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Update $BTC ChartDaily chart for BTCUSDT (First of all, this is my own view, that is, it is not a recommendation or advice to buy or sell.) My way of dealing with Bitcoin lately is that I deal with it in stages, once I look at the next stage, and each stage has places of failure and confirmation. For me, Bitcoin still targets higher areas, unless it breaks 26942.82, it fails and then forms a descending wave targeting as shown and the extension is confirmed by breaking through its current high. Let's discuss the next step away whether the price of Bitcoin extends or not. Is Bitcoin still targeting falling price zones? -Yes, it still is. Is Bitcoin currently in the lows of new highs? -Yes, although I would rule it out very much. That's why I said earlier that I deal with Bitcoin in stages and don't skip it until it's confirmed to the other stage. However, Bitcoin is an outright correction both now and if the price is extended. After an explicit correction, there may be a good period for speculation to take advantage of the rebound. When we are sure that the retracement is speculative rally and not a continuation of the bullish wave, simply if breaking the specified areas, it is enough to continue to the next. (Now we return to explain the chart.) If the 25k areas are maintained, it may be positive for Bitcoin, which may continue to target higher numbers than before. If we break it, we'll see the 20k area and then we'll see a beautiful bounce to complete the station to the more important numbers 16k areas, as shown in the chart. The question now is, Will Bitcoin suffice at this place, or will it still fall to the next area? Although I am a supporter of the big relegation to the 9k zones, it is very possible that he formed a bottom to complete the ascent for the next bull run, but we do not deal with emotion whether he will be satisfied or not! We see that as soon as Price Action appears clear and explicit in that area and we see the factors surrounding him having had enough of landing, then we continue to ride the bullish wave with him. However, in such areas, emotion prevails over the trader, so care must be taken. On the chart, it is clear that if the 16k area is not respected, it will fall to 9k, but there are areas that precede it, so it may be enough for any one. Good Luck^
by J_umaa
1
Bitcoin's Graceful Elliott Wave Dance: Dips, Peaks, and Twists!Dive into our captivating Elliott Wave analysis for Bitcoin, as we unravel the complex journey from a staggering $69k peak to a potential dramatic fall. Discover how we navigate the intricate waves, predicting a short-term dip to FWB:25K before surging to $35k-$40k. But brace yourself – we're foreseeing a massive plunge to $3k- FWB:250 as the grand finale! Don't miss this eye-opening forecast and learn how the unfolding 2nd wave could impact your crypto investments. And this is my harmonic analysis it have the same view.
by BREAK-impossible
51
Bitcoin Bulls Still Struggling!Traders, Will this week or next become the moment when BTC bulls take a break and allow the bears to have their neckline retest? We will find out soon. Let's take a look at my chart to explain what must occur. There is one critical level that BTC must remain on top of if these bulls are going to continue this run. Can you spot it? Before I get to what is key for BTC, let's talk about some of the other things happening on the chart here. First, you will notice that black descending trend line. I drew that a couple of weeks ago in anticipation that new pivot highs would not be able to recapture previous pivot hit territory, let alone run higher, before a pullback to our C&H neckline. This, so far, has ended up to be the market's correct trend, descending. April 26 and 27 wick highs simply ended up becoming lower highs, confirming suspected descent. This descent continues today and nothing that I have been predicting for the last 4 (going on 5) weeks now has changed. I am, at this point, still expecting a retest of the C&H neckline at 25,300. If this does not occur now, it will occur later. And that scenario will wreck crypto market bulls completely. I'd much rather see this retest occur sooner than later. And, from a technical perspective, this would indicate lots of future strength and bullish price action to come. But, if we are not going to retest the neckline soon, then there are a few things that I am looking to occur for the bulls to prove to us that they have the strength to take us up to that 36-40k target first. #1. We have to stay above that 50 day ma. A break below would be further confirmation of that neckline retest. #2. We have to either break above that descending black trend line AND/OR form a new pivot high on the daily beating the April 26/27 pivot high. This would simply be an early indicator that the bulls are targeting that 30k resistance again. Although, it's a positive sign for the bulls to be sure, they still must beat and confirm 30k. And until they do so, my neckline retest theory remains in tact. #3. So, number three then, is a move above 30k with confirmation the daily. We must see at least one more, but preferably two, additional candles in succession opening and closing above 30k. That would be our indication that 36-40k is now in the cards. In conclusion, I still believe that 36-40k target will be reached before the end of the year. But my hope is that we can reach that target with healthy market price movement prior to achieving that target. Healthy target price movement constitutes a drawback and touch of that 25,300 level before further ascension and currently that thesis is still being support by current market price action. Best in all your trades, Stew
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by stewdamus
Bitcoin BTC Price Targets after the FOMC meeting this weekThe upcoming FED meeting on May 3rd could cause a further decline in the crypto market due to the potential rate hike and ongoing unease around banking system developments. The outlook for the crypto market after the upcoming FED meeting on May 3rd is bleak. Fears of a deep credit crunch caused by Silicon Valley Bank's collapse have not yet materialized, and the financial situation is much steadier. Additionally, inflation remains elevated, and with evidence of stubbornness in underlying inflation, it could be in the 4% to 5% range, far above the 2% inflation target. The markets are pricing in a 25bp Fed Funds rate hike to 5.25% at the May FOMC meeting, and given the steadiness in financial markets, persistence in price pressures, and continued decent activity, this could contribute to a further downturn in the crypto market. BTC /USDT short Entry Range: $29000 - $30500 Price Target 1: 26600 usd Price Target 2: $25300 Price Target 3: 23200 usd Stop Loss: $33500
Short
by BuySellMarketMaker
Maybe, Maybe Not, Bitcoin 2015 triangle and MM corelating bull.Interesting to see the second impulse print of a long symmetrical triangle pattern in correlation to the MM going bull, last time we saw this was in 2015, both breaking out and resting in similar fashion. Rarely does the MM go green, never has been this green, never been this green with this much of a triangle constriction. --- Those who don't know the MM --- The Mayer Multiple is calculated by dividing the Bitcoin Price by the 200 day moving average of the price. In this adjusted version, I apply a log transform and then a 4-year z-score.
INDEX:BTCUSD
by FederalXBT
Banking Crisis Pushes UpBitcoin Prices!Bitcoin's latest rally was fueled by First Republic Bank (NYSE:FRC) earnings report and federal seizure rumors! In addition, for a long time after the advent of Bitcoin, it is generally believed that it is actually an important tool to hedge against inflation. After many back and forth, this view was tested in 2022. At that time, in order to deal with inflation, the Federal Reserve began the fastest and largest interest rate hike cycle in 40 years, which also helped the price of Bitcoin to rise all the way, all the way up To the current price of around 30,000. Bitcoin Gains From U.S. Banking Crisis From 2020 to 2022, the Federal Reserve's M2 money supply increased by 39%, and all crypto assets are beneficiaries - a historic surge in liquidity has inflated both stocks and cryptocurrency market capitalization, the latter in November 2021 Approaching the 3trillion market capitalization milestone. At that time, the price of Bitcoin reached an all-time high of $67,500. However, Bitcoin has since gone downhill as the Federal Reserve began cutting money to fight inflation. During the transition from QE to QT, the dollar strengthened, and Bitcoin prices weakened with it. And when the Federal Reserve further punctured the cryptocurrency bubble, the situation continued to deteriorate, including Terra and Celsius, to 3AC and FTX. Now, as the holiday cycle draws to a close and the Federal Reserve begins to shake up more vulnerable commercial banks, Bitcoin is picking up steam again. It’s important to note that of the three banks, the collapse of Silvergate was the only one that put negative pressure on the price of Bitcoin. Judging from this incident, Bitcoin is not as a hedge against inflation as initially speculated. More precisely, and now more clearly, Bitcoin is primarily a hedge against currency debasement. More broadly, it is a hedge against the greater instability central banks create through fractional reserve requirements. Under a fractional reserve system, banks hold only a fraction of customer deposits—a stark contrast to the whole concept of Bitcoin, which provides a finite supply of money with a decentralized self-stock that cannot be increased at will. On the bright side, recession is the nemesis of inflation, and the Federal Reserve will enter a cycle of interest rate cuts at this time to stimulate the economy. And in this case, Bitcoin can only benefit. It is bullish on this possibility that Geoff Kendrick, head of digital at Standard Chartered Bank, said on Monday that by the end of 2024, the price of Bitcoin may reach an all-time high of $100,000.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Orca_Jimme
BTC correction starts .. When to expect bounce?BTC / USDT In my previous BTC analysis, I expected the correction to start from 32k-29k which is happening now (check my previous analysis in attachment below ) Are the bulls still in control and when to expect bounce ? Simply, we can say as long as price is closing above 25k key level in high time frames .. Bulls are in control BTC can bounce from any local support levels but the ideal point according to parabolic curve is around 25k (also act as a major support) and my midterm target are 36k-38k In mean while, Dominance of BTC is showing weakness which is good news for altcoins market in coming days but keep watching it for any further update Appreciate your support by rockets and comments Any questions or ideas please share with us ⬇️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Babenski
124
BTC Bitcoin Nothing NEW or out of the norm here if you just kept with the layout you should have done fine. These lines are numbers have not been adjusted these are the SAME SCRIBBLES & NUMBERS I gave you weeks ago. Each one did its job. People can try and round off numbers all the want, but it often makes you miss your bids, my random numbers calculated here worked out really well according to the charts for everyone even gave you entries and exits during the few days of chop if you wanted to scalp it and play with leverage etc. IF we can stay above $29.5k right now that will open the doors to HIGHER and make this move much more certain. Below $29.5k and i would immediately watch for and short (not F/A) if you wanted to $27.9k line.
by rarebreed29
BTC LONGHello Guys. I hope you are fine!, here I will tell you my opinion in Bitcoin Price if you are interested then you are welcome to use it. my opinion that we go to 25500$/28000$/30000$ and then back to 20000$ or 19000$. that we touch 20000$ and 19000$ is 90% (I want to say 100% but since in technical analysis 100% is funny because you don't know what will happen 100%, that's why I say 90% 😜) because we have CME gap but unfortunately how high we go I can't say exactly which but you can 25500-28000-30000, keep an eye on it. Thank you and stay healthy!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SteaIth
Bitcoin | Head and Shoulders Well, well, well, look who's got their head in the game and their shoulders above the rest! You've spotted the head and shoulders pattern on the chart, and now you're ready to shoulder your way to success! After closely analyzing a chart, you noticed a distinct pattern that caught your attention: the head and shoulders pattern. This technical analysis pattern is characterized by a peak (the "head") that is flanked by two smaller peaks on either side (the "shoulders"), creating a visual shape that resembles a human head and shoulders. The pattern is often seen as a sign of a trend reversal, and can be used by traders to make informed decisions about buying and selling. By identifying this pattern on the chart, you have gained valuable insight into the market and can use it to inform your investment strategy. While technical analysis patterns can be a useful tool for traders, there are also risks involved. Here are some potential risks of trading patterns: False signals: Technical patterns can sometimes generate false signals, which can lead to incorrect trading decisions. For example, a pattern may appear to be forming but then fails to materialize, or a pattern may appear to indicate a certain trend but then reverses unexpectedly. Over-reliance on patterns: Relying too heavily on technical patterns can lead traders to overlook other important market factors, such as economic indicators, company news, and geopolitical events. It's important to consider a variety of factors when making trading decisions. Limited information: Patterns are based solely on historical price and volume data, which may not provide a complete picture of the market. Traders may miss out on important contextual information that could impact their trades. Market volatility: Markets can be volatile, and patterns may not always hold up in such conditions. Traders need to be prepared for sudden shifts in the market that could disrupt their trades. Emotional biases: Trading patterns can sometimes trigger emotional responses in traders, such as greed or fear, which can lead to poor decision-making. It's important to stay objective and rational when analyzing patterns and making trades. Overall, while trading patterns can be a useful tool for traders, it's important to approach them with a critical eye and to consider a variety of factors when making trading decisions.
Short
by xuk1
Bitcoin's Correlation to Tech Stocks About to Change?The above chart shows the correlation between Bitcoin ( BTC ) and the Nasdaq 100 ETF ( QQQ ). The correlation between these two is the highest ever . See the chart below for a closer look. For the stats nerds out there, here are the current correlation values between BTC and QQQ (as measured by using monthly closing prices with a 20-period look back): r value is 0.936, r-squared is 0.7916, p value is 0. This extreme correlation between Bitcoin and the Nasdaq 100 is unlikely to last much longer. Correlations between assets tend to oscillate over time. Therefore, this extremely positive correlation is likely to oscillate down soon, which will have the effect of weakening the correlation between Bitcoin and Nasdaq 100, or in a more drastic scenario, turn the positive correlation into a negative one. If the correlation between BTC and QQQ does in fact weaken or turn negative, then it must also be true that both assets cannot continue their strong rallies at the same time. So we're left with an important question: Which asset will outperform the other if the perfect positive correlation ends? We can use a ratio chart to extrapolate the answer: the BTC/QQQ ratio chart. So let's look at that chart. In the chart above, we see the price of Bitcoin on the left and Bitcoin's performance relative to QQQ on the right. We can see that even though Bitcoin has been on a bull run, it has already rolled over to the downside relative to the performance of QQQ. When we look at the Stochastic RSI oscillator, as shown in the chart below, we see confirmation that Bitcoin is potentially beginning to oscillate back down relative to its performance to QQQ on the weekly chart. However, look at what happens when we examine the monthly chart. The exact opposite appears to be true. (See the chart below) In the monthly chart of BTC/QQQ, Bitcoin is just beginning a major oscillation up. What we're probably seeing is the monthly candle of BTC/QQQ creating a lower wick, which is why it appears that the weekly BTC/QQQ chart is oscillating down. If we zoom out even further -- to the quarterly (or 3-month) chart -- we see even further confirmation that Bitcoin is set to outperform the Nasdaq 100. (See the chart below) In the chart above we see a perfect log growth curve of Bitcoin relative to the Nasdaq 100, with bullish reversal candlesticks beginning to form on the quarterly timeframe. We also see the Stochastic RSI ready to oscillate back up, meaning Bitcoin is poised to begin a period of outperformance relative to tech stocks on the higher timeframes. Other charts lead us to a similar conclusion. In the yearly chart of QQQ/SPY, shown below, we see that the Nasdaq 100 is set to underperform the S&P 500 for the long term. This suggests that the current rally in the Nasdaq 100 stocks is potentially a bull trap or a lower timeframe counter-trend. As the Nasdaq 100 is set to begin to underperform the S&P 500, the S&P 500 itself is showing downward momentum on its yearly chart. If this downward momentum sustains to the close of 2023, it will mark an incredibly rare, and also quite bearish, signal for both indices. These, and other, higher timeframe charts are explained in more depth in my post below about the coming period of stagflation. In summary, virtually all of the higher timeframe charts indicate that the period of limitless monetary easing is over, and we've entered into a new supercycle wherein the price of money will remain some degree higher. So it seems that Bitcoin continues to win. As the stock market indices break out and create what time will likely prove to be another bull trap, Bitcoin is likely on a path toward more sustained bullishness than equities. In the face of stagflation, equities suffer from both a declining money supply (as the central banks fight inflation) and declining productivity. Although Bitcoin is not immune to similar declines, its perpetual scarcity may provide a unique tailwind during the coming period of stagflation.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by SpyMasterTrades
54