Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 12, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has surged past January 2, 2024, completing the Inner Coin Rally 45900 and, as a result, also topping our designated Next #1 Outer Coin Rally 47500. In addition, Bitcoin has retraced back to our target Mean Sup 42800 after completing a pivotal squeeze, as shown in last week's chart analysis. Currently, it is regaining its lost ground by revisiting the newly-created Mean Res 47000 and extending beyond it.
Blockchain
The "EXPERTS" are wrong! The bull run is upon us!This chart is to show anyone still on the fence about buying bitcoin, weather the bottom is in and if bitcoin is about to enter a bull market.
Lets take a look at this 2 week chart of bitcoin with three indicators.
1 CM ULTIMATE MA
2 PI CYCLE BOTTOM (only the short MA to keep it clean)
3 TRADERS DYNAMIC INDICATOR (TDI)
All three of these indicators are screaming that not only the bottom is for 6 months now but that the bull run is right around the corner. We can also see that price action would battle here with these areas until they broke above and confirmed the bull run, we are not there yet, but bitcoin is in the amidst of this battle as we speak. So, once these lines are conquered the bull should be official. It will not go below until the bull run is over. the one exception for this is covid in 2020, but it fairly quickly recovered from.
Lets look at the facts.
The thick green line that turns red in bear trends is the cm ultimate and the thinner green is pi cycle. Three previous times in history the pi line has crossed down below the cm ultimate which marked the eventual bottom. The cross up is what is important here as every other time in history marked the bottom well behind it and was approaching the inevitable next bull phase. {Highlighted with ovals}
Now the TDI
The TDI is actually showing confluence which only strengthens our analysis. The TDI also showed bullish divergence for many weeks before the latest breakout mark with yellow lines. Also the TDI shows strength and momentum build up as we compare it to the previous market cycles. The red line first makes a bottom and then crosses the green line. then it crosses the median yellow line and the green line then follows it. When both the red and green lines crossed the median yellow line in previous history, the bull run followed very shortly after. {highlighted with bigger ovals}
So, according to these indicators the bull market is coming very soon. We can have another big correction here soon, but the as long as the criteria is met the rocket ship will leave orbit.
Thank you
WeAreSat0shi
Stay blessed!
Rumors of Bitcoins demise have been greatly exaggerated. Bitcoin is now out of a bear market and is in it's initial phase of the bull market. That's not what the news is saying. The news says the worst is yet to come, I don't agree. Let's have a look.
First, the green and red zone is Gaussian Channel. It turns red in bear markets and green in bull markets. Once it turns green it stays green for the entire bull market. Well sir, it's not green, it's still red. Yes this is a lagging indicator, by the time it turns green bitcoin will be preparing to enter the next phase of the bull market.
Down below we have the crypto fear and greed indicator. I have drawn a yellow line where the support for this indicator should most likely stay the entire bull run. The corrections should go to the NEUTRAL area of 47. It is possible for it go lower like 46 45 in fear but It should recover quickly. A substantial break of this zone would likely mean the bull market is over.
How do we know all this stuff? How can we verify it? WE would look left on the chart. History may not repeat exactly, but it does rhyme.
This is my analysis of the bear market transitioning into a bull market. From last September I was calling for the Bull market to start in March of 2023. Look a the break out candle. Mid March, NAILED IT!!
We can see when prices fell in November that the fear and greed was actually rising creating a bullish divergence.
I don't expect prices to fall below into this yellow shaded section again. That doesn't mean it can't, if it does, it will not last long in my opinion. It will get bought up very quick.
Please feel free add comments or ask questions down below.
Thanks for looking
WeAreSar0shi
EWT Building an out of bear market move!Energy Web Token.
EWT has shown some decent strength in this bear market, but not soo much as of late. I think this recent downtrend might soon be at an end.
As we can the price is at the bottom of the it's bear market for as possible double bottom and the indicators are higher and showing signs of turning.
Lets take a look at the indicators
1 Volume, it has increased during the bear market
2 The RSI although not very strong is showing bullish divergence
3 The TDI is showing similar signs to the RSI
4 Stochastics RSI has bottomed
5 RCI3 lines has also bottomed
We are waiting for 4 & 5 to cross up. Once this happens it will show the momentum in this next move building and imminent. Both are circled on the chart.
My Price target would be @ the $7.60 (1.618 fib) to $10.75 (2.618 fib) area. That is based off of it's recent move in the bear market. There is also another price of interest, $9.26 area would be the .236 fib area from it's bull market peak. this also lines up with another resistance level in prices so this price is most likely. Then you would look for for it to catch support at top of the bear market resistance level (shaded area) @ $4.85 area.
kind regards
WeAreSat0shi
BTC - Next Stop 50k 📍 Unless!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
In my latest analysis, BTC successfully surpassed the 45,000 resistance and traded higher.
However, yesterday, BTC faced rejection at the 48,000 level and the upper boundary of the orange wedge pattern.
Now, what's next?
📈 BTC is anticipated to remain bullish , and we anticipate a potential movement towards the weekly resistance zone between 48,000 and 50,000, as long as the 44,500 support level is maintained.
📉 In the event of a downward break below the lower red trendline and the 44,500 support level, we expect a continuation of bearish movement until reaching the lower boundary of the orange wedge pattern, approximately around 42,500.
Which scenario do you believe is more likely to occur first, and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bearish Crab Visible on the Crypto/Blockchain ETFBLOK is an ETF aimed at holding many Crypto and Blockchain related stocks, some of its top holdings include COIN, MSTR, MARA, RIOT, and SBI Holdings. There was a time in late 2021 where it had topped out at the PCZ of a Bearish Gartley/Bat confluence zone depending on how you plotted it and it has since gone down over 66%, however in recent months, we've seen the price of the stock begin to recover as it has made a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement from the all-time high to the most recent lows. The original level it bounced from was the 0.886 of a Bullish Shark, however we may now see this shark turn into a Bearish 5-0 as the 0.382 aligns with the PCZ of a more local Bearish Butterfly and this could result in BLOK making a lower low and would overall be a more profitable and slightly indirect way to get bearish options positioning on Coinbase and Microstrategy without buying into the overpriced puts of the underlying assets.
I will leave an link to the previous 2021 bearish setup on BLOK which resulted in the top for reference as well as a link to the bullish setup that has just played its course on COIN in the related ideas section below.
SOL 🎵 Please Don't Stop The MusicHello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
Weekly: Left Chart
📊 As per our last analysis, SOL broke above the 50.0 round number signaling the start of the MarkUp phase, and then reached our around 130.0.
H4: Right Chart
📈 SOL has been bullish from a medium-term perspective trading inside the rising broadening wedge in red.
This week, SOL rejected the 130.0 and upper red trendline and traded lower.
Currently, it is sitting around the lower bound / red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
🏹 Thus, as long as the trendline holds, we will be looking for trend-following buy setups on lower timeframes.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC.d Losing Support and the Bullrun is Around the CornerBTC.d gets strong in bear markets and corrections. When it starts to lose support and drop, it means a full alt season is on the way.
The vertical white lines mark the Halving events and the red vertical lines are marking the ATH events.
Check my other analysis which sums up this prediction supporting the beginning of the alt season.
Blockchain Bull and Bear Cycles RoadmapThe future is already written on cycles. Waste no time, the demand for ETH and ALTs is about to explode and you should be paying attention because right now is the best time to change all of your BTC for ETH and enjoy a more profitable run.
After we get the current support, the bear will begin only in 2026 at resistance, while the next bull is already scheduled for 2028.
See you there.
$BTC 2024 Bullrun targetsMarked on the chart is the Halving Trend pattern I identified by marking the second rejection after ATH's, which crossing with the halving date tells exactly the halving price on the halving day.
The falling wedge of the bear market will eventually get support after a ~4th hit and align with the halving trend line, which is the same on all runs.
We can predict the day of the next ATH around 1st November 2025. You don't want to hold any crypto on this day but rather collect all rewards and short the market (NFA)
The next ATH will be somewhere in 2024 as it also happened in all previous runs, right in the middle between the halving and the target macro.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin had a successful week of trading. It completed our Inner Coin Rally 45900, a positive indicator for the crypto market. Bitcoin is currently fluctuating between a Key Resistance of 45000, a level the currency is trying to surpass, and a Mean Support range of 42800, indicating a potential upward trend in price.
XRP Analysis and Trading Plan for 2024 📊Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Daily: Left Chart
XRP has been hovering inside a significant range between 0.55 and 0.75, and it is currently retesting the lower bound of the range.
Moreover, it is approaching the lower red trendline of the channel that XRP has been respecting for a couple of weeks now.
🏹 Hence, XRP is situated around a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue support and the lower red trendline.
Thus, we will be looking for buy setups on lower timeframes as long as the 0.54 support holds.
On H4: Right Chart
📈 For the bulls to take over in the short term, we need a momentum candle close above the last minor high in green at 0.592.
And then, for the bulls to remain in control from a medium-term perspective, we need a break above the last major high in red around 0.66.
📉 Meanwhile, until the bulls take over, XRP would be bearish, and if the 0.54 support is broken downward, we can expect a bearish continuation towards the 0.45 - 0.5 weekly support zone.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC - First Update of 2024 📍Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
As per my last analysis, BTC rejected the lower bound of the symmetrical triangle and traded higher.
Now, what?
📈 BTC broke above the 45,000 resistance zone ; thus, we expect a movement toward the 48k-50k resistance zone.
📉 The bulls will remain in control as long as the 44,500 support holds.
If 44,500 is broken downward, we will expect another bearish correction until the lower orange trendline is reached again.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 29, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading sessions, Bitcoin has continuously traded within a Mean Res 44100 and Mean Support range of 41200. This indicates that Bitcoin is not yet ready to break through the completed Outer Coin Rally of 44500 and proceed to higher levels.
BTC - Top-Down Analysis 📹 2023 =>2024 Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #BTC.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
ETH - A Major High To Be Broken in 2024Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
ETH has been hovering within a range for a couple of weeks, now fluctuating between 2120.0 and 2320.0.
📈 For the bulls to remain in control and take over from a medium-term perspective again, we need an H4 candle close above the range, at 2320.0
In this case, a movement to the 2,500 round number and upper red trendline would be expected.
📉 Meanwhile , ETH would be stuck inside a range, but the bulls will remain in control as long as the 2,100 level holds.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Macro Monday 26~Global Indexes Breaking OutMacro Monday 26
Global Index’s Breaking Out
As its Christmas Eve I wanted to do an early release for tomorrow and share something positive and Christmassy but at the same time share something of value, so here is a look at some of the major global ETF index’s and how promising they appear towards the end of 2023. A clear sector stands out.
Vanguard Total World Stock Index ETF - AMEX:VT
In brief this Exchanged Traded Fund (ETF) seeks to track the performance of the FTSE Global All Cap Index (the “Index”) which consists of 99% stocks. The top three portfolio components consist of:
1. 61% in U.S. stocks – The top 5 holdings within this segment are Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia and Future on E-mini S&P Futures.
2. 7.6% stocks in the Eurozone
3. 6.1% stocks in Japan
The overall VT portfolio is typically weighted as follows: Cyclicals (34%), Sensitive (46%) and Defensive (20%). This ETF attempts to provide an economy weighted global ETF product by leveraging the worlds largest economy, the U.S. with some protection against downside risk with defensive and cyclical plays taking up over 50% of the portfolio exposure.
FYI – This index is extremely similar both on the chart and in price to the iShares MSCI ACWI ETF ( NASDAQ:ACWI ). This ETF aims to track the MSCI All Country World Index also. You can look this up and add it to your ticker list for a general sense of the direction of global markets much like the Vanguard Total World Stock Index ETF covered here today.
The Chart - chart features in heading of this article
Again, in brief you can see that we have a major breakout of a 3 year long pennant which is a bullish formation. We are also above the 200 day moving average which is slanting upwards (positive).
This Chart/ETF product gives a broad based view on the global economy at present however is obviously strongly reliant on the U.S. economy with 61% of the portfolio in U.S stocks so we will also have a look at a few other index’s that are looking positive at present.
iShares Global Energy ETF - AMEX:IXC
This index seeks to track the S&P Global Energy Sector Index and appears is primarily invested in the Oil and Gas sector. This index is designed to measure the performance of 52 companies in the global energy sector. The company sectors include the following:
1. Oil & Gas Exploration and Production Companies
2. Integrated Oil & Gas Companies
3. Oil Equipment, Services & Distribution
Integrated Oil and Gas makes up 53% of the portfolio, with Oil and Gas Exploration making up another 22%, and Oil and Gas Storage & transportation 10%. The remainder of the portfolio is other Oil & Gas equipment, services and derivatives.
The Chart
As you can see the chart is forming an ascending triangle and has made a series of higher lows due to upwards price pressure. Should this continue we should eventually have a breakout above the ascending triangle. We are now above the 200 day moving average however it has plateaued and thus we do not want to lose the $39.41 level which would mean we have lost our most recent higher low and would also confirm we have lost the diagonal support line. For now it is positive and we have price pushing higher with higher lows each month.
Global X FinTech ETF - NASDAQ:FINX
The Global X FinTech ETF (FINX) is an exchange-traded fund that seeks to track the performance of the Indxx Global FinTech Thematic Index. These are companies that are involved in the development and use of financial technology (FinTech).
The ETF seeks to provide exposure to companies at the forefront of financial technology innovation, including those involved in payment processing, digital banking, blockchain technology, peer-to-peer lending, and other disruptive financial services.
Interestingly, Coinbase Global NASDAQ:COIN is its largest holding at 9%, then Intuit Inc NASDAQ:INTU at 8% and Fiserv Inc NYSE:FI at 6%. Other notables are PayPal, Fidelity and Block which are all in the top 10 holdings making up about 4 – 5% of the portfolio each.
This is a fascinating little index that gives you exposure to some of the more established financial entities whilst also providing exposure to the trending innovative financial tech plays. One extra thing I like about this tracked Index is that it is 51% exposed to Information Technology but then you have c.40% in Financials, something people just cannot do without.
The Chart
We have a breakout of a long running descending wedge. Price has fallen c. 65% from the highs made a series of lower lows and has now broken out of the wedge and strongly broken above the 200 day moving average. As I always say, an entry off the 200 DSAM is usually ideal but we have a long term potential change of direction here on the chart could be a signal for FinTech playing a major role over the coming decade in finance. This leads me to my last chart of the day.
Global X Blockchain ETF - NASDAQ:BKCH
The Global X Blockchain ETF ( NASDAQ:BKCH ) is an exchange-traded fund designed to track the performance of the Indxx Blockchain Index. This ) The ETF seeks to invest in companies positioned to benefit from the increased adoption of blockchain technology, including companies in digital asset mining, blockchain & digital asset transactions, blockchain applications, blockchain & digital asset hardware, and blockchain & digital asset integration.
Earlier this year I spotted a very promising opportunity in the Cleanspark Inc NASDAQ:CLSK Chart, I checked the major components of this ETF only to find CLSK as a top three holding making up 12% of the portfolio weighting in the ETF, this helped confirm my conviction to place a trade. Since investing and sharing the original chart this stock has increased >100%+. As I noted above, when you see large institutional indexes/or tracked indexes showing a lot of faith in a company and putting their money where their mouth is with these sorts of weightings, it can be a confirmation signal after finding a brilliant looking chart. Marathon Digital NASDAQ:MARA is the largest holding in the ETF at 17% and Coinbase comes at 2nd place at 14%. The remainder of the portfolio is collection of other blockchain related firms including PayPal, Block, Cipher Mining, Nvidia, Robinhood, Bakkt holdings, Galaxy Digital…I think you get the picture.
The Chart
This chart is very similar to the Fintech Chart however it has some subtle differences that make it a more favorable chart. The 200 DSMA is clearly on the ascend for a number of months and appears to have demonstrated itself as support. We have higher lows and now a higher high…. which says a lot. We also have the obvious breakout from the pennant. All in All this is beautiful looking chart however we should note that we had a strong pull back in summer 2023 and we could have another from the $60 level. If you are placing bids on this chart it should be for the long haul and as always, an ideal entry is off the 200 DSMA or your Dollar Cost Averaging for a long term hold.
These are a few of the charts that I track closely but rarely talk about, some of the major holdings in these stocks helped lead some of my investment decisions this year. If big money and funds are investing in a company or sector where the chart is also looking good, its was always an indication to me that money could be flowing towards these stocks, especially when making up such large positions within these large index funds.
If you enjoyed me covering index and the inferences drawn from them let me know and I’ll share some of the others I track.
Folks things are looking really good for the long term on all the above global indexes
Happy Christmas Everyone
PUKA
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Dec 22, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout this week's trading session, Bitcoin has been trading within a
Mean Sup 41200 and completed Outer Coin Rally 44500. This range has created a level of stability in the market and has allowed for some downturn in the short term: the intermediate down target is the robust Mean Sup 42300. This is a crucial level for traders to watch, representing a solid support level for Bitcoin. Overall, Bitcoin is projected to revisit the completed Outer Coin Rally 44500 and continue the upward trajectory as specified on the chart.