Bitcoin Season! BTC Dominance triple bottomBitcoin Dominance has just found a very Bullish Pattern, a Triple Bottom. I would expect BTC to potentially break the All Time high within the next 1 month, before correcting again down to the 44k level 1 last time. And then we may be in for a big long run up!
Gotta Love Bitcoin Season, because it precedes Altcoin Season, another very fortunate time. I call the previous, "Bitcoin Season", although there really is no term for it. We used to think every 4 years, BTC would knock everybodies socks off and steeply incline, but that seems to be lengthening from 4 years to potentially up to 6 years (Jan, 2024). We won't know until it happens, although there is data suggesting this.
I have talked about this before - having measured distances of random points in a 4 year halving cycle on Bitcoin (BTC halves every 4 years, meaning its production of new Bitcoin is cut in half, essentially limiting the supply(. When I measured, I only had a couple data points, but I came up with numbers between a 1.6x to 1.66x increase. This is how I predicted the bottom of the current BTC decline to be early-mid October. And how I came up with Jan 2024 for the actual peak.
Altcoin Season happens after people pour their money back into BTC. It's almost like a slingshot affect, BTC springing up high, Alts dropping to lowest prices - prices here referred to each coins cost in Bitcoin. To see this, check out your favorite Alt/BTC chart. Then, during incline, Alts start staggering behind. When Bitcoin Peaks - we see the Alts rapidly accelerating, and when BTC crashes - the Alts just take over. They didn't peak until May 2018, 6 months after Bitcoins crash! Those who traded were rewarded, as Tron - an example - gained 7000% on Bitcoin. A lucky trader would have made 70x more Bitcoin!!
Excited for the coming seasons - although I do think we will have to wait for the actual peak.
Btcd
How to Use the Bitcoin Dominance Chart to Maximize ProfitsIn this post, I'll be explaining a simple approach to the cryptocurrency market, and how you can refer to the Bitcoin Dominance Chart (BTC.D) to maximize profits.
Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. This is for educational and entertainment purposes only. I am not responsible for the profits or loss generated from your investments. Trade and invest at your own risk.
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)
- Bitcoin Dominance is simply an indicator that demonstrates the percentage of Bitcoin's market cap relative to the entire market cap.
- When Bitcoin dominance is high, it indicates that Bitcoin's market cap is relatively larger compared to that of other altcoins, and vice versa.
- So when Bitcoin dominance rises, it could either indicate that:
- Bitcoin is rising at a faster pace than altcoins (during an uptrend)
- Altcoins are correcting at a faster pace than Bitcoin (during a downtrend).
- Vice versa, a drop in Bitcoin dominance could indicate that:
- Bitcoin is dropping at a faster pace than altcoins (during a downtrend)
- Or that altcoins are rising at a faster pace than Bitcoin (during an uptrend).
- Understanding this, you can refer to the Bitcoin dominance chart to rebalance your portfolio according to market situations.
Historical Price Action
- Above, I've marked Bitcoin's price action (black), relative to that of ETH (blue), which represents the overall altcoin market.
- The captions in the chart best explain the logic behind the price action, and how dominance is affected by it.
- What's important to understand is that the situation is relative: a high dominance does not necessarily indicate that buying altcoins is a good idea.
- It's important to understand the overall market cycle and structure to determine which regions are good entries.
Anatomy of a Market Cycle
- Above, we have the market cycle explained using Elliott Waves.
- The market never moves in straight lines: It goes through phases of impulse waves, and corrective waves.
- Elliott Waves also have very strict rules that must be kept.
- Or else, the wave count is considered negated.
- Here are the rules:
- Waves 1,3 and 5 are always with the trend
- Waves 2,4 are always against the trend
- Wave 2 can never drop below wave 1’s low
- Wave 3 can never be the smallest wave
- Wave 4 can never drop into the range of wave 2 (unless it is part of a diagonal)
- With this in mind, we can now take a look at where Bitcoin is, from the larger wave count.
Bitcoin Market Cycle using Elliott Waves
- We can start counting the wave from $3.1k, when Bitcoin bottomed out around the end of 2018
- Based on this wave count, it could be said that the move up to $64k was the end of the 3rd impulse wave.
- We have recently completed the 4th corrective wave, and are on our way to complete the 5th impulse wave.
- As to why I have selected the $200k region and June 2022 as my price and time period target, please refer to my previous analysis below:
Conclusion
Bitcoin dominance is currently forming a double bottom on the weekly. With Bitcoin's wave count lining up for an impulse move upwards, I expect Bitcoin to rally upwards, outperforming other altcoins in the short-mid term. As Bitcoin paves way for the entire crypto market cap by breaking through all time high levels in Q4, we could see Bitcoin dominance reach resistance around the 60-70% range. At that point, given that the broader market cycle isn't over, it would be a good point adjust your portfolio, and scale profits from Bitcoin into altcoins for maximum returns.
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BTC 4h AnalisysWe see some interesting bards last days, also BTC is doing a doble top on fib. 1
Has the force to break up and give us some easy earnings?
My only concern is the volumen, i dont see enought volume to break it, but in that case, the closer support is $46900
Related analysis:
2- Tasa BTD.D nice insights
3- Grayscake btc holdings (GBTCD) seems to be restoring the confidence
As always please, if you have some feedback i would be super appreciated, im stilll learning.
Thanks community !
BTC.D DOMINANCEdump coming for BTC.D and some pump coming for alts that not pumped yet .....................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
BTC dominance showing bullish moves coming! (Technical analysis)BTC dominance is already very low; but interestingly, in the weekly timeframes, it shows bullish divergence move on 3 different oscillators!
Historically, BTC made a bullish move between 23%-65% after these signals.
So in my technical analysis, BTC probably kickstarts another bull run in October & it will last until the end of the year.
BTC.D DominanceDont sell your Alts , FUCKING MOON coming 😏 .............................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Bitcoin Dominance - Double Tops or Double Bottoms?I see two possible directions from here, green arrows up or red arrows down to same ATL or a new ATL and then green arrows up. Red arrows down gives us a short lived altseason (weeks), unless we get below 30s and then we could last a bit longer. Or, we get a double bottom right now and BTC starts to gain its dominance back quickly.
BTC.D Dominancepump coming so dump coming for Alts , blooooood...........................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................
Bitcoin Dominance BTC.D - Descending channel- This is my technical analysis for BTC.D - as you can see, we are currently breaking out of the descending channel.
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