Brent: Knock, Knock!After it has knocked at the resistance line at $112.43 already twice, we expect Brent to rise above this mark and into the white zone between $113.88 and $123.14 to finish wave (2) in white. Afterwards, Brent should fall below the support lines at $104.67 and $97.56. There is a 28% chance, though, that Brent could soar through the white zone and climb above the resistance at $123.71 until the bottom of the pink zone between $133.80 and $137.40 first before moving downwards.
Brentcrudeoil
BrentCrudeOil short term updated 21/June/221)On Charts : Charts consist of 3-Dimensions - The X-factor ( Time or Cycle ), The Y- factor ( Price Geometry ), AND The Z-factor ( The Speed ).. 2)On Elliot Wave / Market Structure : Unlike Textbook written rule : ALL Impulsive wave comprise of ONLY a-b-c sub-waves NOT 1,2,3,4,5 waves.. AND there is NO Truncated 5th wave BUT ONLY wrong wave counts...
Disclaimer
Oil After Saudi Hikes Crude PricesBrent crude futures were trading at around $121 a barrel on Monday, after Saudi Arabia raised its oil prices for July. The country's official selling price for light crude was also raised. While it kept the premium for US barrels steady, it also raised prices for other products .
The gains were largely due to last week's decision by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) to increase its output by about 600,000 barrels per day in July and August. However, markets are still questioning the group's ability to meet the demand. At a time when the US is experiencing a spike in demand, China's easing of its Covid lockdowns is also helping to boost oil consumption.
As the US looks to increase the supply of crude oil to make up for the loss of Russian supplies, some traders noted that tUS might allow more Venezuelan and Iranian oil to be imported.
Oil prices to continue to rise?Last week's news headline, "OPEC sticks to production plan as high oil prices boost economy".
We could almost say oil is a necessity in our daily lives. For transport, for heating in cold countries.
Although we face high inflation, and a possible recession, would we expect oil to hit a point of demand destruction?
At this point, I doubt so. So there is a real possibility of oil prices hitting the high again.
Technical analysis wise, I am seeing a higher low into resistance.
On 18-19 April, it printed a head and shoulders at resistance on the 4H chart before heading back down to re-test the dynamic support, or the upward trendline. Expecting price to consolidate for a while at this area.
Brent: GlueyBrent is currently glued to the resistance at $114.74, where it has finished wave b in blue. However, we expect it to let go of this mark soon to fall into the turquoise zone between $101.67 and $99.83. There, it should complete wave a in turquoise and move back above $104.67 afterwards to finish wave b in turquoise. After that is settled, Brent should gradually fall below the support lines at $104.67, $97.56 and $93.57. There is a 40% chance, though, that Brent could climb above $114.74 and make a detour through the green zone between $117.78 and $133.52 first before moving downwards.
Crude Oil (ICE) Brent - "Big-picture" Bullish!Crude Oil (ICE) Brent - "Big-picture" Bullish!
A proportional countertrend retreat should set the stage for the next leg of the advance.
It's way too early to get a read on a potential shape for Supercycle wave (b) , but it should last for years and potentially retrace as much as 90%-105% of the wave (a) decline.
Stay tuned!
Brent: Parking Assistant 🚗Beep beep, beepbeepbeep, beebeepbeepbeepbeeeeeep
Brent seems to have afforded a parking assistant, judging by the neat way in which it has entered our white zone between $106.12 and $99.47 to finish wave c in blue and wave (B) in white. We expect it to turn around soon and to head for the next parking lot above $114.74, the green zone between $117.78 and $133.52. After Brent has completed wave B in green and wave (C) in white there, it should turn again and home in on the support at $97.56.
UKOIL LONG - Buy Entry - H4 ChartUKOIL LONG - Buy Entry - H4 Chart
Buy @ Market
Symbol: UKOIL BrentOil
Timeframe: H4
Type: BUY
Entry Price: Buy @ Market
Resistance @ 117.209
Resistance @ 114.778
Resistance @ 111.456
Support @ 105.692
Support @ 104.437
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Brent: Watch Your Head! 🤕Brent has been climbing and climbing and climbing and has actually maxed out the space until $114.74. There, it has finished wave (A) in white, butting its head at the resistance line, and subsequently turned around to move downwards. We expect Brent to drop into the green zone between $106.12 and $99.47 to recover and to complete wave (B) in white. Then, it should start to rise again, breaking through the resistance at $114.74 this time. After finishing wave (C) in white as well as wave B in green, ideally in the lower third of the green zone between $117.78 and $133.52, Brent should turn again, heading in the direction of $97.56.
brent crude oil as we expected,oil hits the first target and we gonna see a correction before the continue of the ride on this trend to the second target the stoploss is on break even and could move it below kijunsen to protect profit and still a chance to enter long after breaking the resistance and test it with a good price action candle and chikouspan break the cloud
Crude Oil Idea Nr_two (Brent Oil)Hello Traders
I posted an idea on WTI earlier today. This one is the same idea on UKOIL.
Here is a similar picture despite that the resistance above the price is a bit stronger. The support levels are similar to them on WTI and the downside move should be for both around 22%.
Brent bullish patternBrent has nice bullish pattern on Monthly chart. $180 is next target. Big brother please tell to OPEC something to rise oil supply in this difficult days.
Brent Buy signal Brent has new support zone, This time it has big chance to reach $100. First target is $85 resistance. A lot of interesting things are waiting for us ahead!
Brent oil price to remain elevated in range 84 - 90Hello traders,
As predicted earlier, with OPEC+ increasing supply from the beginning of 2022, the price for oil rose up and above 85. Upside trend has taken a pause or in technical terms "retracement" or "consolidation" after a strong up momentum.
As we can see in 4hrs charts upward momentum from 77 levels till 91. Now we will see prices move in range 84.5 - 89.5 for some time before it hikes to 100 levels.
Brent oil outlook for now and for next two months is not good for oil importing countries.
Reasons:
1. Increase in supply by OPEC+ and Shale gas producers cannot keep up with the demand.
2. Geo-political issue with Ukraine, Russia and NATO group of countries.
3. Frequent extreme weather is undermining the global supply chain making commodities expensive.
Happy trading,
Let’s not be surprised to see oil price rising above 85From the beginning of next year, OPEC+ countries are to increase crude oil production as discussed in OPEC+ meeting.
It is good news for oil importing countries because supply will overcome demand and therefore price for Crude oil will fall. In theory, it is correct but when we look at charts of Brent oil to USD, it tells us a different story.
After the fear of Omicron variant COVID-19 receded, oil prices immediately increased and broke through strong resistance of 76 levels, which I wasn't expecting to happen but later I realized the factor affecting oil prices is the increasing demand for oil by oil importing countries.
Well, it would be a good idea to stick to a long position and buy on every dips for the next couple of months until oil supply is fully restored by both, OPEC+ and US shale oil producers.
Disclaimer : Above idea is what I think can happen and not a recommendation or advice to buy/sell.
Good luck.
Brent Crude Prices May Soon Return to $80After a drop to $69.28 per barrel Brent crude prices quickly rebounded to the upside on Wednesday touching $74.57. And there are several fundamental and technical reasons for it.First, gas prices in Europe skyrocketed to $180 per MWh for ICE Dutch TTF January gas futures on Tuesday, or by 22.7% in a single day. This lift off of gas prices also pushed crude prices up as high gas prices are forcing consumers to move to alternative fuels, including various petroleum products.
The International Energy Agency (IEA) has reported that record high gas prices would increase oil demand by 500,000 bpd throughout Q1 2022, while the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported weekly crude stocks in the United States dropped by 3.67 million barrels, well above expected 2.63 million. Distillate stocks were down by 849,000 barrels and gasoline inventories were up by 3.7 million barrels.
According to the forecasts the Energy information Administration (EIA) is expected to officially report crude oil inventories to be down by 2.750 barrels.
Technically, Brent crude prices are within the ABC correction, where the decline from $86.70 per barrel to $65.72 created wave A. Now we have wave B that is usually in a form of a zigzag. The first part of this zigzag was the rise of Brent crude prices from $65.72 to $76.70 per barrel. The second part strongly correlates with the first one and could be at 61.8% of its length or the same as the first one.
Mathematically that would mean a potential for Brent crude prices to recover to $76.06 per barrel, or even to $80.26 per barrel. However, the correction might not be over yet as Brent crude prices haven’t fell below 61.8% of the previous rise from $65.72 to $76.70 per barrel.
Goldman Sachs oil may hit $100 per barrel over the next two years as the demand for oil continues to grow above existing record levels. However, a moderate expectation from Goldman Sachs suggests that average crude prices are likely to remain around $85 per barrel by the end of 2023.