BTC-D
BTC Next Targets $100K ?BTCUSDT Technical analysis update
BTC's price has formed an ascending triangle pattern on the 1H chart and is now moving toward a breakout at the triangle's resistance. The 100 EMA acts as strong support for the ascending triangle. If the breakout occurs, the price could reach $100k in the coming days.
#BTC 2H. Ascending triangle & trend continuation. 11/19/24Earlier, the price formed an "ascending triangle" pattern—a continuation pattern that occurs when the price gradually forms a series of higher lows while the upper boundary (resistance) remains flat or slightly rising. This signals a narrowing range and potential further growth. And I warned you about this in advance! (By the way, which of your traders describes patterns this thoroughly?). But that’s not the point now.
According to technical analysis theory, if the price breaks out of the ascending triangle pattern, its movement usually matches the height of the pattern, measured from the base to the peak. If we follow the idea that the movement after the breakout equals the pattern's height, Bitcoin’s price could reach the $100,000 level. And honestly, why not?
At the same time, earlier this week, the market was in a "bullish" trend, meaning prices were rising. By the close of trading on the CME exchange on Friday, the price was around ~$92,000. I assume this price will become an important reference point (including a support level) that the price will aim for in the near future.
This Has Only Happened Once BeforeBitcoin "priced" in US Dollars (ie the number of Dollars you can trade for 1 Bitcoin divided by 1 Bitcoin but leaving the number 1 in the denominator invisible as a stupid stone aged esoteric shenanigan used to make you forget about the role of currencies in the taxation and control of your everyday life) has only simultaneously met these 2 conditions twice in Bitcoin's existence: 1. The current value of Dy/Dx of its SMA50(SMA50(SMA50 Weekly Close)) and 2. Reaching the upper bound of the macro trend of the deviation of the Weekly Close from this smoothed long term MA as measured by the Weekly Close/Thrice Smoothed MA.
This could indicate that Bitcoin USD is pushing on major resistance and is due for a major contraction or consolidation before moving higher and completing the cycle within the next year.
Considering where we are in the economic cycle, with the Bond Market mimicking 2007 and 1953 or 58, stocks overvalued when adjusted for currency manipulation, and the yield curve un-inverting while retail confidence is at all time highs, perhaps we should take a moment to introduce a bit of caution into our analysis.
Bitcoin can exit from pennant and rise to new ATH (98K points)Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price rose from 75750 points to 81000 points and then made a little correction. After this, the price made a strong impulse up to the 87700 support level. Also then price started to trades inside the pennant, where it later broke the 87700 level and then tried to grow more, but failed and some time traded between this level. Then BTC bounced from the buyer zone and rose to the resistance line of the pennant, after which at once turned around and made a correction back to the buyer zone. Next, prices not long time traded in this area and later continued to move up inside the pennant. Soon, the price reached the support line of this pattern, and continued to move up near this line and some time later BTC rebounded from this line to the resistance line. A not long time ago, the price turned around and made a small correction, after which in a short time, it backed up. At the moment, the price trades near the resistance line of the pennant. So, I think that BTC can fall to the support line and then rebound up higher than the resistance line, thereby exiting from the pennant pattern. Also, I expect that then price will continue to grow, therefore I set my TP at 98K points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BERT/USDT 1H Memecoin play with some strong numbers and community:
- FWB:69M MarketCap
- $42.5m 24h volume (61% Vol/Mcap)
- 100% of max supply (980M) in circulation. (Self-reported)
- Solana chain
Currently not yet listed on Binance or Coinbase but there are rumours that it may be listed soon which would bring a lot more potential buyers to the coin.
For memcoins technical analysis is less important but can still tell a story. The current range shows a clear resistance at 0.75 and a support at 0.25.
The diagonal resistance breakout coupled with the bullish divergence already printed indicating a bullish reversal the TA looks good currently.
Memes are risky and unpredictable so DYOR
My Sentiment indicator gave a wrong signal? (PAID Indicator)market was sideways and i think it sensed it correctly.. but it add the charm when you add 9EMA or 20 EMA...
question : did it give a wrong signal?
Let’s break it down. The exit happened when the price moved out of the green background zone, transitioning into the neutral charting color, typically indicating a lack of momentum. However, we then saw a big green candle, which brought some momentum back. The indicator, thinking the trend could continue, generated a buy signal. But in the very next candle, the price started falling.
so basically when there is no red/green background it means sideways, where momentum, volume is lacking in the trend.
This is the first time I’ve noticed such behavior—a buy signal followed immediately by a downturn. Interestingly, this happened right at the top, where the market essentially trapped traders.
What do you think went wrong? This is why I sometimes incorporate the 9 EMA for exit or 20 EMA for additional confirmation like if price can be bullish again or change momentum. For example, if the market is above the 20 EMA, it generally signals bullishness.
However, I use the 9 EMA in my indicator as an exit signal to maximize profits and ensure timely exits.
Bitcoin Approaching Upper Channel Resistancehello guys.
Ascending Channel: Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined ascending channel, with support and resistance levels marked by parallel lines.
Upper Resistance Zone: The price is nearing the upper boundary of the channel around $95,784, which may act as strong resistance.
Bullish Momentum: The trend is bullish as Bitcoin has consistently followed the channel upwards, respecting both support and resistance levels.
Potential Pullback: If Bitcoin faces resistance at the upper channel, a pullback towards the midline or lower boundary is possible.
Target: If the price breaks above the upper boundary, Bitcoin could see a further bullish extension around $95,784. However, rejection at this level could signal a temporary correction.
BTCUSD at 100k. And then what?Sharing an idea about Bitcoin and its potential further path.
Let me know if you agree or not.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD EASYMARKETS:BTCUSD
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US ELECTION DAY The day is finally here. The world is watching but most importantly the crypto market is watching too. Trump still leads the Polymarket forecast and IMO opinion that would lead into the next phase of the Bullrun, breaking out of the 8 month downtrend and complete the bullflag continuation pattern.
If the Democrats win I could see a delay in proceedings, a flush toward the range midpoint after panic before regaining some form of stability going into Q1 2025. In the past no matter who has run America BTC does still see progress, I do think that progress will come quicker with a Republican victory.
I'm expecting volatility as always in such a big news release, a release that will overshadow what is normally the most important data release with the FOMC that takes place 2 days away. I would think that this time around it will be less important and a 25bps cut is near enough confirmed anyway.
Good luck out there fellow traders!
BTC at $98K: Counting Down to $100K!Bitcoin is on the verge of a historic milestone, currently trading around $98,000 – and I’m celebrating a bit early because we’re just a stone's throw away from $100,000! 🌟
📈 BTC's Journey to 6 Figures
From humble beginnings in 2009 to becoming a trillion-dollar asset, Bitcoin's growth has been fueled by technological innovation, global adoption, and its status as digital gold.
Key levels along the way: MIL:1K , $10k, $50k – and now approaching $100k!
🌐 The Broader Impact
This milestone isn't just about numbers; it represents Bitcoin's growing legitimacy in traditional finance, its adoption as a store of value, and its integration into global markets.
💬 What’s Next for Bitcoin?
Could this be the start of another bullish phase, or is it time to consolidate?
Let’s discuss potential scenarios and key levels to watch.
🚀 To the moon and beyond!
Let’s celebrate this iconic moment together (a little early).
Share your thoughts, charts, and ideas below! 💬👇
GBPJPY Analysis And Next Market Move Pair Name = GBPJPY
Timeframe = 4H
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
GBPJPY is completing the retesting period. After this expecting a good breakout. In this breakout GBPJPY can hit the massive target of price 200+
Bullish Target :-
200.000
200.500
CYCLE4 | Halving Cycle MapperQuick post to demonstrate indicator looking at DCA positions to enter into the bear market and out of the bull market zones. Below 'Cheat Sheet' summary developed based on prior cycle mapping posts and historic reviews of Cycle 1 to 3 for BTC.
Brief structure
* Bull Market Start: 40W post Halving
* Bull Market End: 80W post Halving
* Bear Market (Start DCA Positions): 135W post Halving
DCA Entres (including 135W from halving) = x5 @ 12 weekly intervals
BITCOIN: Money on Your Screen? Turn It Into Real Gains at $100K!"Money on your screen won't feed your family." This simple truth serves as a reminder to lock in some short- or mid-term profits. Imho, the price range between $95,000 and $105,000 presents a solid opportunity to take some gains off the table.
For long-term holders, your target prices might be far beyond imagination, but technically, this area offers an optimal spot to secure some profits. At the very least, consider taking partial profits here. Yes, the price could continue climbing, but remember: "Reward yourself and ground your expectations."
Technical Criteria Supporting This Zone:
1. The psychological round number $100,000. A long-anticipated milestone and natural profit-taking level.
2. Channel projection – This method suggests optimal areas for profit-taking, especially when there is minimal or non-historical price action on the left side of the chart.
3. Equal waves within the channel are also indicated inside the green box.
Taking profits isn’t about abandoning the trade; it’s about rewarding yourself for making smart decisions and reducing risk. Prices at these levels are high.
Summary:
Locking in profits in the $95,000–$105,000 range is both technically justified and psychologically wise. This zone aligns with key technical criteria, including the psychological $100,000 level, channel projections, and equal wave measurements. Partial profit-taking ensures you reward yourself while staying grounded, even if the market has more upside potential.
Regards,
Vaido
BTC thesis with RAG AI by Titan_KarmaThe current investment thesis for Bitcoin (BTC) indicates a strong bullish sentiment, with the price recently reaching $97,400. Given the recent news highlighting the potential for Bitcoin to approach the $100,000 mark, traders are advised to maintain their LONG positions. However, caution is warranted due to profit-taking activities and the possibility of increased market volatility.
Incorporating the last open long price of $97,071.99, it is essential to monitor market indicators closely. The current trading volume of approximately 25,514 suggests active participation, but the mixed long-short ratios indicate a divided sentiment among traders. This necessitates a careful approach to trading decisions, particularly in setting stop-loss orders to safeguard profits.
coinglass_data: Real-time data from Coinglass shows that open interest is increasing, indicating growing market participation. The weighted funding rate remains neutral, suggesting no immediate pressure on either side. Liquidation levels are being monitored closely, as sudden price movements could trigger significant liquidations.
Expert Consultation: Market experts are currently bullish on Bitcoin, with many suggesting that the upward momentum could continue if key support levels hold. Analysts recommend watching for any signs of reversal, particularly if the price approaches resistance levels.
coinmarketcap_data: According to CoinMarketCap, the market cap for Bitcoin is robust, with a liquidity score indicating healthy trading conditions. The recent candlestick patterns suggest bullish continuation, but traders should remain vigilant for potential pullbacks.
sentiment: Sentiment analysis from Augmento.ai indicates a predominantly positive outlook among traders, with many expressing confidence in Bitcoin's upward trajectory. However, caution is advised as sentiment can shift rapidly in response to market news.
binance_data: Technical indicators from TradingView reveal that the volatility index is elevated, and order book dynamics show significant buy walls at current levels. Price action signals indicate a potential for breakout, but traders should be prepared for possible corrections.
In summary, while the bullish trend is evident, it is crucial to implement risk management strategies, including setting appropriate stop-loss levels to protect gains. The historical performance of Bitcoin suggests that maintaining a disciplined approach will be key to navigating the current market conditions effectively.
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
json { "OUTCOME": "HOLD_BUY", "STOP_LOSS": "$95,000.00", "TAKE_PROFIT": "$100,000.00", "CONFIDENCE_LEVEL": "85%", "EXIT_POINT": "$98,000.00", "ENTRY_CRITERIA": { "TIMEFRAME": "1h", "RSI": "above 80", "MACD": "above 0" }, "CURRENT_OPEN_LONG_POSITIONS": 11, "CURRENT_OPEN_SHORT_POSITIONS": 0 }
BITCOIN rally cant get caught anymore and SPXRUT ratio shows whyIt's beyond doubt now that Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has started the new Parabolic Rally (PR), technically the most aggressive phase of the Bull Cycle. We've made numerous analyses in the past explaining on time why we expected this break-out to take place after 7 months of accumulation.
What we bring to you today is the SPX/RUT ratio, the correlation of the S&P500 (SPX) and Russell 2000 (RUT) indices against BTC and how it confirms that this rally will now accelerate to a pace that it won't be easy to get caught (i.e. bought).
The SPX/RUT ratio is displayed by the blue trend-line. The ratio is particularly helpful during Bitcoin's Parabolic Rally phase as their correlation is mostly a negative one, meaning when the ratio falls, Bitcoin rises. On this chart, this correlation is present on a cyclical basis. This means that during every Cycle, it displays a behavioral pattern that is common.
The key characteristic here is the Lower Highs pattern that the ratio forms every Cycle around the Halving time. As you can see, when SPX/RUT peaks (red circle) and starts forming Lower Highs, Bitcoin stars its Parabolic Rally (green arc). On the 1st Lower High, BTC's rally is already underway and has entered the stage where due to the sheer buying pressure and aggression, getting an entry is difficult. The Lower Highs on SPX/RUT also signify a shift from big capitalization stocks to low, i.e. an increasing appetite for riskier assets and that transcends to the Bitcoin market as well.
So what do you think? Does the SPX/RUT ratio indicate that we've started the part of BTC's rally that is hard to catch? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC to100K: Riding the Bullish Breakout with Strong FundamentalsBTC is currently showing strong bullish momentum, with both technical and fundamental factors in alignment. The trade aims to capitalize on this momentum towards the 100K level, with a cautious eye on potential selling pressure. Pay attention to the consolidation range, as further upward movement could solidify BTC’s path to the target.
Technical Overview:
• Trend: We are in a strong bullish trend, trading well above the 200MA, indicating sustained upward momentum.
• Breakout & Retest: Recently, BTC saw a breakout and a successful retest, reinforcing this trend.
• Range Consolidation: Currently consolidating within a range, with a low at 85K and a high at 93K. I’ve taken a mid-range entry to capitalize on any upward movement within this channel.
• Plan: If sellers aggressively push the price above the 85K level, I will consider reentry opportunities aligned with price action.
Fundamental Drivers:
1. Global Adoption & Regulation: The Fed’s constructive stance on digital assets, combined with increasing demand and institutional adoption, is supporting BTC’s upward trajectory.
2. Economic Conditions: As inflation and interest rates remain focal points, Bitcoin is being viewed as an inflation hedge. Additionally, El Salvador’s adoption of BTC as legal tender is adding to the credibility and mainstream adoption of cryptocurrency.
3. Bitcoin ETF: The SEC’s positive outlook on a BTC-based ETF is expected to boost demand and further legitimize BTC within traditional financial markets.
4. Geopolitical Factors: War-driven demand, potential sanctions on Russian money, and global financial uncertainty are all fueling demand for BTC as a decentralized, safe-haven asset.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
ALT Season incoming $BCH $EOS $LTC $BCH $XRPIn the last month i saw a lot of volume in the very old Altcoins that everybody forgot incoming, like EOS, IOTA, DGB, LTC and a good Alt Season indicator is the BCH Pump. So here we go in the weekly view we wait for a breakout with volumen and with no retest ideal, but in sum good altcoin times are coming soon.
GL & HF
$BTC parabolic move will continue!Two years ago, we confirmed the #Bitcoin bottom in November 2022!
There was a 528.58% increase from the December 2018 bottom to November 2020.
There was a 529.81% increase from the November 2022 bottom to November 2024 and it is still continuing.
Therefore, we witnessed a mega bull process for #btc and #altcoins with a closing and retest in December 2020 above the 2017 local peak.
Today, a one-month closing and retest has been completed as of November 2024, above 69k, which is the local peak of November 2021.
An exciting process begins for #Alts and #BTC
Going to 102KToday, guys we show you the longest and shortest our charts.
First one is a monthly time frame, and it shows strategical targets, and the nearest one is 102K. Pay attention that price is coming to historical record of overbought level. This combination significantly increases the retracement chances once 102K target will be reached.
Still, on 1H chart BTC accurately completed our 98K target - butterfly and 3-Drive patterns.
Although downside retracement here is also possible, thus minimal butterfly target is 3/8 pullback to 96.50K area.
But we do not expect that retracement will become more extended. The attractiveness and magic of 100K level strongly acts on the minds of investors, so by all efforts BTC will tend to touch 100K area
$BTC Why You Should Be Accumulating Crypto NowBased on 2018-2020 data, 0.786 is a common retracement area for BTC after a bull run.
Near EOY of 2017, when BTC rose to around $19,700, we saw a retracement to $3,100. This area is under 0.786 Retracement of $4330.
In July 2019, when BTC rose to around $13,900 from $3,100, we saw a retracement to $3,850. This area is under 0.786 Retracement of $5420.
Near EOY of 2021, when BTC rose to ATM of $69,000, we are now seeing a retracement under 0.786 Retracement of $17,800.
What does this mean?
As many know, we are currently not in a bull market.
We have seen an over 75% drop from ATH of $69,000, which may indicate a reversal for the market in the very near future.
The shift from a bear to a bull market is coming soon.
History suggests that now is a great time to accumulate crypto for discount prices while others are hesitant.
CYCLE 4 | Realised Price Oscillator & Overlay - DETAILEDThis post is intended to be used with an earlier interactive companion post, crated to observe BTC's interactions in prior cycles so we can take learnings into cycle 4 with respect to BTC's under and over extensions of the calculated Realised Price.
A quick refresher - What is Realized Price?
Source: www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com
"Bitcoin Realized Price is the value of all bitcoins at the price they were last transacted on-chain, divided by the number of bitcoins in circulation. This gives us the ‘average cost basis’ at which all bitcoins were purchased, which is another way of describing Realized Price."
The above relationships have been incorporated into the Overlay and Oscillator indicators developed for this post to use into DCA accumulation and sell strategies.
Historic Observations
As per the above prior post, we see BTC enters a cycle topping and bottom phase when BTC's 'Realised Price' enters the top red and bottom green over extended regions of the normalised Oscillator and the Red and Blue Extension lines of the Overlay indicators.
We see historically the Oscillator shows the region where price moves with high volatility and other indicators that rely on divergence can extended much further than in other periods in the cycle before a true change in trend is achieved. In 2021 Overlay indicator (RED Line) was breached many times before we put in a significant trend change and the ultimate cycle top was realised at the second peak interestingly at the lower 'Purple' extension line November of that year.
CYCLE 4 Update
Where are we now according to the Realised Price Overlay and Oscillator indicators... Based on historic review of BTC relationship suggests we are about to enter the parabolic region of this cycles (Oscillator is about to enter into the 'RED' zone and Overlay indicator has breached the Purple line and is between the Red and Purple line).
Interestingly this relationship aligns with our cycle mapping posts, looking at BTC historic behavior since cycle bottoms and tops and BTC price targets based on Fibonacci extensions.
CYCLE 4 | Realised Price Oscillator & OverlayThis post is intended as an interactive companion post with a 'to follow' detail post for historic analysis.
I want to explore the relationship with BTC and Realised Price, and historically where we have seen cycle over bought and sold regions based on extensions from calculated realised price values.
What is Realized Price?
Source: www.bitcoinmagazinepro.com
"Bitcoin Realized Price is the value of all bitcoins at the price they were last transacted on-chain, divided by the number of bitcoins in circulation. This gives us the ‘average cost basis’ at which all bitcoins were purchased, which is another way of describing Realized Price."
The above relationships have been incorporated into the Overlay and Oscillator indicators developed for this post to use into DCA accumulation and sell strategies.
I will follow this post with a zoomed version for detailed discussion.
