PEOPLE Reversal Setup at Channel Bottom | 100% Potential Return
BINANCE:PEOPLE/TETHERUSHTTPS - 4H TIMEFRAME 🎯
SETUP STRUCTURE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
✦ ENTRY: $0.03578
✦ TARGET: $0.07380
✦ STOP LOSS: -3% Below Entry
✦ RISK:REWARD: 35:1
✦ TIMEFRAME: 4H
✦ POSITION TYPE: SWING TRADE
TECHNICAL CONFLUENCE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
1. PRICE ACTION:
• Descending Channel Bottom Test
• Multiple Timeframe Support Zone
• Previous Strong Demand Area
2. MARKET STRUCTURE:
• 6-Month Downtrend Exhaustion
• Potential Double Bottom Formation
• Clear Volume Profile Support
3. KEY CATALYSTS:
• Oversold RSI Divergence
• High-Volume Accumulation Zone
• Strong Historical Support Level
TRADE MANAGEMENT:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
ENTRY STRATEGY:
• Scale in between $0.03578-$0.03600
• Initial position: 40% of total size
• Add on first confirmation: +30%
• Final add on trend confirmation: +30%
TAKE-PROFIT STRATEGY:
TP1: $0.05000 (25% of position)
TP2: $0.06200 (50% of position)
TP3: $0.07380 (25% of position)
INVALIDATION:
• Break below support with volume
• Loss of 4H market structure
• Failure to hold entry zone after 4H
RISK DISCLOSURE:
━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
Trading involves substantial risk of loss. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
#USDT #TechnicalAnalysis #Trading #CryptoTrading #SwingTrading
Tags: @TradingView
BTC-D
Bitcoin price is on a crossroadHello, Traders!
After reaching a new ATH at $108k, Bitcoin experienced a significant drop following Jerome Powell's speech that the Fed cannot hold Bitcoin and is not seeking to change that, which seems to have caused some uncertainty in the market. As a result, BTC price saw a steep decline, but it recently rebounded, almost touching the $100k level again.
The current focus for Bitcoin is a critical support area at around $91k. This area has held up well in recent price action, and we saw a recovery bounce from this region again. There is a strong chance that BTC could revisit this support area in the coming days, and it could provide another opportunity for a potential rebound. This support area is essential because it represents a significant price range where buyers have stepped in to defend the uptrend.
If Bitcoin does test this zone again and holds above $91k, the probability of a further upward move remains high.
In addition to the immediate price action, there’s a key factor to consider: the monthly candle close. Bitcoin needs to close the current monthly candle above $96k for the market to maintain its bullish sentiment. A green monthly close at this level would provide strong confirmation that the overall trend remains intact and that BTC is on track for further price appreciation.
The next few days are critical for determining whether BTC can sustain momentum to close the month in the green. If Bitcoin can hold above $96k by the end of the month, it would signal that the upward trend is still in play and that a continuation toward higher levels could be on the horizon.
Looking ahead to next week, there are two possible scenarios:
1. Continued Support Test: Bitcoin may dip back towards the $91k support area. If this area holds strong, it could set up another bullish reversal, targeting a move back toward the $100k area or even beyond.
2. Break Below Support: If Bitcoin fails to maintain support in the $91k area, we could see further downside, potentially testing lower levels. In this case, caution is warranted, as the next major support zone would be considerably lower.
Conclusion
The next week could be crucial for Bitcoin’s price action. A monthly candle close above $96k would reinforce the bullish outlook, but if Bitcoin fails to hold support or closes the month in red, we may see more volatility in the near term.
Please don’t forget to boost this idea and leave your comments below.
$BTC correction bottom is $85000All the fanboys—Crypto Rover, Ash Crypto, Satoshi Stacker, Banter, etc.—are singing the same tune: *"We're back!"* They claim CRYPTOCAP:BTC is still in a bullish pattern, that the December 20th -15% crash was just an anomaly, and so on.
As usual, these CRYPTOCAP:BTC enthusiasts are acting like PR agents for Blackrock and Sailor, hyping the market to attract your money.
If you're into altcoins, be cautious—the charts are telling a different story than their optimistic chatter.
Remember June 2024? They were promising rewards if CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit $80K by the end of the week. How generous! And yet, CRYPTOCAP:BTC dropped -31%, with many altcoins plunging -80% over the following three months.
I sent my weekly chart showing bearish divergence to all of them back then. None paid attention, and I was right.
This time, while we're not in an identical scenario (the weekly timeframe still looks bullish), the daily timeframe shows a clear downward trend. Until this plays out, there's no reason to get overly optimistic.
This means we could see selling pressure for the next week, dragging most altcoins down with CRYPTOCAP:BTC as the correction completes. The expected bottom for CRYPTOCAP:BTC is around $85,000, give or take. After that, the bull run should resume—I don’t think we’re heading into a bear market just yet.
As always, DYOR!
Ethereum: A buying opportunity or a trap?Charturday #3: CRYPTOCAP:ETH 🪻
Weekly Analysis:
-H5 Indicator is GREEN
-Broke out of bull flag with successful retest
-Sitting on a volume shelf with a lot of room to run!
-Williams CB still forming lower/ better support, if we continue our bounce into this week we will have a better formed Williams CB
🔜🎯$4094🎯$5043
Bull Flag Breakout🎯$5772⏲️Before DEC2025
CupnHandle B/O🎯$6839⏲️Before 2028
Not financial advice.
With Major Liquidity Swept and RSI reset Bitcoin is now going UPIn the last few days, after achieving a new all-time high of $108,000, Bitcoin has experienced a massive dump, liquidating many retail traders using leverage. This market downturn was caused by several factors. First, Bitcoin was severely overbought and overdue for a correction. Second, Jerome Powell added to the market uncertainty by making strong anti-Bitcoin statements, dashing hopes of the U.S. adding BTC to its Federal Reserve reserves.
As a result, the market saw a steep fall, with major altcoins such as SOL and DOGE dropping over 30%.
The Main Question: What’s Next?
Bitcoin is unlikely to go up from here in the immediate term. Instead, it may be better to position for a short targeting the $90-91K range. The market might remain bearish over the Christmas holidays, giving “holiday discount” vibes. It’s not a good idea to buy Bitcoin with leverage at this moment. Waiting until next Monday to reevaluate might be a safer option.
Technical Analysis:
As highlighted, Bitcoin has broken out of an ascending channel and dropped significantly. One of the key technical reasons for this is the overbought RSI. Major resistance is currently around $99.7K , while key support lies between $89.5K and $87.5K . A break below these levels could indicate a strong move in either direction.
The most liquidity is around $92.2K , where Bitcoin is likely to gravitate before making an upward move. Additionally, RSI has hit a support level, which increases the possibility of a bounce from here.
Outlook:
After the holidays and once Bitcoin sweeps the lower liquidity levels, we could see an excellent buying opportunity . There is potential for BTC to reach $118K by the end of January . Moreover, Donald Trump’s inauguration could act as a catalyst to drive Bitcoin’s price higher once again.
"Bitcoin to $13M per coin" - Michael SaylorBitcoin annualized performance is 60% on average
Let that sink in
Most traders trading Bitcoin aren't nowhere near that.
1. Introduction to MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Strategy
Michael Saylor began by outlining MicroStrategy’s decision to make CRYPTOCAP:BTC its primary treasury reserve asset.
He explained that the company sees Bitcoin as a superior store of value and an effective hedge against inflation.
Traditional fiat currencies, according to Saylor, are increasingly unreliable due to monetary policies that devalue them over time.
By embracing Bitcoin, MicroStrategy positions itself as a pioneer in the corporate adoption of digital assets.
2. Leveraging Zero-Interest Convertible Bonds
Saylor delved into MicroStrategy’s innovative financing strategies, particularly the issuance of zero-interest convertible bonds.
These bonds, amounting to approximately $3 billion, were issued with a 0% interest rate.
This seemingly advantageous rate is a result of high investor demand, driven by the value of the embedded call options within the bonds.
The volatility of MicroStrategy’s stock, tied closely to Bitcoin’s price movements, makes these options particularly appealing.
NASDAQ:MSTR volatility is about 2X the CRYPTOCAP:BTC volatility.
Additionally, the bonds were issued at a 55% conversion premium, the highest for such instruments at the time, reflecting strong market confidence in the company’s strategy.
Saylor explained that these zero-interest loans allow MicroStrategy to acquire CRYPTOCAP:BTC without the financial burden of servicing interest payments.
This approach enables the company to maximize its exposure to Bitcoin while maintaining financial flexibility.
3. Current Bitcoin Holdings and Financial Impact
Saylor provided an update on MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin holdings.
As of November 2024, the company owns 279,420 bitcoins, purchased for a total cost of $11.9 billion, with an average acquisition price of $42,692 per Bitcoin.
With Bitcoin’s price surpassing $90,000, the company’s holdings are now worth over $25 billion, representing more than a 100% return on investment.
He highlighted how this significant appreciation in Bitcoin’s value has bolstered MicroStrategy’s market capitalization and increased shareholder value.
The company’s bold approach has attracted considerable attention from institutional investors and positioned it as a leader in the corporate adoption of Bitcoin.
4. Future Outlook for Bitcoin
Saylor expressed an extremely bullish outlook for Bitcoin, suggesting that its price could rise to $13 million per coin in the long term.
He emphasized that Bitcoin’s fixed supply and growing adoption make it an inevitable cornerstone of the global financial system.
Saylor believes that Bitcoin’s value will continue to increase as more institutions and individuals recognize its potential as a store of value and an inflation hedge.
He also addressed the regulatory landscape, noting the challenges posed by governments and central banks.
However, Saylor remains optimistic, arguing that the decentralized nature of Bitcoin makes it resilient against such challenges.
5. Critique of Traditional Financial Systems
Saylor criticized the inefficiencies and risks of traditional banking systems and fiat currencies. He explained that central banks’ monetary policies, such as excessive money printing, erode the value of fiat currencies, making them unreliable for long-term wealth preservation.
Bitcoin, on the other hand, offers a decentralized and deflationary alternative that protects against these risks.
He also argued that Bitcoin’s adoption is inevitable as it offers a superior solution for wealth storage in a digital, globalized world.
Saylor positioned Bitcoin as a foundational technology for financial innovation.
6. Strategic Vision and Long-Term Commitment
In closing, Saylor reaffirmed MicroStrategy’s long-term commitment to Bitcoin. He emphasized the importance of maintaining a forward-looking vision, especially during periods of market volatility.
For MicroStrategy, Bitcoin is not merely an investment but a strategic asset that aligns with the company’s core mission of creating and preserving shareholder value.
Saylor ended by encouraging other companies and investors to consider adopting Bitcoin as part of their long-term strategies, arguing that early adoption offers the most significant rewards.
He underscored the transformative potential of Bitcoin, not just for corporations, but for the global financial system as a whole.
7. LONG AND STRONG
Critics of MicroStrategy’s aggressive Bitcoin strategy raise valid concerns, particularly regarding market volatility, regulatory risks, and the company’s reliance on debt to fund its investments.
However, it’s important to understand the rationale behind Michael Saylor’s approach and the broader context of Bitcoin as a financial asset.
Saylor’s strategy reflects an unwavering belief in Bitcoin’s long-term value as a hedge against inflation and a superior store of wealth compared to fiat currencies.
His boldness in using innovative financial instruments, such as zero-interest convertible bonds, demonstrates his deep understanding of both financial markets and the transformative nature of Bitcoin.
Saylor’s intelligence and foresight cannot be underestimated.
He is betting on a paradigm shift in global finance, and institutions like pension funds, BlackRock, and other financial powerhouses are beginning to adopt similar strategies, reinforcing his vision.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is not a speculative, short-term investment; it is a long-term play.
The minimum recommended investment period for Bitcoin should be 10 years, while the optimal strategy is to hold it indefinitely.
Selling Bitcoin prematurely undermines its potential as an asset designed to preserve and grow wealth in an environment where politicians and central banks continue to print money, devaluing traditional currencies.
Betting against Saylor and Bitcoin is betting against a future where decentralized, deflationary assets redefine the financial system.
As Saylor often emphasizes, Bitcoin’s fixed supply and growing global adoption make it an asset poised to appreciate forever, rewarding those with the patience and foresight to hold for the long term.
Thank you for reading
Daveatt
Ethereum to 10KMy estimate is that Ethereum will drop more in the short term along with the altcoin market as a whole, towards some form of a liquidity sweep of the lows (yellow, because it is the next support area) before reclaiming the macro range eq (green). If this happens, I'd expect a consolidation near the range highs (Red), otherwise if it becomes an expedited recovery then we straight push all time high (very possible). This is ESPECIALLY expedited if we recover the EQ faster than this chart suggests.
This is not a chart to display my time-prediction, but rather the structure of price I would predict on a macro scale which could easily be translated into a weekly timeframe.
Question is, how low can we get involved for? I think we are short on time for that, as this prediction would give us traders more time than likely warranted. Remembering, we could be due for weeks of consolidation, therefore I personally DCA every chance I get; dollar cost average.
If you compare this chart to, say, Bitcoin in 2016, the similarities are surreal. This is a macro (long time frame) consolidation before a major, major , expansion, in my opinion.
Trade safely, trade wisely.
Vatsik
Total3 dumping, BTC crash. The untold reason.You'll hear it all over Twitter and YouTube: "The FED scared investors, and they decided to pull their money out, blah blah."
Let's be real—that's utter nonsense.
Investors had no real reason to pull money out of altcoins. Where would they move it to? The real story lies with the whales manipulating CRYPTOCAP:BTC to trap the ones who sold their CRYPTOCAP:BTC too early..
Here’s what really happened: we had a mini altseason, where many CRYPTOCAP:BTC holders took profits and shifted into altcoins. This caused a pump in CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 and a drop in BTC.D.
But then, to punish these moves and siphon off profits, the whales decided to crash CRYPTOCAP:BTC , conveniently using the FOMC as a cover.
If you sold CRYPTOCAP:BTC at, say, 100k and moved into riskier assets like SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:FLOKI , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK , or CRYPTOCAP:UNI , the whales made you lose 40%-50% of your capital by dumping CRYPTOCAP:BTC just 10%. Where did that lost value go? Straight into their pockets.
I know people who thought they were being clever, saying, "This is the peak; I'm moving to alts for x2 or x3 gains." Now they’ve lost 50% and are kicking themselves, wishing they’d never sold their $BTC.
This isn’t random. It’s not a coincidence. It’s a coordinated play to vacuum up the profits from anyone thinking they could outsmart the system.
DYOR.
The last bullish chance of BITCOIN in Short term!Bitcoin reached a new high yesterday but then dropped to $92,000 to liquidate positions. This price decline created a bearish scenario. As you can see, Bitcoin is forming a descending wedge. If this pattern breaks, the price could drop to $92,000. However, we cannot say Bitcoin is bearish right now because as long as the wedge does not break, Bitcoin can still be bullish. So, we wait to be sure.
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BTC/USDT Analysis:Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis:
The green box marks a crucial support level between $90,000 and $92,500.
Historically, this area has acted as a strong demand zone where buyers have stepped in to increase prices.
The price has broken below the mid-boundary of the ascending channel and is currently trading near the lower boundary.
A retest of the green box is possible if the bearish momentum persists.
The green moving average (possibly 200 EMA or similar) is slightly above the current price. This suggests that the price is losing upward momentum and the moving average could act as resistance on any bounce.
The red arrow on the chart indicates a possible move downwards towards the green support zone.
DYOR, NFA
@Peter_CSAdmin
BTC/USDT AnalysisBitcoin has broken down from the rising wedge pattern and retested the breakdown zone, encountering strong resistance from both the Ichimoku Cloud and the 200MA.
Key Resistance: The upper green zone is around $98,000–$99,000.
Support Zone: The horizontal black box around $92,000–$94,000 serves as immediate support.
A failure to hold above this support zone could continue the downtrend, potentially targeting the larger beige demand zone near $78,000–$80,000.
Conversely, if BTC reclaims the green resistance zone, it could invalidate the bearish outlook and push higher.
Overall, the bias remains bearish unless BTC reclaims key resistance levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM.
DYOR, NFA
@Peter_CSAdmin
KAIAUSDT - Technical Analysis and Trading Plan
Market Overview
KAIAUSDT has shown a strong bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, with signs of a potential trend reversal. The price is attempting to break the structure, and the target is set at 0.3997.
Key Observations
1. Descending Channel:
- KAIAUSDT has been trading within a descending channel for a significant period.
- A breakout above the channel will confirm bullish momentum.
2. Entry and Stop-Loss:
- Entry is identified around 0.2282, aligning with a rebound point.
- Stop-loss is placed at -5%, below the recent low, to minimize risks.
3. Take-Profit Level:
- The first target is highlighted at 0.3997, which aligns with prior resistance levels.
4. Bullish Momentum Signs:
- Price has been forming higher lows near the lower boundary of the channel, indicating potential accumulation.
Momentum and Indicators
1. Volume:
- Increased buying volume near the lower channel boundary indicates strong bullish interest.
2. Projection:
- If the price sustains above the entry level and breaks the channel, further upward momentum is expected.
---
Trading Plan
1. Entry Points:
- Enter around 0.2282, as the price is showing signs of reversal.
2. Stop-Loss:
- Set a stop-loss at 5% below the entry level to manage risks effectively.
3. Profit Targets:
- Primary Target: 0.3997, as highlighted on the chart.
4. Risk Management:
- Avoid over-leveraging and risk no more than 2% of total capital on this trade.
Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario:
- Price breaks out of the descending channel and continues toward the target of 0.3997.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- Failure to sustain above 0.2282 may lead to a retest of lower levels within the channel.
Pro Summary
KAIAUSDT is showing potential signs of a bullish reversal, supported by the channel pattern and volume analysis. Traders should monitor the breakout confirmation while aligning their trades with the defined entry, stop-loss, and target levels.
////
DYOR (Do Your Own Research)
This analysis serves as an overview of potential trading strategies and market behavior but is not exhaustive. Traders are encouraged to perform additional analysis to make informed decisions.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies and other financial instruments involves risks, including capital loss. Always consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
$BTC - Crucial Level We got a nice absorption into 92k, price rebounded with bullish flows in equities this brought back the passive buyer behind price.
So far, we're holding 96k during the weekend, however, weekly close will be a tell-tell as we need to get above m_rvwap
We're now rejecting at 98.5k and if we can't get above our m_rvwap , higher chance we'll slow bleed until 88k to 86k.
98.5k is a crucial level to reclaim in the short term, else, will consider this as bearish retest.
When and Where this Bull Market Ends / BTC.D and TOTAL3 BehaviorCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Bitcoin Dominance and Alt Season Trigger:
The chart indicates that when Bitcoin Dominance reaches around 59%-64%, there’s a high chance of an BTC dominance market correction. This level often signals the end of a Bitcoin rally and the start of funds flowing into altcoins.
You can use this dominance level as a timing signal to anticipate the start of the next alt season.
Historical Patterns and Timelines:
Key vertical markers show important dates from past cycles, such as 2018, 2021, and projected points for 2025. These points highlight recurring patterns that can help forecast the end of the current Bitcoin rally.
TOTAL3 Index Trends Relative to BTC:
The TOTAL3 index (all altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) shows that after Bitcoin Dominance declines, TOTAL3 often experiences a sharp rise. This pattern has repeated in previous cycles, hinting at a potential similar move in the upcoming alt season.
Bitcoin Price Rallies and Corrections:
The lower chart shows Bitcoin's bullish and bearish phases, typically lasting between 450 to 550 days. This timeframe can help estimate the remaining duration of the current Bitcoin rally.
Future Predictions:
Based on the chart, Bitcoin Dominance is expected to reach critical levels again in 2025, potentially marking the start of the next major alt season. While this timeline depends on market conditions and investor behavior, it offers a general framework.
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis📉 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis
⏰ Timeframe: 4-Hour
✅ Trend: Currently, Bitcoin is showing a bearish structure in the 4-hour timeframe.
🎯 Expectation: I anticipate further downside movement for Bitcoin, aligning with the arrow drawn in the analysis.
💬 For updates on this signal and access to more profitable setups:
1️⃣ Follow my TradingView page 📊
2️⃣ Send me a private message for additional guidance.
💎 Let’s navigate the market together! 💰
Bitcoin Crucial Support LevelBitcoin is still showing strong Support around the: GETTEX:92K zone area. Multiple times this area has been retested. Until we break bellow, I’m still optimistic🚀
Bulls have still managed to prevent the bears pushing price action further to the downside 👀😬
Remember this was just a correction, not a crash 💥 🙌🏻
Bitcoin | Low Timeframe TradeIf the market breaks below the red line, I will place an order at 98.464$ as shown in the figure. This is a low timeframe trade and please do not take too much risk on it. I usually do my analysis in the high timeframe and take most of my risk there.
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
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BTCUSDT Long - Short SqueezeFunding rate at its lows. I am expecting a short squeeze from the marked area. I'm bearish overall and will short around the marked levels (from 103k) based on the ETF inflows / outflows. Time / speed above 100k will tell which level will have the biggest chance of being the top.
Bitcoin Mid TermFirst Impression:
The BTC/USD pair appears to have dropped below the $95,000 level and is under selling pressure. Strong support levels are evident in lower regions. The price is retracing toward levels that previously acted as support during bullish moves.
Volume Analysis:
No notable increase in volume is observed on the chart. This could indicate that the current downward move is a low-volume correction or that the market is indecisive. However, if volume increases, the likelihood of the downtrend continuing may rise.
Price Action:
The price is trading around $94,000, showing downward movement. Below, key support levels are visible near $90,700, $88,000, and $85,000. These levels have historically been areas where strong buyers stepped in, making them potential zones for price reactions.
Positive Scenario:
If the price holds at $94,000 and starts a recovery move, it could climb back above $95,000. In this case, $97,500 would be the first target. Sustained movement above this level could push the price back toward the psychological resistance at $100,000.
Negative Scenario:
If the price drops below $94,000, a decline toward $90,700 becomes more likely. A break below this support level could lead to further declines to $88,000 and then $85,000. This scenario would indicate continued selling pressure.
High Probability:
Given current market conditions, it is highly probable that the price consolidates between $90,700 and $94,000 for some time. The balance of buyers and sellers in this zone will determine the direction of the next trend.
Overall:
The BTC/USD pair is trading near a critical support zone. The $94,000 level should be closely monitored; a drop below this level could drive the price toward lower supports. For upward recoveries, $95,000 and $97,500 are the first resistance levels to watch. Strategies should be adjusted based on volume and price action.