5-week pull back just started on BITCOIN! When and where to buy!Well you can't say you weren't aware that today's red candle was coming. All the signals were there and I tried to put them into context for you:
Either with the 1D RSI
- or -
The 1D MA200
Today is no different and I have another indication showing why I am waiting to buy more lower ahead of the new bull cycle.
On the 1W (weekly) chart, the RSI reached 58.000 every single time following the bottom of the bear cycle. Each time that happened, it aggressively pulled back. In 2012 by -47% and in 2015 by -37%. Since the sequence is descending I expect a slightly less this time.
What is even more important is that the RSI rebounded around 44.500 in 2012 and 41.000 in 2015. Practically this tells us where to buy when the current pull back is completed. It is worth mentioning that the duration of both pull backs was 5 weeks.
The combination of the above is telling me roughly when and where to buy again.
Bear Cycle's bottom ---> Weekly RSI to 58.000 ---> Pull back ---> New Bull Cycle
Do you agree? I welcome every opinion, especially opposite ones, on the comment section for a heated discussion!
See my two recent studies that were an early signal of today's price drop:
Btctrading
Yet Another Great Shitcoin For Quick Profit - MDA/BTCWe see the global Triangle formed on this awesome coin's price. It's new, we see nice volume entered and left during autumn of 2018. Now, using Fixed Horizontal Volume, we see obvious volume accumulated near the bottom line of triangle, that can't be avoided by experienced trader.
BUY ZONE : 20600-21200
Why here? Bottom line of the triangle, huge horizontal volume, 38.2 Fibo Level of previous growth. Awesome enter point.
STOP : 20577 agressive, 20469 safe
Use second one if you wanna insure from local price punctures
TAKE1 : 22488 - first Fibo level (78.6), short-term
TAKE2 : 23857 - second Fibo level (61.8) + triangle top line + strong horizontal line - THIS TAKE PROFIT LEVEL IS OPTIMAL
Breaking TAKE2 we'd break the triangle up and come into the new growth phase with huge possible profit. Would advice you, guys, to set up 3-5% trailing stop after that and let this rocket go :)
How To Always Be Ahead Of The Crowd?
Entered this trade with my premium subcribers at 20600-20700 zone some time before. Wanna join for FREE? Type me in Telegram @DenisSmalianyi or send mail to cryptohacks.pro@gmail.com and I'll give you a one week trial for free
Is $100,000 possible for Bitcoin before the next Halving?Although the Fibonacci Channel says it is, since the price is currently on the support, Bitcoin's historic price action shows that the parabolic curve will continue to dictate the direction, until it breaks (either way) or becomes asymptotic. We can't yet confirm those scenarios.
What we can confirm is the behavior before each Halving. Halvings tend to initiate new bull markets on BTC with parabolic growth. Before those the price accumulates and distributes, the phase we most likely are in today.
What we can also evaluate is the decelerating rate on both the Highs and Lows. So I assume that the next High will again have a lower growth rate than the previous one (thus extending the curved pattern), which makes me believe that $100,000 is not possible for Bitcoin before the next (3rd) Halving. It can be achieved though by late 2021.
Let me know what you think in the comment section!
See another similar study based on the RSI:
The argument based on the Fibonacci Channel:
Update: $BTC is Going Back to 7K! Here is Why...This my update from my latest BTC update (you can get it here: ).
I wanted to do it in a higher time frame which is 4HR and before was 1HR. As the boxes is not relevant right now but the RSI level and 2 others indicators are looking pretty bullish sign at the very moment. Including the price action supporting so.
There will be a 40:30:30 for my bullish:bearish:side way (ranging 6200 - 6600 in couple of days/weeks as this chart stay valid), at the moment I see that we might probably heading towards 7K because of the first is majority of the market really glad if we're doing so and there are a lot of positive sentiments lately that indicates and supporting this might happen. We'll see it at the end of this month by the way. Will re-asses my chart if it's get invalidated by bearish momentum, if we just break 6200 - 5800, it will be quite down ward for me.
On top of all, the bearish sign coming actually from the market maker, which are having a lot of of this holding / fiat to moving the market up and down, and there are tendencies moving the market down. Even tho there are actually those market makers who can make the price going up, but they just don't want to risk it all since they also get beaten by another market makers probably, so it's better for them to watch from the sideline and waiting for the trend change. It's safer than betting against the market.
It's already a month after our a dead cat bounce crawling from the bottom to the top of 7200-7400 and then dumped so well back to 6100 in a matter of second. This is what I'm defining as market makers (:
So, trade safe! Support me by follow, likes and sharing this idea. Cheerio!
Test of the symmetrical triangleEarlier I posted about the formation of this symmetrical triangle. As of right now we are trading on the .236 and the edge of that triangle. Failure to support at this level will result in $6000 possibly $5300. I find this rather difficult to believe it will happen. This trend has been very strong. That mixed with the thin Ichi cloud approaching makes me lean slightly bullish. Best option is to not have any positions open.
Bitcoin about to surge up, retracement before going long!BITFINEX:BTCUSD
Past Trend
Bitcoin has finally passed through the bearish market and is now in the clear for a bull run, the entire crypto market as of now is seeing green across the board for the second time within a 7 day time frame. Bitcoin has also crossed all 3 moving average time frames that which I typically use (25,50 & 100 periods). This is all extremely positive indications for Bitcoin - indicating that the bearish run from the highs of 24th July 2018 has finally ended and that it is time to start looking for long positions in the market.
Price Targets
We should be looking for Bitcoin to retrace to the ~$6400 range before entering a long position for the ride up to the next Fibonacci level ($7260), a solid 11.52% from the intended entry level of $6479.9. Do keep in mind that resistance will be encountered on the wave up at the $6794.4 range (indicated by the red rectangle).
RSI
RSI is currently sitting at the 67.59 mark - right below the overbought level. Thus validating the retracement to the ~$6400 levels before our 5th wave up to the intended price target of $7260. We can also suspect that RSI levels might bounce off the RSI high of July 17th 2018 (4 Hour chart) when heading into wave 5.
Wedge
Price broke out of the wedge to the resistance levels of $6794.4 and we should expect there to be some resistance continuing forward in the market. Price could retrace back within the wedge before making another attempt on the ceiling, before breaking up toward the ~$7200 range.
Momentum
As of now, Trix is looking highly favourable for a long position having all four averages having crossed the baseline into an uptrend momentum range. Keep in mind the wedge surrounding the averages, having formed from the low of 18th August 2018. We can expect momentum to slow down temporarily over the next 2 days whilst ramping up to take out resistance at the ~$6800 level.
Elliott Waves
Price action has completed wave 3 within the past 4 hours and we should expect wave 4 back down to the ~$6400 range over the next 2 days before continuing back upward. Wave 5 should take us to the $7260 mark before retracement and sideways movement in an ABC pattern.
Things to keep in mind
Price could continue moving up (then wait for next retracement down before entering position).
Otherwise
Entry - $6470
Price Target 1 - $6794.40 | %4.37 | (Fibonacci level 1)
Price Target 2 - $7260 | %11.57 | (Fibonacci level 2)
Overview
Bitcoin looks like it's about to embark on its bullish run for the first time in a month, which could be the beginning of the way back to $20,000 (fingers crossed). Look to enter after the retracement, either when it is back down to the ~$6400 range, or after it has moved up further and retraced (unlikely).
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ElNOIV
BTC- Go ZoneHello cryptobabies, welcome to today's amazing analysis. The correction came in at a low of 8659. I had limit orders set at 8659 with two different exchanges and am sitting nicely. The descending wedge broke out and BTC has now definitely finished retracing the 4th wave and as planned in 5th wave right now. As you can see the 5th wave will itself comprise five 2 smaller subsets of waves. On the 15 min chart we have subwave 3 ending at the conservative side of the 1:1 Fib level. The confidence in getting to $10k sits with the stability and progress of the Elliott waves. If the posted high for the 3rd subwave surpasses the $9500 then an even more optimistic target can be assumed. BTC is currently in a textbook rally and bulls are gaining traction in market cap volumes and trade. Getting in at any price under $10k will soon become the motive to buy more BTC and so on. If have seen a few alternative bear analyses but its all fluff and always sitting in a no trade zone. Anyways good luck with it all out there, and take care.
BTC - Busting down the doorHello cryptoheads, whats up? I told you I would call back when the correction is near complete so here we are. The wave count has come in text book style with nice symmetry and evenly spaced pivots. As expected the correction will not be deep and is hovering the .382 Fib line. We are still waiting for a fifth and final subwave down to complete the wave series and the descending triangle. Once complete we should see a breakout on the upside and on the path to $10000. There is no mistake there will be a fifth wave up.
On the whole being conservative I would say BTC will be testing 75% of the ATH price by end of june. There are many bullish aspects to the market and it will continue to recover.
BTC it not as bad as it looks.....the only way is upBTC First let me start by saying that some dire warnings made by so called experts are just nonsense and there is nothing technically that should warrant doomsday predictions. Yes the market is downtrending and coming up to some critical levels but they are normal cycles. BTC is a pure fintech product dynamically existing in the market. The 5 wave count up to $10000 is actuallystill in play. We are still in wave C and correction of wave 1 and its looking like there is some support at $7800 and a C wave will normally will hit the 1.618 fib level sitting at $7600. The problem here is while it should support if it shatters through then there is little support until we get to $6000. I think it is not probable as BTC does not let you buy at the very low twice in a matter of 2 months. There are 2 possibilities from and here they are. Firstly the bullish scenario....Wave C will not extend and be exhausted at the $7600-$7800 zone. The more it acts as a support and keeps touching as time goes the more likely it will bounce as the bears will have tested it and run out of steam. We are sitting on the golden pocket zone of (.65) of wave 1 and usually acts as a support for the Wave 2 retracement. A move up to $8500 (61.8 fib) will confirm Wave 3 of the primary wave count is forming. If there is a doji on the current 4hr a possible reversal can occur. Also a break above the channel is a positive move upwards. Secondly the bearish scenario, the levels hit the purple line and Wave C extends shattering through to the yellow long established support line which we have to respect. However, it gets to the yellow support line watch for a bounce or further drops to the next support at $6000 are possible. This can move quickly and if it hits the bearish zones and drops the bounce will also be quick so I suggest you make your mind up if you want to buy the dip and set some auto buys. Chins up and happy trading.
BTCUSD - Bitcoin Forecast - Bitcoin Boy Bull Wonder!?Looking towards the indicators there is a change in the momentum, in favour of the bulls, lets take a look at the 1hr chart.
The 1hr chart is speaking of bullish wonders, we can see a nice little bull flag formed, momentum show us that the bulls are regaining control and we have just ticked into the positive zone.
It is however IMPORTANT to remember that we are still in a bearish market, any buys at these prices will be attempting to call a bottom, and should be considered HIGH RISK.
The safer buy will always be once the market has confirmed that the bear trend has ended, however lower risk, lower reward.
With all that said the market is looking healthy and unless we are faced with some FUD or a Tether collapse, we should keep ticking higher until we test the top of the trend channel again.
Feel free to discuss my trade ideas with me on Discord . Safe trades.
Bitcoin BEARS still in control - How low will she go?Hello friends, Bitcoin didn’t waste any time confirming my previous analysis. Prices pushed pass $8400 and quickly rose, however the price action was no good and we quickly retested $8400.
This does not come as a big surprise as we know the 1week candles still show massive bearish pressure on the market, as well as the confirmation of the longer term down trend line.
The bulls did a good job, but as we can clearly see there is more work to be done. The support at $8000 is failing now and at $7800 we will see the newb traders selling their $8400+ bags at a loss on the way down.
Remember that the trend is our friend and we will trade accordingly. I thought we had a nice diamond bottom forming and a good chance of a reversal.
However my support zones didn’t hold and it shows that the bulls are in for another beating.
Support is around $6000 for me on this drop, but I will keep some dry powder for the $4000 – $5000 zones, longer term speaking. Lets be patient and see what the market does.
We have a massive bullish divergence on the longer term chart, which will cause a massive price surge to the moon side. This could be anytime from now till April by my best guess.
Feel free to come and ask our advice on Discord . Safe trades.