cadjpy, longAs you can see in the chart, due to the weakness in the decline and the reaction to the support level, I expect an upward correction first, and then I will update the analysis if there is a reaction to the resistance level.
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Brentcrudeoil
USOILBeen charting this move since mid July 2022, we are getting close to a bottom IMO, currently
testing the bottom TL of the mega phone pattern.
Now looks like a support flipped into resistance.
Targets remain $45-$55 for a bottom and likely big bounce from there. Which is the 618% from the covid 2020 crash when prices went negative.
Brent Crude Oil Simple Chart AnalysisBrent Crude Oil - Seem supported if we draw a 2 red arrow there. If this area indeed supported & rebound, we will see our KLSE energy moved. Might retest 100 as resistance here.
Risk side, it might just be a technical rebound here cause there are no red chip aggressively appearing.
Brent tanking soonBrent is in a predominant falling wedge channel.
As I have mentioned this week, channels are always stronger than breakout patterns.
So we need the price to break below or above a certain level, before the price stops meandering...
The first target is to the top of the channel at $97 then down to $88 (channel).
If the price breaks below the channel then we could see a target of $67.65
I am bearish with Brent STILL.
Macro and TA is making Oil look ripe for an upward moveMacroeconomic trends with a rough heating season for Europe, the continued war in Ukraine, the internal troubles in Iran, and the most recent OPEC+ meeting makes the macro position for Oil look bullish.
Looking at the charts it looks likely that oil will challenge the downward trend that has persisted recent months and coming two days let us know if it'll begin a bullish upwards trend.
USOILThis is my primary count on USOIL. Seems likely that we test $66-$70 for the intermediate wave 4 & confirm the higher low & also support on the monthly ema's 50,100,200 before the final pump to $300 plus.
So currently looks like we are in the 4th of the 3rd about to start the 5th of the 3rd and then correct into the HTF 4th wave before starting the last push to the 5th into 2027.
Brent: Hang on! 🐻Bulls and bears are competing for preeminence, and both of them have gained the upper hand now and then. In the long run, we expect the bears to win this battle, though, and to drag Brent to the green zone between $77.10 and $42.16, where it should finish wave III in pink. After a short countermovement to complete wave IV in pink, Brent should enter the blue zone between $66.48 and $59.58, which is enclosed in the green zone and where wave V in pink and wave 3 in blue should end. Another countermovement should then lead Brent upwards again before it should dive into the green zone once more to finally conclude the overarching downwards movement. However, there is a 32% chance that the bulls could be stronger and drag Brent above the resistance at $95.76, which would then result in a detour until the next mart at $105.42 before the bears can take charge again.
Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ Analyze!!!Brent Crude ⛽️ Oil ⛽️ has passed the main wave W by Zigzag structure (5-3-5). Oil could finish Expanding Flat (3-3-5) or Main wave X at 138.03$ . Of course, the War can change my Scenario, but I don't expect Oil to break 177$ .
I expect the Brent Crude Oil to go DOWN at least to the upper line of Descending Channe & Support Zone .
Brent Crude Oil Analyze ( USDBRO ) Timeframe Monthly (Log Scale)
🔴 Resistance Zones 🔴 & 🟢 Support Zone 🟢 that we have in front of Brent Crude ⛽️Oil⛽️ .
🔴 Resistance Zone 🔴: 147$ until 135$
🔴 Resistance Zone 🔴: 178$ until 159$
🟢 Support Zone 🟢: 88.6$ until 83.3$
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OIl on up On the weekly chart, there is ether a strong Falling Wedge in the making.
If the price breaks up and out of the Falling Wedge, we can expect the price to move up to $155.000
If Brent Crude forms an M formation (Double top), it's possible for Brent Crude to be bearish and on the way down. But we need the double top to form first.
What are your thoughts...
Brent: Territory 🐻The bears have their territory under control and plan to extend it further, more precisely, till the blue lake between $76.67 and $70.61, where they should fish for the end of wave 3 in blue. However, there is a 38% chance that the bulls could make an appearance and challenge our furry friends. This challenge, though, should only be successful if they can make it above the resistance at $107.64. And even if they can assert themselves, their influence should merely last through the turquoise zone between $109.81 and $118.58. Then, the bears should regain power.
Brent Oil in trading range, low volumeMOEX:BR1! Brent Oil Futures has been in a trading range since March of 2022 on the daily chart forming a rectangle pattern. The support is found at $96.00 and the resistance at $124.00.
A close above $127.00 will confirm the pattern's breakout, with a target price of $152.00.
A close below $90.20 will confirm the pattern's breakout, with a price target of $73.30. Note that not every price target is met.
$BR1! has been trading below the 100 EMA since the first week of July of 2022.
It is essential to observe the low trading volume since the month of March. A low volume after an uptrend could indicate that the trend is ending, and a reversal might start.
Brent: You Can Do It!On its way down, Brent got stuck at the support line at $97.56. However, we expect it to struggle through and to make it into the blue zone between $94.50 and $89.73, where it should finish wave 5 in blue and wave a in turquoise. Then, Brent should move upwards, crossing even the resistance at $107.64, above which it should complete wave b in turquoise. Afterwards, Brent should resume the downwards movement and drop back below $107.64 as well as below $97.56.
Oil Futures Settle Lower On Demand WorriesDespite concerns about a potential recession, oil prices were still around $114 a barrel today as supply concerns outweighed concerns about a potential decline in demand. In the latest developments, workers in Norway went on strike, which is expected to cut the country's oil production by around 130,000 barrels a day.
Despite the global economic recovery, oil prices are still up more than 50% this year as the conflict in Ukraine and the lack of supply from other producers such as Russia have raised concerns about the supply of oil. OPEC+ has also been struggling to boost its production due to various factors. In addition, the Federal Reserve's aggressive monetary policy has also triggered a sell-off in commodities.
Investors are also closely monitoring the situation in China, where the country is still experiencing sporadic outbreaks of the virus.
Brent & Natural Gas PricesBrent Crude is around $111.36, as investors grew concerned about a potential global recession and the tight supply of crude. Data from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting OPEC Countries showed that its output fell by about 100,000 barrels per day in June.
Libya's oil exports have dropped to between 365 and 409 thousand barrels per day, which is about 865 thousand barrels below the level that was normal. Also, a planned strike in Norway will reduce the country's oil production by about 130 thousand barrels per day. Despite the recent rise in oil prices, the market is still expected to remain weak in the coming months due to the global economy and the lack of supply.
Natural gas prices in Europe started July at around 150, which is a level not seen since early March. The rising prices are expected to continue due to the tight supply of gas. A strike by workers in Norway this week is also expected to reduce the country's gas output by around 292,000 barrels per day. This could threaten the European Union's efforts to increase its storage capacity.
Due to the reduction in Russian gas flows through the Nord Stream pipeline, Germany, which is the EU's largest economy, has enacted the second phase of its emergency gas plan. It involves increasing the monitoring of the market and the restart of coal-fired power plants.