BTC/USD Short: FibCloud Rejection and 200MA TargetOn the 8-hour BTC/USD timeframe, I have executed a short position following a clear rejection from the FibCloud, signaling strong resistance at this level. The price action showcases a classic flip of old support into new resistance, further solidifying bearish momentum.
My target for this trade is the $90,000 price zone, aligning with the 200MA on the 8-hour chart. Additionally, order flow data confirms significant sell-side activity, with large orders clustered between the $90,000 and $89,000 levels, providing further confluence for this setup.
The trade is structured to capitalize on the retracement move, with the potential for price consolidation or reversal upon hitting the $90K psychological and technical support zone.
Technicals:
• Entry Trigger: Rejection from FibCloud and resistance flip.
• Target: $90,000 (aligned with the 200MA and key order flow levels).
• Stop Loss: Positioned above the FibCloud to mitigate risk.
• Order Flow Insight: Large sell orders between $90,000–$89,000 add weight to the bearish scenario.
This setup emphasizes a disciplined approach to risk management, leveraging technical and order flow alignment for optimal execution. Stay sharp, and remember to pay yourself!
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
BTC-D
BTC ONE MORE DIP THEN UPI don't believe the correction is over.
Probabilities suggest a 20% correction is likely.
This coincides with significant trend line retest + Value area high of impulse wave + fractal from previous bear market.
85-89k BTC is coming.
Don't say I did not warn you.
I will buy the dip in alt coins.
BTC will fill CME GAP at around 77KWe're seeing some wild swings in Bitcoin's price, and I'm calling it: this isn't just the market doing its thing. I mean, where's all the BTC on exchanges? It's like there's none left, and the prices are shooting up to levels that Wall Street boys would think twice about jumping into.
This smells like big-time manipulation by the heavy hitters, like those hedge fund giants and the exchanges themselves. They've got the power to make the market dance, and with so little Bitcoin floating around, every move they make has an outsized impact. It's like they're playing with a loaded deck.
I'm not saying I've got the smoking gun, but the signs are there. When you see prices that don't match the supply, you gotta wonder, right? Are we just pawns in their game, or is there something else at play?
Let's keep our eyes peeled, because if this is manipulation, it's on a whole new level. What do you guys think? Am I onto something, or am I just seeing shadows?
Remember, this is speculative based on what we're observing in the market, and while manipulation is a concern, it's one among many factors influencing crypto prices.
Whats your thouhts?
FISUSDT Is With Good VolumeFIS is a cryptocurrency token that powers StaFi, a protocol for trading staked assets as derivatives. StaFi operates on the Ethereum platform and uses a DAO structure to decentralize control and distribute security responsibility across multiple stakeholders
Currently buyers are Taking interest in this Strong Project. Expecting 200 % + Gain in this Move.
Overall Market is taking breath but FIS is still getting good volume.
ATCryptoScan: BTCUSD upside target in mid-Dec, what's next?Previously marked that BTCUSD would make a Mid-Dec 2024 top, at about 107K.
Happened 17 Dec as previously marked!
DONE and checked sweetly.
This was folllowed by an a large bearish marubozu candlestick downwards which broke back into the decision box, indicating that it would go out the other side. And it did, just yesterday, but it rebounded within the day to end off back in the box with a dragonfly doj i like candlestick... this is a bullish indication.
Thing is, technicals are bearish, including the modified VolDiv (dotted line, lower panel) which shows some weakening; and includes a MACD crossdown.
Waiting to see if the supports are going to break.
Am expecting it to break down... Previously downside target 75,000
But tendency for over estimates for downside in a bull run, so the new moderated downside target is 88,000 at the end of 2024.
BTCUSD is looking for a nice bullishs start to 2025...
Watch for it.
$TOTAL Crypto Market Cap Signals End of CorrectionCALLING IT NOW 🚨
THAT WAS THE BOTTOM OF THE DIP 💯
✅ Bounced beautifully off the 50DMA
✅ RSI is fully reset to when the Trump Pump started
✅ Volume has turned bullish to signal trend reversal
✅ The Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap needs to stay above 3.2 - 3.3T
Some clustered days around this region will signal even more strength.
🚀 3.6 - 3.7T reclaims bullish trend.
SANTA CLAUS IS COMING TO TOWN 🎅
What's next for BTC? Will the correction go lower?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the situation of BTC, which has currently had a -15% price correction. This is a natural correction in the growth cycle, and what's more, much larger corrections at 20% or 30% levels often appeared in bull cycles.
Let's start with how the price moved in the local growth trend channel, in which we can see how dynamically we went down to the lower zone of the channel, which translated into a further drop in price reaching the support level at $ 91,712. In such a situation, it should be taken into account that very often leaving the channel gives a movement close to the channel height, which could cause the BTC price to drop to the support level at $ 84,072.
If the current rebound from the level of around $92,000 ends the current correction, however, here we see how the level of $95,004 poses effective resistance for the price, only when it is broken again will it go further to the area of $101,000, and then again move towards the strong resistance zone from $106,000 to $108,000. On the RSI, taking into account the 12H interval, we have a visible descent with crossing the lower limit, which in previous situations gave rise to renewed price increases.
What a Daily BTC Update looks like Thank you for reading my post! I appreciate the time you have taken to stop by, please leave me a comment.
Every day for nearly 10 years, I have updated BTC in the various groups I have owned or worked for.
Follow as I post them here for the next 7 days!
BTC UPDATE 21/12/2024
BTC has shown resilience, bouncing successfully in the current region with a successful retest, indicating strong buying interest. However, we’re not out of the woods yet—the market remains cautious, and confirmation is still needed for the next bullish leg.
Key Weekly Pivot to Watch: $100,831
The weekly pivot at $100,831 is the critical level to reclaim.
A close above this pivot would signal renewed bullish momentum and confirm the bounce as more than a relief rally. There may still be one more retest in the lower region, but a more condensed corrective pattern would reflect the support as holding.
Scenarios to Prepare For
Bullish Case: Close Above $100,831
A weekly close above this pivot could open the door to:
Testing resistance zones around $105K to $108K.
Reaffirming BTC’s macro uptrend and restoring market confidence.
Bearish Case: Failure to Close Above $100,831
If BTC fails to hold or close above this region:
Expect a potential revisit to support around $95K to $94K.
Increased sell pressure could lead to deeper retracements, possibly targeting $85K as a more substantial support zone.
Key Indicators to Monitor
Watch RSI and MACD for signs of overbought or oversold conditions near key levels.
Volume: A strong breakout above $100,831 should be accompanied by increasing volume, signalling conviction from buyers.
Daily and Weekly Candle Closes: Focus on higher timeframes (daily and weekly) for confirmation of direction.
Momentum Indicators: Watch RSI and MACD for signs of overbought or oversold conditions near key levels.
EIGEN TREND CORRCTION CHANNEL (UPDATE)so in the analysis i made few days ago (or yesterday idk) on BINANCE:EIGENUSDT we we had a channel that wad broken from below and you could"ve opened your position from the channel brakeout or the grenn line i specified though to be honest channel brakeout candle was too big only time frame you could have opened postion was 15 and in my opinion it was too risky with current status of the market but with the green line it was a lot safer to open your position and even better and smaller SL if you managed to open a position on BINANCE:EIGENUSDT i would suggest to close it fully or saving your profits yeah that"s IT i would really be thankful of any of you that supports me if the support is enough i would be more productive thanks to all of you 😘
BTCUSD is holding its MA50 (1d). Bullish!Bitcoin touched the MA50 (1d) today and immediately rebounded, making a strong statement of how important of a support level that is.
The last time it hit the MA50 was on October 11th.
The pull back resembles March 20th from Bitcoin's last major rally, which rebounded and hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 105000 (the 0.786 Fib).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) patterns of the current correction and March's are virtually identical and in fact today it hit the exact same Support leve (46.50) it had when the price rebounded on March 19th.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
BITCOIN 1month RSI showing the Bull Cycle is far from over.Bitcoin / BTCUSD has had a pull back this week but that shouldn't cloud your long term outlook.
That remains bullish and even more so on the 1month chart where the RSI turning flat is a sign that the parabolic rally has only just begun.
The 1month RSI is trading inside a Channel Down since the very first trading day and with this week's sideways turning, it remains under the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
This suggests that relative to past Cycles, we may be on a similar stage as February 2017 and January 2013.
Both took 10 months until their Cycles topped.
This shows that we can stay bullish until at least September 2025 or if the RSI hits the top of the Channel Down first.
Take all the above into consideration and start taking profits in September the latest.
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If bitcoin will not reclaim 100K, this will matter!#bitcoin #btc price' s dump has been proceeding as i revealed in my previous ideas. (See my prev. posts). Now, 100K is the bearish retest zone for CRYPTOCAP:BTC . if #btcusd declines at or below 100K usd, there' ll be a serious trouble. Not financial advice.
Bitcoin DominanceMaximum suffering is nearing completion for #alts
While the major correction that occurred in #Bitcoin recently will cause a major upward phase for CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , it will also be left behind as a healthy RETEST for the supply zone lost on a monthly basis and the rising wedge.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance confirms retest for retracement on monthly basis heikin ashi candles!
$OTHERS Alts Catching A Bid vs $BTCEveryone kicking themselves for not taking profits on Alts because they’re almost back to where they were before this whole run up when Trump won 😭
Today, Alts dumped to just 10% above their ₿itcoin pairs.
Lesson Here:
If you're gonna trade Alts, make sure to continuously take profits back into CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Good News:
the market looks to be bidding Alts > BTC rn on this dip, signaling Alt Season around the corner 💯
Notice RSI, Ascending Volume and Bullish Hammer 🚀
BTC Faces Significant Selling Pressure from Long-Term HoldersBitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) has faced intensified selling pressure from long-term holders (LTHs), who have offloaded approximately 1 million BTC since mid-September, contributing to its current 13% dip from its all-time high of $108,000. This marks the largest discount since the U.S. presidential election. While short-term holders (STHs) have stepped in to absorb some of this supply, demand imbalance continues to weigh heavily on Bitcoin’s price.
1. Long-Term Holders’ Selling Behavior
LTHs, defined as investors holding BTC for over 155 days, have been distributing their holdings as prices show strength. Over the past week, LTHs sold 70,000 BTC in a single day, marking the fourth-largest one-day sell-off this year, according to Glassnode data.
Their holdings have dropped from 14.2 million BTC in September to 13.2 million BTC, signaling a strategic move to realize profits during this period of heightened market volatility.
2. Short-Term Holders Absorbing Supply
STHs have accumulated 1.3 million BTC during the same period, partially offsetting LTHs' selling. However, this accumulation hasn’t been enough to sustain upward momentum, resulting in continued price weakness.
3. Market Liquidity and Exchange Activity
The circulating supply of Bitcoin stands at 19.8 million tokens, with 2.8 million BTC held on exchanges. Notably, 200,000 BTC have exited exchanges in recent months, indicating a trend of investors moving assets to cold storage.
This dwindling exchange balance could limit immediate liquidity, further impacting market dynamics.
Technical Outlook
Bitcoin is trading in a bearish zone, currently down 0.49% with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 42. The recent market sell-off liquidated approximately $1.4 billion, exacerbating downward pressure.
Key Levels to Watch
Support Level: If selling persists, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could dip to $85,000, a key support level aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Resistance Level: For a bullish reversal, CRYPTOCAP:BTC must break through $101,000, a pivotal psychological and technical barrier that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Outlook and Implications
The ongoing selling by LTHs reflects a strategic shift, possibly influenced by macroeconomic uncertainties and profit-taking at current levels. Meanwhile, STHs’ buying activity suggests continued confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term potential.
However, the imbalance between supply and demand could lead to further short-term price volatility. Investors should closely monitor key support and resistance levels and market activity from these cohorts to anticipate the next significant price movement.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price trajectory remains uncertain amid significant selling pressure from LTHs. While oversold technical indicators hint at a potential rebound, the lack of sufficient demand from STHs raises concerns about sustained recovery. The next few days will be critical for Bitcoin as it navigates these pivotal price levels.
Will CRYPTOCAP:BTC bounce back like it has in past corrections, or is a deeper dip on the horizon? Only time will tell. Stay tuned for further updates!
good position for buyhello friends
This currency gave us a good correction considering the growth it has had and the money it has received.
Now, step by step on this point and in case of correction, it is worth buying more than the goals we specified for you.
{Note that it is better to make your purchases step by step...}
Be successful and profitable
Litecoin, Shitecoin: An OpportunityAs much as I blast Litecoin, I think there's a trading opportunity here. Some other OG cryptocurrencies have gone up 5x recently - XLM and XRP, for instance. I don't mind this, because I actually think those coins are at least a little more viable as currencies than Bitcoin.
I'm keeping this short. Just taking advantage of volatility. A 40%+ pullback with the potential of a 200% move? I'll take it. Here to have fun, not here to question things right now.
Litecoin active addresses are stable around 300k, though having steadily moved up over the last couple of years from 200K. bitinfocharts.com
Bitcoin active addresses have climbed a bit recently up to 750K, after actually declining the last couple years. bitinfocharts.com
As crappy as price behavior has been for LTC over the years, I like its growth pattern to an extent.
It's important to keep in mind that while on a very slow long term uptrend, Litecoin has broken down out of its major long term uptrend (orange) This was why I had assumed more downside was to come.
Given that LTC tends to pump last in the cycle, I'm taking a gamble on this thing flying back into the long term uptrend. There's A LOT of resistance overhead, especially at the broken uptrend, near $150-160 currently. Here's the shorter term structure, with some bullish arrows drawn.
Taking out the recent low near $85 would be a bearish sign and could send price quickly back to $66 support.
Let's see what happens. If the market has already topped, oh well. Risking a neglegable amount here. R/R seems decent to me.
This meant for speculation and entertainment only.
-Victor Cobra
HolderStat | BTC bulls leaving the ship?Over the last 3 days, $2.5 billion has been liquidated in the futures market, 83% of which is longs. The BTC price dropped to $96,613 (-4.6% for the week), the fear index dropped 7 points, and outflows from spot ETFs totaled an impressive $680 million.
❌ Is this a signal? No, it's a pattern. Corrections like this “drop off the tourists,” opening up new opportunities for those who know how to act strategically.
Even El Salvador did not flinch under IMF pressure and bought 11 BTC. Their wallet is usually replenished by 1 BTC per day - something is clearly brewing. What have you done?
💡 What to do?
1️⃣ Analyze key support levels.
2️⃣ Watch liquidity: BTC dominance remains high (59%), which confirms interest in the asset.
3️⃣ Evaluate trading volumes on pullbacks.
⚡️ Correction is not a time for panic, but a moment for cold-blooded analysis and precise actions.
_____________________
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Always DYOR! 🔬
BTCUSD - Missed TP ? that's okay history says 140KI followed too blindly this fractal that went almost perfect but was waiting 120k to take partial profits and missed a 30% opportunity,
I'll know take profits more often by moving from risky alts to BTC or other assets resistant to drawdown
the middle line of the channel BTC is evolving seems to support very well and I'm gonna assume the correction is already over, you can still expect to see another dip to 86k tho (but I dont believe this)
my simple trade idea : green is path of 4 years ago, blue is path of last year
first TP will be at 120k & 144K see you in 3 weeks
not financial advice
cheers