Phemex Analysis #41: Bitcoin Breaks the $100,000 Barrier!In a historic moment, Bitcoin (BTC) has finally surpassed the $100,000 mark. This significant milestone comes seven years after its struggle to break the $10,000 barrier in early December 2017.
Possible Scenarios
As Bitcoin enters this uncharted territory, several scenarios may unfold:
1. Continued Rise:
A sustained bullish momentum could drive Bitcoin to even higher levels. However, psychological resistance levels at $110,000 and $112,000 may pose challenges. It's essential to be cautious as the price approaches these levels.
2. Price Retracement:
The recent formation of a bearish divergence on the 1D RSI chart suggests a potential price correction. Historical patterns from January and March 2024 indicate that such divergences often precede pullbacks. While a full-blown bearish trend is unlikely, support levels at $90,000, $86,700, and $76,000 could provide opportunities for buying the dip.
Conclusion
The $100,000 milestone is a significant achievement for Bitcoin, but it's important to maintain a rational and disciplined approach. While the future of Bitcoin remains bright, it's crucial to manage risk effectively and avoid impulsive decisions. By conducting thorough research, analyzing market trends, and implementing sound trading strategies, investors can capitalize on Bitcoin's potential while minimizing risk.
Tips:
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Disclaimer: This is NOT financial or investment advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR). Phemex is not responsible, directly or indirectly, for any damage or loss incurred or claimed to be caused by or in association with the use of or reliance on any content, goods, or services mentioned in this article.
BTC-D
Descending channel from the 1 month chart timeframeI just posted a version of this channel on the 3 month chart timeframe, however looking at the month time frame I also found some bullish confluence to confirm this potential channel. A deeper correction now that we have retested the top trendline of this potential channel would not surprise me from here. I arbitrarily put the measured move lines for when we could break up from this channel around May 2024, simply because the halvening occurs in mid to late april so it seemed like a reasonable area to expect us to finally overcome this channel. We’re we to break up from the channel in that exact spot, the measured move for the channel breakout on its own looks like it would take us to 80k. If it was more than just a channel and also a valid bull flag the measured move I get for the bul flag appears to be slightly under 100k. On the 3 month chart the bull flag was slightly over 100k but that may also be because I placed the measured move line arbitrarily earlier than may as I have done for this 1 month chart representation. Will be interesting to see how this plays out. The silver lining here is that if this channel is valid and price is about to flip back to the down trend for a few it is simply another opportunity to accumulate for the upcoming liftoff which is likely to occur post halvening. *not financial advice*
BTC weekly data is shifting. MASSIVE UPSIDE is waiting now! BUY!BTC has corrected healthily to -20% from its peak after reaching its parabolic ATH highs of 73k.
Now the mother of all of coins is showing some strength again. Weekly data metrics is shifting now and buyers are back again, positioning aggressively for the next RUN-UP to ATH and beyond.
From our weekly chart diagram above, you can observe that the black bear cells has faded and the white dot (longs) has literally escaped the shorts prison cell (black cell). This signal has never missed since the 15k BTC season. The batting average of this one playing out again is very very high.
This week is the best time to SEED. Get them all planted now. BTC is already up by 10% after that quick bounce from the strong major order support at 57k area. Signs of what's coming next after this week.
Spotted at 60k area.
TAYOR.
The Full Monthly Chart Bullflag on BitcoinUsd PairJust as an addendum to my chart I just posted on the measured move target for just the channel portion of this bullflag, I wanted to include an updated visual for the full flag and its breakout target which is pretty much just ever so slightly below 100k. Will link the previous relevant chart ideas below. *not financial advice*
A close above the top red trendline would be very bullishShown here on the weekly chart is the weekly bullflag bitcoin has been consolidating in ever since correcting from the all time high we hit earlier this year.. For the first time since then, we now have part of a daily candle body above the top eligible top trendline of the flag and may very well close the current daily candle above that trendline for the first time which would be a very bullish development. It will be even more bullish if we can also manage to close a weekly candle above it as well but we still have another 6 days before anything like that can occur. For now a daily candle close above is still good progress which we have about 40 minutes left before the current daily candle closes (not shown here). If we were to break up from the red bullflag at this exact spot on the chart, there is some excellent bullish confluence here as you can see the measured move breakout target from here would be the exact same target as the much larger Purple bull flag we broke upwards from back in February. Both have a target around 99k. So this would indeed be a great spot for such a breakout to occur. We can also see the weekly 50 moving average(in orange) is holding very strong bounce support and should help to prevent the price action from recentering the flag/channel in the coming months as it climbs higher. *not financial advice*
Bitcoins been climbing up the measuredmove line like a staircaseAs often happens, we can see the past 7 daily candles have used the dotted red measured move line like a staircase as it slowly ascends it towards the full breakout target around 100k. It always amuses me when I see price using a breakout target line in this fashion. Just another reminder that TA works. *not financial advice*
Next Volatility Period: Around December 27
Hello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This volatility period has ended.
The key is whether it can rise above the BW(100) indicator point of 98892.0.
If not, if it falls, the point to watch is whether it can be supported near the HA-High indicator point of 95904.28.
The next volatility period is around December 27.
By now, we should look at the direction in which the HA-High indicator box range, 91792.14-98871.80, has deviated.
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(1W chart)
What is important to check this month is how the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart is initialized.
That is, what movement does it show when the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought range and becomes StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
Since the StochRSI EMA indicator has never touched the 100 point so far, the downward pressure will increase as it gets closer to the 100 point.
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(BTC.D 1D chart)
If BTC dominance falls below 55.01 and is maintained or continues to fall, it is expected that the altcoin bull market will begin.
It seems that some altcoins will start to pump in a circular manner.
Therefore, if the altcoin I bought is rising slowly or rather falling, do not switch to another altcoin and wait, and the pumping will begin in order.
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(USDT.D 1M chart)
This altcoin bull market is expected to continue until the USDT dominance falls to around 2.84.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Bitcoin as Water. Will Bitcoin move towards less resistance?Hello,
The volume profile of this chart with 4-hour candles indicates two levels where high trading interest can be found. One of these levels is the orange level, $91.5k, around which Bitcoin built a strong support zone. The other level is the red line, $98.5k, where BTC has a strong sell zone. I expect the price action to unfold between these two zones. You may ask which would come next. The current price, $97.1k, is closer to the sell zone than the buy zone. Hitting the sell zone requires less effort than falling into the buy zone. A few people observed that the market often moves towards less resistance. This lesser resistance is now moving into the sell zone. Furthermore, MACD goes up like a bullish trend, which means technicals contribute to BTC hitting the sell zone next time. The white trendline on the chart can act as additional support, which means for BTC to fall into the buy zone, it has to cut down the white trendline. Again, the less resistance for the price would be not to cut down the support trendline, but to pump into the sell zone, which is open from the bottom up without additional resistance standing in the way.
Regards,
Ely
Bitcoin will go DOWN by H&S Pattern!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT )started to rise after every positive news over the past days, but then started to fall again . Did you see the negative news that did not come !?
Bitcoin is moving in the Support zone($95,600-$93,200) and Descending channel .
The rise and fall of Bitcoin over the past 5-6 days has managed to form an Head and Shoulders Pattern . (in terms of Classical Technical Analysis ).
Since BTC.D% ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) started to fall from the Heavy Resistance zone(63.30%-57.10%) and after breaking the lower line of the ascending channel , we can confirm that Bitcoin's dominance on the crypto market can end for a while. If the cryptocurrency market wants to have a correction , Bitcoin can experience a further correction. If the crypto market wants to experience an increase again, we can say that we have entered the Altseason .👇
I expect Bitcoin to fill the CME Gap($93,835-$93,720) AFTER breaking the Head and Shoulders Pattern's Neckline and Support zone($95,600-$93,200) and then decline to at least the H&S pattern's target(around $91,000) .
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin goes above $96,800, we can expect Bitcoin to rise again to the resistance lines.⚠️
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 1-hour time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Triangle Consolidation on Bitcoin (BTC)Hello,
Current Price: $94k.
Chart Pattern: Triangle
Trend: Consolidation/Sideways
Trade: You may try a long position if BTC stays within the triangle or breaks upwards. Breaking the triangle downward would invalidate the long position ideas and have a bearish indication.
Regards,
Ely
BTC dominance 2024-2025(prodolzhenie prognoza po dominacii bitkoina 2023-2024)
Proshlyj prognoz otrabotal prakticheski ideal'no, nemnogo promazal po vremeni (uskorilsya), nemnogo oshibsya s metodikoj raschyota dominacii (uchyol al'tkoiny - podrobno v obnovleniyah na proshlom prognoze po dominacii). Odnako v celom prognoz pravil'nyj!
Nakaplivat' bitkoin bylo bolee pravil'nym resheniem nezheli otkupat' al'tkoiny.
Podavlyayushchee bol'shinstvo al'tkoinov obnovilo svoi minimumy k bitkoinu.
Teper' prishla pora razvorota. Tyazhelo sprognozirovat' tochku razvorota (kak eto bylo s proshlym prognozom) kak po vremeni tak i po urovnyu, odnako ya sklonyayus' k variantu chto eto proizojdyot ot 55-65% vo vremennom promezhutke konca2024 achala2025 goda. I ustremitsya v blok 35-45% k koncu 2025 goda.
!!! Etot prognoz bolee kak prodolzhenie v popytke najti mesto razvorota, a ne kak samostoyatel'nyj predydushchij prognoz. Ya by ne stavil mnogoe na nego, odnako tendenciya dolzhna byt' yasna - gryadyot al'tsezon.
$BTC 1W Largest Scale Playing with Long Term Ideas #LongThis idea i made today for long term idea just as it is an idea some basic lines and formations were made but it was pretty simple using same red lines the decline lines are same angle as it states. showing prices and times as estimates i will come look at this and progression when iI m older and know more of this trading and chart mechanics etc!
I am not a Financial advisor or any way good with number.. sorry that's a lie I am very good with math but I haven't had to make financial gains on markets not crypto at least.! I have crypto but earned it all freely over short time last 2 years have over a few band only a couple,, but free earned and mostly passive about 70% passive :) anyway and so that makes it all gains but i do swap stuff at lows and highs and various coin swaps using special maths and tools no one else does a lot and take advantage of the "virtual arbitrage" between trading oone coin for another and then another .... if you get it you get it!
WHAT YOU THINK OF IDEA its one for me to come back to in years and look and go wow we were at 100k moment JUST like the 10k moment. Only I don't remember It so well!
hope you enjoy! let me know your opinion and what could be wrong or different! lets learn from one another and take over the markets!!!!
WLD Long Spot Trade (Consolidation Opportunity)Market Context:
WLD is consolidating within a significant zone, presenting an ideal opportunity to ladder into a long spot trade for potential upside gains.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: Ladder between $2.50 and $3.50.
Take Profit Targets:
First target: $4.50 - $6.00
Second target: $9.00 - $10.50
Stop Loss: Set just below $2.25.
This trade aims to capture a breakout from the consolidation zone, leveraging the support level for a favorable risk-to-reward setup.
AR Long Spot Trade (Resistance Consolidation Opportunity)Market Context:
AR has moved into a critical resistance zone, where price consolidation could occur before the next upward leg. This presents an opportunity to position for potential breakout gains.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: Ladder between $23.00 and $27.00.
Take Profit Targets:
First target: $40.00 - $45.00
Second target: $70.00 - $80.00
Stop Loss: Set a deeper stop loss just below $20.00.
This trade anticipates consolidation within the resistance area, with a setup aimed at capturing substantial upside momentum.
INJ Long Spot Trade (Range Consolidation Opportunity)Market Context:
INJ has moved into a potential consolidation zone, providing an opportunity to establish a position at support levels. The setup targets significant upside potential as the price develops within this range.
Trade Details:
Entry Zone: Ladder between $27.00 (bottom support) and $32.50 (top resistance).
Take Profit Targets:
First target: $45.00 - $50.00
Second target: $70.00 - $80.00
Stop Loss: Just below $25.00
This trade takes advantage of the expected consolidation and offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for potential breakout scenarios.
Crypto recap | Wen $ 100K BTC ? Crypto Weekly: ETFs, Meme Coins, and RFK’s Bitcoin Obsession
We’ve had a wild week in crypto, so let’s dive into what’s happened so far
1. Bitcoin Reaches Record $99,000 , Should We Sell Our Kidneys Now?
Bitcoin momentarily climbed to an all time high of $99,000. Its current value stands at $98,400, reflecting a 1.5% increase over the past 24 hours and YES over 500% since our first call
2. SEC Chair Gary Gensler to Resign in January 2025
The US Securities and Exchange Commission has announced that its Chairman, Gary Gensler, will step down on January 20, 2025.
3. Former Chinese Official Yao Qian Dismissed Over Crypto Bribery Allegations
Yao Qian, exDirector at the China Securities Regulatory Commission, has been expelled from the Communist Party and removed from office for serious misconduct, including abuse of power and crypto-related bribery. Once a key figure in China’s CBDC development, Yao is now under investigation by the Shanwei City Procuratorate for alleged violations, with his assets confiscated.
4. Bitcoin ETF Options Prepare for Launch
The SEC approved trading options for the iShares Bitcoin Trust in September 2024. Following a recent advisory from the CFTC, the Options Clearing Corporation (OCC) is set to facilitate these options, which will debut on November 19, 2024.
5. Trump Administration Eyes Crypto Policy Role
The Trump team is exploring the creation of a White House role dedicated to cryptocurrency policy. President-elect Trump is also scheduled to meet Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong to discuss potential appointments. Discussions may include Armstrong’s support for SEC Commissioner Hester Peirce as SEC Chair.
6. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Goes “All-In” on Bitcoin
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. revealed that most of his wealth is now in Bitcoin, declaring his strong commitment to the cryptocurrency. He has previously referred to Bitcoin as a “freedom currency” and a hedge against inflation.
7. Binance CEO Predicts Nations Will Compete for Bitcoin Reserves
Binance CEO CZ praised Michael Saylor's advocacy for Bitcoin and predicted that countries would soon race to acquire Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset.
8. Polish Presidential Candidate Promises Bitcoin Reserves
Sławomir Mentzen, a Polish presidential hopeful, has pledged to establish national Bitcoin reserves if elected. Mentzen, an early Bitcoin investor, disclosed holding approximately $1.2 million worth of Bitcoin.
9. MicroStrategy Acquires Additional 51,780 BTC
MicroStrategy now owns 331,200 BTC, acquired at an average cost of $49,874 per Bitcoin. Its recent purchase of 51,780 BTC totaled $4.6 billion, averaging $88,627 per Bitcoin.
10. Meme Tokens Dominate Crypto Market Buzz
The meme token "Quant," created during a livestream, sparked controversy after a pump-and-dump scheme. Other meme coins, such as ANON and FLOKI, also gained traction, with Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin purchasing ANON. Meanwhile, DWF Labs launched a $20 million fund for meme projects, and exchanges like Coinbase and Binance actively listed meme tokens.
Fundraising Highlights
- Rise: Secured $6.3M in Series A funding.
- Deblock: Raised $16.8M in seed funding.
- Shinami: Completed a $5.645M seed round.
- Valantis Labs: Gained $7.5M in funding.
- OpenLayer: Secured $5M in seed funding.
- Barter: Raised $3M for DeFi liquidity solutions.
- Noble: Completed a $15M Series A funding.
- Bitfinity Network: Secured $12M for Bitcoin Layer 2 development.
- Alluvial: Raised $4.3M for its Liquid Collective platform.
Dont miss this crypto cycle, opportunities like these don’t come around often!
SURVIVOR!!!hello friends
According to the recent growth of the market, this coin has not grown on its own, and now it seems that after some period of correction, it has broken its trend line and was able to show itself.
We expect the specified goals to move...
Don't forget capital management.
Be successful and profitable.