Get started

Breakouttrading

EURUSD potential upside move EURUSD is setting its self up in the same way US30 is, they’ve both seen consolidation after a sell off. Technical : EURUSD is having its 3 EMA cross over its 10 EMA to the upside while at the same time the Stochastic is crossing the 50-80% mark to the upside as well. Price action has also tested the Top trendline, possibly setting up for a break out. Waiting for candle closes is going to be KEY to confirm a crossover on the stochastic and EMAs
Long
by Iateyourcroissant
#HPLHPL Electric & Power Ltd ABOUT HPL Electric & Power Limited is a leading electrical equipment manufacturer in India operating for the past 40 years. The Company has significant presence across five key product verticals of electric equipment – metering solutions, modular switches, switchgears, LED lighting and wires and cables. It caters to a wide spectrum of customer segments, such as power utilities, government agencies, and retail and institutional customers, with a strong brand recall as a trusted electrical brand. It exports its finest engineering goods to more than 42 countries in regions of Asia, Africa, Europe, UK and Indian Sub-continent through the overseas logistic partners. KEY POINTS Market Share The company is the largest manufacturer of on-load change-over switches with a 50% market share in the country. It also has a market share of 20% in domestic electric meters market. It also has 5% market share in the Low-voltage Switchgear Market. It is the 5th largest LED manufacturer in the country. Manufacturing Capabilities The Company has seven manufacturing facilities at Gurugram, Jabli, Kundli & Gahraunda with end-to-end capabilities. Its well organised supply chain is supported by 21 warehouses across India . Its manufacturing process is supported by 2 R&D facilities in Gurugram & Kundli with more than 100 engineers. Established Distribution Network HPL has established a pan-India distribution network with 900+ authorised dealers and 45,000+ retailers across India in order to reinforce its brand presence and leverage on the growing potential of India’s electrical equipment industry in metros and Tier I and II cities. The company plans to increase the retailers to 1,00,000 by March 2025 Revenue Breakup Metering products contributes 53%, the rest is from Consumer & Industrial 47%. Orderbook The company has a strong order book of Rs1500+ cr with meter & systems contributing 82% and the consumer and industrial segment contributing 18% of the current order book.
NSE:HPLLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
#RAYMONDRaymond Realty The company started phase 1 of the real estate business in Feb 2019.It has planned development of 20 acres of residential development − Phase 1: ~14 acres of development Total 10 towers with ~2.7 mn sq. ft of saleable area Total units planned for sale: 2,976. Cumulative bookings of 1,173 units till Dec-20 The company received ~Rs.1610 crs as booking value in Real estate in FY23. In total , Raymond received total booking value of ~ ₹3,900 Cr. within 4 years of launch Debt Reduction The company reduced its debt by ~Rs. 400 crs to Rs. ₹689 crs. as of FY23. PROS Company has delivered good profit growth of 37.4% CAGR over last 5 years Debtor days have improved from 62.0 to 33.1 days. Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 71.5 days to 55.3 days
NSE:RAYMONDLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
#MANGLMCEMPositive factors Improving scale of operation leading to increase in total operating income (to greater than ₹2,000 crore) and profitability (profit before interest, lease rentals, depreciation and tax (PBILDT) margin greater than 18%) on a sustained basis Improving capital structure (overall gearing less than 0.5x) and debt protection metrics (PBILDT interest coverage greater than 5.0x) on a sustained basis Negative factors Lower-than-envisaged profitability leading to decline in PBILDT interest coverage going below 2.00x on sustained basis Large-scale debt-funded capital expenditure (capex) leading to deteriorating capital structure
NSE:MANGLMCEMLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
Tesla - Is it a fakeout?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Tesla. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: Back in 2020 we had a decent break and retest on Tesla stock which was followed by a pump of +1.500% towards the upside. Then Tesla topped out in 2021 and we saw sideways movement ever since. At the moment Tesla stock is trading in a bullish flag formation and is hovering around the psychological $200 level. Soon there will be a very interesting trading opportunity on Tesla stock. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
4
BEL is poised for an upward momentum upto 15%BEL has seen a good breakout of 52 week high on daily TF after almost a consolidation of 30 days weeks with good volume on daily TF. The company has increased institutional investing, govt interest and a healthy QoQ growth for the last 3 quarters to add to strength. Good for swing traders to hold for 15 days. Entry - INR 220 (Trade Initiated) SL - (Day Low) TSL - According to your risk profile. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information provided is not intended as financial advice. It is imperative to conduct thorough research before making any investment or trading decisions.
NSE:BELLong
by Rokdevildivine
#NHPC Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 49.5% The company is actively engaged in the construction of 15 Solar and Hydro Power Projects of 10449 MW Capacity (including JV & Subsidiaries). Total projects under clearance stood at 4112 MW and projects under survey stood at 4110 MW as on Dec’23. MOUs Company has signed a MoU on 3 Jan 2024 with GPCL for proposed investment of Rs.4000 Cr in Kuppa Pumped Storage Project (750 MW), Chhota Udaipur, Gujarat. Company signed an MOU with Govt. of Odisha through GRIDCO Limited on 23 Jun 2023 for Development of Pumped Storage Projects and Renewable Energy in the State of Odisha. It signed an MOU on 23 Aug 2023 with APGENCO for Implementation of Pumped Hydro Storage Projects and Renewable Energy Projects under Joint Venture Mode in Andhra Pradesh. The MOU envisages Implementation of two Identified Pumped Hydro Storage Projects namely Kamlapadu- 950 MW and Yaganti 1000 MW PSPs in the first phase. Focus Being a hydro power company shifting its focus toward the renewable energy segment as well. Out of 10499 MW capacity under construction 1135 MW is for Solar power. It has recently signed a contract to develop additional 2000 MW solar power capacity in Rajasthan. About 9090 MW Solar power capacity is under Tender and pipeline including as a Intermediary Procurer.
NSE:NHPCLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
Alphabet (Google) - 330% Rally ahead!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Alphabet. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: About 8 years ago Alphabet stock created the first retest and rejection of the long term ascending bullish trendline. Then we had a lot of retests of this trendline, the last one being in the beginning of 2023 and this retest was followed by another decent bullish rejection. Last month Alphabet stock broke out of an ascending triangle formation and is now just very very bullish. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by basictradingtv
2
PayPal - Is the stock dead?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at PayPal. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: With the Covid-Crash in 2020 we saw a beautiful bullish break and retest on PayPal in confluence with a retest of an ascending trendline. This retest was followed by a rally of +200% towards the upside. From there, PayPal stock declined more than 80% and it is likely that we will never ever see the previous highs again. If you decide to take a trade though, make sure to properly manage your risk. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by basictradingtv
3
TRENT has a pennant pattern for an upward momentum upto 10%TRENT has been seen on a pennant chart pattern and is on the verge of a good breakout on daily TF after almost a consolidation of almost 2 months. The company has increased institutional investing, a good 50% and above increase in sales QoQ growth for the last 3 quarters and EPS growth of 40% to 100% in the last quarter. Good for swing traders. Can hold for about 10-15 days. Entry - INR 4080 (Kept in WL, will wait for breakout with good volume.) SL - (Swing Low) - 5% TSL - According to your risk profile post 10% Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information provided is not intended as financial advice. It is imperative to conduct thorough research before making any investment or trading decisions.
NSE:TRENTLong
by Rokdevildivine
Options Blueprint Series: Debit Spreads - Precision InvestingIntroduction to Options on Corn Futures Corn Futures are one of the staple commodities traded on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT), representing a critical component of the agricultural sector's financial instruments. Each Corn Futures contract is standardized to 5,000 bushels, and the price is quoted in USD-cents per bushel. Contract Specifications: Point Value: 1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel = $12.50. Margins: Trading on margin allows traders to leverage positions while only needing to cover a fraction of the total contract value. For Corn Futures, the initial margin requirement is set by the CME Group and varies based on market volatility: Currently $1,300 per contract at the time of this publication. Options trading introduces another layer of complexity and opportunity. Debit spreads involve purchasing one option and selling another, which helps manage the overall cost of entering the market. Margin for Debit Spreads: The margin for debit spreads typically reflects the premium paid for the long position minus any premium received from the short position. This results in a significantly lower margin requirement compared to trading the underlying futures contract outright. (In the below example the net premium paid for the spread is 7.26 points = $363, which is significantly lower than $1,300). Understanding Debit Spreads Debit spreads are a sophisticated options trading strategy utilized primarily to achieve a targeted investment outcome while managing risk exposure. They are constructed by purchasing an option (call or put) while simultaneously selling another option of the same type (call or put) but with a different strike price, within the same expiration period. The aim is to reduce the net cost of the position, as the premium received from the sold option offsets part of the cost incurred from the bought option. Mechanics of Debit Spreads: Long Position: You buy an option that you expect to increase in value as the market moves in your favor. Short Position: You sell another option with a higher strike (in the case of a call spread) or a lower strike (in the case of a put spread). This option is expected to expire worthless or decrease in value, offsetting the cost of the long position. Advantages of Using Debit Spreads: Defined Risk: The maximum loss on a debit spread is limited to the net premium paid plus transaction costs. This makes it easier to manage risk, especially in volatile markets. Potential for Profit: Although the profit potential is capped at the difference between the strike prices minus the net debit paid, these spreads can still offer attractive returns relative to the risk undertaken. Lower Cost of Entry: Compared to buying a single option, spreads typically require a lower upfront investment, making them accessible to a wider range of traders. This strategic application is what we'll explore next in the context of Corn Futures, where market conditions suggest a potential breakout. Application in Corn Futures For traders looking to harness the volatility in the agricultural sector, especially in commodities like corn, debit spreads can be a precision tool for structured trading. Given the current trading range of Corn Futures, with prices oscillating between 424 cents and 448 cents per bushel for a number of weeks, a strategic setup can be envisioned aiming for an upward breakout towards 471 cents, a resistance level indicated by Sell UnFilled Orders (UFOs). Strategy Implementation with Debit Spreads: Long Call Option: Buying a call option with a strike price near the lower end of the current range (450) positions traders to benefit from potential upward movements. Premium paid is 10.39 ($519.5) Short Call Option: Simultaneously, selling a call option with a strike price at 475 cents caps the maximum profit but significantly reduces the cost of entering the trade. This strike is chosen because it aligns closely with the expected UFO resistance level, enhancing the probability of the short option expiring worthless. Premium received is 3.13 ($156.5). The net cost of the spread ($519.5 - $156.5 = $363) represents the total risk. We are using the CME Group Options Calculator in order to generate fair value prices and Greeks for any options on futures contracts. Setting up the Trade To potentially capitalize on the anticipated market movement for Corn Futures, our debit spread strategy will involve a detailed setup of options trades based on specific strike prices that align with market expectations and technical analysis. This step-by-step guide will provide clarity on how to effectively enter and manage this options strategy. Trade Details: Long Call Option: Buy a call option with a strike price of 450. This option is chosen as it is near the current upper boundary of the trading range, providing a favorable entry point as we anticipate a breakout. Short Call Option: Sell a call option with a strike price of 475. This strike is selected based on its proximity to the identified resistance level at 471, suggesting a high likelihood that the price may not exceed this level before expiration. Cost and Profit Analysis: Net Premium Paid: $363 as discussed above. Break-even Point: Long strike price (450) plus the net premium paid = 457.26. Maximum Profit: The maximum profit for this debit spread is capped at the difference between the two strike prices minus the net premium paid = 475 – 450 – 7.26 = 17.74 = $887. Maximum Loss: The maximum risk is limited to the net premium paid. Risk Management By entering a debit spread, traders not only define their maximum risk but also set clear targets for profitability based on established market thresholds. This methodical approach ensures that even if the anticipated price movement does not fully materialize, the financial exposure remains controlled. Risk Management Techniques: Position Sizing: Determine the appropriate size of the position based on overall portfolio risk and individual risk tolerance. Stop-Loss Orders: Although the maximum loss is capped by the nature of the debit spread (the net premium paid), stop-loss orders can be used if the underlying asset moves against the trader. Rolling the Spread: If market conditions change or the initial price target is reached earlier than expected, consider 'rolling' the spread. Adjusting the Trade: If the price of Corn Futures approaches the short strike price (475) faster than anticipated, and market sentiment indicates further upward potential, the short call option can be bought back while a new higher strike call can be sold. This adjustment aims to extend the profitable range of the spread without increasing the original risk by much. Conversely, if the price seems unlikely to reach the 450 mark, reassess the viability of keeping the spread open. It may be prudent to close the position early to preserve capital if fundamental market factors have shifted negatively. Importance of Continuous Monitoring: Regularly monitor market conditions, including factors like weather reports, agricultural policies, and economic indicators that significantly impact corn prices. Stay updated with technical analysis charts and adjust strategies according to new resistance and support levels identified. Effective risk management not only protects from downside risk but also enhances the potential for profitability by adapting to changing market conditions. Conclusion The strategic use of debit spreads in Corn Futures options trading offers a balanced approach to leverage market opportunities while maintaining strict control over potential risks. Recap of Key Points: Corn Options on Futures: Understanding the contract specifics is crucial for informed trading decisions. Debit Spreads: These allow traders to benefit from expected price movements with reduced upfront costs and limited risk. Trade Setup: Focused on a potential breakout from the 448-424 range aiming towards 471, utilizing 450 and 475 strikes for the long and short calls respectively. Risk Management: Emphasizes the importance of position sizing, potential use of stop-loss orders, and the flexibility to adjust or roll the spread according to market changes. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZC1!Education
by traddictiv
2
Bank of India - Finally this guy is looking strong with multipleBank of India - Finally this guy is looking strong with multiple bullish structures 1. Rounding Bottom BO already done above 118 but price went into consolidation mode ever since 2. After BO, price started following Parallel channel and travelled from One shore to Other Shore - Flat for 4 months since Jan 2024 3. Now, the boat has touched the other side of river bank and strong 11% jump after that 4. Also in the past 4 weeks, price has formed a Bullish Continuation Candlestick pattern - 2 Black crows pattern The last and final resistance to be broken is 152. Once above 152 WCB, price would fly to 165, 195, 225 Disclaimer: 3+ Years Teaching Experience in Stock Market - Technical Analysis, Advanced Patterns, Emotional Management, News based Trading... We are NOT SEBI Registered and Our focus is NOT providing Buy/Sell Recommendations/calls. Primary Objective is to provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi-timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide irrespective of its Side" *** Important *** Consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions If you like our detailed analysis, please do rate us with your Likes, Boost and share your comments -Team Stocks-n-Trends
NSE:BANKINDIALong
by Stocks-n-Trends
Consolidation in COAL INDIA - Expect a 15% upmove post breakout COAL INDIA - is nearing its 52 week high with decreasing supply on a daily time frame with a consolidation from the past 100 days. The company has seen an influx of institutional investing. Coal has also been a silent performer and will only increase with the dependency on the product. Good for swing traders to be kept on watchlist. Look for volume gain above the 30w moving average on weekly time frame. Can expect an upward momentum of a min of 25%. Entry - On breakout - INR 455 and above. SL - swing low of 3% TSL - According to your risk profile. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information provided is not intended as financial advice. It is imperative to conduct thorough research before making any investment or trading decisions.
NSE:COALINDIALong
by Rokdevildivine
VCP in NITIRAJ ENGINEERS - 25% up move expected after breakout NITIRAJ is nearing its 52 week high with a dry up in volume on a daily time frame with a consolidation from the past 2 months The company has a minimum 400% increase in EPS QoQ growth for the last 3 quarters. Good for swing traders. Can expect an upward momentum of a min of 25%. Entry - INR 180(Trade Initiated) SL - (MA 50) - 5% TSL - According to your risk profile. Disclaimer: Please be advised that the information provided is not intended as financial advice. It is imperative to conduct thorough research before making any investment or trading decisions.
NSE:NITIRAJLong
by Rokdevildivine
AMD - Correction And LongsHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of AMD. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: After the massive triangle breakout on AMD in 2016, we saw a rally of more than +7.000% towards the upside. After the recent bear market in December of 2021, where AMD perfectly retested previous structure, we saw another rally of +250%. I am now waiting for a retest of the triangle breakout level mentioned in the analysis and then I will look for even more long setups. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:AMD
by basictradingtv
9
CARVANA $CVNA - Feb. 15th, 2024CARVANA NYSE:CVNA - Feb. 15th, 2024 BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $48.00 - $60.00 DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $40.00 - $48.00 SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $25.25 - $40.00 By request. My main focus would be on the range between $40.00 - $48.00, this area has determined the trend five times, which are seen each time price touches and breaks or touches and rejects. Currently I'm looking at a bull trend that was set after a breakout of the range in the $40-$48 zone. Any data before June 2023 I was not considering. If I had to look for an upside target, assuming the trend stays bullish long term once price reaches $60, the next logical point would be $103. Due to the lack of data and because price is trading away from the start of my bullish zone, I personally would not look to enter until there is a reaction to the $60 area or a pullback to the $48/$49 zone.
NYSE:CVNALong
by TonyAiello
3