Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach?Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach?
Bitcoin continues its impressive rally toward the psychological barrier of $100,000, driven by both fundamental and psychological factors. The rise in its value is supported by growing adoption, institutional investments, positive market sentiment, and key developments within the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
Adoption and Acceptance
Bitcoin’s growing acceptance by businesses, financial institutions, and individual users is increasing its utility and value. As more entities begin to accept bitcoin as a form of payment, demand naturally rises, solidifying its position as a viable medium of exchange.
Institutional Investments
One of the primary drivers of bitcoin’s growth is the involvement of large institutional investors such as hedge funds, investment firms, and corporations. Their entry into the market significantly boosts liquidity and builds confidence in the cryptocurrency, attracting smaller retail investors in the process.
Planned Regulatory Changes and Strategic Reserves
Future President Donald Trump’s proposals to establish strategic reserves in bitcoin and introduce cryptocurrency-friendly regulations could be game-changing for the market. Such measures are likely to attract new market participants, driving demand and increasing bitcoin’s value.
Media and Market Sentiment
Positive media coverage, endorsements from influential figures, and expert analyses play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment. Media narratives have a substantial impact on perception and can amplify investor interest, fueling price increases.
Technological Improvements
Advancements in blockchain technology and updates to the bitcoin network are improving its efficiency, security, and scalability. These innovations make bitcoin more appealing as an investment asset, contributing to its rising value.
Macroeconomic Factors
Global economic uncertainty, inflation, and the weakening of traditional fiat currencies are pushing investors toward alternative assets. Often referred to as “digital gold,” bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a hedge against currency devaluation and a reliable store of value.
The 2024 Halving
This year, bitcoin underwent another halving – the process that reduces the reward for mining new blocks by half. This reduction in new supply, coupled with sustained or growing demand, has historically led to price increases, and the current cycle appears to be following a similar trajectory.
Infrastructure Growth and ETFs
The cryptocurrency market’s infrastructure is rapidly evolving, making bitcoin more accessible than ever. The growth of exchanges, cryptocurrency wallets, and inflows into bitcoin-based ETFs are driving demand and strengthening the market.
Seasonality and an Unstoppable Trend
Seasonality is also working in bitcoin’s favor. Historically, the final months of the year often see strong performance in the cryptocurrency market. The current upward trend seems difficult to halt, and breaking through the $100,000 level appears to be only a matter of time.
Conclusion
Bitcoin remains one of the most dynamic assets on the market, drawing interest from institutional and retail investors alike. The combination of fundamental, technological, and macroeconomic factors suggests that the rally toward $100,000 could not only materialize but also set the stage for further gains.
Will bitcoin surpass this symbolic threshold, or are there still hurdles ahead? Share your thoughts in the comments.
BTC-D
ETH One Final DropLooking at one final drop to the .618 golden pocket.
Daily - Hidden Bearish divergence RSI/MACD at the 0.886 retracement. RSI looking like it wants to double bottom to form bullish divergence at the ~2100 area. Also a trendline that needs to be retested to better form a massive pennant structure that will ultimately lead ETH to new record highs after this flush.
Possible Top for BTC/ETHI can see a possible top on the BTC vs ETH chart. It has clearly gone up alot and if you combine that with the divergence on the RSI + BTC Dominance about to fall the possibility for this to happen gets stronger!
This means that Ethereum is about to go for a run and if that happens alot of projects based on ETH will have a big rally.
Btc currently retesting top trendline of rising wedge/pennantIt now has 3 consecutive candles above the rising wedge on the daily chart. Should the retest maintain support the breakout target for the entire pennant is 117k. Should the top trendline of the wedge lose support the wedge could still potentially breakdown, in which case we could then see bitcoin correct further to try and fill this gap on the CME BItcon futures chart before resuming the uptrend —->
For now probability favors the break upward until we lose the top trendline of the wedge/pennant as support. Jim Cramer announcing he’s bullish on bitcoin could easily cause enough downside to change that probability though. *not financial advice*
Bitcoin’s CME futures gap gives a clue for the 1st big correctonAnytime you see a gap in price action like this they almost always get filled, and typically get filled sooner than later. So while there is a chance bitcoin could turn the current mild retracement into a deeper pullback that goes down to fill this gap, until the current support on btc is broken, which is the top trendline of the rising wedge it now currently has 3 consecutive daily candles above(not shown here), I think it’s more probable that bitcoin waits for a much more powerful resistance line that results in a much stronger rejection before it corrects back down far enough to fill this gap. If the current pullback doesn’t lead to the gap fill then my guess is once we retest the top green trendline of this group of channels:
That this would be the perfect time to have our first significant correction of the current parabolic phase of the bull market. I will be prepared for either zone to have a chance to fill that gap and plan accordingly, Also a few measured move targets around the 115 - 116k range so a pullback could potentially occur around that zone as well. *not financial advice*
LINK Breaks Macro Downtrend, How High Could This Bad Boy Go?*Opinion*: Out of all the cyrptocurrencies, I have long been a believer in Chainlink's fundamental potential in regards to it's utility. It has been one of the most manipulated and suppressed assets, and I believe it is criminally undervalued.
The real kicker here is not just WHAT it does, but WHOM it helps. Big banks control the world and LINK helps big banks connect to the digital future of finance. Big fundamental play here.
Bearish flag pattern on BTC!?This time BTC is little confusing... It has to complete its weekly bull flag pattern target, but now its performing bearish flag pattern on 4hr chart. This thows that soon BTC will come to retest its support level of 72,000. Right now there are two possiblity that it can break the channel or it will continue the channel.
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XRPUSD 📊 Technical Analysis and Trading Signal for XRPUSD by AhmadArz:
🔍 Entry Point:
Breakout Confirmation: $1.132
The breakout from the symmetrical triangle pattern on the 1-hour chart suggests a strong upward momentum, indicating the potential for a 250% profit if the trend continues as forecasted.
🛑 Stop Loss:
Level: $0.9738
Place the stop loss slightly below the breakout zone to minimize risk, ensuring that if the price reverses, losses remain controlled.
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
1️⃣ TP1: $2.200 (Initial resistance level)
2️⃣ TP2: $3.000 (Key psychological resistance)
3️⃣ TP3: $4.000 (Potential extended target for the 250% profit)
🧠 Analysis Overview:
The symmetrical triangle breakout on the XRP/USD chart signifies renewed bullish momentum in the market.
Volume Analysis: The breakout is accompanied by a sharp increase in volume, confirming the strength of the upward move.
RSI: Current RSI levels suggest room for further upside before entering overbought territory.
Trend Strength: With higher highs and higher lows forming, the trend indicates strong bullish market sentiment.
📉 Additional Notes:
Traders should monitor how XRP behaves near the $1.500 level, as this will determine whether the breakout continues.
The upward projection is based on historical support and resistance zones, coupled with a high risk-to-reward ratio.
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BTCUSDT - Altseason Gains Momentum as Dominance Drops!Bitcoin is facing significant psychological resistance in the $100,000 area, with the chart showing signs of consolidation just below this mark, indicating that the market is waiting for a catalyst to break out or pull back.
BTC dominance, which recently fell from 58%, reflects a possible rotation of capital into altcoins, suggesting the beginning of an altseason. During such periods, altcoins tend to see significant gains against BTC, especially if Bitcoin continues to range below resistance.
In the short term, Fibonacci points to levels like $97,000 and $93,000 acting as support, while a break above $100,000 could pave the way for targets like $103,000 and $110,000. The Stochastic RSI is hovering near the overbought region, indicating a possible correction before a new high.
TIA/USDT 4H Celestia is a project that has a lot of potential this Bullrun, we saw an early surge in the beginning of the year once the project was released nearly one year ago. A modular blockchain network, first of its kind is an exciting new technology and we've seen how well new projects do during their first Bullrun often outperforming their older rivals.
I would like to see the bullish pennant formation playing out now. The bearish downtrend breakout caused by a republican victory results in a breakout & retest of the BULLISH OB as new support. Now a bullish pennant has formed midway up the mini range, normally this is a continuation pattern and with the bullish narrative in play I think it's probable we see this pattern play out fully with the resulting rally hitting resistance around the $6 mark (BEARISH OB).
IF deciding to take the trade once the parameters are met a conservative 2.25R trade is in play , once the first TP is hit the larger SL can be moved to Break Even . I do believe that TIA continues to move beyond the $6 mark however there is a lot of resistance there for now. A separate trade outlook will be needed to tackle that area.
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in short-term !!The price is currently in an symmetrical triangle, which means that if the triangle breaks on either side, the price can move in that direction. So, wait for the breakout.
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC 100k is not enough- Believe it or not.
- There's nothing at 100k.
- the trend would not be respected.
- i was here when BTC broke 10k$ for the first time.
- At that time, most traders called for a top and scared.
- BTC didn't care and went straight up to 20k$..
- i see only 3 Scenarios.
1 : Orange : BTC retrace soon, then it will delay time, then ATH will be 220-240k.
2 : Green : BTC goes to 150k, retrace to 161.8, and make a second Top around 220-240k.
3 : Red : BTC go straight to 150k$ then dip and struggle. ( i doubt on that way ).
- As always, this only my humble prediction and opinion.
- Everything can happens with FA. ( war, crises, stop internet.)
- More it will take time, more up BTC will go.
Stay S4fe
Happy Tr4Ding !
Bitcoin 2024-2025 TOPBitcoin’s market behavior follows a cyclical structure that revolves around the halving events. These halvings reduce the mining reward, creating a supply shock that typically leads to higher prices in subsequent bull runs.
Historical Patterns
Halving to Market Top (Bull Run):
Historically, market tops occur within 1-1.5 years after halvings.
Example:
2013 Halving → Peak in late 2013 (approx. 370 days post-halving).
2016 Halving → Peak in late 2017 (525 days post-halving).
2020 Halving → Double top in 2021 (343 days to the first top, 553 days to the second top).
Market Top to Bottom (Bear Market):
The bear market usually lasts around 364 days after the peak.
After this, Bitcoin enters a consolidation phase before starting a new uptrend.
Bottom to Top:
The time from a market bottom to the next top is remarkably consistent at 1057 days across multiple cycles.
Observations:
Bitcoin has shown a repetitive pattern of growth phases followed by corrections.
The length of each cycle (measured in weeks) shows that the timing between major events is relatively stable, making it possible to predict future milestones with some accuracy.
2. Predictions for 2024–2025
The chart provides specific projections for the current Bitcoin cycle based on historical data:
Next Potential Market Top:
First Peak:
Speculated for January 6, 2024, or March 24, 2024.
This mirrors the 2021 double-top cycle, where the first peak occurred ~343 days after the halving.
Second Peak (All-Time High):
Expected on September 15, 2024.
This corresponds to a potential double-top pattern, with the second peak occurring 539 days after the halving (similar to the 2021 cycle).
Price Targets:
While specific price targets aren’t marked on the chart, it seems to imply:
A potential move toward $100,000+ in the first peak (consistent with prior cycle growth rates).
A possible retracement before reaching the second peak (all-time high).
3. Key Timelines
The chart highlights several critical time intervals:
Top-to-Bottom: ~364 days.
Bottom-to-Top: ~1057 days.
Halving-to-Peak: 1–1.5 years (~343–525 days depending on the top).
Current Cycle Timelines:
Bottom: Marked in late 2022 (~$15,000).
Next Halving: Scheduled for April 2024.
Next Top (Bull Cycle Peak):
Estimated for late 2024.
4. Double-Top Scenario
The chart predicts a possible double-top structure in the next cycle:
First Top:
Occurs early in the cycle (Q1 2024).
Price may surge rapidly but face a correction before the second peak.
Second Top:
A new all-time high expected in Q3-Q4 2024.
This mirrors the 2021 cycle where Bitcoin hit ~$65,000 in April, corrected to ~$29,000, and reached ~$69,000 in November.
5. RSI Insights
The RSI (Relative Strength Index) at the bottom indicates Bitcoin’s current momentum:
An RSI above 70 suggests an overbought condition, implying potential short-term corrections.
However, in previous cycles, sustained RSI in the overbought zone often coincided with parabolic price movements during bull runs.
Expect significant pullbacks after major peaks, providing re-entry opportunities.
Conclusion
The chart uses historical consistency in Bitcoin’s price cycles to project future movements. While no prediction is guaranteed, Bitcoin’s cyclical nature and the reliability of its halving-driven supply dynamics provide strong reasoning for these forecasts. If the cycle plays out similarly, 2024-2025 could bring significant opportunities for long-term holders and traders alike.
ETHUSD - Monthly RSI Ready to Extend Ethereum's Monthly RSI compared to BTC's shows a non extended state and I expect the RSI to move up towards the green circle.
I think a lot of money will flow from BTC's large current move into smaller coins, the largest of the smaller ones being ETHUSD.
ETH will lead the altcoin market run.
Bullish
Monthly chart
Cardano ADA - 200D SMA Bull Regime DetectionTo view script:
Understanding the chart
Bullish Regime:
The price is currently above the 200D SMA, indicating a bullish regime and a regime duration of 16 bars.
Strong Momentum:
Large distance from price to both SMAs (119.62% and 141.38%) suggests powerful upward momentum
Historical Price Action
Long Bear Market (2022-2023):
Extended period below 200 SMA
Multiple failed attempts to break above
Declining 200 SMA indicating strong bearish trend
Accumulation Phase (Mid-2023):
Price consolidated around 200 SMA
Reduced volatility
Built base for current move
Recent Breakout:
Clean break above 200D SMA
Sharp increase in volume and momentum