Bitcoin’s Next Big Move: New Highs in 2025 After Key Breakout?Alright, we’re entering a critical new phase for Bitcoin. I never thought I’d be saying this, but it’s looking like new all-time highs could be on the horizon for 2025. We’re now targeting prices between $102,972 and $118,256. With the newly elected president showing strong support for cryptocurrency, these targets don’t seem unrealistic.
If we look back at the weekly chart, Bitcoin recently completed a massive Cup and Handle pattern, pushing it effortlessly past its target of $75,021.83 and setting new all-time highs. The price has surged above the key yellow trendline—a level that’s historically been a major resistance point, rejecting Bitcoin multiple times.
However, while Bitcoin’s breakout is impressive, history suggests it won’t be a smooth ride to the top. We previously expected this weekly candle to close below the trendline, and although it has managed to push past it, a pullback still seems likely. Bitcoin could dip to around $48,072.11 before resuming its upward trajectory. Pullbacks are normal, even healthy, in strong trends, allowing the market to consolidate before another leg up.
The recent rally happened rapidly, fueled by a surge in buying momentum once Bitcoin broke through its resistance. This kind of bullish activity is typical when key levels are breached, as traders and investors pile in. But without a proper pullback to establish new support, these gains could be at risk.
The broader market optimism, bolstered by political events, has also played a role. Bitcoin, acting as both a hedge and a speculative asset, thrives when investors are in a risk-on mood. But to sustain these highs, we’ll need to see continued market strength and solid support forming along the way.
So, keep these target levels in mind. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to hit that like button. Let’s see how this unfolds 2025 could be a big year for Bitcoin!
BTC-D
Whether it can be supported near 90375.2 is the key
(Title)
Whether it can be supported near 90375.2 is the key
(Some of the big picture content has been modified)
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
BW(100) indicator (90375.2) has risen above.
Accordingly, the 90375.2 point is likely to be an important support and resistance point.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it can be supported near 90375.2 and rise above 3.14 (93570.28).
If not, we need to check if it is supported around 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0).
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If StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is likely to fall.
Since StochRSI EMA has never touched 100 so far, the downward pressure will increase as it approaches 100.
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This volatility period is until November 20.
Therefore, we need to check in which direction it deviates from the 87.8K-93.5K range and maintains it after this volatility period.
The target range is around 3.618 (98841.11).
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I have talked about the big picture below several times.
Since we touched the target range of 81K-95K that I mentioned earlier, I'm going to make some corrections to the explanation in the big picture.
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I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015 and has been rising.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support or resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Incoming $BTC correction back to $72k-66kBTC has had an impressive run. I got long right before the last leg higher pre election. BTC overshot my target by $6k, but the idea still remains that the FWB:83K -86k is the important resistance and I think we break back below $86k and then start a correction lower.
Everyone is extremely bullish here. Coinbase is the #1 app in the app store again and while I still believe there's 3-5 days left in this move higher, I think a correction is coming and so it's time to be defensive instead of take more risk.
With alts, I think many will end up below people's entries as I think most people went long alts in the past week or two. I think many alts during this move will correct 40-60%.
Therefore, I'll be exiting all of my BTC and altcoin exposure over the coming days with anticipation that I'll be able to buy back my bags much lower over the coming weeks.
If i'm wrong and I miss another move higher, so be it, but all the signs are there that this move is exhausted.
If I am right, then I think you'll want to have cash to buy this dip because this will be the last large dip before BTC and altcoins explode higher.
TOTAL Cryptocurrencies: Global Market Indicator and AnalysisAccording to my theory, we are witnessing a crypto market growth cycle with a growth phase of 35 months and a correction phase of 13 weeks. I expect the crypto market to continue to grow until November 1, 2025, driven by the arrival of large investment funds and corporations behind blockchain technology as well as tokenization. The RWA sector is at a nascent stage and trillions of assets will be tokenized and used for fast transactions, ease of transfers, 24-hour accessibility and transparency. In addition, the arrival of institutional investors via ETFs should not be overlooked. Today, BlackRock owns over 470k BINANCE:BTCUSDT and is unlikely to stop. BYBIT:ETHUSDT is undervalued, BINANCE:SOLUSDT shows the very availability of cryptocurrency for everyone on the planet. Memesession is actually testing the Solana network for its suitability for massadoption. Staying bearish regarding the cryptocurrency market looks like ignoring the internet in the early 2000s. Focus on the RWA direction, a large number of projects are about to show parabolic growth!
Horban Brothers.
BTCUSD: When its Overbought, this is when you should buy more.Bitcoin has again turned overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 77.715, MACD = 6007.800, ADX = 49.688) as the price crossed over the top (LH) of the Triangle pattern that had us consolidating for the past 3 days. The 1D RSI is already over the R1 level and that should cause the bullish breakout of the price to accelerate. This breakout happened after the 1H MA100 was tested 3 times and held. As long as it keeps holding, we expect Bitcoin to target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 97,000) of the previous LH.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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BTC/GOLD looking strongBTC/GOLD is starting to break out of it's inverted head & shoulders continuation pattern that's been setting up for over 3 years now. If this breaks out we could see the BTC/GOLD ratio run to as high as 130:1. This coincides with my COINBASE:BTCUSD analysis that should BTC running to as high as $300,000.
I would like to see $85k before $118k Look, you guys are morons. You are all full porting bitcoin right here so despite the logical next move being $85k i think its possible the demand is simply too strong and we must go straight up. However being rational, every star in the sky has aligned for a retest to 85k.
If we can go to 85k it will sufficiently reset the RSI to such a level that the spring will be insane, i think we will cross 100k so easily it won't even have much resistance.
Logically, i think we go to 85k, but irrationally i think bottom could already be in because the demand is simply too strong. Let's see how hyped everyone is.
BTC - Casually following last year trend ?Since a couple of months I'm just copy pasting chart from what happened the year before,
I updated and deleted the red path from my post here :
and added the blue path that BTC seems to follow nicely
btw its same energy than last year : overbought on RSI but we dont give a fk and we go higher
that blue path says that we can touch 100K before EOY, nice no ? will try to catch the swing if it happens !
then it seems to follow more the green target, still can't say we're we ending for this bull run but I think not below 180K
not financial advice
Cheers
Flipping Options: A Bearish Signal for Bitcoin?
I'm not a psychic, and I don't have a crystal ball, but here's what I clearly see and can share with you: for several days now, there’s been a flow of options at the 100,000 strike changing hands.
What's crucial is that this option series still has 14 days left before expiration, and there's a high probability it could go in the money, meaning it could exceed the 100,000 mark.
However, these options are being flipped, locking in profits, which suggests that traders aren't expecting further upside or don't believe in it.
The 'strong hands' are selling to the 'weak hands,' indicating that sentiment isn't favoring further growth.
The bottom line : Bitcoin's upward momentum is either facing or has already encountered some serious headwinds.
It's unlikely that we’ll hit 100,000, and if we do, it might just act as a ceiling for any near-term growth
Data Source: CME
ADA Surges After Hoskinson Confirms Partnership with TrumpCharles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, is now set to join Trump team, and the market is responding with enthusiasm. Charles Hoskinson, the visionary founder of Cardano, is officially stepping into a pivotal role within Trump administration, fueling excitement across the crypto market. This groundbreaking partnership is being hailed as a game-changer, positioning Cardano at the forefront of regulatory innovation and blockchain adoption in the United States.
The market is already reacting, with ADA surging as confidence grows in its potential to secure mainstream adoption and institutional backing. Analysts are speculating that this bold move could propel ADA well beyond its previous highs, potentially setting the stage for it to reach unprecedented levels in this market cycle. Could $22 be within reach? The momentum suggests it’s entirely possible.
BINANCE:BTCUSD COINBASE:BTCUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD
Alt-season? Bitcoin BTC Dominance past cycles behavior analysis The best way to spot an altseason is looking at the Bitcoin BTC Dominance graph.
On this analysis, of the behavior of the Bitcoin BTC Dominance, I spotted in the graph , what happened on the last two cycles, 2017 and 2021, looking back to the 2013 BTC price top.
In the analysis I spotted three types of events:
All Time High (ATH)
Cycle Bottom
Attempts to break the past cycle's ATH
This brought me some interesting "coincidences" that leads to some insightful predictions.
My conclusion, so far, is that an All Time High breakout is a very important moment to the possible alt season beginning. One thing that should be considered is that the current cycle has some different characteristics as, probably in detail, all of them have. This means that maybe it could take some more time to the alt season start, as it did for the ATH be finally broken.
One thing I did'n mention in the video is that the BTC dominance has broken a theoretical downtrend line. That said, considering the end of the year calendar change that is a mentally important moment, I wouldn't be surprised if the altseason waits till January to pick up.
To be continued...