Btcusdlong
BTC/USD Dynamics and Concerns over Attraction ForcesReaching the $48,000.00 mark earlier this week, some speculators may view this value as an upcoming attraction point for Bitcoin. However, traders in the BTC/USD market must maintain a realistic perspective, acknowledging the potential for Bitcoin prices to decline, and a one-way upward trend could pose a risky gamble, given the likelihood of lower reversals.
Risk management remains crucial for BTC/USD, and short-term volatility is expected to increase in the near future. Attraction forces persist for BTC/USD, and its value may decrease if Bitcoin holders decide to withdraw profits as financial institutions begin to engage in Bitcoin ETFs. The upcoming trading days in the BTC/USD market will garner attention, urging traders to exercise caution.
Short-term prospects for Bitcoin:
Current Resistance Level: $46,375.00
Current Support Level: $46,150.00
High Target: $47,200.00
Low Target: $45,540.00
This analysis underscores the importance of a balanced approach in the BTC/USD market, recognizing both attraction forces and potential risks. It provides a forward-looking perspective for traders, emphasizing the need for careful consideration in the face of evolving market dynamics.
Bitcoin Trades Sideways After SEC Greenlights Spot Bitcoin ETFBitcoin was hovering around an elevated flatline on late Wednesday after the Securities and Exchange Commission gave the go-ahead for the first spot bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETF) to be traded in the U.S., as expected.
According to Coin Metrics, the cryptocurrency pared earlier losses and was most recently trading around $46,671. Meanwhile, the price of ether shot up as much as 15.5% to $2,606, the highest since May 2022. Most recently it was up 14.5% at $2,586.54.
The ETF approval is a milestone for the crypto industry, which first sought to launch a bitcoin ETF more than 10 years ago. Optimism has been building since Grayscale's major legal victory over the SEC in August regarding the regulator's refusal to allow them to convert their popular Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) into an ETF. The price of the leading cryptocurrency has risen 80% since then.
Bitcoin's Jubilee Upgrade ImpactBitcoin is preparing for a significant "Jubilee Upgrade" at block height 824,544. This upgrade briefly suspends deposit and withdrawal services for certain BRC20 tokens on January 5, 2024. The update aims to address inconsistencies in engravings on BTC denominations within the BRC-20 network. UniSat will monitor functionality, and a scheduled network update from January 5 to 6 will temporarily close the BRC20 market while other services continue uninterrupted.
Bitcoin Eyes $50,000 amid ETF SpeculationBitcoin's price continues to oscillate around the weekly supply zone midpoint of $43,860, poised for an early breakout as imminent ETF launches draw closer. The flagship cryptocurrency finds robust support from the 25-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $43,130 and $41,391, respectively. The upward slope of these EMAs indicates minimal resistance ahead. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) also trends north, signaling upward momentum. Increased buying pressure at current levels might drive Bitcoin to decisively breach the pivotal $43,860 level, paving the way for the next crucial range expansion toward $48,000.
Once surpassing the $48,000 threshold, Bitcoin could swiftly surge towards the psychological level of $50,000 before profit-taking ensues. Traders exercising profit control might set the pace for BTC to achieve the ambitious target of $60,000.
Conversely, premature profit-taking prompted by SEC rejections or delayed decisions could trigger a downturn. Such action might break below the 25-day and 50-day EMAs before testing the convergence between the 100-day EMA and horizontal support near $37,800.
However, to nullify the current bullish outlook, Bitcoin would need to close below the psychological level of $30,000.
"Bitcoin's 67% Value Surge Despite Regulatory Challenges"Even amidst regulatory crackdowns on cryptocurrency exchanges over the past year, Bitcoin has exhibited consistent growth throughout much of 2023, currently hovering around $43,610 - an increase of nearly $18,000 in value since September.
Reaching its peak at around $68,000 in November 2021, Bitcoin faced a significant setback by November 2022, losing over 75% of that value following the collapse of FTX, a major crypto exchange at the time. Yet, it seems poised for a resurgence once again.
This resilience underscores Bitcoin's ability to weather regulatory challenges and market upheavals, emphasizing its enduring appeal and potential for recovery amidst a rapidly evolving financial landscape.
BTC/USD Analysis Bitcoin surged past the $44,700 resistance on January 2, yet this breakthrough turned out to be a price trap as it plunged on January 3. Buyers stepped in as prices dipped to the 50-day simple moving average ($40,938), showcasing robust bullish defense around the $40,000 mark. The exponential 20-day moving average traded sideways at ($42,855), while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovered around neutral, indicating restrained price action ahead. The range boundaries could be $40,000 and $45,879.
A significant drop below the $40,000 support would signal short-term bullish capitulation. This scenario might drive the BTC/USDT pair towards the next major support at $37,980.
Buyers regain control upon pushing the price beyond $45,879. Subsequently, the pair could rally towards $50,000.
The recent price movement indicates a delicate balance between bulls and bears, with $40,000 as a critical level to watch. Breaking below could see further downside, while surging past $45,879 could reignite bullish momentum towards the $50,000 mark.
Bitcoin Price Analysis Bitcoin surged above the $44,700 resistance on January 2, but this breakthrough turned out to be a price trap as it sharply declined on January 3. Buyers stepped in as prices dipped to the 50-day simple moving average ($40,938), indicating strong bullish defense around the $40,000 mark. The exponential 20-day moving average traded sideways ($42,855), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) near neutral suggested restrained price action ahead, within a potential range between $40,000 and $45,879.
A sharp drop below the $40,000 support might signal short-term bearish surrender, possibly pushing the BTC/USDT pair towards the next major support at $37,980.
Buyers could regain control by pushing the price above $45,879. Subsequently, the pair could aim for $50,000.
The recent price fluctuations indicate a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, emphasizing critical support and resistance levels that will dictate the next market move. Breaking through resistance or succumbing to lower support thresholds will be pivotal in determining short-term market sentiment.
Bitcoin → Broke Weekly Resistance! On to $46,000!? Let's Answer.Bitcoin has broken Weekly Resistance at $38,000 and raced to the top of the bull channel around $42,500. Now that the move seems to have played out, what is the next trade?
How do we trade this? 🤔
If you're not already in a long, Do Not Enter the market. We're too close to the bull channel resistance, we haven't tested the previous Weekly Resistance as Support, RSI is over 76.00 and far above the Moving Average. We should remain bullish given the macro trend and that the top of the 2021 Trading Range at $46,000 is at the proposed Measured Move target.
Best to wait for a pullback and find support again, likely around $40,000 at Bull Channel support. A bull signal bar and confirmation candle will give us the necessary probability to enter a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio Long.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $40,700
🟥 Stop Loss: $38,500
✅ Take Profit: $45,100
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Breakout from Previous High Support!
2. Bull Channel, Bias to Long.
3. Weekly Resistance Broken! Possible Measured Move Up.
4. $46,000 Measured Move Lines Up With Lifetime Resistance.
5. RSI over 76.00, Bias to Short for the short-term.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Bitcoin Surpasses $45,000 Mark Amidst Altcoin MilestoneBitcoin surged over 6% in the first week of the new year, hitting $45,000 in 2024. This milestone holds significance for altcoins as it marks their highest level in 21 months. The last time BTC reached this level was in April 2022, during a bearish market peak that halted its ascent at $18,200.
Despite the recovery, Bitcoin hasn't breached the $45,259 resistance. This level played a pivotal role as support and resistance in February, March, and April 2022 and continues to act as a barrier. Although BTC briefly surpassed it during trading hours, it retracted and closed below.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains significantly higher than the neutral line in the bullish zone, indicating cryptocurrency's continued momentum. This aligns with the anticipated approval of BTC ETF funds expected to launch in the coming week, likely acting as a catalyst.
Bitcoin's Surge and Jim Cramer's Impact on Market Sentiment Bitcoin (BTC) is on an upward trend, surpassing the weekly supply zone midpoint, signaling a possible continuation. However, recent remarks by CNBC's Jim Cramer added confusion. The market anticipates SEC approval, hinted by a Reuters report between January 2nd and 3rd. This, coupled with FOMO and speculative trading, boosted BTC by 7% on January 7th, breaking the $43,860 USD mark. The breach signifies a potential sustained uptrend, with resistance levels between $40,387 USD and $46,999 USD. The surge led to the liquidation of bearish positions worth $44.43 million USD, challenging the bearish outlook against the growing bullish sentiment.
Bitcoin's key breakout levels and what's next! Jan 2nd 2024 Bitcoin just broke the key resistance level of the mid 44k's establishing a new high of 21 month since April 2022.
The red circles on the chart indicate key breakout levels.
1) June 2023 the price rose above 26,800 with a daily candle close.
2) October 2023 the price rose above 31,400 with a daily candle close.
3) Jan 2024 the price rose above 44,700 with a daily candle close.
The levels are key due to multiple tests to break above which failed every time, indicating price
resistance.
Once a resistance level is passed, the market searches for a new resistance.
Next key technical levels to pass are -
45,800
50,800
54,400
The levels are based on horizontal support/resistance levels stretching back close to 2 years.
Long-term connecting highs and lows show higher highs and higher lows since Jan 2023,
With Bitcoin rising about 250% in the year passed.
RSI shows the price action far from overbought and MACD shows convergence and momentum shift to upside that's fresh - Both indicators show clear "buy" signals as well as the technical breakout above 44,700.
Speculations are that multiple BTC ETF's will be approved by SEC today.
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Do your own research! Trade with caution especially when trading leveraged products!
This is not advice. This is pure market speculation.
Thank you and happy new year everybody :)
"Bitcoin Holds Strong Above $42,000 in 2024"As of now, Bitcoin trades at $42,376 on Binance, maintaining its position above $42,000 into 2024 despite signals of price dips in on-chain data. Recent data shows profit-taking by BTC traders from October to December 31, alongside a surge in BTC supply on exchanges by year-end. Despite mounting selling pressures, Bitcoin remains steady above $42,000 as of January 1. Anticipation around BTC ETF approval near the January 10 deadline continues, with Bitcoin providing consistent monthly gains of nearly 10% for holders amidst various market indicators.
Bitcoin's Consolidation Raises Investor CautionBitcoin's steady climb since early November peaked on December 4th, breaking through the weekly supply zone from $40,387 to $46,999. The pivotal point at $43,860 signals the need for a breakthrough to sustain the upward trend.
However, technical indicators suggest a possible opportunity for investors to wait for a dip before buying, anticipating a 2024 price surge driven by ETF enthusiasm.
Despite Bitcoin being overbought, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains weak, hinting at a potential corrective phase. If RSI breaches 70, confirming overselling, Bitcoin's support from the upward trendline could weaken.
A downside move might push Bitcoin below the $40,387 support level, potentially testing $37,800 in more severe scenarios.
Bitcoin's consolidation reflects investor caution, pondering entry points amid signs of a temporary retreat before a potential future surge linked to ETF speculation in 2024