that funds are concentrated on BTC.
You cannot predict the rise and fall of BTC with BTC dominance.
The rise in USDT dominance is likely to be reflected in the decline of the coin market.
The start of the decline in the coin market is expected to begin when it rises above 4.97 and is maintained.
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The point to watch is whether the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend from the 100 point or whether it switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
Since the StochRSI indicator is a lagging indicator, you can know the exact value when a new candle is created.
However, if there is a change in the value of the StochRSI indicator when a movement occurs, it means that an important point has been passed.
In that sense, the fact that the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point despite the current price decline means that an important point has not been passed.
However, there may be fluctuations in the StochRSI indicator value when a new candle is created while the price is falling.
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(1D chart)
The HA-High indicator is expected to be created at 101947.24.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 101947.24.
If not, it falls and shows resistance near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator or 97821.58, there is a possibility of meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, before meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, you should check whether it is supported near 87.8K-89K or whether the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is newly created.
If the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to see if there is support in the vicinity.
If the HA-Low indicator is generated, it is expected that the current wave will end and a movement to create a new wave will begin.
The start of the decline is expected to start when it falls below 97821.58.
The volatility period is around December 27 (maximum December 26-28).
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
In the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the upward wave.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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BTCUSDT Near Strong Trendline Support!BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Techncial analssyso update
BTC price is currently trading at the 200 EMA level, which will act as strong support on the 4-hour chart. Additionally, the price is approaching the trend support line, which is considered a key support level for BTC. The volume profile also indicates significant support in the $ 94K-$96K range. A strong bounce from this level can be expected
Regards
Hexa
#BTC reaches support zone📊#BTC reaches support zone✔️
🧠From a structural point of view, all the goals of the short structure have been achieved, and the target area of this structure overlaps with the yellow support area. The overlapping area is regarded as the heaviest support area, so there is an expectation of rebound.
➡️From the perspective of wave theory, the Elliott Pulse Wave has been fully realized, and there is also an expectation of rebound.
➡️If you miss the best entry opportunity, then you can expect to participate in long trades after building a long structure near the buy zone.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
#BTC bullish trend is good, cautious bearish📊#BTC bullish trend is good, cautious bearish⚠️
🧠From a structural point of view, we started the callback after building a short structure in the red target zone. Currently, the target zone of this structure has been achieved and a good rebound has occurred. If we want to continue higher, we need to break through the blue resistance.
⚠️If we reach the weekly level resistance line early, we need to be alert to the occurrence of a sharp decline.
Let's see👀
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BITGET:BTCUSDT.P