Complete analysis - shooortS&P 500
Bias:
• Weekly – Uptrend
• Daily – Downtrend
• 4H – Uptrend
• 1H – Uptrend
Fair Value Gap’s.
• 5,740 – 5,830 on the daily
• 6,038 – 5,934 on the daily, filled in by last candle
• 5,979 – 6,016 on the 2H, (23 Dec 15.30 – 24 Dec 11.30)
Order Block:
• 6,037 – 6,063 on the 1H, (17 Dec 15.30 – 18 Dec 11.30)
• 5,892 – 5,840 on the 30M (19 dec 15.30 – 20 Dec 09.30)
Liquidity pool:
• 5,700
• 5,854 (Got hit at 09.30 and Bullishly swept from 09.50 ending in a Premium short with the use of Equilibrium at 12.00)
• 6,102
I think we are going to se it draw back in to the FVG that the last three 2H candles created before then testing the Order Block at 6,037 – 6,063 and procced to hunt the liquidity laying at 6,103 since it’s on a bullish rally on the daily since 20 Dec after hitting Liquidity laying there.
Before dipping all the way down to the FVG at 5,740 – 5,830.
And I think it will go on to the Premium buy side since the market would probably want to hit the Liquidity laying at 5,700.
Though I really doubt it is going to hit that since we are in an weekly uptrend.
From the previous reactions of all the building block I showed it seems it will still follow the same pattern if not any news shows up, I have showed prices reacting of previously named building blocks and then proceeded to predict it next moves based on that the market will continue that pattern.
Ideally the best entry for a short would in my opinion be at 6,102 and above after seeing a break of structure to the downside at the 15M chart.
I am pretty new to this so would love any feedback. You don’t agree with the analysis? Then please comment why so I could see you’re resoning.
BOS
Healthcare Sector (XLV) Long-Term BuyI believe healthcare will be the next rotation coming out of this tech bull run. Using the Trade Jeanie (Jeanius Screener/Indicator), I was able to see the current technical buy signals happening on AMEX:XLV :
Took out an untested low
Price touching 21EMA while the 9EMA > 21EMA
Retested a level that was broken to create a break of structure (BOS & Retest)
The Jeanius Indicator shows green 'Combo' labels every time this same combination of signals happened
How NC Zones WorkHey,
Why not share some knowledge while we at it.
I've been trading these zones for many years now..
If you want to understand them, it starts like this;
Look for imbalances (new capital indicator find it for free)
Make sure the imbalance is engulfed.
Draw in a zone.. (Called the imbalance zone)
Now see if this imbalance zone achieved something...
Like taking out a trendline zone.. or taking out a trend.
Happy studying :)
Happy wknd,
Max
XAU/USD: Preparing for a Buy on 15-Minute Chart
Overview:
After observing a consolidation period on the 15-minute chart, XAU/USD is showing promising signs of a bullish breakout. The chart attached highlights a critical break of structure (BOS) along with a forecasted path that suggests a possible uptrend continuation.
The recent price action has breached previous short-term lows, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This break of structure could be an early signal of smart money positioning before a significant upward movement.
A marked red arrow points to a key structural break, suggesting a potential entry point for a long position. The idea is to initiate a buy once we see a clear break above this resistance, confirmed by increased volume and bullish candle closure.
The purple line indicates a potential upward trajectory for the price following the breakout. The forecast is based on historical price patterns and expected market psychology post-breakout.
Entry: Buy after a confirmed breakout above the current OB with a solid bullish candlestick.
Stop Loss: Just below the most recent low prior to the breakout to mini exposure.
Take Profit: Initial target set at the recent high, with a possibility to extend gains if the upward momentum continues.
This setup provides a compelling opportunity for traders looking to capitalise on a breakout strategy in gold. As always, ensure to manage risk appropriately and adjust your trading plan based on real-time market conditions.
POTENTIAL BUY GBPUSD M15 SCALPINGI see there is a demand zone in GBPUSD M15. After there is movement, the structure breaks. Starting scalping trading might be a sensible idea,If an ema user targets an EMA of 200 H1, I think the price is quite possible to get there. Hopefully I'm really. Happy trading. Keep trading safe with SL.
Note: any risks regarding this trading idea are not our responsibility.
SIMPLE ICT CONCEPTS FOR TRAADING SYNTHETIC INDICES The Inner Circle Trader (ICT) concept for trading Deriv synthetic indices involves using sophisticated market analysis techniques and proprietary trading strategies. It focuses on understanding market mechanics, price action, and order flow to make informed trading decisions. ICT strategies leverage advanced tools and ICT knowledge to predict synthetic market movements, optimizing entry and exit points for higher profitability and risk management.
AUD-USDThe audusd pair breaks the resistance level at 0.66500 and closes the candle above this level. Now the market is testing again this level to give a big move to the upside level. There is also another strong resistance level at 0.68500. the market breaks this resistance and then turns into support, and if the market holds this support level of 0.66500 then we see an upside move.
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 13/05/2024 At 8:25 AM EST, we got to our trading desk and started the day doing the basics on our Judas Swing strategy checklist which includes:
- Making sure the timezone is set to New York time
- Making sure we're on the 5 min timeframe
- Marking the trading period from 00:00 - 08:30
- Marking the high and low of the zone
Next, we patiently awaited price action to take the liquidity positioned on either side of the trading zone, providing us with a directional bias for the trading period. In this instance, liquidity was taken at the highs after 10 minutes, signaling our focus would be on identifying potential selling opportunities.
To avoid getting trapped, we waited for price to create a Break of Structure (BOS) to the opposite side (sell side) to indicate selling. Subsequently, our focus shifted to identifying the initial Fair Value Gap within the displacement leg that broke structure.
Next, we waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed. In this case, the subsequent candle that formed was a bullish one, closing within the Fair Value Gap.
Our stop loss is set above the high that formed the Break of Structure (BoS) leg, with a minimum requirement of 10 pips. In this instance, placing the stop loss above the high would result in only 7 pips, necessitating an increase to meet the 10-pip minimum. This rule was established not by chance, but through extensive backtesting of numerous trades, demonstrating how it prevents us from being stopped out before price moves in our favor.
After executing our trade, we experienced a significant drawdown that nearly reached our stop-loss level, only for the price to eventually reverse in our favor. Had we set a 7 pip stop, we would have been stopped out; however, our rule of a minimum 10 pip stop saved us from that outcome.
Although the price reversed again and entered a drawdown, we remained unfazed by this reversal due to our cautious risk management strategy. We had committed just 1% of our capital to this trade, with the prospect of a 2% return. We maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52% on GBPUSD trades.
The GBPUSD pair then consolidated around our entry point, prolonging our involvement in this trade. However, based on our collected data, we anticipated an average position duration of 6 hours and 35 minutes, which could extend to 2x-3x longer for the trade. Patience is crucial in trading, as it often places you in challenging situations
We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
Trading EURUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 24/04/2024At 8:45 AM EST EURUSD made a big move down that took out the Judas Swing Zone Low. Then it came straight back up to create a BOS(break of structure).
After the liquidity grab at the low and the subsequent break of structure (BOS), we patiently awaited a retracement towards the initial Fair Value Gap (FVG) that emerged during the displacement leg.
We then waited for price to retrace, filling or touching the created Fair Value Gap (FVG), and only executed our trade once the candle that touched or entered the FVG had closed.
After executing the trade, price initially moved favourably in our direction. However, it later took a turn towards our stop loss. Despite this, we maintained confidence in our strategy, given its extensive backtesting, which has demonstrated a win rate of 52.78% on EURUSD.
Despite being in a drawdown at this point, we remained steadfast in our approach. Having accepted the calculated risk of only 1% of our account for a potential 2% gain, we were unfazed by the proximity of price to our stop loss, and maintained our trust in the strategy.
Price eventually reversed and paused briefly around our entry point before resuming its favourable movement. We remained unperturbed by the duration of the trade, as our strategy data indicates an average trade duration of 8 hours and 27 minutes.
We patiently waited, and our persistence paid off when our target was finally reached, securing a 2% gain on the trade where we had risked 1%
BTC - retest for the push to 70kIt seems as we are getting some interesting potential setups as BTC has some difficulties moving above the supply between 67.000$ and 68.000$. Therefore I think we have to "reload" for another push upwards. For this reload I am eyeing the FVG at 65.310$ and the demand below it to hold. Ideally this could be just a wick . down below our range that we have reclaimed. This should bive us enough strenght to push to 70k.