BITCOIN chart looks bearish in LTF#bitcoin #btc price has formed bearish patterns such as shoulders and head and it seems distribution in CRYPTOCAP:BTC price has started in LTF. Minor dumps are necessary in short term.
BTC-D
AEVOUSDT → One step away from a 200-400% RALLYBINANCE:AEVOUSDT is forming a market bottom. Against the backdrop of bitcoin's declining dominance, altcoins have a great chance of realization. And AEVO has an opportunity for a 200-400% rally
Relative to the bottom, the coin is forming a consolidation of 0.269 - 0.534. Consolidation is big enough and if the realization starts, the impulse can be formed quite aggressive, especially on the background of excitement.
Technically, the emphasis is on 0.534 - 0.594. If the price breaks this resistance area and the bulls are able to keep the defense above this zone, the coin will open the way to 0.8, 1.12, 1.34, which is a 200-400% move.
Resistance levels: 0.534, 0.594
Support levels: 0.455, 0.269
A breakthrough of the first line of defense is being formed. The bulls have quite positive chances. Realization can start any minute. Medium-term target is 1.127, long-term target is 1.34
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:AEVOUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
$BTC Daily UpdateCRYPTOCAP:BTC #BTC $95,878 support testing, $94,148-$97,780 current moving range, $97,780 support required to climb towards new ATH and go $100K+. Bearish engulfing on last 1D close suggests $95,878 support test if followed thru, Continue watching given S/R.
$BTC.D dominance again overheated. Time for the Alts to catch upCheck out this chart— CRYPTOCAP:BTC is on fire, but the market? Totally overheated. 🚀🔥
Sure, CRYPTOCAP:BTC dominance had its pump, but now all the indicators are screaming *RED ALERT*:
- **RSI** is overbought with a bearish divergence.
- **MACD** just hit a bearish crossover.
- Sitting pretty (or not) at the **61% resistance**.
Translation? We’re ripe for a (much-needed) dominance correction. Expect CRYPTOCAP:BTC to chill sideways this weekend, with a likely correction kicking off next week.
Now, about those altcoins... 🤔 The memes have already had their moment—most hitting ATHs. But hold up! There's still plenty of action brewing:
CRYPTOCAP:ETH is waiting to pump, all the DEFI ( CRYPTOCAP:RUNE , CRYPTOCAP:UNI etc..) are waiting to pump.
Some great projects are under valuated like CRYPTOCAP:INJ
Also the L2 and L1 haven't pumped yet, think about CRYPTOCAP:AVAX , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:MATIC etc...
Ket's start an altseason! Even a mini one, for Christmas!
Potential Path for $XRPIdeally, I would love to see something like this play out for $XRP.
I know it loves to climb without much cooling off, but it does need some healthy retracement to keep the expansion more sustainable.
BTC Flag and pennant Flag and pennant pattern on BTC. Next move higher breaking $100k before Christmas. #LFG
Sol short term buySolana consolidating with good response to support after strong uptrend , looking for break of range into 250 area.
The Beginning and End of the Altcoin Bull Market
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(USDT Chart)
(USDC Chart)
A lot of money is flowing into the coin market.
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
If BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or continues to decline, the coin market is expected to start an altcoin bull market.
When the altcoin bull market starts (some altcoins have started to rise), if you buy when the candle on the 1D chart is a bearish candle, you will almost always be able to make a profit.
However, when the altcoin bull market starts, there is a high possibility that the altcoin will rise due to cyclical pumping, so it is recommended to maintain the coin (token) you have purchased once if possible.
Then, if you buy when the candle on the 1D chart is a bearish candle one day, it may turn into a bearish trend, so it is recommended to set a stop loss point.
It is necessary to consider a strategy to maximize profits by purchasing additional altcoins that are currently held, that is, altcoins with a yield of over 50%, when they show a decline of around -10%.
When purchasing additional altcoins, it is recommended to proceed after confirming that they are supported by the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
Then, I wonder how long the altcoin bull market will continue.
I expect the altcoin bull market to continue until the USDT dominance falls to around 2.84.
After that, the coin market is expected to experience a large plunge as the USDT dominance rises significantly.
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
Since the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart has touched the 100 point in the overbought zone, an initialization operation is expected to occur.
If this initialization operation maintains the price above 1.618 (89050.0), the coin market is expected to continue its upward trend.
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(1D chart)
Since the StochRSI indicator on the 1D chart has entered the 50 point zone, volatility is likely to occur.
It is expected that the volatility period will continue until December 4, so it is necessary to check the movement.
If BTC falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, i.e. below 90586.92, most coins (tokens) in the coin market are expected to record a large decline.
However, if it shows support around 87.8K-89K, it will show a large increase again.
The large increase at this time will be in altcoins.
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Since the box section of the current HA-High indicator is formed over the 91792.14-98871.80 section, the point to watch is whether it moves sideways around this section.
If BTC rises to around 1.902 (101784.54), I think the coin market is likely to record a large increase.
However, if BTC falls below 98892.0, it is expected to fall again, so caution is required when trading.
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As I mentioned in the 1W chart description, if BTC touches over 100K or falls after encountering resistance near 98892.0, you should check if the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart is initialized.
This is expected to be an important time to decide when to buy in the short term.
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Please refer to the previous idea charts for information on BTC's down or up points.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the upward wave.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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AVAX SWING LONG IDEA - ALTCOIN SEASON AVAX is one of the most well-known coins, with strong fundamentals. I believe it will perform well during the 2024-2025 bull run.
The price is coming from the monthly demand zone, showing solid rejection and strength. It also broke the diagonal trendline responsible for the bearish trend. The weekly momentum is strongly bullish, and the daily momentum is also bullish, supported by Bitcoin's strength.
The price may form a small range here before taking off straight toward the purple targets.
I’ve bought a spot position here and will be holding it all the way to new highs and targets above.
BTC Dominance Chart - BITCOIN DOMINANCEBTC Dominance is the most important chart to follow to understand whether the crypto market is in an altcoin or Bitcoin season.
Currently, Bitcoin Dominance is in a strong bullish trend and has reached the 60% level. This means that Bitcoin alone holds 60% of the total crypto market value. In other words, the entire altcoin market, including ETH and other large-cap coins, represents only 40% of the market. Considering the crypto market has over 2,500 different coins/assets, it’s notable that all of them combined only account for 40% of the total market value, while Bitcoin alone makes up the other 60%.
In previous bull market cycles, this chart typically shows initial bullishness, followed by a strong reversal to the downside after a few months, which brings the largest returns in the altcoin market.
A bullish trend in BTC Dominance indicates that Bitcoin will outperform altcoins, whereas a bearish trend suggests the opposite.
Currently, BTC Dominance is moving within a parallel channel driving its bullish movement. It has reached the weekly supply level and is now approaching the monthly supply level. I expect BTC Dominance to hit this monthly supply level at the top of the channel, experience rejection, and start moving lower. Eventually, I anticipate it will break below the entire channel, signaling a large influx of capital into altcoins. This shift has the potential to create significant returns for altcoin investors.
I believe this scenario is likely during the 2025 bull cycle, so be prepared to build generational wealth.
Key Insights into Bitcoin’s Halving Cycles (updated)1. Halving Cycle Structure
This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns.
Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles
1. Halving Cycle Structure
Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into:
Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth.
Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery.
Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods.
2. Historical Price Performance
Cycle 1 (2012 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 11644%
Pre-Halving having: +390%
Post halving +2947%
96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Cycle 2 (2016 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 2503%
Pre Halving: +213%
Post halving +703%
91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving
Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going...
Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths
Pre Halving: +234% so far
Post halving +92% so far
If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price.
3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions
Projected move: 270K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds.
Bear Market (2027–2028):
Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation
Trade safe
Tarder Leo
#BTC - Amazing Long Setup Is #Bitcoin ready to break the legendary 100k mark that everyone is awaiting? Check out the analysis below!
HTF Bias:
Price broke the previous daily rejection block / supply zone / structural high,
marked with a purple rectangle, which now means it should hold as a demand
zone for later pullback
From the swing low to high, if we trace a fibonacci retracement, we see that price perfectly rejected from the **Golden Zone - 0.618 - 0.768 **(in this case it barely hit 0.618)
It bounced back to mitigate supply zone left behind, leaving behind the same
flip zone (supply turning to demand zone), reversed and now it just sweeped the
most recent liquidity, showing clear rejection signs, forming a huge wick
LTF Bias:
Now that the HFT is aligned with LTF, all that matters is where we entry the trade
Given we already sweeped the most obvious liquidity, this is how I would place my trade
Stop loss below the most recent sweep, Take Profit at the 1.236 mark on the Fibonacci Extension tool
What are your thoughts on this chart? Do you have any #Bitcoin in your wallet?
What are your targets?
Follow for more daily ideas!
Key Insights into Bitcoin’s Halving Cycles1. Halving Cycle Structure
This chart leverages Bitcoin's logarithmic scale to illustrate its price behavior across halving cycles, providing a clearer perspective on exponential growth and diminishing returns.
Key Takeaways from Bitcoin's Halving Cycles
1. Halving Cycle Structure
Cycle Length: Each cycle spans 1432 days (approximately 4 years), divided into:
Bull Market Phase (1064 days): Gradual accumulation followed by accelerated growth.
Bear Market Phase (365 days): Sharp corrections and consolidation before recovery.
Historically, bull markets account for the majority of price growth, with bear markets serving as cooling-off periods.
2. Historical Price Performance
Cycle 1 (2012 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 11644%
Pre-Halving having: +390%
Post halving +2947%
96.65% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Cycle 2 (2016 Halving):
Entire Cycle move: 2503%
Pre Halving: +213%
Post halving +703%
91.5% of the entire move was after the Halving
Cycle 3 (2020 Halving): Still going...
Hypothesis: 86% of the entire move was after the Halving.
Entire Cycle move: 1671.43%% based on my maths
Pre Halving: +234% so far
Post halving +92% so far
If the hypothesis is true then 905k is the projected price.
3. Upcoming 2024 Halving Predictions
Bull Market (2024–2027):
Projected move: 905K USD peak if historical patterns persist and the Hypothesis holds.
Bear Market (2027–2028):
Based on prior cycles, corrections could range from -70% to -80%, leading to a consolidation
Resistance Zones:
$250K, $500K, and $905K projected peaks based on logarithmic trends.
Trade safe
Tarder Leo
BITCOIN Time your sells based on this chart.Bitcoin / BTCUSD closed November with the 1st convincing break out 1month candle over the ATH of the previous Cycle.
According to the previous two Cycles, such breakout candle gives another 4 months at least before the rally peaks and corrects.
The previous Cycles peaked 11 months from the breakout candle and the Cycle before that peaked in 7 months.
This means that it is better to time the selling and exit in March 2025, regardless of what price BTC will be trading at the time.
Technically it should be around $150000.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
TON → One step away from a rally. Trying to change the trendBINANCE:TONUSDT is coming out of a prolonged consolidation, but only one action separates us from the distribution phase. The bitcoin rally is favorable for many altcoins....
In my opinion, TON is a rather undervalued project that has a fundamentally significant base (many altcoins cannot boast of this).
Technically, the consolidation lasted for almost 9 months and, consequently, this energy should be used somewhere. The exit of the price from the accumulation begins to show us in which direction the distribution is likely to go.
The focus is on 5.420 and 5.150. If the bulls hold their defenses above this zone, the coin could show a flight to the moon in the long run. But don't look at cryptocurrencies with rose-colored glasses, assess the situation relative to the risks!
Resistance levels: 5.420, 6.133
Support levels: 5.151, 4.51
The price is breaking the resistance of the bullish pattern (descending wedge or descending triangle), we have to wait for confirmation that the trend change will be true. The fight for 5.420 continues. Let's keep an eye on this zone ;)
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:TONUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis Ascending Channel Formation !!
The chart shows a distinct ascending channel, with BTC adhering to the upper resistance and lower support trendlines.
The 21 EMA (yellow line) serves as a significant support level, with the price demonstrating signs of respecting it. The lower boundary of the ascending channel is closely aligned with the current price level, adding another layer of support.
BTC has pulled back to the channel's lower support zone (~$95,700) after struggling to maintain a higher breakout attempt. The green arrow projection indicates a potential bullish reversal.
Although volume data isn't displayed here, a rebound from this level generally requires increased buying activity to sustain a bullish momentum.
Immediate Support: ~$94,000 (channel support and psychological level).
Resistance Zone: ~$98,500–$100,000 (channel top and round-number resistance).
A successful bounce from the support zone could drive BTC towards $98,500 and possibly retest the $100,000 resistance.
A drop below the ascending channel and $94,000 could lead to further declines, targeting the $92,000–$90,000 zones.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes and is not financial advice. Always stay updated with market movements and adjust your trading strategies as needed.
You can DM us for information on any other coin.
@Peter_CSAdmin
Is It Really Happening: When Altseason Will Begin?Hello, Skyrexians!
Today we will observe the CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D chart, this is the chart which shows the Bitcoin dominance on the crypto market. During last 2 years it has growing slowly, but permanently. It caused to this strange cycle where Bitcoin has broken ATH, while some altcoins set the new low every month. Is this nightmare really finished or altcoins will continue suffering? Let's discuss today.
On the chart you can see weekly time frame which showed two completed altcoin seasons: in 2017 and 2021. Last altseason has started after reaching 0.618 Fibonacci level from the previous altseason. Then we saw the big drop to 40%. Let's notice that this altseason has been started after flashing the signal on Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator . As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView .
Currently this indicator has been flashed 2 bearish reversal bars in the 0.61 Fibonacci retracement zone. If today weekly candle closes with this signal and next week there will be the confirmation - 58% breakdown, there is a high chance that real altseason come the market.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
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BNB powerfulhello friend
After a long suffering, BNB seems to want to start its own movement and according to the events that have happened, we will witness a new era of crypto, so be careful with this currency.
which can reach higher ceilings if it breaks its range.
Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach?Bitcoin: Is the Psychological Barrier of $100,000 Within Reach?
Bitcoin continues its impressive rally toward the psychological barrier of $100,000, driven by both fundamental and psychological factors. The rise in its value is supported by growing adoption, institutional investments, positive market sentiment, and key developments within the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
Adoption and Acceptance
Bitcoin’s growing acceptance by businesses, financial institutions, and individual users is increasing its utility and value. As more entities begin to accept bitcoin as a form of payment, demand naturally rises, solidifying its position as a viable medium of exchange.
Institutional Investments
One of the primary drivers of bitcoin’s growth is the involvement of large institutional investors such as hedge funds, investment firms, and corporations. Their entry into the market significantly boosts liquidity and builds confidence in the cryptocurrency, attracting smaller retail investors in the process.
Planned Regulatory Changes and Strategic Reserves
Future President Donald Trump’s proposals to establish strategic reserves in bitcoin and introduce cryptocurrency-friendly regulations could be game-changing for the market. Such measures are likely to attract new market participants, driving demand and increasing bitcoin’s value.
Media and Market Sentiment
Positive media coverage, endorsements from influential figures, and expert analyses play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment. Media narratives have a substantial impact on perception and can amplify investor interest, fueling price increases.
Technological Improvements
Advancements in blockchain technology and updates to the bitcoin network are improving its efficiency, security, and scalability. These innovations make bitcoin more appealing as an investment asset, contributing to its rising value.
Macroeconomic Factors
Global economic uncertainty, inflation, and the weakening of traditional fiat currencies are pushing investors toward alternative assets. Often referred to as “digital gold,” bitcoin is increasingly viewed as a hedge against currency devaluation and a reliable store of value.
The 2024 Halving
This year, bitcoin underwent another halving – the process that reduces the reward for mining new blocks by half. This reduction in new supply, coupled with sustained or growing demand, has historically led to price increases, and the current cycle appears to be following a similar trajectory.
Infrastructure Growth and ETFs
The cryptocurrency market’s infrastructure is rapidly evolving, making bitcoin more accessible than ever. The growth of exchanges, cryptocurrency wallets, and inflows into bitcoin-based ETFs are driving demand and strengthening the market.
Seasonality and an Unstoppable Trend
Seasonality is also working in bitcoin’s favor. Historically, the final months of the year often see strong performance in the cryptocurrency market. The current upward trend seems difficult to halt, and breaking through the $100,000 level appears to be only a matter of time.
Conclusion
Bitcoin remains one of the most dynamic assets on the market, drawing interest from institutional and retail investors alike. The combination of fundamental, technological, and macroeconomic factors suggests that the rally toward $100,000 could not only materialize but also set the stage for further gains.
Will bitcoin surpass this symbolic threshold, or are there still hurdles ahead? Share your thoughts in the comments.
BTC.D More Down and then BOOM!Bitcoin Dominance is going to play this wedge out, it looks like. Then we can see the real push to 100k++!!
Bitcoin Likely to Correct to $84K - $87K Before Targeting $100K📊 Bitcoin is currently testing the $96,000 support level , and a price correction seems likely before any further upward movement.
👉🏼 If $96,000 is broken, the price may drop to the $84,000 - $87,000 range.
✅ This correction could provide a foundation for the next potential move upward.
✅ In this scenario, we will analyze Bitcoin's next move after the correction and share it with you.
Bitcoin can correct to support line and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price started to grow inside the pennant near the support line and later reached the 93500 support level, which coincided with the support area. Soon, the price broke this level and continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and even entered to this area, after which it reached the resistance line of the pennant. Then BTC turned around and declined to support line and later exited from the pennant pattern, after which little fell and then rose to the 98500 level. BTC tried to break it, but failed and dropped to support level firstly and soon broke this level too and fell until to 90785 points. Then Bitcoin turned around and rose to the 93500 support level, broke it, and later rose to the resistance level. After this, the price turned around and made correction to support line of triangle, but a not long time ago it turned around and started to grow. So, in my opinion, the price can decline to the support line and then continue to grow to the resistance level. When the price reaches this level, it can break it, thereby exiting from the triangle also and then going next, making firstly retest or without it. For this case, I set two TP: first at the 98500 level, and second at 100500 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC December Monthly Open For the last 6 months straight, BTC has pulled back on the monthly open and each time price has recovered and pushed higher. We are currently seeing the first half of that with a rejection off $98,000 so the question is, where does it stop?
The first place of interest is ~$93,500, a bullish orderblock with a strong candle following it. In a Bullrun these areas are expected to give a reaction and so that's my first place of interest.
A deeper pullback would take us the the 4H local low, a bounce here would establish a mini-range/ accumulation zone. Now that would make sense as a base is built to target the big even $100K, after such a strong rally a cool-off and reset of indicators would be beneficial, liquidating late longs would be a bonus (if you're not on the wrong side). This level also co-insides with the 4H 200 EMA, typically in a bullmarket this level holds well and caps off correctional phases. The RSI will then also be near/in the oversold zone as further confluence.
The HTF level that most are interested in is ~$84,000, A clear FVG level. This would be a loss of the 4H 200 EMA and definitely in the RSI oversold zone. We know that there is still a massive demand for BTC on an institutional level, ETFs and retail so pullbacks should be bought up in time, the question is when and where. A fill of this area would be more bullish in the long run as the FVG won't need to be filled later, meaning the potential severity of a crash or pullback in the future won't be as much.
